The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TwoMisfits]

Just to put this for later for my own internals...

 

My Cinemarks did make late changes Thursday morning for the whole weekend - they ended up 7 screening Spidey (30 shows each), and ended up removing showings left and right from holdovers not named Encanto or Ghostbusters...

 

So, in the end, they did go for only 1 screen less than the Endgame set...and where it needed to be to be $200M+...

 

Guess with Xmas, they didn't want to take chances til it was an absolute certainty...

[charlie Jatinder]

34 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

MTC ratios do come down but this is too low. I am thinking there were shows beyond what you tracked. I could see almsot 11.3K shows including non reserved theaters. 

 

Plus Regal had a big boost in show count and may be we are seeing ratio close to what was pre COVID.

Zack no. are correct. FRI was just 12% over THU.

 

We are closer to pre CoVID ratios, but still too far.

[keysersoze123]

46 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Zack no. are correct. FRI was just 12% over THU.

 

We are closer to pre CoVID ratios, but still too far.

so MTC1 was just 12% over while overall market is up almost 40% !!!! That is crazy. 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

I'll restart tracking for Matrix tomorrow, and start Sing 2

Change of plans, I’m starting tomorrow

[Krissykins]

6 hours ago, el sid said:

 

Because it was mentioned above and out of curiosity I looked at the presales for Scream a few minutes ago and at least for the previews on Thursday they are surprisingly good in my theaters:
It has for Thursday, Jan 13 253 sold tickets in 6 theaters

and for Friday, Jan 14 69 sold tickets also in 6 theaters.
Comps: The Forever Purge had on Thursday for Thursday (= 0 days to go) 241 sold tickets.
Halloween Kills had on Oct 5 (= 9 and 10 days to go) 315 and 353 sold tickets.

Oh I like the sound of this! 

[charlie Jatinder]

6 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

so MTC1 was just 12% over while overall market is up almost 40% !!!! That is crazy. 

Pretty normal tbh.

 

EG was up 30% in Alpha while overall market was up +62%

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

23 hours ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

Ok this will be a SUPER IMPERFECT science but I remember doing Endgame's 2nd Friday at my theater and I'm curious how accurate it'll be so I thought I'd try to comp NWH 1st Saturday against it. My previews comp for NWH vs EG over indexed by 14.8% so I'll apply that here. 

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home Current Number, 24 Screen Theater, 8PM - December 17, 2021

Counting for Saturday - December 18, 2021

45 show times, 2867 tickets sold 
 

 

Comp to Endgame 2nd Friday

+132.5% before adjustment 

$80,669,464
 

 

The Asgard's are saying Saturday will come in around $73M, so my comp didn't work too well! That's ok, because now I have Saturday's numbers to comp to Sunday. Maybe it adjusts down a bit because Sunday night should be weaker than Saturday night, but then again all the schools are out already and a lot of parents are starting their vacations Monday. Looking at the numbers, I don't see this dropping more than 15%. 

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home Current Number, 24 Screen Theater, 8PM - December 18, 2021

Counting for Sunday - December 19, 2021

45 show times, 2556 tickets sold 
 

 

Comp to NWH 1st Saturday (Assuming $73M)

-10.85% with no adjustment 

$65.1M

Edited December 19, 2021 by GoblinXXR

[Movies4Life]

I'm gonna say Infinity War BARELY gets beaten out by No Way Home when the latter does a $258M OW. But that's about it. 

[Eric Prime]

12 hours ago, Eric Osborn said:

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	69	1,645	11627	14.15%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 160

 

Comp

0.948x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-5 (9.2M)

3.219x of The Suicide Squad T-5 (13.2M)

1.546x of Dune T-5 (7.88M)

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	69	1,742	11627	14.98%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 97

 

Comp

0.807x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-4 (7.83M)

2.875x of The Suicide Squad T-4 (11.79M)

1.486x of Dune T-4 (7.58M)

[Cooper Legion]

6 minutes ago, Eric Osborn said:

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	69	1,742	11627	14.98%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 97

 

Comp

0.807x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-4 (7.83M)

2.875x of The Suicide Squad T-4 (11.79M)

1.486x of Dune T-4 (7.58M)

Well that’s not great.   
 

the GvK comp is same day of week too, though PWPs and capacity make it tricky. I am getting Eternals flashbacks from the reactions though.

