Cmasterclay Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 (edited) It's my favorite time of movie year! We have this topic every year, so let's get it started. Today, we have NBR dropping. We get New York, LA, and DC Critics this week, along with BFCA. First post updated as awards come in. Last night was the Gotham Awards, the kickoff to awards season for indie films. Gotham Awards Best FeatureMoonlightBest DocumentaryO.J.: Made in AmericaBest Actress Isabelle Huppert in Elle (Sony Pictures Classics)Best Actor Casey Affleck in Manchester by the Sea (Amazon Studios) Bingham Ray Breakthrough Director Award Trey Edward Shults for Krisha (A24) Best ScreenplayMoonlight, Story by Tarell Alvin McCraney; Screenplay by Barry Jenkins (A24) Breakthrough Actor Anya Taylor-Joy in The Witch (A24) NBR Best Film: Manchester by the Sea Best Director: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight Best Actor: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea Best Actress: Amy Adams, Arrival Best Supporting Actor: Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water Best Supporting Actress: Naomie Harris, Moonlight Best Original Screenplay: Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea Best Adapted Screenplay: Jay Cocks and Martin Scorsese, Silence Best Animated Feature: Kubo and the Two StringsBreakthrough Performance (Male): Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Breakthrough Performance (Female): Royalty Hightower, The Fits Best Directorial Debut: Trey Edward Shults, Krisha Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman Best Documentary: O.J.: Made in America Best Ensemble: Hidden Figures Spotlight Award: Creative Collaboration of Peter Berg and Mark Wahlberg NBR Freedom of Expression Award: Cameraperson Top Films Arrival Hacksaw Ridge Hail, Caesar! Hell or High Water Hidden Figures La La Land Moonlight Patriot’s Day Silence Sully Top 5 Foreign Language Films Elle The Handmaiden Julieta Land of Mine Neruda Top 5 Documentaries De Palma The Eagle Huntress Gleason Life, Animated Miss Sharon Jones! Top 10 Independent Films 20th Century Women Captain Fantastic Creative Control Eye in the Sky The Fits Green Room Hello, My Name is Doris Krisha Morris from America Sing Street Critic's Choice Best Picture “Arrival” “Fences” “Hacksaw Ridge” “Hell or High Water” “La La Land” “Lion” “Loving” “Manchester by the Sea” “Moonlight” “Sully” Best Director Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”)Mel Gibson (“Hacksaw Ridge”) Barry Jenkins (“Moonlight”) Kenneth Lonergan (“Manchester by the Sea”) David Mackenzie (“Hell or High Water”) Denis Villeneuve (“Arrival”) Denzel Washington (“Fences”) Best Actor Casey Affleck (“Manchester by the Sea”) Joel Edgerton (“Loving”) Andrew Garfield (“Hacksaw Ridge”) Ryan Gosling (“La La Land”) Tom Hanks (“Sully”) Denzel Washington (“Fences”) Best Actress Amy Adams (“Arrival”) Annette Bening (“20th Century Women”) Isabelle Huppert (“Elle”) Ruth Negga (“Loving”) Natalie Portman (“Jackie”) Emma Stone (“La La Land”) Best Supporting Actor Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight”) Jeff Bridges (“Hell or High Water”) Ben Foster (“Hell or High Water”) Lucas Hedges (“Manchester by the Sea”) Dev Patel (“Lion”) Michael Shannon (“Nocturnal Animals”) Best Supporting Actress Viola Davis (“Fences”) Greta Gerwig (“20th Century Women”) Naomie Harris (“Moonlight”) Nicole Kidman (“Lion Janelle Monáe (“Hidden Figures”) Michelle Williams (“Manchester by the Sea”) Best Young Actor/Actress Lucas Hedges (“Manchester by the Sea”) Alex R. Hibbert (“Moonlight”) Lewis MacDougall (“A Monster Calls”) Madina Nalwanga (“Queen of Katwe”) Sunny Pawar – Lion”) Hailee Steinfeld (“The Edge of Seventeen”) Best Adapted Screenplay Luke Davies (“Lion”) Tom Ford (“Nocturnal Animals”) Eric Heisserer (“Arrival”) Todd Komarnicki (“Sully”) Allison Schroeder, Theodore Melfi (“Hidden Figures”) August Wilson (“Fences”) Best Original Screenplay Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”) Barry Jenkins (“Moonlight”) Yorgos Lanthimos/Efthimis Filippou (“The Lobster”) Kenneth Lonergan (“Manchester by the Sea “) Jeff Nichols (“Loving”) Taylor Sheridan (“Hell or High Water”) Best Cinematography “Arrival” (Bradford Young) “Jackie” (Stéphane Fontaine) “La La Land” (Linus Sandgren) “Moonlight” (James Laxton) “Nocturnal Animals” (Seamus McGarvey) Best Costume Design “Allied” (Joanna Johnston) “Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” (Colleen Atwood) “Florence Foster Jenkins” (Consolata Boyle) “Jackie” (Madeline Fontaine) “La La Land” (Mary Zophres) “Love & Friendship” (Eimer Ni Mhaoldomhnaigh) Best Editing “Arrival” (Joe Walker) “Hacksaw Ridge” (John Gilbert) “La La Land” (Tom Cross) “Moonlight” (Nat Sanders, Joi McMillon) “Sully” (Blu Murray) Best Hair & Makeup “Doctor Strange” “Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” “Hacksaw Ridge” “Jackie” “Star Trek Beyond” Best Production Design “Arrival” (Patrice Vermette; Paul Hotte, André