DOCTOR STRANGE IN THE MULTIVERSE OF MADNESS | 05.06.2022 | Disney | 4th Most Profitable Movie of 2022

[Legion Again]

4 minutes ago, cookieleeann said:

I'm always on the conservative side but this will probably do something between 105-120 domestic OW which is already a good jump from the first film. 

120 would be literally awful

[XXR vs XXR]

32 minutes ago, cookieleeann said:

I'm always on the conservative side but this will probably do something between 105-120 domestic OW which is already a good jump from the first film. 

 

It'll be closer to 205-220 than 105-120. 

 

[cookieleeann]

26 minutes ago, Derby Legion said:

120 would be literally awful

Why? That's already a big jump from the 2016 movie. If it opens up to 120 & then leg it out to the mid-late 300s, I see that as a win. 

It's just a conservative guess that will probably be wrong but I don't wanna get carried away lol

[Legion Again]

4 minutes ago, cookieleeann said:

Why? That's already a big jump from the 2016 movie. If it opens up to 120 & then leg it out to the mid-late 300s, I see that as a win. 

It's just a conservative guess that will probably be wrong but I don't wanna get carried away lol

The 2016 movie ranks adjusts to like 99M, a normal marvel solo sequel should see a bump to above 120M. But this is far from a normal solo sequel, the closest comparison to the value added elements are Civil War and NWH.   
 

 

[XXR vs XXR]

8 minutes ago, Derby Legion said:

The 2016 movie ranks adjusts to like 99M, a normal marvel solo sequel should see a bump to above 120M. But this is far from a normal solo sequel, the closest comparison to the value added elements are Civil War and NWH.   
 

 

 

I'm looking for anything better than GOTG2 OW ranking (17th). So $166M+ and I won't complain. 

My ideal target, however, is over AOU in absolute dollars. 

[Caesar]

This is basically the followup to NWH so I'm going to go with a $210m OW.

[wintersoldier2021]

55 minutes ago, cookieleeann said:

Why? That's already a big jump from the 2016 movie. If it opens up to 120 & then leg it out to the mid-late 300s, I see that as a win. 

It's just a conservative guess that will probably be wrong but I don't wanna get carried away lol

The 2016 movie isn't the only thing to consider by a long shot

 

You also have to consider wandavision fans Loki fans what if fans and people who grew to like him in ragnarok and other films also literally everyone who saw no way home is going to see this film 

Edited February 18, 2022 by wintersoldier2021

[Legion Again]

5 minutes ago, wintersoldier2021 said:

literally everyone who saw no way home is going to see this film 

1.9B CONFIRMED 

[Legion Again]

But yeah, even without Wanda, Patrick Stewart, and NWH fueled cameo speculation Doctor Strange got a mega glow up in IW.

[charlie Jatinder]

Remember how 2021 shows everyone was like Dr Strange is gonna come and clear the mess made by Wanda or say Loki...

 

turn to 2022, Dr Strange is the one messing it up. 

[XXR vs XXR]

So, if you had to commit to it right now (lets assume a 5PM start and 150-160 minute run time), what are we thinking for previews? I'm leaning towards $30M right now. 

[Legion Again]

I told Jat yesterday I thought we need 32 for 200, so let’s say 33  

[Caesar]

22 minutes ago, Derby Legion said:

1.9B CONFIRMED 

Actually NWH should've been released digitally by then so probably more like 2.5B

[Mango]

It's really early obviously but thinking $155-165m opening and $370-425m domestic. International I think will see an extremely significant bump.

[Brainbug]

I think this will fall in the 170-180M OW range with 500+ DOM haul, depending on reception ofc. Cant see it opening to 200M+ just yet.

[XXR vs XXR]

33 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

I think this will fall in the 170-180M OW range with 500+ DOM haul, depending on reception ofc. Cant see it opening to 200M+ just yet.

With its release date, if it’s going over $500M DOM then it will almost certainly need $200M+ OW. It definitely won’t get there in the 170’s. Might be able to from $190M if it’s surprisingly leggy (for the release date and size) but not below that.

Edited February 18, 2022 by PenguinXXR

[Brainbug]

4 minutes ago, PenguinXXR said:

With its release date, if it’s going over $500M DOM then it will almost certainly need $200M+ OW. It definitely won’t get there in the 170’s. Might be able to from $190M if it’s surprisingly leggy (for the release date and size) but not below that.

 

Kinda disagree with that. To hit 500M off a 175M OW, it would need a 2,86 multiplier, which would be very leggy for a May-Marvel movie indeed, but it has one very important factor going for it regarding a leggy run: May is a bit of a wasteland as are the first 9 Days of June. The only other "big" action movie of the Month is Top Gun and i personally think that will stumble a bit, which is why i think DS has a shot at 500M even if the OW comes under 200M OW.

 

Btw, curious fact: Every single 200M+ Opener crossed 600M DOM.

[XXR vs XXR]

14 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

Kinda disagree with that. To hit 500M off a 175M OW, it would need a 2,86 multiplier, which would be very leggy for a May-Marvel movie indeed, but it has one very important factor going for it regarding a leggy run: May is a bit of a wasteland as are the first 9 Days of June. The only other "big" action movie of the Month is Top Gun and i personally think that will stumble a bit, which is why i think DS has a shot at 500M even if the OW comes under 200M OW.

 

Btw, curious fact: Every single 200M+ Opener crossed 600M DOM.

Fair assessment but I don’t see it breaking the mold that much, especially as MCU films get more frontloaded. 

[WittyUsername]

I’ll go with $170-180 million. 

[Eric Lasagna]