The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Tinalera]

15 hours ago, Menor said:

Nah, it's Premium Dynamite Format. At any on-screen explosion, the seat blows up too. 

We all laugh but you gotta think someone over in one of the Theatre chains is seeing this comment and thinking

 

"....ya know.....that's an idea!"

[Reed121]

4 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-0	Ghostbusters	Jacksonville	7	68	10,563	563	130	5.33%
		Phoenix	7	41	6,665	711	154	10.67%
		Raleigh	8	37	4,934	518	107	10.50%
	Ghostbusters Total		22	146	22,162	1,792	391	8.09%
	House of Gucci (11/18)	Jacksonville	2	2	110	60	60	54.55%
		Phoenix	2	2	189	82	82	43.39%
		Raleigh	2	2	157	48	48	30.57%
	House of Gucci (11/18) Total		6	6	456	190	190	41.67%
T-1	King Richard (Friday)	Jacksonville	6	40	6,298	116	31	1.84%
		Phoenix	7	26	3,651	87	32	2.38%
		Raleigh	8	51	5,464	130	62	2.38%
	King Richard (Friday) Total		21	117	15,413	333	125	2.16%
T-5	Encanto (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	27	3,776	26	5	0.69%
		Phoenix	7	27	2,943	31	8	1.05%
		Raleigh	8	14	1,438	52	14	3.62%
	Encanto (Tue) Total		21	68	8,157	109	27	1.34%
	House of Gucci (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	14	2,410	38	4	1.58%
		Phoenix	7	10	1,160	55	30	4.74%
		Raleigh	7	7	865	44	11	5.09%
	House of Gucci (Tue) Total		20	31	4,435	137	45	3.09%
	Resident Evil (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	24	2,629	24	5	0.91%
		Phoenix	7	21	2,280	27	12	1.18%
		Raleigh	7	15	1,454	22	3	1.51%
	Resident Evil (Tue) Total		20	60	6,363	73	20	1.15%
T-9	Sing 2 (11/27)	Jacksonville	3	3	295	56	8	18.98%
		Phoenix	5	5	764	82	1	10.73%
		Raleigh	5	5	639	157	6	24.57%
	Sing 2 (11/27) Total		13	13	1,698	295	15	17.37%

 

Ghostbusters comps

TSS - 1.414x (5.8m)

NTTD - .797x (4.143m)

Dune - .81x (4.13m)

F9 - .5862x (4.162m)

 

Well, the comps are definitely converging now.  I'd be crazy to guess anything but 4.15m for true Thursday previews.  Using data from others for the Wed shows, I think 4.5m is very likely the full preview number

 

King Richard comps

Stillwater - 7.085x (1.98m)

Respect - 3.171x (2.06m)

Reminiscence - 4.56x (3.1m)

 

I'll drop my KR Friday prediction to 2.5m.  

 

Gucci early shows comps

Respect early shows - .6x (not reported?)

Evan Hansen early shows - 2.57x (not reported?)

 

House of Gucci comps

Stillwater - 2.85x (799k)

Respect - 2.854x (1.86m)

Evan Hansen - 2.17x (1.74m)

 

Encanto comps

Boss Baby 2 - 2.27x (2.97m)

Paw Patrol - .517x (2.34m)

 

Resident Evil comps

Candyman - .695x (1.32m)

Hello everybody. Love reading this site. I’ve been following the tracking you guys do. Great stuff. 
Can you explain to me why you are predicting only a 2.5m Friday for King Richard if it has sold 3.171 times as many tickets as Respect in those locations. What am I missing?

[katnisscinnaplex]

4 minutes ago, Reed121 said:

Hello everybody. Love reading this site. I’ve been following the tracking you guys do. Great stuff. 
Can you explain to me why you are predicting only a 2.5m Friday for King Richard if it has sold 3.171 times as many tickets as Respect in those locations. What am I missing?

Hello and welcome!  I normally only track sales for previews, so movies without previews don't really lend themselves to comparisons to movies that had previews.  That being said, I still like to compare the opening Friday presales to preview sales from other movies in the same demo/following similar sales patterns.  In the case of King Richard, it's a comparison back to Respect's previews instead of to its Friday.  

 

This being said, I've also noted that Respect had early Fandango showings that were likely rolled into either the preview number or the full weekend number; that's another strike against using the comp that I'm just choosing to overlook for now.

