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Cmasterclay

Precursors 2016! Winners and Nominations

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there's a lot of correlation because I have to wonder like w/ bfca are they really looking deep down and voting for faves or do they just want to be known as a group people can use to help w/ oscar predictions. reminds me one critics group was bragging about how they were the only one to get best picture "right" when they awarded king's speech. that ain't what this shit should be about. I bet the BOFFIES could line up pretty well with the oscars if that's what we wanted to do.

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1 minute ago, CoolioD1 said:

there's a lot of correlation because I have to wonder like w/ bfca are they really looking deep down and voting for faves or do they just want to be known as a group people can use to help w/ oscar predictions. reminds me one critics group was bragging about how they were the only one to get best picture "right" when they awarded king's speech. that ain't what this shit should be about. I bet the BOFFIES could line up pretty well with the oscars if that's what we wanted to do.

Pretty much.

 

Another reason to hate the BFCAs: they gave us Lights Camera Jackson! Ugh.

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Not gonna lie, I'm getting some Boyhood vibes from La La Land in the sense it's the default frontrunner. If Scorsese wins Director and Manchester wins Screenplay, it's probably game over for La La Land. I can't see a scenario where it wins BP without winning one of those, and there aren't many other categories it can win. Or maybe Silence isn't that good and this is all baseless speculation *shrug*

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I don't think LLL was ever winning Screenplay, not since Manchester got those raves at Sundance. Still think it has a pretty strong grip on Director and Picture, as well as some techs (Cinematography, PD, CD, Editing and Song are all plausible/achievable) and maybe Actress if everything goes right. It's true that we can look back on Boyhood and TSN as seemingly obvious winners but LLL really does have more going for it. 

 

Not exactly shocked NBR didn't go for it either. It, Manchester and Moonlight have a similar level of acclaim, and you'd expect some critics to simply like the latter two more and/or lean towards the independent underdog character dramas rather than the lavish Hollywood production they figure will almost certainly clean the big awards anyway. If it somehow continues to not win anything big anywhere for the first half of December I guess that might be a slight cause for alarm.

Edited by Jake Gittes
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Yeah, la la land's old school hollywood grandeur kinda counteracts the comparison. The Artist was also just sorta the default winner through the critics awards. that was a year where people were just sorta waiting for another movie to jump in front and it never happened.

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I honest don't think any of the late comers will make too much of a splash. Silence, Fences, Live by night, Hidden Figures etc...

Glad to see Moonlight and Manchester doing good so far, in the end it's probably La La Land, Moonlight and Manchester. 

 

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3 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Not gonna lie, I'm getting some Boyhood vibes from La La Land in the sense it's the default frontrunner. If Scorsese wins Director and Manchester wins Screenplay, it's probably game over for La La Land. I can't see a scenario where it wins BP without winning one of those, and there aren't many other categories it can win. Or maybe Silence isn't that good and this is all baseless speculation *shrug*

 

If Silence is truly that great, I feel NBR would have embraced it a bit more rather than just giving it the adapted screenplay.

Boyhood and La La Land are almost opposite in certain ways though, Boyhood only assumed frontrunner status because of its once in a few decade critics ravings and the fact that it was winning the majority of these critics awards at this point, people didn't see Birdman and Grand Budapest hotel prevailing until PGA handed its award to Birdman, which later proved to be more guild and academy friendly. La La Land on the other hand, is presumed to be the guild and academy friendly choice, thus the default frontrunner, whether it will do as well with critics remains to be seen (not so hot yet as of right now). 

Edited by NCsoft
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Glad to see HR is gaining momentum.

Manchester by the sea at NBR was quite surprising.

Good signs for Silence, Hidden Figures and Patriot's day. Not very good for Fences.

Arrival completely snubbed at Satellite is quite surprising.

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critics choice nominees

http://variety.com/2016/film/in-contention/2016-critics-choice-movie-awards-nominations-1201930813/

 

hmmm. might rethink predicting jackie in best picture. didn't show up here or in the nbr top ten. might just be another carol in that regard. i swear awards bodies didn't used to hate auteurist female driven pictures this much! i dunno what happened!

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Critics Choice Nominees

Best Picture
“Arrival”
“Fences”
“Hacksaw Ridge”
“Hell or High Water”
“La La Land”
“Lion”
“Loving”
“Manchester by the Sea”
“Moonlight”
“Sully”

Best Director
Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”)
Mel Gibson (“Hacksaw Ridge”)
Barry Jenkins (“Moonlight”)
Kenneth Lonergan (“Manchester by the Sea”)
David Mackenzie (“Hell or High Water”)
Denis Villeneuve (“Arrival”)
Denzel Washington (“Fences”)

Best Actor
Casey Affleck (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Joel Edgerton (“Loving”)
Andrew Garfield (“Hacksaw Ridge”)
Ryan Gosling (“La La Land”)
Tom Hanks (“Sully”)
Denzel Washington (“Fences”)

Best Actress
Amy Adams (“Arrival”)
Annette Bening (“20th Century Women”)
Isabelle Huppert (“Elle”)
Ruth Negga (“Loving”)
Natalie Portman (“Jackie”)
Emma Stone (“La La Land”)

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali (“Moonlight”)
Jeff Bridges (“Hell or High Water”)
Ben Foster (“Hell or High Water”)
Lucas Hedges (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Dev Patel (“Lion”)
Michael Shannon (“Nocturnal Animals”)

