We have hope. Rebellions are built on Derbies! | Week 51

[AndyLL]

http://derby.boxofficetheory.com/Predictions.aspx

 

2 months of Gold Premium account credit to the best Rouge One prediction %.

 

Derby Anniversary.. 2 openers... 2 expansions... tournament...  yearly winner up for grabs...

 

 

[AndyLL]

I am watching Rouge One Thursday night... getting on a plan to Florida Friday Night... on a cruise ship for 7 nights after that.

 

I will have an Internet connection and 'should' be able to do next weeks Derby... however, if disaster strikes and I am not able to do the 2nd to last Derby of the year... then the normal Derby Terms and Conditions take effect.

 

Derby TOS:

 

Spoiler

I will feel bad and everyone should buy me a beer to cheer me up.

 

[POTUS 2020]

Derby Player Sheet

41 players

Scores will be all over the place with 2 expansions and some holdovers possibly taking big hits.

May the Derby be with you

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Wpy7FK2JG0sR6NVkXynuoBH49T3FBRqDlpyq9gx72ZQ/edit?usp=sharing

Edited December 16, 2016 by POTUS

[POTUS 2020]

Deadline #s. I'm not sure how Arrival, DS and FB held last week at -23, -32 and -42% but all held -50% this weekend. There will be big adjustments.

No result for Allied. 10th was 1.5m, I put down 1.4m, the same drop as Spectre last year. This could all be way off and @AABATTERY, you still have a chance.

@Viceversa joining the usual suspects in the top 5, welcome! 

1		TalismanRing	87.78
2		Bates	87.57
3		POTUS	86.33
4		Viceversa	86.27
5		JMorphin	86.01
6		8wombi7	85.60
7		Wildbill	85.39
8		kswiston	84.97
		Derby Average	83.64
9		Matrix4You	83.21
10		moviecriticguy	83.12
11		Simionski	82.97
12		Spaghetti	82.93
13		PanaMovie	82.81
14		boxofficeth	82.61
15		Padre	82.34
16		CoolEric258	81.77
17		Tower	80.91
18		harryHERTZ	80.67
19		Jason	80.66
20		a2knet	80.57
21		Wrath	80.42
22		Boxx93	80.36
23		chasmmi	79.48
24		cannastop	79.35
25		RandomJC	78.64
26		darkelf	78.29
27		WrathOfHan	77.93
28		Rolling Thunder	77.57
29		luxneji	77.43
30		ChipMunky	76.55
31		Eevin	76.30
32		bapi	75.87
33		AndyLL	75.43
34		SquareWatcher	74.16
35		Fancyarcher	74.06
36		BoxOfficeZ	71.80
37		Dbot1800	71.53
38		kayumanggi	71.33
39		AABATTERY	71.27
40		Blankments	67.31
41		misafeco	65.28

 

 

[aabattery]

1 minute ago, POTUS said:

Deadline #s. I'm not sure how Arrival, DS and FB held last week at -23, -32 and -42% but all held -50% this weekend. There will be big adjustments.

No result for Allied. 10th was 1.5m, I put down 1.4m, the same drop as Spectre last year. This could all be way off and @AABATTERY, you still have a chance.

@Viceversa joining the usual suspects in the top 5, welcome! 

1		TalismanRing	87.78
2		Bates	87.57
3		POTUS	86.33
4		Viceversa	86.27
5		JMorphin	86.01
6		8wombi7	85.60
7		Wildbill	85.39
8		kswiston	84.97
		Derby Average	83.64
9		Matrix4You	83.21
10		moviecriticguy	83.12
11		Simionski	82.97
12		Spaghetti	82.93
13		PanaMovie	82.81
14		boxofficeth	82.61
15		Padre	82.34
16		CoolEric258	81.77
17		Tower	80.91
18		harryHERTZ	80.67
19		Jason	80.66
20		a2knet	80.57
21		Wrath	80.42
22		Boxx93	80.36
23		chasmmi	79.48
24		cannastop	79.35
25		RandomJC	78.64
26		darkelf	78.29
27		WrathOfHan	77.93
28		Rolling Thunder	77.57
29		luxneji	77.43
30		ChipMunky	76.55
31		Eevin	76.30
32		bapi	75.87
33		AndyLL	75.43
34		SquareWatcher	74.16
35		Fancyarcher	74.06
36		BoxOfficeZ	71.80
37		Dbot1800	71.53
38		kayumanggi	71.33
39		AABATTERY	71.27
40		Blankments	67.31
41		misafeco	65.28

 

 

 

"[Good derby results] are built on hope!"