[Tinalera]

Ghostbusters Afterlife

Toronto Ontario

Friday Nov 19 (taken Nov 18)

13 theatres

118 shows

 

Total Sold 756

Total Remaining 16787

Total seats 17543

Percentage 4.31

 

 

 

[Porthos]

17 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-1 Day and Counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	0	192	22169	24249	2080	8.58%

 

Total Showings Added Today	14
Total Seats Added Today	1145
Total Seats Sold Today	570

 

T-1 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold Day T-1	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
TSS	154.88		281	1343		0/107	15221/16564	8.11%		6.35m
SC	49.86		893	4172		0/188	20813/24985	16.70%		4.39m
V2	40.57		1372	5127		0/244	22009/33136	15.47%		4.71m
NTTD	74.66		556	2786		0/178	21932/24718	11.27%		4.63m

 

T-1 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-1	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9	67.37		439	2899		0/168	17632/20531	14.12%		5.01m
GA (adj)	---		536	1953		0/170	19375/21328	9.16%		---

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: GA (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in F9's track.

 

Regal:     491/7516 [6.53% sold] [+150 tickets]

Matinee:   95/2173 [4.37% | 4.57% of all tickets sold]

 

G:A EARLY ACCESS FINAL NUMBERS:     221/393 [56.23% sold] [+99 tickets] [2 showings]

NTTD EARLY ACCESS FINAL NUMBERS:  558/978 [57.06% sold] [+104 tickets] [4 showings]

G:A/NTTD EA RATIO: 39.61% ≈ 400k

NOTE: G:A EA final numbers ARE included in the totals given at the top of this post.  This is simply a breakdown of the EA shows that were screened today for those interested in the information.

 

================

 

A great day no matter how it's sliced for this type of movie.  Nearly matched No Time To Die in EA tickets sold and surpassed it in overall sales.

 

Does have a few more showtimes, it should be noted.  Still, no sign of slowing down.  If anything, it's accelerating on NTTD.

 

Mind, both NTTD and TSS are weak comps due to the adult-skewing nature of those films, as I would guess G:A is gonna be FAR more family friendly than those films, especially TSS.  On the other hand, the F9 comp is noted in that it outsold it by quite a bit today.

 

Do wonder how 4pm previews + 2hr film will affect the IM when it comes to burning off demand, but that's a battle for the Weekend Thread to hash out and not Yours Truly. 

 

So it's set itself up quite nicely.  Now we see how walkups are tomorrow and just where this might land.

 

 

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (MID-DAY REPORT) [12:00pm - 12:45pm]

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	0	192	21771	24264*	2493	10.24%

* One theater shifted a showing to a different auditorium resulting in a net addition of 15 seats available in the region.

 

Total Seats Sold Last Night

413

 

T-0 (Mid-Day) Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-0 [Mid-Day]	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
TSS [12:15-12:45]	149.28		327	1670		0/111	15173/16843	8.11%		6.12m
SC [12:00-12:55]	51.87		634	4806		0/192	20644/25450	18.88%		4.56m
V2 [12:00-12:50]	39.30		1216	6343		0/247	27313/33656	18.85%		4.56m
NTTD [12-12:35]	80.71		303	3089		0/178	21629/24718	12.50%		5.00m

 

T-0 (Mid-Day) Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-0 [Mid-Day]	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9 [12:00-12:45]	68.02		491	3390		0/170	17331/20721	16.36%		5.06m
GA (adj)	---		353	2306		0/170	19002/21328	10.81%		---

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: GA (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in F9's track.

 

Regal:     573/7516 [7.62% sold] [+82 tickets]

Matinee: 145/2173 [6.67% | 5.82% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Strong start to the day in Sacto.  If it keeps up, looking somewhere in the 4.5m-5m range (safe to say, the TSS comp can be ignored).

 

Cinemark Roseville, which replaced Century Roseville, is performing at a slightly better clip for G:A than Century Roseville did for NTTD, which is lifting the totals a bit.  But not so much as to throw the comps completely out of whack.  Am going to account for it though at final report.

 

PLF percentage is somewhat hefty at 48.7%, which is more or less where NTTD was at its mid-day (50.6%).  Not as hefty as Dune's though which was at 58% or so.  Still, is more than recent CBMs locally, which were sub 40% at mid-day, so something else to keep in mind when it comes to the final comp.  And, of course, Matinee pricing.

 

All in all, a good start.  See if walkups continue to beat NTTD's walkups and continue to perform at around 2/3rds of F9's walkups. 

