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grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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I think this will be very frontloaded, but I definitely think will for sure crack the top 260M+ threshold.

 

Tracking the IMAX Screens in Canada, here is what I see for opening night (Thursday Previews):

 

Scotiabank Theatre Toronto (6:30): 412/415 --> 99%

 

Scotiabank Theatre Toronto (10:30): 403/415 --> 97%

 

Cineplex Cinemas Missisauga (6:30): 260/263 --> 98%

 

Cineplex Cinemas Missisauga (10:30): 235/263 --> 89%

 

Cineplex Cinemas Yonge-Dundas and VIP (7:00): 344/353 --> 97%

 

Cineplex Cinemas Yonge-Dundas and VIP (11:00): 310/353 --> 88%

 

Cineplex Odeon Eglinton Town Centre Cinemas (6:30): 303/341 --> 89%

 

Cineplex Odeon Eglinton Town Centre Cinemas (10:30): 310/341 --> 91%

 

Cineplex Cinemas Courtney Park (7:20): 386/392 --> 98%

 

Cineplex Cinemas Courtney Park (11:30): 361/392 -->92%

 

Cineplex Empress Walk (7:00): 329/370 --> 89%

 

Cineplex Empress Walk (11:00): 290/370 --> 78%

 

Cineplex Vaughn (6:00): 251/269 --> 93%

 

Cineplex Vaughn (10:00): 240/269 --> 89%

 

Cineplex Cinemas Winston Churchill (6:30): 378/424 --> 89%

 

Cineplex Cinemas Winston Churchill (10:30): 376/424 --> 89%

 

So with that being said the average IMAX theater is 92% and it's been like this since last week.

 

I look forward to continuing to tracking this...

 

As of now I'm thinking 61M for Thursday night

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2019-04-10 11:00:00	998	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	333	Shazam!
2019-04-10 11:00:00	185	Captain Marvel (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	184	Pet Sematary (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	162	Avengers Endgame 3D (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	123	Little (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	121	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
2019-04-10 11:00:00	118	Hellboy (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	114	Us (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	107	Dumbo (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	106	Avengers Endgame The IMAX 2D Experience (2019)
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1 minute ago, CoolEric258 said:

2019-04-10 11:00:00	998	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	333	Shazam!
2019-04-10 11:00:00	185	Captain Marvel (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	184	Pet Sematary (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	162	Avengers Endgame 3D (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	123	Little (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	121	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
2019-04-10 11:00:00	118	Hellboy (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	114	Us (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	107	Dumbo (2019)
2019-04-10 11:00:00	106	Avengers Endgame The IMAX 2D Experience (2019)

Pika Pika is barely selling more than Hellboy, it’s going to be a megaflop confirmed 

/s

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Updated my table with estimates for the first two days of Fandango Pulse Numbers based on the Fandango AEG:AIW 5:1 comment. Obviously we now know these aren't total tickets sold but still useful for day-by-day comparisons.

 

 

AIW Date Days to Open AIW Tickets AEG Date AEG Tickets AEG/AIW Notes
3/16/2018 41 29,410        
3/17/2018 40 16,237        
3/18/2018 39 10,631        
3/19/2018 38 14,574        
3/20/2018 37 9,366        
3/21/2018 36 8,281        
3/22/2018 35 6,101        
3/23/2018 34 3,753        
3/24/2018 33 2,426        
3/25/2018 32 3,655        
3/26/2018 31 5,191        
3/27/2018 30 4,647        
3/28/2018 29 4,241        
3/29/2018 28 3,060        
3/30/2018 27 2,134        
3/31/2018 26 2,471        
4/1/2018 25 3,662        
4/2/2018 24 7,257        
4/3/2018 23 6,866 4/2/2019 330,000   Pulse down entire day*
4/4/2018 22 7,917 4/3/2019 40,000   Pulse down until around 7pm CST**
4/5/2018 21 5,692 4/4/2019 30,292 5.3  
4/6/2018 20 3,618 4/5/2019 17,428 4.8  
4/7/2018 19 3,383 4/6/2019 11,697 3.5  
4/8/2018 18 6,363 4/7/2019 16,137 2.5  
4/9/2018 17 10,828 4/8/2019 28,219 2.6  
4/10/2018 16 8,670 4/9/2019 24,701 2.8  
4/11/2018 15 13,960        
4/12/2018 14 13,332        
4/13/2018 13 7,614        
4/14/2018 12 5,602        
4/15/2018 11 9,314        
4/16/2018 10 18,403        
4/17/2018 9 19,431        
4/18/2018 8 23,790        
4/19/2018 7 18,788        
4/20/2018 6 14,281        
4/21/2018 5 12,368        
4/22/2018 4 27,180        
4/23/2018 3 48,861        
4/24/2018 2 55,376        
4/25/2018 1 68,137        
4/26/2018 0 76,734        
* Estimate based on using Fandango Comment that AEG outsold AIW 5:1 in first week  
**Estimate based on the fact we had about 1/4th of the days data    
           
           
           
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Pulse today 8:50-9:04 EST:

Little: 36/15 – yesterday 7/15, a nice increase; Nobody's Fool (13.7M OW) had 30/15; What Men Want (18.2M OW) 44/15 both same day and time of the day and Isn't It Romantic (14.2M OW) had 13/15 two days before the release (on Wednesday)
Hellboy: 29/15 – yesterday at that time it were 12/15; hard for me to find comparisons here, Overlord (10.2M OW) had 27/15 at the same time but on Thursday, Hunter Killer (6.7M OW) had 12/15 same day and time of the day
After: 18/15 – yesterday 7/15; Five Feet Apart (13.2M OW) had 23/15 on Thursday, Isn't It Romantic as mentioned 13/15
Missing Link: 5/15 – yesterday 1/15; unfortunately I didn't count Smallfoot already back then but Wonder Park (15.9M OW) had 24/15, HtTYD (55.0M OW) 100/15, The Lego Movie2 (34.1M OW) 120/15 all same day and time of the day

Avengers: Endgame from Monday on...
 

And Pulse 10:50-11:04 EST (two films decreased, two only ca. flat at the second counting - strange):
 

Hellboy: 28/15; Overlord had 50/15 on Thursday, Hunter Killer had 19/15 same day and time of the day → at the first counting it didn't look bad for Hellboy but now I continue to worry
Little: 32/15; Nobody's Fool had 27/15, What Men Want 56/15, Isn't It Romantic 20/15 → still ok
After: 21/15 – Five Feet Apart had 48/15 on Thursday, again Isn't It Romantic 20/15 → not bad, at the moment it seems that these 4M OW predictions are (way) too low
Missing Link: 9/15; HtTYD had 134/15, The Lego Movie2 113/15 both same day and time of the day → so far it's just sad

The Curse of La Llorona: 4/15 – first day it improved

Edited by el sid
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