 

 

[POTUS 2020]

Friday studio estimates

1		8wombi7	90.38		Matrix4You	Rogue One	200.66
2		POTUS	88.48		BoxOfficeZ	Rogue One	200.10
3		TalismanRing	87.73		CoolEric258	Rogue One	195.46
4		JMorphin	87.63		misafeco	Rogue One	188.00
5		Bates	87.51		AABATTERY	Rogue One	183.40
6		Wildbill	86.74		bapi	Rogue One	182.00
7		moviecriticguy	86.68		WrathOfHan	Rogue One	180.00
8		Spaghetti	85.61		cannastop	Rogue One	180.00
9		Tower	84.24		AndyLL	Rogue One	179.00
10		Simionski	83.75		Wildbill	Rogue One	175.00
11		Matrix4You	83.39		Rolling Thunder	Rogue One	173.55
12		Rolling Thunder	83.23		Spaghetti	Rogue One	172.66
		Derby Average	83.16		Dbot1800	Rogue One	171.90
13		kswiston	82.63		Eevin	Rogue One	171.50
14		Padre	82.40		SquareWatcher	Rogue One	170.55
15		Viceversa	82.37		POTUS	Rogue One	170.00
16		PanaMovie	81.98		Boxx93	Rogue One	168.30
17		boxofficeth	81.87		Viceversa	Rogue One	167.23
18		chasmmi	81.30		Wrath	Rogue One	166.80
19		CoolEric258	81.29		a2knet	Rogue One	165.30
20		Wrath	80.71		darkelf	Rogue One	165.00
21		Jason	79.92		Jason	Rogue One	165.00
22		harryHERTZ	79.41		kswiston	Rogue One	165.00
23		Boxx93	79.39		Simionski	Rogue One	164.39
24		cannastop	78.96		Fancyarcher	Rogue One	164.05
25		darkelf	78.82		moviecriticguy	Rogue One	163.00
26		a2knet	76.91		chasmmi	Rogue One	162.00
27		RandomJC	76.47		Blankments	Rogue One	161.23
28		ChipMunky	76.11		PanaMovie	Rogue One	160.41
29		bapi	75.84		Padre	Rogue One	160.00
30		luxneji	75.62		luxneji	Rogue One	159.20
31		WrathOfHan	74.96		kayumanggi	Rogue One	154.89
32		AndyLL	74.29		JMorphin	Rogue One	150.00
33		SquareWatcher	74.18		ChipMunky	Rogue One	148.30
34		Eevin	73.97		Bates	Rogue One	148.00
35		Fancyarcher	73.25		RandomJC	Rogue One	148.00
36		Dbot1800	72.52		TalismanRing	Rogue One	147.23
37		BoxOfficeZ	72.08		boxofficeth	Rogue One	147.00
38		kayumanggi	70.56		harryHERTZ	Rogue One	144.23
39		AABATTERY	70.47		8wombi7	Rogue One	137.17
40		Blankments	68.61		Tower	Rogue One	131.87
41		misafeco	67.11		XeOF4	Rogue One	0.00
42		XeOF4	0.00		Ash Skywalker	Rogue One	0.00

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

I'm so glad this is a Bye week for me in the tournament. 

[POTUS 2020]

Christ, I raised CB last minute. Just 50k changes on actuals for DS or Allied will shift the top 5 a bit

 

1		8wombi7	88.37
2		POTUS	87.86
3		Wildbill	87.30
4		JMorphin	86.89
5		moviecriticguy	86.17
6		Bates	85.34
7		TalismanRing	85.25
8		Spaghetti	84.94
9		Simionski	82.90
10		Rolling Thunder	82.33
11		Matrix4You	82.11
12		Viceversa	81.90
		Tower	81.84
13		kswiston	81.72
14		Derby Average	81.70
15		PanaMovie	80.65
16		Padre	79.85
17		CoolEric258	79.57
18		boxofficeth	79.22
19		chasmmi	79.20
20		Wrath	78.63
21		harryHERTZ	78.14
22		cannastop	77.91
23		Jason	77.61
24		Boxx93	77.31
25		darkelf	77.15
26		a2knet	76.46
27		luxneji	74.62
28		RandomJC	74.34
29		bapi	74.25
30		ChipMunky	74.20
31		WrathOfHan	73.59
32		Eevin	72.83
33		SquareWatcher	72.62
34		AndyLL	72.18
35		Fancyarcher	70.79
36		Dbot1800	70.35
37		BoxOfficeZ	70.16
38		AABATTERY	68.76
39		kayumanggi	68.03
40		Blankments	66.02
41		misafeco	65.96
42		XeOF4	0.00

 

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

Derby tournament standings:

 

1: TalismanRing vs Bye

2: Padre 79.85 vs SquareWatcher 72.62

 

3: Boxx93 vs Bye

4: Bye vs JMorphin

 

5: moviecriticguy vs Bye

6: misafeco 65.69 vs cannastop 77.91

 

7: AndyLL 72.18 vs kswiston 81.72

8: Bye vs Wildbill

 

9: Bates vs Bye

10: harryHERTZ 78.14 vs luxneji 74.62

 

11: Blankments vs Bye

12: Bye vs Tower

 

