Wrath Posted July 2, 2017 Share Posted July 2, 2017 Its ludicrious that I seem to be better at predicting OW's before the season starts than I am the week before the actual openings, but that seems to be how it works. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 3, 2017 Author Share Posted July 3, 2017 3 hours ago, Wrath said: Its ludicrious that I seem to be better at predicting OW's before the season starts than I am the week before the actual openings, but that seems to be how it works. Imagine being in my shoes. My pre and in-season predictions are usually awful, yet hal of the questions are like bang on where the final totals land. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 3, 2017 Author Share Posted July 3, 2017 Part A: 1. Will The Mummy Open to more than $35M? 1000 NO 2. Will It Comes at Night Open to more than $10M? 2000 NO 3. Will Will Meagan Leavey open to more than $4M? 3000 NO 4. Will the three main openers combine to more than $50M? 4000 NO 5. Will My Cousin Rachel open to more than $1M? 5000 NO 6. Will Wonder Woman drop more than 55% 1000 NO 7. Will Captain Underpants drop more than 45% 2000 YES 8. Will Alien Stay above Everything Everything? 3000 YES 9. Will Snatched have a lower percentage drop than King Arthur? 4000 NO 10. Will Baywatch cross $50M by the end of the weekend? 5000 YES 11. Will the Boss Baby stay above 3 IDiotas? 1000 YES 12. Will Miles have a PTA above $3,000? 2000 NO 13. Will Pirates have a PTA above $3,250? 3000 NO 14. Will Wonder Woman's domestic total overtake Boss Baby's Domestic Total by the end of the Weekend? 4000 YES 15. Will it turn out that the Mummy was Johnny Depp in disguise all along and that we are just not aloud to have any nice things in cinema anymore? 5000 NOPE WE GOT CROWE'S ACCENT Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will The Mummy make for its 3 day OW? $31.688m 2. What will be Wonder Woman's PTA this weekend? $14,051 3. What will Wimpy Kid's Percentage drop be? 49.1% Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. UNDERPANTS 5. GOTG2 8. MEGAN LEAVEY 10. EVERYTHING 13. BOSS BABY 15. KING ARTHUR Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 3, 2017 Author Share Posted July 3, 2017 Results Name Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Total JJ99 65000 10000 75000 Water Bottle 43000 24000 4000 71000 spaghetti 45000 25000 70000 Matrix4You 43000 8000 18000 69000 Exxdee 33000 20000 10000 63000 Jake Gittes 44000 18000 62000 panda 45000 5000 10000 60000 Wrathofhan 48000 10000 58000 Kayumanggi 33000 15000 10000 58000 Telemachos 53000 4000 57000 Fancyarcher 50000 4000 54000 24lost 36000 18000 54000 damnitgeorge 50000 4000 54000 Wrath 49000 4000 53000 glassfairy 45000 4000 4000 53000 Empire 34000 18000 52000 Dark Alfred 33000 18000 51000 Chewy 45000 4000 49000 aabattery 45000 4000 49000 Siminonski 38000 10000 48000 Blankments 37000 10000 47000 Grey Ghost 34000 10000 44000 Baumer 38000 4000 42000 Darkelf 27000 10000 37000 Damienroc 25000 10000 35000 Chasmmi 30000 4000 34000 Movieman 24000 10000 34000 bcf26 25000 4000 4000 33000 Narniadis 23000 10000 33000 Kalo 18000 2000 10000 30000 That One Guy 23000 4000 27000 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted July 3, 2017 Share Posted July 3, 2017 Ouch, what a terrible week for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted July 3, 2017 Share Posted July 3, 2017 I need to get good at part three, I think my average is 2/6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted July 3, 2017 Author Share Posted July 3, 2017 Can't do more scoring today, but the weekly stuff is up, including my most beautiful SOTM to date: http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/24315-sotm-8-yall-are-gonna-love-this-its-my-most-beautiful-creation-deadline-is-thursday-july-6th-at-1159pm/ 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrath Posted July 3, 2017 Share Posted July 3, 2017 1 hour ago, chasmmi said: Can't do more scoring today, but the weekly stuff is up, including my most beautiful SOTM to date: http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/24315-sotm-8-yall-are-gonna-love-this-its-my-most-beautiful-creation-deadline-is-thursday-july-6th-at-1159pm/ It is indeed a lovely question, but I feel misled. I was expecting an accompanying picture of Emma Watson. