The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[ZackM]

Just now, Menor said:

Remember this particular data will be inflated by the Atom deal, I wouldn't expect regionals to be quite this high.

Is the Atom deal for previews only?  Or all weekend?

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 minute ago, ZackM said:

Is the Atom deal for previews only?  Or all weekend?

No, I don't mean that way, just Alpha chain has Atom and not all chains do (Regal, in particular, is a big one they are missing). The Atom deal is for all weekend I believe. 

Edited December 15, 2021 by Menor

[charlie Jatinder]

The actual pace on Tuesday be probably around 60K, since this 47K include weak hours of Monday. This is where the early numbers start making difference in daily pace.

 

 

[Landon1195]

https://mobile.twitter.com/meJat32/status/1470943360210718726

[charlie Jatinder]

Any how, it is done IMO.

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home crossed $100M pre-sales in USA/CAN. Making it 6th film ever to do so.

 

Top pre-sales

1. Endgame - $190M+
2. The Force Awakens - $140M+
3. The Last Jedi - $120M+
4. The Rise of Skywalker - $115M+
5. Infinity War - $105M+
6. Spider- Man: No Way Home - $100M+ 

 

We have still two more days to go. Can target SW:TFA at this point.

[Menor the Destroyer]

Just now, charlie Jatinder said:

The actual pace on Tuesday be probably around 60K, since this 47K include weak hours of Monday. This is where the early numbers start making difference in daily pace.

 

 

Would expect Tuesday daytime/Monday daytime to be significantly better than Tuesday nighttime/Monday nighttime for several reasons. Low hours tend to have bigger jumps, reviews dropping late Monday night would have juiced morning/afternoon sales, and avid TMobile/Atom buyers would have probably jumped on the deal during that time. 

[XXR & Friends]

5 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Any how, it is done IMO.

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home crossed $100M pre-sales in USA/CAN. Making it 6th film ever to do so.

 

Top pre-sales

1. Endgame - $190M+
2. The Force Awakens - $140M+
3. The Last Jedi - $120M+
4. The Rise of Skywalker - $115M+
5. Infinity War - $105M+
6. Spider- Man: No Way Home - $100M+ 

 

We have still two more days to go. Can target SW:TFA at this point.

 

Will get over TLJ. Not sure about TFA but it's possible. 

EDIT: Just realized it went up $15M in a day. 

Edited December 15, 2021 by Multiverse of XXR

[charlie Jatinder]

17 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

 

Will get over TLJ. Not sure about TFA but it's possible. 

EDIT: Just realized it went up $15M in a day. 

85M+ wasn't exactly 85M+. It was more like 90M+. I gotta be conservative till I get numbers more clear as we are missing a lot of data.

 

Today got data on Sunday confirmed, which was around 25% higher than what I was estimating.

[Ronin46]

Just now, charlie Jatinder said:

85M+ wasn't exactly 85M+. It was more like 90M+. I gotta be conservative till I get numbers more clear as we are missing a lot of data.

 

Today got data on Sunday confirmed, which was around 25% higher than what I was estimating.

 

Your thinking 250+ now?

[XXR & Friends]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

85M+ wasn't exactly 85M+. It was more like 90M+. I gotta be conservative till I get numbers more clear as we are missing a lot of data.

 

Today got data on Sunday confirmed, which was around 25% higher than what I was estimating.

 

Well damn. That's great news. Maybe over TFA is a possibility after all.

[charlie Jatinder]

23 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

 

Your thinking 250+ now?

Nope. No change from my last projection of $200-240M yet.

Edited December 15, 2021 by charlie Jatinder

[Landon1195]

At this point I don't see how this can't make $200M OW.

[Torontofan]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Any how, it is done IMO.

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home crossed $100M pre-sales in USA/CAN. Making it 6th film ever to do so.

 

Top pre-sales

1. Endgame - $190M+
2. The Force Awakens - $140M+
3. The Last Jedi - $120M+
4. The Rise of Skywalker - $115M+
5. Infinity War - $105M+
6. Spider- Man: No Way Home - $100M+ 

 

We have still two more days to go. Can target SW:TFA at this point.

This total or in comparison? 

[Joyous Legion]

5 minutes ago, Torontofan said:

This total or in comparison? 

Total

[Nerfy]

2 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	696	54	29	190	205
Seats Added	66,894	4,756	6,725	15,975	20,008
Seats Sold	47,473	24,773	17,519	14,597	13,783
12/14/2021	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	433	8,751	709,418	1,325,497	53.52%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	90	870	1,843	3,011	4,249
ATP
$14.50

  

Edited December 15, 2021 by Nerfy

[Joyous Legion]

16 minutes ago, Nerfy said:

  

We should make this a new reaction face @Cap @aabattery

[cax16]

So from my tracking for EG it had total 2130 tickets sold(that I could see) but it also added 6 showtimes I couldn’t track cause they didn’t have reserved seating for those theatres, that was final numbers on preview night, so it had a total of 14 showtimes. 

