The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TalismanRing]

7 minutes ago, dmatrixfilmdx said:

I saw Mile 22 will be getting some IMAX screens, but I have seen nothing on Alpha getting those screens after advertising advertised it as an IMAX experience.

 

 

The tracking is for a $7m opening.  IMAX theaters probably passed on giving it screens when they also still have The MEG & MI2 which will be doing more.

[WrathOfHan]

CRA is looking very light at my theater tomorrow, but that’s expected.

[filmlover]

56 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

CRA is looking very light at my theater tomorrow, but that’s expected.

The 4:00 I'm seeing on Saturday is already 1/5 full in an auditorium that seats just over 200 people (in other words, it's sure to sell out). Likely gonna be very popular in more upscale areas.

[poweranimals]

What the heck is Geetha Govindam?

 

MovieTickets.com

1. The Meg - 18.6%

2. Geetha Govindam - 17,6%

3. Mission Impossible - 9.5%

4. Christopher Robin - 9%

5. BlacKkKlansman - 6.3%

[filmlover]

Mile 22 is actually selling decently at my theater so far for the weekend. Maybe it might hit high-teens after all.

[Eric Prime]

Crazy Rich Asians (3-Day)	62	1027	6.04%
Crazy Rich Asians (5-Day)	100	1595	6.27%

 

Using the film's 5-Day against 3-Day comps (Don't know if that's a good idea, but I don't really care, so...):

125% of Game Night (21.2M)

154% of Blockers (31.6M)

64% of Life of the Party (11.4M)

111% of Book Club (15.1M)

44% of Ocean's 8 (18.2M)

27% of Mamma Mia (9.5M)

227% of Spy Who Dumped Me (27.5M)

 

Yeah, things are looking pretty soft at my theater. Don't know if it will translate to soft results, but sadly I'm not as confident in CRA breaking out like I was a week ago. 

[WrathOfHan]

On 8/7/2018 at 8:50 AM, WrathOfHan said:

Teen Titans Go! To the Movies is gone.

 

The Meg: 10 (9 2D/1 3D; XL, Biggest x0.8, and Smallest x0.2)

Slender Man: 10 (XL and Average)

Dog Days: 5 (Biggest)

 

Disney's Christopher Robin: 5 (Down 3; Average)

The Equalizer 2: 5 (Flat; Biggest x0.2 and Smallest x0.8)

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 5 (Down 3; Average x0.8 and Smallest x0.2)

The Spy Who Dumped Me: 5 (Down 2; Average)

Ant-Man and the Wasp: 3 (Down 2; Smallest x0.6)

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation: 3 (Down 2; Average x0.2 and Smallest x0.4)

The Darkest Minds: 2 (Down 3; Smallest x0.4)

Death of a Nation: 2 (Down 3; Smallest x0.4)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

  Hide contents

 

XL: 300 (two screens are this size)

Biggest: 130 (two screens are this size)

Average: 100 (four screens are this size; one has five extra seats)

Smallest: 47 (four screens are this size)

 

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp, The Darkest Minds, Death of a Nation, and Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation are gone.

 

Mile 22: 10 (XL and Biggest)

Alpha: 8 (7 2D/1 3D; XL x0.6, Average x0.8, and Smallest x0.2)

Crazy Rich Asians: 5 (Average)

 

The Meg: 7 (Down 3 and lost 3D; XL x0.4 and Biggest)

Disney's Christopher Robin: 5 (Flat; Average)

The Equalizer 2: 5 (Flat; Average x0.2 and Smallest x0.8)

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 5 (Flat; Average x0.4 and Smallest x0.6)

Slender Man: 5 (Down 5; Average x0.2 and Smallest x0.8)

Dog Days: 3 (Down 2; Average x0.2 and Smallest x0.4)

The Spy Who Dumped Me: 2 (Down 2; Smallest x0.4)

 

 

Some holds are flipping around auditorium sizes, so my math is a little wonky but I also don't care enough lol

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

Spoiler

XL: 300 (two screens are this size)

Biggest: 130 (two screens are this size)

Average: 100 (four screens are this size; one has five extra seats)

Smallest: 47 (four screens are this size)

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

On 8/7/2018 at 6:48 PM, WrathOfHan said:

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Skyscraper, and Teen Titans Go! To the Movies are gone.

 

Slender Man: 5 (Average)

Dog Days: 4 (4th Smallest)

The Meg: 4 (2 2D/2 3D; Biggest)

 

The Darkest Minds: 4 (Down 1; Smallest)

Death of a Nation: 4 (Down 1; Average)

Disney's Christopher Robin: 4 (Down 1; 2nd Biggest)

The Equalizer 2: 4 (Down 1; 3rd Smallest)

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation: 4 (Down 1; Average)

Incredibles 2: 4 (Flat; 2nd Smallest)

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: 4 (Down 1; Average)

Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 4 (Down 3 and lost 3D; Average)

The Spy Who Dumped Me: 4 (Down 1; Average)

 

Summer hours have ended, so late shows are done until the holidays.

During the weekend, The Meg and Slender Man pick up extra night shows at the expense of Incredibles and Death of a Nation.

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:  

  Hide contents

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

Death of a Nation, The Darkest Minds, and Incredibles 2 are gone.