13: kayumanggi vs Bye

14: Bye vs Wrath

 

15: BoxOfficeZ 70.16 vs Fancyarcher 70.79

16: Bye vs 8wombi7

 

17: POTUS vs Bye

18: chasmmi 79.20 vs Jason 77.61

 

19: bapi vs Bye

20: Bye vs boxofficeth

 

21: PanaMovie vs Bye

22: Bye vs Spaghetti

 

23: CoolEric258 79.57 vs Dbot1800 70.35

24: Bye vs Rolling Thunder

 

25: Simionski vs Bye

26: Eevin 72.83 vs AABATTERY 68.76

 

27: Viceversa vs Bye

28: Bye vs darkelf

 

29: WrathOfHan vs Bye

30: Bye vs ChipMunky

 

31: RandomJC 74.34 vs a2knet 76.46

32: Bye vs Matrix4You

 

[Rolling Thunder]

I haven't been as strong as I've wanted this quarter, but the good news is the blog is mine and I can spin the performance however I please.

[ChipDerby]

On 12/17/2016 at 9:58 AM, WrathOfHan said:

I'm so glad this is a Bye week for me in the tournament. 

 

Because I would have SMOKED you.

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, ChipMunky said:

 

Because I would have SMOKED you.

By .61 points  

[cannastop]

@AndyLL

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2016&wknd=51&p=.htm

 

December 16-18, 2016
Weekend

 

1	N	Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	BV	$155,091,681	-	4,157	-	$37,309	$155,081,681	$200	1
2	1	Moana	BV	$12,726,232	-31.3%	3,587	-288	$3,548	$162,920,977	-	4
3	2	Office Christmas Party	Par.	$8,587,528	-49.2%	3,210	-	$2,675	$31,655,795	$45	2
4	N	Collateral Beauty	WB (NL)	$7,102,085	-	3,028	-	$2,345	$7,102,085	$36	1
5	3	Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them	WB	$5,071,323	-51.3%	3,036	-590	$1,670	$207,722,418	$180	5
6	7	Manchester by the Sea	RAtt.	$4,244,014	+33.8%	1,208	+842	$3,513	$14,104,319	-	5
7	15	La La Land	LG/S	$4,102,091	+365.6%	200	+195	$20,510	$5,342,257	$30	2
8	4	Arrival	Par.	$2,972,958	-46.8%	2,157	-958	$1,378	$86,666,325	$47	6
9	5	Doctor Strange	BV	$2,210,912	-51.3%	1,930	-833	$1,146	$226,260,939	$165	7
10	8	Nocturnal Animals	Focus	$1,407,088	-55.5%	1,246	-16	$1,129	$8,828,454	-	5
11	9	Trolls	Fox	$1,370,880	-54.6%	1,714	-1,072	$800	$147,426,817	$125	7
12	6	Allied	Par.	$1,323,176	-66.6%	1,625	-1,393	$814	$38,532,093	$85	4

[AndyLL]

Results updated.  My connection on the cruise ship is really bad.  Can someone double check my numbers and ping me before I post the results?

 

I can't get the 'filter' on the all weekly results to work.  I don't know if it is broken or my connection.  If it is working can someone filter and sort by rogue one and tell me who had the highest %?

 

 

[cannastop]

18 minutes ago, AndyLL said:

Results updated.  My connection on the cruise ship is really bad.  Can someone double check my numbers and ping me before I post the results?

 

I can't get the 'filter' on the all weekly results to work.  I don't know if it is broken or my connection.  If it is working can someone filter and sort by rogue one and tell me who had the highest %?

 

 

Top 3 Rogue One predictions.

 

kayumanggi	Rogue One	$154.89M	$155.09M	99.871%	89.980%	9.891%
luxneji	Rogue One	$159.20M	$155.09M	97.350%	89.980%	7.370%
Padre	Rogue One	$160.00M	$155.09M	96.834%	89.980%	6.854%

 

Congratulations, @kayumanggi!

[TalismanRing]

Huh, I boomeranged this weekend from the first projections to the actuals - 1-3-7-1.

[kayumanggi]

8 hours ago, cannastop said:

Top 3 Rogue One predictions.

 

kayumanggi	Rogue One	$154.89M	$155.09M	99.871%	89.980%	9.891%
luxneji	Rogue One	$159.20M	$155.09M	97.350%	89.980%	7.370%
Padre	Rogue One	$160.00M	$155.09M	96.834%	89.980%	6.854%

 

Congratulations, @kayumanggi!

 

Ha ha. Awesome. Thanks!

[8wombi7]

top three for the third time in a row, never managed to do that before! if only i didn't lower my RO prediction last minute from 157m to 137m... at least that was still good enough to kick Bye out of the derby

 

congrats @kayumanggi for nailing Ro and @TalismanRing for winning the week!

[JMorphin]

Congrats, TalismanRing!