NWH is now at 2142 tickets sold but I can track all theatres, it has a total of 11 showtimes, maybe they’ll add more Thursday cause most of the shows are almost full. Good numbers either way. 

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

No Way Home Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 Days and Counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	1	340	18316	39763	21447	53.94%

 

Total Showings Added Today	15
Total Seats Added Today	643
Total Seats Sold Today	925

 

As of T-3, No Way Home has sold...

2.3322x as many tickets as Black Widow  did at stop of tracking.             [32.24m]*

3.6680x as many tickets as Shang-Chi did at stop of tracking.                 [32.28m]

2.7810x as many tickets as Let There Be Carnage did at stop of tracking. [32.26m]

3.3464x as many tickets as Eternals did at stop of tracking.                     [31.79m]

* [adj for Ontario]

 

T-3 Adjusted Comp 

***100% use at own risk*** — see cautionary note below

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
EG	91.39		651	21022		31/283	5903/26925	78.08%		54.83m
TROS	120.89		610	16794		7/228	8908/25702	65.34%		48.36m
NWH (EG adj)	---		833	19212		1/340	15402/34614	55.50%		---
NWH (SW adj)	---		869	20303		1/340	16067/36370	55.82%		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: NWH (EG adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX tracking which started earlier this year, a theater which converted to reserved seating this year as well as making an on-the-fly adjustment for a theater which I had partial data for EG and has now shut down and been replaced by another theater a mile a way [for this I am doing only a PLF-PLF comparison for the theater in question]

ADJUSTMENT NOTE #2: NWH (SW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX tracking which started earlier this year as well as a theater that which converted to reserved seating this year.  The theater which has been replaced is 100% included in this comp. 

CAUTIONARY 2021 COMPS NOTE:  ***ALL*** Sacramento 2021 comps when compared to similar pre-COVID movies have been running higher than what has actually been reported.  ABSOLUTELY KEEP THIS IN MIND THAT THIS COMP COULD VERY WELL BE OFF BY AS MUCH AS 15 to 20 PERCENT, or even more.   See here for explanation.

 

Regal:       6029/12796 [47.12% sold] [+321 tickets]

Matinee:    2256/5171  [43.63% sold | 10.52% of all tickets sold]

 

No Way Home Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 Days and Counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	1	368	18946	42052	23106	54.95%

 

Total Showings Added Today	28
Total Seats Added Today	630
Total Seats Sold Today	1659

 

As of T-2, No Way Home has sold...

2.5126x as many tickets as Black Widow  did at stop of tracking.             [34.73m]*

3.9518x as many tickets as Shang-Chi did at stop of tracking.                  [34.78m]

2.9961x as many tickets as Let There Be Carnage did at stop of tracking. [34.75m]

3.6052x as many tickets as Eternals did at stop of tracking.                      [34.25m]

* [adj for Ontario]

 

T-2 Adjusted Comp 

***100% use at own risk*** — see cautionary note below

	%		Sold T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
EG	92.95		1182	22204		41/302	5738/27942	79.46%		55.77m
TROS	125.21		668	17462		11/251	9470/26932	64.84%		50.09m
NWH (EG adj)	---		1427	20639		1/368	14939/35578	58.01%		---
NWH (SW adj)	---		1562	21865		1/368	15866/37731	57.95%		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: NWH (EG adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX tracking which started earlier this year, a theater which converted to reserved seating this year as well as making an on-the-fly adjustment for a theater which I had partial data for EG and has now shut down and been replaced by another theater a mile a way [for this I am doing only a PLF-PLF comparison for the theater in question]

ADJUSTMENT NOTE #2: NWH (SW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX tracking which started earlier this year as well as a theater that which converted to reserved seating this year.  The theater which has been replaced is 100% included in this comp. 

CAUTIONARY 2021 COMPS NOTE:  ***ALL*** Sacramento 2021 comps when compared to similar pre-COVID movies have been running higher than what has actually been reported.  ABSOLUTELY KEEP THIS IN MIND THAT THIS COMP COULD VERY WELL BE OFF BY AS MUCH AS 15 to 20 PERCENT, or even more.   See here for explanation.

 

Regal:       6594/13144 [50.17% sold] [+565 tickets]

Matinee:    2403/5164  [46.53% sold | 10.40% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

No Way Home Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 Days and Counting

 

Total Seats Sold Today

1659

 

 

I swear to Lucas, if ANYONE expresses even the ***SLIGHTEST*** disappointment at Sacto "only" doing 1650-ish tickets today, I will not be held liable for the reaction I leave on that post. 

 

(yes, I saw some of the commentary over the last 24 hours)

Edited December 15, 2021 by Porthos

[Joyous Legion]

Couldn’t even hit 2k… 😘