Weekend Thread: Friday Estimates (pg 6): Rings 5.6M | Split 4.75M | Hidden Figures 3.1M | Dog 2.8M | LLL 2.3M | Space Between Us 1.4M

[franfar]

I thought A Dog's Purpose would sink b/c of the (now revealed to be doctored) video. A 40-ish% drop is pretty good... 

[filmlover]

5 minutes ago, franfar said:

I thought A Dog's Purpose would sink b/c of the (now revealed to be doctored) video. A 40-ish% drop is pretty good... 

Yeah, it's actually done pretty well all things considered. Probably would've made $60M+ with ease without any controversy.

[franfar]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Yeah, it's actually done pretty well all things considered. Probably would've made $60M+ with ease without any controversy.

I'm guessing it'll finish 40-45, which is still solid

Edited February 5, 2017 by franfar

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, franfar said:

I'm guessing it'll finish 40-45, which is still solid

 

It's almost at $33m after a $10.8m w/e.    It's going to do $50m+ and might have a chance at 60m if it doesn't start shedding theaters fast.

[franfar]

10 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

It's almost at $33m after a $10.8m w/e.    It's going to do $50m+ and might have a chance at 60m if it doesn't start shedding theaters fast.

Couldn't it drop harder in its third weekend?

[babz06]

13 minutes ago, franfar said:

Couldn't it drop harder in its third weekend?

It will probably lose alot of theaters next weekend with LEGO BAtman coming ,so yeah. 

Edited February 5, 2017 by babz06

[TalismanRing]

12 minutes ago, babz06 said:

It will probably lose alot of theaters next weekend with LEGO BAtman coming ,so yeah. 

 

 There are plenty of films under it that will lose screens first - like Resident Evil, XXX, Sing & Rogue One

[That One Girl]

A Dog's Purpose's theater was like 65% full and had literally buckets of tears.  Everyone was crying.

[Mockingjay Raphael]

Split is going to finish with a 3.5x multiple, after opening with $40m, Jesus Fucking Christ! Who said that Horror movies can't have legs?

[stripe]

LOL 8 hours withiut a single post in weekend thread!

 

If not for SB, Split would have dropped around 35% in its 3rd weekend and it would already grossed 100M...

[stripe]

11 hours ago, franfar said:

I'm guessing it'll finish 40-45, which is still solid

 

Huh?

It's going to close its DOM run with near 60M. No way it only grosses 7-12M more after a 10.8M second weekend. Movies like this usually have good/strong legs, WOM is healthy, and there's VD and PD to boost gross.

[stripe]

Double post

Edited February 6, 2017 by stripe
double post

[dxmatrixdt]

11 hours ago, babz06 said:

It will probably lose alot of theaters next weekend with LEGO BAtman coming ,so yeah. 

 

11 hours ago, franfar said:

Couldn't it drop harder in its third weekend?

 

11 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

 

 There are plenty of films under it that will lose screens first - like Resident Evil, XXX, Sing & Rogue One

 

I THINK.... and correct me if i am wrong.  50 Shades is Universal Studios.   Dogs Purpose in Universal.  So is Split and Sing. 

 

There is something tnat has to do with the same studio handling distribution for many titles but i have no idea how it work. They will want to keep Split at 3000 and only loosing 90%.  Sing should loose 1,000 which will set up a 50% weekend to weekend drop.  Seems Dogs Purpose is the wild card.  Maybe loose 20% of theaters and be at 2500 weekend 3???????

 

Sony has nothing so would they keep Resident Evil at half (-1507)?  Passengers?

Edited February 6, 2017 by Matrix4You

[dxmatrixdt]

1 hour ago, stripe said:

LOL 8 hours withiut a single post in weekend thread!

 

If not for SB, Split would have dropped around 35% in its 3rd weekend and it would already grossed 100M...

Here is how the weekend would have played out, if Friday/Sunday ratios were similar to last weeks... and Rings/RE drop 40%, Space drops 30%, and Dogs Purpose has the same Friday/Sunday ratio as Rogue One.

 

Split - 16.16 (-37.0%)

Rings - 14.64

Dog - 11.90 (-34.7%)

Hidden Figures - 11.74 (-16.1%)

La La Land - 8.44 (-31.0%)

Resident Evil - 5.02 (-63.1%)

Sing - 4.40 (-31.4%)

Space - 4.34

xXx - 4.34 (-49.5%)

Lion - 4.33 (+84.3%)

Rogue One - 3.35 (-36.4%)

Monster Trucks - 2.41 (-42.3%)

Founder - 1.69 (-35.2%)

Manchester - 1.55 (-25.1%)

Moana - 1.47 (-40.7%)

Fences - 1.42 (-1.4%)

Patriots Day - 1.34 (-51.6%)

Sleepless - 1.04 (-40.6%)

Passengers - 0.95 (+4.4%)

Arrival - 0.90 (-38.8%)

[Joel M]

Arrival is at 187m WW with a 2,6m OW in South Korea. It will get the 1,5-2m it needs for the 100m mark in America but it might have to wait until the release in Japan in May to hit 200m WW. Either way a big success for Villeneuve and Adams. 

[dxmatrixdt]

6

RESIDENT EVIL: THE FINAL CHAPTER Sony / Screen Gems 3,104

$1,371,467 +91.2% / $442 $18,723,242 / 8

$2,288,773 +66.9% / $737 $21,012,015 / 9

$1,041,062 -54.5% / $335 $22,053,077 / 10

 

one of the better Sunday drops.

[janeeek1538]

4 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

6

RESIDENT EVIL: THE FINAL CHAPTER Sony / Screen Gems 3,104

$1,371,467 +91.2% / $442 $18,723,242 / 8

$2,288,773 +66.9% / $737 $21,012,015 / 9

$1,041,062 -54.5% / $335 $22,053,077 / 10

 

one of the better Sunday drops.

Great ! It went up more than 200.000 $ from estimated gross ?

[trifle]

13 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

 

 

 

 

Sony has nothing so would they keep Resident Evil at half (-1507)?  Passengers?

 

That would be nice!  It is at $292.5M WW with Japan still to come but it could use some help on the domestic front.

Edited February 6, 2017 by trifle