Valade) “Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” (Stuart Craig; James Hambidge, Anna Pinnock) “Jackie” (Jean Rabasse; Véronique Melery) “La La Land” (David Wasco; Sandy Reynolds-Wasco) “Live By Night” (Jess Gonchor; Nancy Haigh) Best Score “Arrival” (Jóhann Jóhannsson) “Jackie” (Mica Levi) “La La Land” (Justin Hurwitz) “Moonlight” (Nicholas Britell) “Lion” (Dustin O’Halloran, Hauschka) Best Song “Audition (The Fools Who Dream) from “La La Land” “City of Stars” from “La La Land” “How Far I’ll Go” from “Moana” “Can’t Stop the Feeling!” from “Trolls” “The Rules Don’t Apply” from “Rules Don’t Apply” “Drive It Like You Stole It” from “Sing Street” Best Visual Effects “Arrival” “Doctor Strange” “Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” “The Jungle Book” “A Monster Calls” Best Animated Feature “Finding Dory” “Kubo and the Two Strings” “Moana” “The Red Turtle” “Trolls” “Zootopia” Best Foreign Language Film “Elle” “The Handmaiden” “Julieta” “Neruda” “The Salesman” “Toni Erdmann” Best Acting Ensemble “Fences” “Hell or High Water” “Hidden Figures” “Manchester by the Sea” “Moonlight” “20th Century Women” Best Action Movie “Captain America: Civil War” “Deadpool” “Doctor Strange” “Hacksaw Ridge” “Jason Bourne” Best Actor in an Action Movie Benedict Cumberbatch (“Doctor Strange”) Matt Damon (“Jason Bourne”)Chris Evans (“Captain America: Civil War”) Andrew Garfield (“Hacksaw Ridge”) Ryan Reynolds (“Deadpool”) Best Actress in an Action Movie Gal Gadot (“Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice”) Scarlett Johansson (“Captain America: Civil War”) Margot Robbie (“Suicide Squad”) Tilda Swinton (“Doctor Strange”) Best Comedy “Central Intelligence” “Deadpool” “Don’t Think Twice” “The Edge of Seventeen” “Hail, Caesar!” “The Nice Guys” Best Actor in a Comedy Ryan Gosling (“The Nice Guys”) Hugh Grant (“Florence Foster Jenkins”) Dwayne Johnson (“Central Intelligence”) Viggo Mortensen (“Captain Fantastic”) Ryan Reynolds (“Deadpool”) Best Actress in a Comedy Kate Beckinsale (“Love & Friendship”) Sally Field (“Hello, My Name Iis Doris”) Kate McKinnon (“Ghostbusters”) Hailee Steinfeld (“The Edge of Seventeen”) Meryl Streep (“Florence Foster Jenkins”) Best Sci-Fi/Horror Movie “Arrival” “Doctor Strange” “Don’t Breathe” “Star Trek Beyond” “10 Cloverfield Lane” “The Witch” Edited December 1, 2016 by Cmasterclay Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 29, 2016 Author Share Posted November 29, 2016 Anyone have NBR predictions before they come in around noon? I think La La Land, Eastwood, Hanks. Adams in an upset, Bridges, and Davis. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Apparently as well as WB the nbr have A24 connections (hence a most violent year winning a couple years back) so I'll make a call for Moonlight there too. that's definitely gonna be the spotlight/boyhood every group crowds around this year i feel. Manchester will score a few too though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Also silence was screened for nbr a few days ago so if they choose to award it anywhere that's pretty much our first reaction to the film. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 29, 2016 Author Share Posted November 29, 2016 2 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: Also silence was screened for nbr a few days ago so if they choose to award it anywhere that's pretty much our first reaction to the film. Very true, I'm excited to hear. They've also seen Live By Night, but I've heard that shit is Gangster Squad 2.0. They've seen Hidden Figures, too, so that might pick up something. Those are the last three unreviewed award movies, unless you want to try and convince someone Collateral Beauty (a W.O.A.T. contender) and Passengers (getting FYC ads for Production Design on THR, not a good sign they think it can win anything big) are players. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 50 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said: Very true, I'm excited to hear. They've also seen Live By Night, but I've heard that shit is Gangster Squad 2.0. They've seen Hidden Figures, too, so that might pick up something. Those are the last three unreviewed award movies, unless you want to try and convince someone Collateral Beauty (a W.O.A.T. contender) and Passengers (getting FYC ads for Production Design on THR, not a good sign they think it can win anything big) are players. Yeah, tweets have been surfacing today that are being coy about the embargo and indicating it'll be lucky to get even tech nominations. Now we know why it took so long to get a qualifying release. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Also, I hope the BFCA nominations are as ridiculous and shameless as usual. Them adding The Force Awakens after nominations were already announced just because it wasn't screened in time was the final proof we needed as to what a joke of an organization they are. