ROGUE ONE WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals R1 155.09m, Moana 12.7m, OCP 8.58m, CB 7.1m, FB 5.07m

[terrestrial]

1 minute ago, Daxtreme said:

My predictions for final 5:

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Captain America: Civil War

Doctor Strange

The Jungle Book

Arrival

I could imagine a scream of being against that, out of competition's corners

4x Disney? 

[MattW]

@trifle posted this in the buzz thread:

He says the second and third weekends will be huge, but looking at the schedule I think the second will be quite be muted.  I'm coming up with around 60m for 2nd weekend (60% drop).  It should make up some ground from the 26th to the 2nd but I'm thinking there will be quite a few posts very worried about the legs from the 19th to the 25th.

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

5 minutes ago, Elessar said:

 

If i read that right it could do over $40m there, which would be pretty great.

That's pretty insane for a movie like Hacksaw. Totally deserves it's success though.

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Just now, MattW said:

@trifle posted this in the buzz thread:

He says the second and third weekends will be huge, but looking at the schedule I think the second will be quite be muted.  I'm coming up with around 60m for 2nd weekend (60% drop).  It should make up some ground from the 26th to the 2nd but I'm thinking there will be quite a few posts very worried about the legs from the 19th to the 25th.

Yeah, it's tough to compare weekends, because Christmas Eve is not a big movie going day. But the weekdays between Christmas and New Years may be bigger than it's first week.

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Rth. He is here.

[MovieMan89]

Alternatively, if kids don't like it families could flock to Moana and Sing instead. 

[GiantCALBears]

I really like Gitesh, I think he does good work in an industry where there can be a lack of decent perspectives.

[Lordmandeep]

25 and 26th will be Saturdays

27th is a 30% drop

28th to 30th are solid weekdays.

 

 

[Rthmessiah]

2 hours ago, Daxtreme said:

Help us Rth, you're our only hope. I summon thee. Reason has forsaken us, and only numbers will satiate our thirst for knowledge. We are but mere servants of the box office, and are slaves to its will.

 

--

 

Our father in Asgard,

 

purple be your name.

 

Your numbers come,

 

Your posts be liked,

 

in any and all numbers thread.

 

Give us this day our daily estimates,

 

and forgive us our overreactions,

 

as we also have forgiven Deadline.

 

And lead us not into early breakdowns,

 

but deliver us from pre-conceptions.

 

Amen

 

Nice one love it

[GiantCALBears]

I also like his argument for splitting previews from Friday numbers just to provide better perspective. If you think about it the midnight showings are now heavily Thursday anyways.

[Ozymandias]

Just now, Doctor RTH gone Rouge said:

 

Nice one love it

 

70m+?

 

[DAR]

When was the most recent year Christmas fell on a Sunday?

[Rthmessiah]

had it top end 65 that was about 3 hrs ago, see if think gone up/down

[Daxtreme]

1 minute ago, Doctor RTH gone Rouge said:

 

Nice one love it

 

 

 

My summoning worked!

[CoolioD1]

Just now, DAR said:

When was the most recent year Christmas fell on a Sunday?

i wanna say 2011.

[miketheavenger]

1 minute ago, Doctor RTH gone Rouge said:

had it top end 65 that was about 3 hrs ago, see if think gone up/down

Thanks for the numbers. It's still quite early, so that can easily change.

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, Doctor RTH gone Rouge said:

had it top end 65 that was about 3 hrs ago, see if think gone up/down

Just please tell me it's still in the 60's!!! 

[GiantCALBears]

Just now, Doctor RTH gone Rouge said:

had it top end 65 that was about 3 hrs ago, see if think gone up/down

Top end $65m? So $36m Friday day? Ehhhhhhhh.

[redfirebird2008]

4 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

I really like Gitesh, I think he does good work in an industry where there can be a lack of decent perspectives.

 

He's OK most of the time, but yesterday he posted a Tweet that made it sound like a 20% drop to $46m in previews was somehow a worst case scenario. "Even if it drops 20% from TFA..."

[MovieMan89]

I think rth is saying the number has gone either up or down from his 65 estimate 3 hours ago, unless I'm misinterpreting his post.