BLACK PANTHER | 646.8 M overseas ● 1346.9 M worldwide

[Joyous Legion]

Alright, I think some people in this thread recently have been very confused.   

 

TLJ is currently at #9. Panther+IW pushes it out of 10, to 11. Fallen Kingdom would push it to 12. It is not likely to leave the top 12 until 2019, which is very unlikely to be a “shortest time” record.

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Yeah I reckon Fallen Kingdom outgrosses TLJ. Wouldn't have predicted that 6 Months ago. 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

6 hours ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

Yeah I reckon Fallen Kingdom outgrosses TLJ. Wouldn't have predicted that 6 Months ago. 

Oh, it will. 😉

 

Since JW did better in China than SW: TFA & SW: TLJ.

 

So it won’t be that surprising if Fallen Kingdom does beat TLJ, WW-wise.

[MrSinister]

So it just crossed 676,442,109 to end week 9. That also means it passed The Jungle Book to become 32nd largest domestic release of all time adjusted for inflation. That leaves The Dark Knight at 683,XXX,XXX and thunderball at 686,XXX,XXX on its way to the top 30 and a final faceoff with avengers .

[fabiopazzo2]

On 5/5/2017 at 5:14 AM, keysersoze123 said:

less than Ant Man. There isn't an actor in this that draws OS audience.

Lol 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

On 2017-05-05 at 5:14 AM, keysersoze123 said:

less than Ant Man. There isn't an actor in this that draws OS audience.

Ouch!

 

BP at $1.3B WW now and it’s time for you to eat crow. It’s waiting for you on the dinner plate. 

[fabiopazzo2]

On 5/5/2017 at 11:07 AM, fabiopazzo2 said:

$700 M for panther 

 

On 4/2/2018 at 1:08 AM, fabiopazzo2 said:

+ $750-800M

 

Dom: 330/360M

OS: 420/450M

 

On 6/2/2018 at 11:16 PM, FantasticBeasts said:

DOM>OS

Movies targeting african americans always do disapointing numbers OS.

Bravo!! 👏🏻 

[fabiopazzo2]

 

[raulbalarezo]

Bye bye HP7 part 2? 

Edited April 22, 2018 by raulbalarezo

[Sam]

12M away from beating TLJ for #9 WW. 

 

OS should get to 645M at least. So needs about 10M or so from domestic. Gonna be bit of a slow crawl. 

 

Don’t think its chances at #8 is viable. 

[ZeeSoh]

2 hours ago, Sam said:

12M away from beating TLJ for #9 WW. 

 

OS should get to 645M at least. So needs about 10M or so from domestic. Gonna be bit of a slow crawl. 

 

Don’t think its chances at #8 is viable. 

Yeah DH2 and #8 is out of reach. It has 3 million or so left overseas and about 10 or so dom. Gonna be close with TLJ

[Fullbuster]

26 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Yeah DH2 and #8 is out of reach. It has 3 million or so left overseas and about 10 or so dom. Gonna be close with TLJ

 

It's okay, Black panther on par with The Last Jedi was so unlikely to begin with, nobody can be disappointed with these numbers.

[MrSinister]

1 hour ago, ZeeSoh said:

Yeah DH2 and #8 is out of reach. It has 3 million or so left overseas and about 10 or so dom. Gonna be close with TLJ

Are we sure about this?

It needs 17M to pass DH2. It’s been tracking above TFA  the last few weeks (since week 5 sans last week when TFA had a Monday boost due to Presidents’ Day) domestically and TFA made 15M from this point on domestically alone.

 

We still don’t know the effect releasing Infinity War will have but it could either be a leg destroyer or a leg boost since people who skipped may be more interested in Wakanda if IW is as good as advertised.

 

Of course losing theatres and releasing on dvd/blu Ray/ digital in 3 weeks won’t help and of course the force awakens dvd released April 5th, aka day 110. This is releasing day 89. TFA made 5M after day 89 so I can’t call it either way.

Edited April 22, 2018 by MrSinister
Black Panther, Black Panther! Get out my way...

[ZeeSoh]

1 hour ago, Fullbuster said:

 

It's okay, Black panther on par with The Last Jedi was so unlikely to begin with, nobody can be disappointed with these numbers.

