The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Cap]

2 hours ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

The only solution is to burn this thread and start from the ashes.

 

Dont even joke. Omg. The Data. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

14 minutes ago, xiazhi said:

superhero movies are pre-sale heavy while animation is the opposite. I2's pre-sale should benefit from that a lot.

Let's not pretend that Toy Story doesn't have a large adult audience though. It's not your typical animated movie either.

[john2000]

26 minutes ago, Menor said:

Let's not pretend that Toy Story doesn't have a large adult audience though. It's not your typical animated movie either.

its not , but its more of a family film, while incredibles 2 is an animation/superhero hybrid

[Menor the Destroyer]

7 minutes ago, john2000 said:

its not , but its more of a family film, while incredibles 2 is an animation/superhero hybrid

I'm really not sure how many people went to Incredibles 2 purely for the superhero aspect vs it being a highly anticipated Pixar sequel to a beloved movie. But we shall see. In other news FFH is actually going to surpass CM's T-20 sales, although they aren't directly comparable being a Wednesday vs a Saturday and it will fall way behind in a couple days. Still, it's trending well and has had strong increases from week to week after a very slow "long tail" relative to CM.

Edited June 12, 2019 by Menor

[DisposedData]

11 minutes ago, john2000 said:

its not , but its more of a family film, while incredibles 2 is an animation/superhero hybrid

Not necessarily. I'd say both skew equally heavy to adults that are just fans of Pixar and both are equally pre sale heavy.

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 minute ago, DisposedData said:

Not necessarily. I'd say both skew equally heavy to adults that are just fans of Pixar and both are equally pre sale heavy.

I think I2 may be more presale heavy, but not due to the superhero aspect, but rather because the pent-up demand and anticipation was much stronger, so people were more excited to buy their tickets ahead of time. But if that's the case then Toy Story's pace relative to I2 should improve during the week of release.

[cdsacken]

1 minute ago, DisposedData said:

Not necessarily. I'd say both skew equally heavy to adults that are just fans of Pixar and both are equally pre sale heavy.

Not a chance. Unmarried adult demographic will be way lower in TS4 than I2

[DisposedData]

27 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Not a chance. Unmarried adult demographic will be way lower in TS4 than I2

I really don't think it will.

[Barnack]

10 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Not a chance. Unmarried adult demographic will be way lower in TS4 than I2

Will see, but yes TS3 was much more family heavy than I2 (and I2 had a much bigger OW).

 

Incredible 2:

Jokes aside, families naturally accounted for 57% of audiences. Those under the age of 11 made up 26% of moviegoers, with a basically even male-female split, while 31% were adults and 11% were teens.

 

Toy story 3:

 According to distributor Walt Disney Pictures' exit polling, Toy Story 3's audience was 54 percent under 25 years old and evenly split between genders, while families (parents and their children) made up 67 percent. Disney pointed out that 40 percent of the non-family audience was aged 17-24, people who presumably grew up with Toy Story.

[Menor the Destroyer]

3 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Will see, but yes TS3 was much more family heavy than I2 (and I2 had a much bigger OW).

 

Incredible 2:

Jokes aside, families naturally accounted for 57% of audiences. Those under the age of 11 made up 26% of moviegoers, with a basically even male-female split, while 31% were adults and 11% were teens.

 

Toy story 3:

 According to distributor Walt Disney Pictures' exit polling, Toy Story 3's audience was 54 percent under 25 years old and evenly split between genders, while families (parents and their children) made up 67 percent. Disney pointed out that 40 percent of the non-family audience was aged 17-24, people who presumably grew up with Toy Story.

I think TS4 will be significantly less family-driven than TS3 though. It's been 8 years after all. A lot of people have aged up since then.

[Cap]

37 minutes ago, Menor said:

I think TS4 will be significantly less family-driven than TS3 though. It's been 8 years after all. A lot of people have aged up since then.

Doesn’t that ALSO mean those aged up folks could have their OWN families now to take?

[Joyous Legion]

23 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

17 PT 6/11/19 (End of Tues)  

1	29.4%	The Secret Life of Pets 2
2	20.5%   Aladdin
3	10.3%	Dark Phoenix
4	8.8%	Godzilla: King of the Monsters  
5	6.2%    Rocketman  

 

17 PT 6/12/19 (End of Wed)  

1	26.9%	The Secret Life of Pets 2
2	18.2%   Aladdin
3	9%	Rocketman
4	8.1%	Dark Phoenix
5	6%      Godzilla: King of the Monsters

 

Not even appearing on the end of Wed update with this weak competition is... 😬

 

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

45 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

Doesn’t that ALSO mean those aged up folks could have their OWN families now to take?

Fair point

[Tinalera]

Thursday june 20 london ontario

Toy Story 4

Silvercity

6 shows 3 screens ( 1 AVX, 1 IMAX, 1 Recliner)

AVX
600 8/135
840 6/135

IMAX
7PM 25/321
940 2/321

Recliner
630 4/111
910 0/111

Westmount

4 shows 2 screens (1 VIP 1 AVX)

VIP
630 2/63
930 2/63

AVX 
645 29/173
925 0/173

[VanillaSkies]

So, I figured this qualifies under tracking thread, apologize if I'm wrong. 

Fox has started screening Stuber for audiences here throughout Canada a full month before it opens. 

I got tickets to tonight's show in Ottawa.

It was quite a funny buddy cop movie, the audience seemed to really enjoy it. 

I think Fox knows they have a potential word of mouth hit on their hands in the same vein as Let's be Cops (also a Fox movie) and will probably be pulling out quite a few stops over the next month for it. 