[Eric Prime]

12 hours ago, Eric Osborn said:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	91	2193	15698	13.97%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 58

Total Seats WITHOUT EARLY ACCESS: 785

 

Comp (WITHOUT Early Access)

2.217x of Cruella Thu+Fri T-5 (17.09M)

6.652x of Jungle Cruise T-5 (17.96M)

6.331x of Encanto T-5 (9.5M)

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	91	2238	15698	14.26%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

Total Seats WITHOUT EARLY ACCESS: 830

 

Comp (WITHOUT Early Access)

2.054x of Cruella Thu+Fri T-4 (15.83M)

5.570x of Jungle Cruise T-4 (15.04M)

5.764x of Encanto T-4 (8.65M)

[Eric Prime]

12 hours ago, Eric Osborn said:

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	23	75	5107	1.47%

 

@Krissykins I don't have any good comps for it this far out, so I can't do anything just yet. This may seem small, but horror movies generally start out low and don't really pick up until a few days before release. So in the end, things are too inconclusive at this stage of the game.

Scream Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-26 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	27	135	6254	2.16%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 4

Total Seats Added Today: 1,147

Total Seats Sold Today: 60

[keysersoze123]

On 12/17/2021 at 7:51 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Matrix Resurrections OD(T-5)

MTC1 - 59007/355002 881842.85 2209 shows

 

its definitely amping up. Let us see how it does over the weekend.  

Matrix Resurrections OD(T-4)

MTC1 - 65015/356356 962900.15 2222 shows

 

20% better than yesterday. But couple of hours more of data. 

[charlie Jatinder]

32 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Matrix Resurrections OD(T-4)

MTC1 - 65015/356356 962900.15 2222 shows

 

20% better than yesterday. But couple of hours more of data. 

Looks to me like 160-170K final. Would mean $8-8.5M OD.

 

8.5

5.5

4

8

9 // 35 5 days.

[keysersoze123]

8 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Looks to me like 160-170K final. Would mean $8-8.5M OD.

 

8.5

5.5

4

8

9 // 35 5 days.

I think PS will end above 100K. Final day PS would be around 25K and it can hit 75K+ before that. You dont think it will hit 2x PS?

[Cooper Legion]

21 off an 8.5 OD would be way way way way out of past Dec 22 wed opens. Between omicron and max, maybe it can happen, but I'd expect 30+ 3day from 8.5

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Checked the Licorice Pizza presales at AMC for XMas weekend 

 

Friday (16)

4pm OPEN CAPTION— (1)

725pm (15)

 

Saturday (12)

4pm OPEN CAPTION (6)

725pm (6) 

 

Sunday (15)

4pm OPEN CAPTION (0)

725pm (15)

 

43 total sales as of today. 

[charlie Jatinder]

22 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think PS will end above 100K. Final day PS would be around 25K and it can hit 75K+ before that. You dont think it will hit 2x PS?

I was thinking

 

65

+7 sun

+10 mon

+18 tue // 100

18*4 = 172ish

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Christmas weekend At AMC

 

Journal for Jordan

Friday- 0

2pm OPEN CAPTION- 0

515- 0

815- 0

Saturday- 0

2pm OPEN CAPTION- 0

515- 0

815- 0

Sunday- (19)

215 OPEN CAPTION- (1)

515- (18)

815- 0

 

19 sales all weekend. Bombs away.

 

American Underdog

Friday-(0)

4pm OPEN CAPTION- (0)

7pm- (0)

Saturday- (0)

4pm OPEN CAPTION- (0)

7pm- (0)

Sunday

4pm OPEN CAPTION- (0)

7pm- (0)

 

Not a sale. Yikes.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

The 415 IMAX Matrix is more than half way sold out on Wednesday. 
 

The 330 OPEN CAPTION- (13)

4pm- (5)

7pm- (68)

8pm- (32)

 

So 118 tickets and that’s not including the over 100 from IMAX

 

Cinemark Wednesday

1215- (9)

340- (11)

710- (27)

1035- (11)

 

58 seats sold.

 

Underestimate The Matrix at your own peril. Expect a monster opening day at least