The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Inceptionzq]

7 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Drafthouse

 

T-1 days Friday(281 showings): 5991(+1184)/38127

Ghostbusters Afterlife Drafthouse Friday(282 showings)

 

7026(+1036)/38250(+123)

 

Eternals comp: 12.56M

 

Not a good comp, but hey, no way it'll crater like Eternals did. So I guess this is a worst case scenario comp.

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Previews Final

MTC1 - 79423/465102 1260371.31 2451 shows

MTC2 - 70748/499842 896525.76 3486 shows

 

Good final day at MTC2. Thinking 4.8m previews including early wednesday shows yesterday. Thinking low teens friday minus previews and that should be sufficient for OW > 40m. I will post OD PS tomorrow morning. 

Seems 4.25 to me. MTC 2 overindex.

[Legion Again]

8 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Seems 4.25 to me. MTC 2 overindex.

4.25 true Th? Might not be too far from 4.8 wed+Th 

[charlie Jatinder]

18 minutes ago, Eternal Legion said:

4.25 true Th? Might not be too far from 4.8 wed+Th 

ohh. didn't realise Keyser meant that. Then 4.5 I think. 4.15 + 0.35.

[Krissykins]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Previews Final

MTC1 - 79423/465102 1260371.31 2451 shows

MTC2 - 70748/499842 896525.76 3486 shows

 

Good final day at MTC2. Thinking 4.8m previews including early wednesday shows yesterday. Thinking low teens friday minus previews and that should be sufficient for OW > 40m. I will post OD PS tomorrow morning. 

Ooh it could be close to see if it beats the 2016 film or not. 

[riveredge]

Any updates on House of Gucci?

[Legion Again]

4 minutes ago, riveredge said:

Any updates on House of Gucci?

It’s still a little early. Right now kantmiss is the only one tracking it iirc, and their numbers suggest previews something like 1.2-1.8 in my eyes for a 3day of 10-18ish if I had to guess. Boxofficepro’s most recent update (7days ago) had it at 8-13 for the 3 day. 

[JediJones]

Here's a little comparison of my theater's IMAX sales for GB2016 vs. Afterlife so far. This is King of Prussia, PA. The gulf is pretty staggering...35 tickets then, 209 tickets now. Granted a couple more showings included for Afterlife, but even without those the difference is huge. I included screenshots, including ones I took 5 years ago.

 

This theater is also one of 20 running the Fan Event on Friday night, so that may have shifted some sales away from Wednesday and Thursday to Friday. They've sold 83 tickets for the Fan Event so far.

 

Obviously the 33% jump in preview dollars for Afterlife over GB2016 wasn't as dramatic as these numbers show. I don't know how to explain that, other than this theater being an outlier, or many more people opting for IMAX over basic tickets this time.

 

GB2016 Thu 7:30 PM (27 sold): https://i.ibb.co/q0Cdmtd/Ghostbusters2016-Thursday730.jpg

GB2016 Thu 10 PM (8 sold): https://i.ibb.co/bg2g5cb/Ghostbusters2016-Thursday1030.jpg

 

Afterlife Wed 7 PM (77 sold): https://i.ibb.co/hysw8KK/GBAfterlife-IMAXEarly-Access-Wednesday-King-Of-Prussia20211117.png

Afterlife Thu 4PM (21 sold): https://i.ibb.co/zQDMkhd/GBAfterlife-IMAXThursday4-PMKing-Of-Prussia20211118.png

Afterlife Thu 7PM (80 sold): https://i.ibb.co/jMthq12/GBAfterlife-IMAXThursday7-PMKing-Of-Prussia20211118.png

Afterlife Thu 10PM (31 sold): https://i.ibb.co/VvTpp48/GBAfterlife-IMAXThursday10-PMKing-Of-Prussia20211118.png

[Krissykins]

2 hours ago, Eternal Legion said:

It’s still a little early. Right now kantmiss is the only one tracking it iirc, and their numbers suggest previews something like 1.2-1.8 in my eyes for a 3day of 10-18ish if I had to guess. Boxofficepro’s most recent update (7days ago) had it at 8-13 for the 3 day. 

$13m would be great. 
 

Edit; they have Ghostbusters at $40-60m 3 day, so maybe $8-10m would be more reasonable for the 3 day. 

Edited November 19, 2021 by Krissykins

[JediJones]

$40-60 is just not a prediction. Why not predict $20-80? These people need to pick a horse.

[Legion Again]

16 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

$13m would be great. 
 

Edit; they have Ghostbusters at $40-60m 3 day, so maybe $8-10m would be more reasonable for the 3 day. 

I have no idea what the edit is supposed to mean.

[Deep Wang]

29 minutes ago, JediJones said:

$40-60 is just not a prediction. Why not predict $20-80? These people need to pick a horse.

 

They have a range and then a forecast, all you gotta do is look and see.

 

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-ghostbusters-afterlife-and-king-richard/

[JediJones]

Oh, got it. Nevermind!