Edited November 19, 2021 by Porthos

[Felipe]

 

[katnisscinnaplex]

5 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-0	Ghostbusters	Jacksonville	7	68	10,563	563	130	5.33%
		Phoenix	7	41	6,665	711	154	10.67%
		Raleigh	8	37	4,934	518	107	10.50%
	Ghostbusters Total		22	146	22,162	1,792	391	8.09%

 

Ghostbusters comps

TSS - 1.414x (5.8m)

NTTD - .797x (4.143m)

Dune - .81x (4.13m)

F9 - .5862x (4.162m)

 

Well, the comps are definitely converging now.  I'd be crazy to guess anything but 4.15m for true Thursday previews.  Using data from others for the Wed shows, I think 4.5m is very likely the full preview number

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
Late	Ghostbusters	Jacksonville	7	69	10,952	821	258	7.50%
		Phoenix	7	41	6,665	885	174	13.28%
		Raleigh	8	38	4,991	678	160	13.58%
	Ghostbusters Total		22	148	22,608	2,384	592	10.54%

 

Didn't remember to pull this until 4pm shows were starting, so it wouldn't be as accurate to compare to my T-1 hour comps.  On top of that, daylight savings would affect my late pulls since Phoenix does not observe it.  Regardless, here are where the comps would be just to confuse those who don't read the text and only look at the numbers:

 

Ghostbusters late comps

TSS - 1.217x (4.99m)

NTTD - .873x (4.54m)

Dune - .867x (4.42m)

F9 - .621x (4.41m)

 

If we had seen these same numbers an hour earlier I would bump my prediction to 4.5m true preview, 4.8m with Wednesday.  Sticking with my original prediction from this morning though.

[Reed121]

1 hour ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Hello and welcome!  I normally only track sales for previews, so movies without previews don't really lend themselves to comparisons to movies that had previews.  That being said, I still like to compare the opening Friday presales to preview sales from other movies in the same demo/following similar sales patterns.  In the case of King Richard, it's a comparison back to Respect's previews instead of to its Friday.  

 

This being said, I've also noted that Respect had early Fandango showings that were likely rolled into either the preview number or the full weekend number; that's another strike against using the comp that I'm just choosing to overlook for now.

I understand thanks. Your numbers for Spencer and Belfast were for Thursday  previews not Friday? They had Thursday previews but King Richard doesn’t have Thursday previews?

[Tinalera]

Okay, so because i seem to enjoy pain-Im using Gucci as a test run, Im going to try tracking 26 theatres in the GTA (I am leaving out Richmond hill as I seem to recall a  a lady/gent on here was doing tracking for area). If Im stepping on any toes, let me know! This tracking will include toronto, Scarborough, Vaughn, Oakville, Newmarket, Aurora, Ajax. 

 

Im trying this with Gucci to see if I can bare to do this when those Dec films come slamming in. 

 

And without further ado:

 

House Of Gucci-

Greater Toronto Area

Wed Nov 24 (taken Nov 18)

 

25 theatres (Yorkdale apparently having issues with a poweroutage so no count there)

92 shows 

Total sold 894

Total Remaining 21817

Total seats 22711

percentage 3.94

 

 

Please note should this be "successful" for me as far as counts, because of sheer number of when we are doing all those movies in Dec, I will probably do one Movie a day and alternate-Doing GTA for 4 shows at one time might be a bit much for me..ha.....hahah

 

Edited November 18, 2021 by Tinalera

[katnisscinnaplex]

1 minute ago, Reed121 said:

I understand thanks. Your numbers for Spencer and Belfast were for Thursday  previews not Friday? They had Thursday previews but King Richard doesn’t have Thursday previews?

Yep, that's correct.  I try to put the (day) after the movie if the counts aren't for normal Thursday previews but sometimes I forget.

[Joyous Legion]

4 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

here are where the comps would be just to confuse those who don't read the text and only look at the numbers:

 

[katnisscinnaplex]

5 minutes ago, Eternal Legion said:

Shhh don't point it out!

[Felipe]

 

[von Kenni]

BO Pro projects $44m for GA

 

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-ghostbusters-afterlife-and-king-richard/

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Encanto Tuesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

9

728

1.24%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

11

538

2.04%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 18 HOURS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
82	23	6814	1.20%	15	45

 

AMCs sold	47
Cinemarks sold	22
Regals sold	10
Harkins sold	3

 

Jungle Cruise comp: 1.22M

Encanto Tuesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

13

728

1.79%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

12

538

2.23%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
101	19	6814	1.48%	15	45

 

AMCs sold	62
Cinemarks sold	22
Regals sold	13
Harkins sold	4

 

Free Guy comp: 1.26M

Jungle Cruise comp: 1.41M

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Encanto Megaplex

 

T-6 days Tuesday(34 showings):  71(+24)/8803 in 14 theaters

 

T-7 days Wednesday(97 showings): 325(+103)/29585(+82) in 14 theaters

 

T-8 days Thursday(99 showings): 3321(+798)/30605(+1056) in 14 theaters

 

T-9 days Friday(95 showings): 953(+216)/29933(+82) in 14 theaters

 

T-10 days Saturday(94 showings): 234(+75)/29854 in 14 theaters

 

Numbers are still doing great. Don't think I've ever gone to the movies on Thanksgiving, but apparently that's a popular thing to do here with families.