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jj99 Posted July 3, 2017 Share Posted July 3, 2017 5 hours ago, chasmmi said: Results Name Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Total JJ99 65000 10000 75000 Water Bottle 43000 24000 4000 71000 spaghetti 45000 25000 70000 Matrix4You 43000 8000 18000 69000 Exxdee 33000 20000 10000 63000 Jake Gittes 44000 18000 62000 panda 45000 5000 10000 60000 Wrathofhan 48000 10000 58000 Kayumanggi 33000 15000 10000 58000 Telemachos 53000 4000 57000 Fancyarcher 50000 4000 54000 24lost 36000 18000 54000 damnitgeorge 50000 4000 54000 Wrath 49000 4000 53000 glassfairy 45000 4000 4000 53000 Empire 34000 18000 52000 Dark Alfred 33000 18000 51000 Chewy 45000 4000 49000 aabattery 45000 4000 49000 Siminonski 38000 10000 48000 Blankments 37000 10000 47000 Grey Ghost 34000 10000 44000 Baumer 38000 4000 42000 Darkelf 27000 10000 37000 Damienroc 25000 10000 35000 Chasmmi 30000 4000 34000 Movieman 24000 10000 34000 bcf26 25000 4000 4000 33000 Narniadis 23000 10000 33000 Kalo 18000 2000 10000 30000 That One Guy 23000 4000 27000 1st place for the first time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted July 4, 2017 Share Posted July 4, 2017 @chasmmi, point of clarification on the opening weekends: can each film appear only once? or can films appear multiple times? As it stands out, we have an interesting situation where both GOTG2 and WW could appear twice. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted July 4, 2017 Share Posted July 4, 2017 5 hours ago, Telemachos said: @chasmmi, point of clarification on the opening weekends: can each film appear only once? or can films appear multiple times? As it stands out, we have an interesting situation where both GOTG2 and WW could appear twice. Yes. Once only. Reread the first paragraph (sorry my phone won't let me copy it right now) under the weekend section and it mentions that films qualifying weekend when showing an example. So so only the highest weekend for each film counts. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted July 5, 2017 Share Posted July 5, 2017 Quote B: DOMESTIC TOP 7 WEEKENDS (READ CAREFULLY) NOTE: THIS IS NO LONGER EXCLUSIVELY OPENING WEEKENDS. This section will no longer be exclusively opening weekends but rather any weekend in general. This means that if a repeat of the American Sniper situation from Winter 2014 occurs again, the 100 million ‘3rd weekend’ or whenever it was would be that film’s qualifying weekend. A film’s weekend will always be deemed its 3 day Friday to Sunday gross (including Thursday previews). So if a film opens on a Wednesday, only the BOM reported Friday-Sunday 3 day will count as the weekend total. Strictly speaking there's nothing misleading here but I think it coulda been worded with more emphasis on the fact that only one weekend per film is allowed. I quickly took "no longer exclusively opening weekends" and "any weekend in general" to mean that all weekends qualify and I could include GOTG's 2nd weekend in my top 7. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Week 7 answers: Part A: 1. Will Rough Night Open to more than $25M? 1000 NO 2. Will All Eyez On Me Open to more than $20M? 2000 YES 3. Will Cars 3 open to more than $60M? 3000 NO 4. Will the three main openers combine to more than $100M? 4000 NO 5. Will The Book of Henry open to more than $1M? 5000 YES 6. Will Wonder Woman drop less than 45% 1000 YES 7. Will Mummy drop more than 62% 2000 NO 8. Will Baywatch Stay above Megan Leavey? 3000 NO 9. Will Guardians have a lower percentage drop than Captain Underpants? 4000 YES 10. Will Pirates have a PTA above $2000? 5000 YES 11. Will Snatched have a weekend above $200k? 1000 NO 12. Will Warriors of the dawn have a PTA above $5,000? 