[Deep Wang]

7 minutes ago, JediJones said:

Oh, got it. Nevermind!

 

No worries!

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-1	King Richard (Friday)	Jacksonville	6	40	6,298	116	31	1.84%
		Phoenix	7	26	3,651	87	32	2.38%
		Raleigh	8	51	5,464	130	62	2.38%
	King Richard (Friday) Total		21	117	15,413	333	125	2.16%
T-5	Encanto (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	27	3,776	26	5	0.69%
		Phoenix	7	27	2,943	31	8	1.05%
		Raleigh	8	14	1,438	52	14	3.62%
	Encanto (Tue) Total		21	68	8,157	109	27	1.34%
	House of Gucci (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	14	2,410	38	4	1.58%
		Phoenix	7	10	1,160	55	30	4.74%
		Raleigh	7	7	865	44	11	5.09%
	House of Gucci (Tue) Total		20	31	4,435	137	45	3.09%
	Resident Evil (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	24	2,629	24	5	0.91%
		Phoenix	7	21	2,280	27	12	1.18%
		Raleigh	7	15	1,454	22	3	1.51%
	Resident Evil (Tue) Total		20	60	6,363	73	20	1.15%
T-9	Sing 2 (11/27)	Jacksonville	3	3	295	56	8	18.98%
		Phoenix	5	5	764	82	1	10.73%
		Raleigh	5	5	639	157	6	24.57%
	Sing 2 (11/27) Total		13	13	1,698	295	15	17.37%

 

King Richard comps

Stillwater - 7.085x (1.98m)

Respect - 3.171x (2.06m)

Reminiscence - 4.56x (3.1m)

 

I'll drop my KR Friday prediction to 2.5m.  

 

Gucci early shows comps

Respect early shows - .6x (not reported?)

Evan Hansen early shows - 2.57x (not reported?)

 

House of Gucci comps

Stillwater - 2.85x (799k)

Respect - 2.854x (1.86m)

Evan Hansen - 2.17x (1.74m)

 

Encanto comps

Boss Baby 2 - 2.27x (2.97m)

Paw Patrol - .517x (2.34m)

 

Resident Evil comps

Candyman - .695x (1.32m)

Day	Movie	Area	Theaters	Shows	Total Seats	Total Sold	New Sales	% Sold
T-0	King Richard (Friday)	Jacksonville	6	46	6,650	187	71	2.81%
		Phoenix	7	26	3,651	171	84	4.68%
		Raleigh	8	51	5,464	267	137	4.89%
	King Richard (Friday) Total		21	123	15,765	625	292	3.96%
T-4	Encanto (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	27	3,776	42	16	1.11%
		Phoenix	7	27	2,943	45	14	1.53%
		Raleigh	8	15	1,486	75	23	5.05%
	Encanto (Tue) Total		21	69	8,205	162	53	1.97%
	House of Gucci (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	14	2,410	42	4	1.74%
		Phoenix	7	10	1,160	75	20	6.47%
		Raleigh	7	7	865	55	11	6.36%
	House of Gucci (Tue) Total		20	31	4,435	172	35	3.88%
	Resident Evil (Tue)	Jacksonville	6	24	2,629	37	13	1.41%
		Phoenix	7	21	2,280	39	12	1.71%
		Raleigh	7	15	1,454	25	3	1.72%
	Resident Evil (Tue) Total		20	60	6,363	101	28	1.59%
T-8	Sing 2 (11/27)	Jacksonville	3	3	295	62	6	21.02%
		Phoenix	5	5	764	82	0	10.73%
		Raleigh	5	5	639	159	2	24.88%
	Sing 2 (11/27) Total		13	13	1,698	303	8	17.84%

 

King Richard comps

Stillwater - 9.33x (2.61m)

Respect - 4.167x (2.71m)

Reminiscence - 4.735x (3.22m)

 

Pretty solid day of sales for King Richard.   Final prediction will be 2.75m Friday  

 

House of Gucci comps

Stillwater - 3.245x (909k)

Respect - 3.245x (2.11m)

Evan Hansen - 2.36x (1.88m)

 

Encanto comps

Boss Baby 2 - 2.22x (2.91m)

Paw Patrol - .621x (2.81m)

 

Resident Evil comp

Candyman - .795x (1.51m)

 

*House of Gucci and Resident Evil both have early access screenings - these predictions do not include those

[Tinalera]

Ran out of likes so couldn't be giving my usual amount :(. Maybe its time to invest in one of those little handy monthly subscriptions

[Memorium]

Why does it seem that Gucci might outperform Encanto? 

[charlie Jatinder]

Hmm. Getting a preview right. @Menor is the only loser left now.