Oh there is nothing to be disappointed of. The numbers are astounding. Absolutely no one predicted that it would do this much and out do a freaking Star Wars movie. This is a box office on that will be remembered for a long long time

[ZeeSoh]

5 minutes ago, MrSinister said:

Are we sure about this?

It needs 17M to pass DH2. It’s been tracking above TFA  the last few weeks (since week 5 sans last week when TFA had a Monday boost due to Presidents’ Day) domestically and TFA made 15M from this point on domestically alone.

 

We still don’t know the effect releasing Infinity War will have but it could either be a leg destroyer or a leg boost since people who skipped may be more interested in Wakanda if IW is as good as advertised.

 

Of course losing theatres and releasing on dvd/blu Ray/ digital in 3 weeks won’t help and of course the force awakens dvd released April 5th, aka day 110. This is releasing day 89. TFA made 5M after day 89 so I can’t call it either way.

Not impossible no. And the effect IW will have on it is an unknown factor. But the dvd  release this earlywill definitely affect legs.

 

As for TFA, though it had normal weekend drops, its weekday drops for a few weeks from this point onwards were incredible. It had week to week weekday drops in the low 20’s, low 10’s , single digits and even increase on a few days. This is where it will beat BP. 

 

For BP to make another 20 million and get to 700 it will need about 20% weekly drops from here on out which would be incredibly difficult

[Spidey Freak]

14 hours ago, Sam said:

12M away from beating TLJ for #9 WW. 

 

OS should get to 645M at least. So needs about 10M or so from domestic. Gonna be bit of a slow crawl. 

 

Don’t think its chances at #8 is viable. 

 

12 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Yeah DH2 and #8 is out of reach. It has 3 million or so left overseas and about 10 or so dom. Gonna be close with TLJ

Gitesh's numbers are off by about 4M! It has currently made near 1.324M WW. From Box Office Report:

 

Quote

To date, Black Panther has grossed $681.08 million domestically and $642.9 million internationally, for a massive global total of $1.324 billion.

So just approx 8.7M to go to beat TLJ. If it receives a bump next weekend, then it could do it right there. First few days of May at the latest.

 

DH2 is dependent wholly on how IW affects it (and whether Disney wants a last minute expansion, which unfortunately seems unlikely with the looming HV release).

Edited April 23, 2018 by Spidey Freak

[Murgatroyd]

My domestic comparison is Avengers adjusted numbers. BP is currently running about 10M behind and gradually gaining, but it won't get the sort of late boost that Avengers did with its Labor Day expansion. I predict it'll end up about 10±2M behind, for a total of 694-698M.

[Sam]

21 minutes ago, Spidey Freak said:

 

Gitesh's numbers are off by about 4M! It has currently made near 1.324M WW. From Box Office Report:

 

So just approx 8.7M to go to beat TLJ. If it receives a bump next weekend, then it could do it right there. First few days of May at the latest.

 

DH2 is dependent wholly on how IW affects it (and whether Disney wants a last minute re-release, which unfortunately seems unlikely with the looming HV release).

Even better.

 

Will easily pass TLJ then.

 

I think 17.5M more WW to get over DH2 still not very probable. Its run OS is almost done, don’t think IW can help much there, maybe in the UK but that’s about it.

 

Domestic can go either way. Spillover effect could help, but then if it loses lots of theaters, it’s moot. 

 

Still though, to think Black Panther will end WW within 70M of Ultron. That’s just nuts. 

[Joyous Legion]

Actuals are very likely to be above the estimates, at least domestically, though that's only worth another couple thousand. If it needs 17.5 more for DH2 then it seems very in reach to me. Something like 2.5 OS and 15M DOM is only a 4x multiplier from this weekend, which is generally very doable for movies with late legs like Panther.     

Ultimately a lot still rides on the reaction to IW domestically.

Edited April 23, 2018 by Sliver Legion

[Green245]

On 5/4/2017 at 11:14 PM, keysersoze123 said:

less than Ant Man. There isn't an actor in this that draws OS audience.

Sad. Just sad.