2000 NO 13. Will Alien have a PTA above $600? 3000 YES 14. WillFate of the Furious increase more than 100% on Friday? 4000 NO 15. Will Vin Diesel win the Piston Cup? 5000 FREE POINTS Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Cars make for its 3 day OW? $53.688m 2. What will be What will Mummy's percentage drop be this weekend? 54.2% 3. What will Wonder Woman's Domestic gross be by the end of Saturday? $260.249M Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. WONDER WOMAN 4. MUMMY 7. ROUGH NIGHT 9. GOTG2 12. BAYWATCH 15. BEATRIZ Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 week 8 answers Part A: 1. Will Transformers' 5 day opening (Wed-Sun) be higher than Pirates 3 day OW ($62.9M) gross? 1000 YES 2. Will Transformers Open to more than $50M for its 3 Day? 2000 NO 3. Will Transformers' Wed+Thursday total be more than 27.5% of the total gross by end of Sunday? 3000 YES 4. Will Transformers gross more on Friday or Saturday? 4000 SATURDAY 5. Will Transformers have a daily PTA above $4000 for every day of the weekend? 5000 NO 6. Will Cars drop less than 50% 1000 NO 7. Will Guardians drop less than 45% 2000 YES 8. Will Cars stay in the top 2? 3000 NO 9. Will The Mummy drop more than 62% 4000 NO 10. Will all Eyes on me drop more than 64%? 5000 YES 11. Will 47 Metres Down have a PTA above $2,250? 1000 YES 12. Will Rough Night drop more than 55%? 2000 NO 13. Will anything in its 2nd weekend drop less than 42%? 3000 YES 14. Will All Eyes on me cross $50M by the end of the weekend? 4000 NO 15. Will Baywatch stay above Book of Henry? 5000 NO 16. Will The Mummy stay above 47 Metres Down 1000 NO 17. Will Captain Underpants have a higher weekend percentage drop than Megan Leavey? 2000 NO 18. Will The Big Sick have a PTA above $8,000? 3000 YES 19. Will The Beguiled have a PTA above $11,000? 4000 YES 20. How many sets of dangling robot testicles will it take for both Ethan and Baumer to hate this film? 5000 FREE POINTS Bonus: 12/20 2000 13/20 4000 14/20 7000 15/20 12000 16/20 16,000 17/20 21,000 18/20 26,000 19/20 32,000 20/20 40,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Transformers make for its 5 day OW? $68.475m 2. What percentage of Transformers' 5 day gross will be made on Wed and Thurs? 34.75% 3. What will be the difference in percentage between Wonder Woman's percentage drop and The Mummy's (so if WW drops 75% and Mummy 50% the answer is 25%, order doesn't matter)? 18.6% Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. WONDER WOMAN 5. THE MUMMY 7. PIRATES 10. GOTG2 12. MEGAN LEAVEY 15. IT COMES AT NIGHT Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 Chasmmi and I discussed the prospects of me volunteering to sub-in to grade the weekly s. Week 9 should be posted in less than 1 day. Please PM me if you catch an error. I copy and pasted everyone's part #2 into excel so I am pretty confident those will always be 100% correct. Part A and C were looked over twice. You will be in good hands. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 3 hours ago, Matrix4You said: Chasmmi and I discussed the prospects of me volunteering to sub-in to grade the weekly s. Week 9 should be posted in less than 1 day. Please PM me if you catch an error. I copy and pasted everyone's part #2 into excel so I am pretty confident those will always be 100% correct. Part A and C were looked over twice. You will be in good hands. You seem to have made a terrible error on both weeks. Somehow my name is near the bottom both times -- there must be some mistake. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted July 6, 2017 Share Posted July 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Telemachos said: You seem to have made a terrible error on both weeks. Somehow my name is near the bottom both times -- there must be some mistake. 2nd to last... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted July 7, 2017 Share Posted July 7, 2017 Do we have a cumulative score yet? I'm curious to see how far I am behind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...