Encanto Megaplex

 

T-5 days Tuesday(35 showings):  110(+39)/8973(+170) in 15 theaters

 

T-6 days Wednesday(101 showings): 548(+196)/30241(+656) in 15 theaters

 

T-7 days Thursday(104 showings): 4511(+1190)/31555(+950) in 15 theaters

 

T-8 days Friday(100 showings): 1338(+385)/30883(+950) in 15 theaters

 

T-9 days Saturday(94 showings): 345(+111)/29854 in 14 theaters

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Encanto Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-6 days Tuesday(43 showings): 198(+36)/6088

 

T-7 days Wednesday(80 showings): 401(+156)/11463

 

T-8 days Thursday(88 showings): 218(+80)/12469

 

T-9 days Friday(66 showings): 368(+90)/8736

 

T-10 days Saturday(73 showings): 133(+30)/9461(+762)

Encanto Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-5 days Tuesday(44 showings): 260(+62)/6289(+201)

 

T-6 days Wednesday(85 showings): 489(+88)/12231(+768)

 

T-7 days Thursday(93 showings): 311(+93)/13237(+768)

 

T-8 days Friday(71 showings): 457(+89)/9504(+768)

 

T-9 days Saturday(77 showings): 198(+65)/10144(+683)

[Ronin46]

Are they giving parents a free bitcoin for taking there kids to the Thursday showing of Encanto?

Edited November 18, 2021 by Ronin46

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

233

1978

11.78%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

195

2280

8.55%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1046	140	19500	5.36%	15	111

 

Showings added: 17

Seats added: 1329

 

AMCs sold	741
Cinemarks sold	151
Regals sold	107
Harkins sold	47

 

NTTD comp: 3.25M

F9 comp: 4.83M

 

I should've been more specific previously, but I was using Wed+Thurs for the comps before today. So the F9 comp is taking the biggest hit. FWIW, comparing Thurs to F9 for yesterday would be 5.13M. So not as big of a drop as it seems. NTTD also had Wed showings of course, so I'm using 5.23M for the straight Thurs comp.

Ghostbusters Afterlife Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

327

1978

16.53%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

290

2280

12.72%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1685	639	19779	8.52%	15	114

 

Showings added: 3

Seats added: 279

AMCs sold	1072
Cinemarks sold	286
Regals sold	207
Harkins sold	120

 

Wednesday: 

Total

334

786

 

NTTD comp: 4.29M

Free Guy comp: 4.15M

Suicide Squad comp: 4.19M

F9 comp: 4.99M

 

These comps are all Wed+Thurs numbers. Weaker finish than I had hoped for, but still pretty good. F9 was counted an hour early, hence the inflated comp, though I think it'd still be the highest one on here. I'll go with 4.35M

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Megaplex

 

T-1 days Thursday(72 showings): 918(+160)/23059(+160) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 2.35M

F9 comp: 4.50M

 

T-2 days Friday(179 showings): 1590(+407)/50673 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 6.62M

F9 comp: 16.00M

 

T-3 days Saturday(184 showings): 1384(+203)/52072 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 10.26M

 

T-4 days Sunday(150 showings): 300(+107)/43876 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 8.68M

 

Keep in mind that yesterday's numbers were over 2 days, so all but Saturday had an increase in pace. And the straight Thurs F9 comp for yesterday would've been 4.57M, barely a decrease.

Ghostbusters Afterlife Megaplex

 

Wednesday: 481/2144

T-0 days Thursday(77 showings): 1643(+725)/23798(+739) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 3.29M

Free Guy comp: 3.94M

Shang-Chi comp: 4.39M

 

T-1 days Friday(180 showings): 2188(+598)/50772(+99) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 6.95M

 

T-2 days Saturday(184 showings): 1690(+306)/52072 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 10.04M

 

T-3 days Sunday(150 showings): 441(+141)/43876 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 10.19M

 

Don't have that great of comps here, just checked SC for the heck of it and it seems decent. Also 4.4M for the SC comp in Denver, so why not.