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis (“Fences”)
Greta Gerwig (“20th Century Women”)
Naomie Harris (“Moonlight”)
Nicole Kidman (“Lion
Janelle Monáe  (“Hidden Figures”)
Michelle Williams (“Manchester by the Sea”)

Best Young Actor/Actress
Lucas Hedges (“Manchester by the Sea”)
Alex R. Hibbert (“Moonlight”)
Lewis MacDougall (“A Monster Calls”)
Madina Nalwanga (“Queen of Katwe”)
Sunny Pawar – Lion”)
Hailee Steinfeld (“The Edge of Seventeen”)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Luke Davies (“Lion”)
Tom Ford (“Nocturnal Animals”)
Eric Heisserer (“Arrival”)
Todd Komarnicki (“Sully”)
Allison Schroeder, Theodore Melfi (“Hidden Figures”)
August Wilson (“Fences”)

Best Original Screenplay
Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”)
Barry Jenkins (“Moonlight”)
Yorgos Lanthimos/Efthimis Filippou (“The Lobster”)
Kenneth Lonergan (“Manchester by the Sea “)
Jeff Nichols (“Loving”)
Taylor Sheridan (“Hell or High Water”)

Best Cinematography
“Arrival” (Bradford Young)
“Jackie” (Stéphane Fontaine)
“La La Land” (Linus Sandgren)
“Moonlight” (James Laxton)
“Nocturnal Animals” (Seamus McGarvey)

Best Costume Design
“Allied” (Joanna Johnston)
“Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” (Colleen Atwood)
“Florence Foster Jenkins” (Consolata Boyle)
“Jackie” (Madeline Fontaine)
“La La Land” (Mary Zophres)
“Love & Friendship” (Eimer Ni Mhaoldomhnaigh)

Best Editing
“Arrival” (Joe Walker)
“Hacksaw Ridge” (John Gilbert)
“La La Land” (Tom Cross)
“Moonlight” (Nat Sanders, Joi McMillon)
“Sully” (Blu Murray)

Best Hair & Makeup
“Doctor Strange”
“Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them”
“Hacksaw Ridge”
“Jackie”
“Star Trek Beyond”

Best Production Design
“Arrival” (Patrice Vermette; Paul Hotte, André Valade)
“Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them” (Stuart Craig; James Hambidge, Anna Pinnock)
“Jackie” (Jean Rabasse; Véronique Melery)
“La La Land” (David Wasco; Sandy Reynolds-Wasco)
“Live By Night” (Jess Gonchor; Nancy Haigh)

Best Score
“Arrival” (Jóhann Jóhannsson)
“Jackie” (Mica Levi)
“La La Land” (Justin Hurwitz)
“Moonlight” (Nicholas Britell)
“Lion” (Dustin O’Halloran, Hauschka)

Best Song
“Audition (The Fools Who Dream) from “La La Land”
“City of Stars” from “La La Land”
“How Far I’ll Go” from “Moana”
“Can’t Stop the Feeling!” from “Trolls”
“The Rules Don’t Apply” from “Rules Don’t Apply”
“Drive It Like You Stole It” from “Sing Street”

Best Visual Effects
“Arrival”
“Doctor Strange”
“Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them”
“The Jungle Book”
“A Monster Calls”

Best Animated Feature
“Finding Dory”
“Kubo and the Two Strings”
“Moana”
“The Red Turtle”
“Trolls”
“Zootopia”

Best Foreign Language Film
“Elle”
“The Handmaiden”
“Julieta”
“Neruda”
“The Salesman”
“Toni Erdmann”

Best Acting Ensemble
“Fences”
“Hell or High Water”
“Hidden Figures”
“Manchester by the Sea”
“Moonlight”
“20th Century Women”

Best Action Movie
“Captain America: Civil War”
“Deadpool”
“Doctor Strange”
“Hacksaw Ridge”
“Jason Bourne”

Best Actor in an Action Movie
Benedict Cumberbatch (“Doctor Strange”)
Matt Damon (“Jason Bourne”)
Chris Evans (“Captain America: Civil War”)
Andrew Garfield (“Hacksaw Ridge”)
Ryan Reynolds (“Deadpool”)

Best Actress in an Action Movie
Gal Gadot (“Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice”)
Scarlett Johansson (“Captain America: Civil War”)
Margot Robbie (“Suicide Squad”)
Tilda Swinton (“Doctor Strange”)

Best Comedy
“Central Intelligence”
“Deadpool”
“Don’t Think Twice”
“The Edge of Seventeen”
“Hail, Caesar!”
“The Nice Guys”

Best Actor in a Comedy
Ryan Gosling (“The Nice Guys”)
Hugh Grant (“Florence Foster Jenkins”)
Dwayne Johnson (“Central Intelligence”)
Viggo Mortensen (“Captain Fantastic”)
Ryan Reynolds (“Deadpool”)

Best Actress in a Comedy
Kate Beckinsale (“Love & Friendship”)
Sally Field (“Hello, My Name Iis Doris”)
Kate McKinnon (“Ghostbusters”)
Hailee Steinfeld (“The Edge of Seventeen”)
Meryl Streep (“Florence Foster Jenkins”)

Best Sci-Fi/Horror Movie
“Arrival”
“Doctor Strange”
“Don’t Breathe”
“Star Trek Beyond”
“10 Cloverfield Lane”
“The Witch”

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