 

Well he and @Cap

 

 

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 11/12/2021 at 11:27 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

US showtime sample 11/12 weekend

 

Movie	Theaters	Shows	Change	Standard	PLF	IMAX	3D	Dolby	D-Box	XD	RPX
Eternals	3,321	87,384	-26.32%	73,961	13,423	3,554	3,826	2,102	929	1,928	1,084
Clifford	3,134	59,856		59,459	397	0	0	249	148	0	0
Venom 2	2,283	26,811	2.03%	26,657	154	0	29	100	10	0	15
Dune	2,748	26,456	-8.31%	26,330	126	0	37	80	9	0	0
No Time to Die	2,370	22,701	-0.93%	22,612	89	0	0	80	0	0	9
Ron's Gone Wrong	1,999	18,352	-0.03%	18,264	88	0	30	58	0	0	0
Halloween Kills	1,751	13,975	-53.37%	13,938	37	0	0	37	0	0	0
Antlers	1,642	12,629	-52.59%	12,602	27	0	0	27	0	0	0
Spencer	1,077	12,255	5.84%	12,255	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
French Dispatch	1,056	11,060	-8.76%	11,060	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Addams Family 2	1,138	9,472	-21.84%	9,436	36	0	0	36	0	0	0
My Hero Academia	1,007	8,617	-40.97%	8,595	22	0	0	22	0	0	0
Belfast	516	7,577		7,576	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
Red Notice	681	7,533	-12.96%	7,514	19	0	0	19	0	0	0
Last Night in Soho	1,123	6,821	-67.52%	6,821	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C.S. Lewis	339	4,235		4,235	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
tick, tick...Boom!	179	2,061		2,061	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Shang-Chi	258	1,850	-12.61%	1,845	5	0	0	5	0	0	0

 

Really good holds for everything at the top with only one new wide release.  Eternals is only down -16% for Fr-Su.  

 

Future release show counts

 

T-1 week

Ghostbusters (Wed shows) - 148

Ghostbusters (Wed-Sun) - 64,014 (2,826 TC)

King Richard - 18,783 (1,835 TC)

 

T-2 weeks previews

House of Gucci (11/18 shows) - 199

House of Gucci - 2,045 (1,402 TC)

Resident Evil - 2,532 (936 TC)

Encanto - 1,928 (804 TC)

 

US showtime sample 11/19 weekend

 

Movie	Theaters	Shows	Change	Standard	PLF	IMAX	3D	Dolby	D-Box	XD	RPX
Ghostbusters	3,243	117,504		104,599	12,905	4,721	0	2,854	1,396	2,503	1,431
Eternals	3,194	46,930	-46.29%	45,993	937	6	408	181	123	198	21
Clifford	3,005	46,487	-22.34%	46,333	154	0	0	154	0	0	0
King Richard	2,890	38,074		37,863	211	0	0	187	0	12	12
Venom 2	1,970	22,904	-14.57%	22,813	91	0	5	86	0	0	0
No Time to Die	1,903	17,843	-21.40%	17,792	51	0	9	42	0	0	0
Dune	1,983	17,088	-35.41%	17,037	51	2	17	32	0	0	0
Ron's Gone Wrong	1,178	9,373	-48.93%	9,361	12	0	0	12	0	0	0
Belfast	509	6,355	-16.13%	6,355	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer	803	6,318	-48.45%	6,318	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
French Dispatch	659	5,544	-49.87%	5,544	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Red Notice	459	4,255	-43.52%	4,255	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Antlers	589	4,190	-66.82%	4,190	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
India Sweets and Spices	338	4,016		4,016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Halloween Kills	453	2,988	-78.62%	2,982	6	0	0	6	0	0	0
My Hero Academia	394	2974	-65.49%	2,974	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Addams Family 2	380	2,820	-70.23%	2,803	17	0	0	17	0	0	0
The Youngest Evangelist	221	2,376		2,376	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
CS Lewis	209	2,109	-50.20%	2,109		0	0	0	0	0	0
Last Night in Soho	264	1,640	-75.96%	1,640	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Gintama	674	1,251		1,249		0	0	2	0	0	0

 

Ghostbusters ended up with 16,319 shows last night in my sample, just ahead of NTTD (16,298) and Shang-Chi (15,697).  Since I've been tracking showtimes, only Black Widow and Venom have had more preview shows.  For the full weekend, it falls between NTTD (112,174) and Eternals (118,603).

 

Gintama has a Sunday release, so those numbers are Sunday only.

 

Future releases

 

Monday 11/22

Resident Evil - 73 (73 TC)

 

Tuesday 11/23 previews

House of Gucci - 3,406 (2,239 TC)

Resident Evil - 5,291 (1,872 TC)

Encanto - 6,582 (2,494 TC)

For the Love of Money - 231 (162 TC)

 

Weekend 11/26-11/28

House of Gucci - 19,223 (1,835 TC)

Resident Evil - 17,505 (1,450 TC)

Encanto - 36,337 (1,997 TC)

For the Love of Money - 1,212 (105 TC)

 

Saturday 11/27

Sing (Early Access) - 1,100 (1,100 TC)

[Tinalera]

Ghostbusters afterlife (final count)

Toronto Ontario

Friday nov 19  (taken nov 19)

13 theatres

118 shows 

 

Total sold 1225

total remaining 16139

total seats 17364

percentage 7.05