 

I expect it to be a slow burn, medium sized open with good legs. 
Interestingly, they played the trailer for Ad Astra beforehand. It looks... unremarkable. 

[TalismanRing]

MiB Intl- has sold over 3 RPX and 3 2D showings of 1,543 seats - 48 tickets - 3.11%. 

 

That's 35% of GODz2 as of Wed evening and  37.5% of Shazam & 23% of X6 as of Wed afternoon

 

Probably the only reason this movie has 6 showings is b/c they cut Phoenix down from 15+ over the w/e to 8 showings

Shaft - 2 showings - 13 / 514 seats sold

 

[Joyous Legion]

I’m ah, not quite sure what the right thread to put this trivia in is. Considered Tuesday, really it’s about the upcoming weekend and this is sort of the most upcoming weekend focused thread.         

 

With incoming reviews for Shaft and MIBI, we might be about to witness a rare all-rotten top 5 at the BO. The last time this happened was June 3-5 2016, when TMNT2 opened. The time before that was March 15-17, 2013 (this was actually the 4th in a row though ).

[Porthos]

Toy Story 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	90	10350	12309	15.92%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                    91

 

Unadjusted Comps

2.2595x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 8 days before release.

1.8189x as many tickets sold as Aladdin 8 days before release.

2.1623x as many tickets sold as King of the Monsters 8 days before release.

 

T-8:

Pika       132 tickets sold  [0 sellouts/64 showings   |     6485/7352 seats left    |  11.79% sold]

Aladdin    54 tickets sold [0 sellouts/74 showings   |    9641/10718 seats left    |  10.05% sold]

KotM        61 tickets sold [0 sellouts/93 showings   |  11736/12642 seats left    |   7.17% sold]

 

Adjusted Comps

0.9834x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom 8 days before release.      

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.  It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally.

 

T-8:

JW2              94 tickets sold [0 sellouts/111 showings |    9394/11263 seats left  | 16.59% sold]

TS4 (JW)        91 tickets sold [0 sellouts/90 showings  |    8800/10638 seats left  | 17.28% sold]

TS4 (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom.

[Porthos]

The only note I would make here when it comes to comparing to JW:FK (and perhaps Aladdin), is that TS4 isn't selling nearly the amount of PLF tickets that many blockbusters do, with the possible exception of, of course, Century Arden.

 

And even on the XD showings at Arden, it's still a decent clip behind other blockbusters.

 

Now will this matter once the walkups show up (and yes Virginia, walkups will happen for this movie)?  Who knows.  But it is probably something to think about around the margins.

[Eric is Quiet]

Fandango App

Monday

Tues

Wed

Thursday

Blockers

504

1,106

2,931

Breaking In

727

1,204

2,899

Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266

Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108

MI6

*3,328

13,575

27,261

Eighth Grade (1K expansion)

494

508

720

936

The Meg

1,539

2,944

6,723

16,202

Searching (1K expansion)

303

588

1,194

2,862

Night School

1,045

1,756

3,566

Nobody's Fool

436

900

1,719

4,437

Instant Family

230

565

1,325

2,584

Green Book (Wed) (1K expansion)

387

922

1,701

2,268

Spider-Verse

3,715

5,208

9,858

19,972

Bumblebee

1,553

1,817

3,157

On the Basis (2K expansion)

537

1,043

2,200

3,511

Lego Movie 2

2,552

4,130

8,601

13,320

How to Train Your Dragon 3	3,724	6,674	12,935	21,313
Fight w/ Family (2.5K expansion)	165	368	1,284	2,657

Pokemon Detective Pikachu

5,061

7,653

13,177

23,309

Godzilla King of the Monsters

2,585

5,734

11,157

20,065

Ma	336	912	2,244	6,215
The Secret Life of Pets 2	2,967	3,245	7,355	12,860

MIB International	1,496	2,065	5,231
Shaft	330	577	1,363
Late Night (1.5K expansion)	232	348	1,048
*4pm-12am

 

MIB

Wednesday

53% of Spider-Verse (18.8M)

61% of Lego 2 (20.7M)

40% of Pikachu (21.6M)

40% of Dragon 3 (22.2M)

47% of King of the Monsters (22.4M)

38% of Mission: Impossible 6 (23.6M)

22% of Fallen Kingdom (33.3M)

166% of Bumblebee (35.9M)

47% of Ant-Man 2 (35.7M)

71% of Pets 2 (33.2M)

78% of The Meg (35.3M)

 

Day 11-2

55% of Lego 2 (18.8M)

36% of Dragon 3 (20.1M)

64% of Pets 2 (29.9M)

 

Day 16-2

51% of Lego 2 (17.5M)

37% of Dragon 3 (20.5M)

68% of Pets 2 (31.7M)

 

So the good news is this saw a very strong boost from yesterday's results. The bad news is the numbers still aren't good. But hey, I'll take any good news I can take at this moment.

 

Shaft

Wednesday

47% of Breaking In (8.3M)

46% of Blockers (9.6M)

38% of Night School (10.4M)

79% of Nobody's Fool (10.9M)

61% of Ma (11M)

94% of Tag (14.1M)

103% of Instant Family (14.9M)

113% of Uncle Drew (17.3M)

 

This is looking worse and worse for Shaft every day.

 

Late Night

Wednesday

57% of On the Basis of Sex (2.9M)

62% of Green Book (3.4M 3-Day, 4.6M 5-Day)

146% of Eighth Grade (4.1M)

88% of Searching (5.3M 3-Day, 6.7M 4-Day)

82% of Fighting with my Family (6.4M)

 

Eh, I guess it's fine?