 

Alpha: 4 (Average)

Crazy Rich Asians: 4 (2nd Biggest)

Mile 22: 4 (Biggest)

 

Disney's Christopher Robin: 4 (Flat; Average)

Dog Days: 4 (Flat; Average)

The Equalizer 2: 4 (Flat; 4th Smallest)

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation: 4 (Flat; Smallest)

The Meg: 4 (Flat and lost 3D; Average)

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: 4 (Flat; Average)

Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 4 (Flat; Average x0.5 and 3rd Smallest x0.5)

Slender Man: 4 (Down 1; Average x0.5 and 3rd Smallest x0.5)

The Spy Who Dumped Me: 4 (Flat; 2nd Smallest)

 

During the weekend, Crazy Rich Asians and Mile 22 get extra shows at the expense of Mamma Mia and Equalizer.

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:  

Spoiler

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

[TalismanRing]

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (Wed)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14,754
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117	17,226
Equalizer	1,418	2,297	6,073	11,875
Unfriended		71	240	975
MI6		*3328	13,575	27,261
Teen Titans		*462	2,125	4,526
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me	234	542	1,561	4,222
The Darkest Minds	130	244	579	1,777
Eighth Grade	494	508	720	936
Death of A Nation	148	194	375	1,239
The Meg	1,539	2,944	6,723	16,202
Slender Man	177	418	1,091	3,737
BlackkKlansman	432	682	1,934	5,017
Dog Days (Wed)	115	631	1,536	1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed)	3,651	5,742
Alpha	181	283
Mile 22	282	519
*4pm-12am

 

 

I'm not seeing high teens for Mile 22 from the Fandango pre-sales - it's at less than 1/2 of Sicario 2 and a 1/4th of EQ2

[Barnack]

6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

I'm not seeing high teens for Mile 22 from the Fandango pre-sales - it's at less than 1/2 of Sicario 2 and a 1/4th of EQ2

If it follows those movie pre-sales to OW ratio.

 

Title	Monday	Tuesday	Sales	OW	OW/sales	Mile 22
Rampage	705	1508	2213	35.75	16156	12.94
Skyscraper	586	1019	1605	24.91	15517	12.43
Blockers	504	1106	1610	20.56	12768	10.23
Meg	1539	2944	4483	45.40	10127	8.11
Equalizer	1418	2297	3715	36.01	9693	7.76
Life party	587	1310	1897	17.89	9429	7.55
Sicario	788	1282	2070	19.00	9179	7.35
A quiet place	2177	4003	6180	50.20	8123	6.51
Feel pretty	871	1610	2481	16.03	6461	5.18
Mile 22	282	519	801

Johnson movie played family / walk up heavy, making a 13m look like an optimistic prediction here.

 

That nice to see Sicario 2 and EQ 2 being so close, both R-rated action sequel, obviously same for Rampage/Skyscraper being so close.

 

Do show some possible predictive power to make from those.

[el sid]

MT now with CRA:

 

#1 Geetha Govindam 18.3%
#2 The Meg 17.3%
#3 M: I6 9.8%
#4 CR 7.5%
#5 Crazy Rich Asians 6.3%

And 5 minutes of Pulse:
Mile 22: 9/5 minutes
Alpha: 6/5 minutes

Edited August 15, 2018 by el sid

[poweranimals]

I still don't understand what Geetha Govindam is. According to Box Office Mojo, it doesn't even exist.

[Barnack]

3 minutes ago, poweranimals said:

I still don't understand what Geetha Govindam is. According to Box Office Mojo, it doesn't even exist.

Indian Telugu rom-com.

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geetha_Govindam

[TalismanRing]

Just now, poweranimals said:

I still don't understand what Geetha Govindam is. According to Box Office Mojo, it doesn't even exist.

They often don't have Foreign film releases until after they open.  It's common for them to be very pre-sale heavy and appear in the top 5 ticket sales though and it's opening today on a Wed.  It's a romantic comedy

 

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

They often don't have Foreign film releases until after they open.  It's common for them to be very pre-sale heavy and appear in the top 5 ticket sales though and it's opening today on a Wed.  It's a romantic comedy

 

That poster 😬

[grim22]

2 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

They often don't have Foreign film releases until after they open.  It's common for them to be very pre-sale heavy and appear in the top 5 ticket sales though and it's opening today on a Wed.  It's a romantic comedy

 

It's Indian Independence Day today. All the big releases this week are Wednesday releases.

[efialtes76]

MT:

1.CRA-16.6%

2.The Meg-16.1%

3.GG-12.2%

4.MI:Fallout-8.2%

5.CR-7.2%

 

[BenedictL11]

At this rate, I'd be surprised if Mile 22 opens better than American Made.

[dxmatrixdt]

Mile 22 is supposed to be made to be a franchise starter, and is going out on 3,500+ domestically.  

The director is Peter Berg (Lone Survivor, Patriots Day, Deepwater Horizon), there are no reviews, and the budget is $35 million.

[TalismanRing]

Huge sales Wed # for CA (need Friday #s to compare it to though)  . Mile 22 is looking better and Alpha seems to have benefited quite a bit from the positive reviews yesterday

 

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (Wed)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14,754
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117	17,226
Equalizer	1,418	2,297	6,073	11,875
Unfriended		71	240	975
MI6		*3328	13,575	27,261
Teen Titans		*462	2,125	4,526
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me	234	542	1,561	4,222
The Darkest Minds	130	244	579	1,777
Eighth Grade	494	508	720	936
Death of A Nation	148	194	375	1,239
The Meg	1,539	2,944	6,723	16,202
Slender Man	177	418	1,091	3,737
BlackkKlansman	432	682	1,934	5,017
Dog Days (Wed)	115	631	1,536	1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed)	3,651	5,742	20,173
Alpha	181	283	943
Mile 22	282	519	1,833
*4pm-12am

 

 

 

 

Edited August 16, 2018 by TalismanRing