CJohn Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 (edited) The next big WW phenomenon? Will it be big OS? Are the books popular enough?I think it won't do the same as Twilight (almost 200M). But Catching Fire will definitly increase OS. Is rollout begins in March and continues in April.Discuss and have fun!Predictions:Noctis - 315MHeretic - "250m-300m is doable"Ball Lightning - $280mJuby - 260MAmerican Eagle - 255Mfiredeep - "Mid 200M"Magic - 240Miceroll - 235MFake - 200MNeo - 195MLuffy - 150MThe Hand of Illumination - 145M Edited June 18, 2012 by CJohn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 170m is too low I think.250m-300m is doable...just depends on some bigger markets but UK and Australia should put up some strong numbers at least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 "1st Twilight big," you make it seem like it's a $350m+ grosser. It did $200m, something The Hunger Games should be able to surpass. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ball Lightning Posted February 15, 2012 Share Posted February 15, 2012 I'm going for $280m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
American Eagle Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 $255M OS. It's going to be a little bigger than Twilight, IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magic Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 (edited) 240M Edited February 16, 2012 by Magic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 200M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robertron Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm thinking $60m between Australia and UK.UK: $35mAUS: $25mOther than that, I really don't know.I think Japan could do well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pinocchio Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The next big WW phenomenon? Will it be big OS? Are the books popular enough?I would like to know, too. In the USA it sold something like 23.5 mio copies max, but I didn't find anything regarding intl sales.In Germany it did never better than number 5 in the Spiegel bestseller list if I get it right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magic Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 When Twilight opened back in November 2008 the series had sold 25M copies worldwide. 20M of those copies were sold domestically and only 5M OS yet the OS gross matched the domestic gross. Just for reference. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab276 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 (edited) Japan may be a wildcard because it's quite similar to Battle Royale, and that film did pretty well, 2.5m tickets (3rd highest grossing Japanese film of the year). I assume from that that the novel was popular. It also spawned a manga that ran up to 2006 (according to wiki).I have a feeling it'll be "meh", but not an outright disaster. Edited February 16, 2012 by lab276 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pinocchio Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 (edited) @ Magic: Yes, but the hype for TW exploded in 2008, not only domestic, but overseas. Read this report from Germany:http://www.moviepilo...tschland-101534So far I don't see something similar for Hunger Games. Edited February 16, 2012 by pinocchio Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pinocchio Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 200 mio USD overseas max. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magic Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 (edited) I wouldn't say that 5M copies sold by the time the first Twilight film opened would indicate explosive interest at that point. It seems like it didn't really lift off until after the film opened. I still can't find total OS sales for THG but they probably would be in a similar ballpark by mid March. This won't be huge OS but I think it can do solid numbers. 240M-250 is attainable IMO. Edited February 16, 2012 by Magic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pinocchio Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 It's not about book sales alone. It seems TW from the beginning had a core group of diehard fans worldwide that showed huge interest in the movies, traveled hundreds of miles to see Pattison and so on. Nothing similar happened to Hunger Games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 You always seem so pessimistic pinocchio... The Hunger Games is hugely popular in English-speaking countries especially, and it'll likely catch on in many of the bigger European countries like France, Spain, Iitaly and Germany.... 200m should be easy enough to clear. The target is 250m+ imo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Mid 200M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pinocchio Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 You always seem so pessimistic pinocchio... The Hunger Games is hugely popular in English-speaking countries especially, and it'll likely catch on in many of the bigger European countries like France, Spain, Iitaly and Germany.... 200m should be easy enough to clear. The target is 250m+ imo.It's not pessimism. It's just that I didn't find any indications the books are big outside the USA. And the movie surely needs the books to push it. That's all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ball Lightning Posted February 19, 2012 Share Posted February 19, 2012 The books are massive here. It is quite literally all the everyone is talking about (excluding the select friends who are Game of Thrones fans). I was working when the trailer came on in front of This Means War and multiple different groups of girls (and some guys) were really excited. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceroll Posted February 20, 2012 Share Posted February 20, 2012 235m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...