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 (edited) NBR Winners (Top 10 coming up): Best Film: Manchester by the Sea Best Director: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight Best Actor: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea Best Actress:Amy Adams, Arrival Best Supporting Actor: Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water Best Supporting Actress: Naomie Harris, Moonlight Best Original Screenplay: Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea Best Adapted Screenplay: Jay Cocks and Martin Scorsese, Silence Best Animated Feature: Kubo and the Two StringsBreakthrough Performance (Male): Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Breakthrough Performance (Female):Royalty Hightower, The Fits Best Directorial Debut: Trey Edward Shults, Krisha Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman Best Documentary: O.J.: Made in America Best Ensemble: Hidden Figures Spotlight Award: Creative Collaboration of Peter Berg and Mark Wahlberg NBR Freedom of Expression Award: Cameraperson http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/national-board-review-2016-winners-951071 Top 10:ArrivalHacksaw RidgeHail, Caesar!Hell or High WaterHidden FiguresLa La LandMoonlightPatriot’s DaySilenceSully Edited November 29, 2016 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Big for Manchester and Moonlight. Promising for Silence since it only just screened for them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Their #2-11: Arrival Hacksaw Ridge Hail, Caesar! Hell or High Water Hidden Figures La La Land Moonlight Patriot's Day Silence Sully Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Added the top 10. The Jackie shutout is very surprising. Carol 2.0? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 cool for silence. screens for new york critics tomorrow so they'll get to see it before their awards on thursday too. like the hail caesar shout out too. maybe that can get a globe comedy nod or SAG ensemble or something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Hail, Cesar?! Really? Wtf. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 (edited) Also, 4 Lionsgate released films are in their top 10. Somebody call @CJohn. Also, no Live by Night anywhere despite the love affair NBR has with WB. It's going nowhere. Edited November 29, 2016 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 29, 2016 Author Share Posted November 29, 2016 Fences, Jackie, Loving, and Lion are top contenders shut out. I like their top ten. Pretty interesting list. Big gets for Hidden Figures, Hacksaw, and Patriots Day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 HIDDEN FIGURES has gotta be a surprise, right? Delighted to see HAIL, CAESAR! unexpectedly show up as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 1 minute ago, Grand Moff Tele said: HIDDEN FIGURES has gotta be a surprise, right? I've been thinking it'll be a The Help-esque crowdpleaser for a while. Wouldn't surprise if it breaks through, or that Henson sneaks into the Actress race. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 I think Hidden Figures could take Fences's spot in BP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: I think Hidden Figures could take Fences's spot in BP. It, Hacksaw Ridge, and Patriots' Day are clearly the movies that are coming for that "under the radar/unexpected" surprise nods this year. Patriots' Day is the one that I'm most conflicted on because I don't know what other categories it would show up in. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 NBR and BP correlation: 2015: 5/8 (Missing The Revenant, The Big Short, and Brooklyn) 2014: 4/8 (Missing Selma, Theory, Whiplash, and Budapest) 2013: 5/9 (Missing Philomena, American Hustle, Dallas Buyers, and Phillips) 2012: 7/9 (Missing Life of Pi and Amour) 2011: 5/9 (Missing Moneyball, The Help, Extremely Loud, and Midnight in Paris) 2010: 7/10 (Missing 127 Hours, Black Swan, and Kids Are Alright) 2009: 6/10 (Missing Avatar, District 9, The Blind Side, and Precious: Based on the Novel "Push" by Sapphire) Director: Only 2 directors have been nominated this decade; every winner for the last 4 years has missed. Could the curse continue for Jenkins? There's 4 directors competing for the last three spots, so it's possible. Actor: Every winner (except for the Oscar Isaac tie) this decade has gone on to be nominated. Affleck is still the frontrunner. Actress: They've gotten three nominees and two winners this decade (both being in the last two years). Given how Arrival is a likely BP nominee, it's hard to see Adams missing. Supporting Actor: They've gotten 4 nominees and two winners this decade. Still hard to see Bridges missing. Supporting Actress: Only two nominees this decade. The category is so barren though, so Harris is safe. OS: NBR has a shit record here with no nominees this decade Manchester will still be nominated though. AS: They are veeeeeeeeeeery strong here. They've only missed 2 nominees total. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...