The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[XXR vs XXR]

1 minute ago, Tokugennumataka said:

Even during Christmas? I thought 3.5x was easily achievable during Winter holidays. 

Certainly not easy. Of the 4 $100M+ openers in December, only one is 3.5x (TFA at 3.78x).

 

We’re more realistically probably looking at 2.8-3.2x

[Danhjpn]

OW 235 and 3x legs for a total 700+ 

[TwoMisfits]

1st Cinemark set for the weekend FSS...

 

Spidey gets 23 showings (1 3d, 22 2d - yeah 3d doesn't sell anymore) for a 5 screen equivalent.  The theater is starting for the 1st time since summer at 10am on Friday and showing til 11pm Friday...but no more...

 

This is the best supers set of 2021, but I think comes in 8-9 showings below initial Endgame set (have to go back and check).

 

As for other movies, the theater keeps WSS, Encanto, Ghostbusters, House of Gucci, and a foreign film on 1 screen each, has Eternals share 1 screen with Christmas with the Chosen (I'm amazed that made it - it probably means it won't drop til Dec 25).

 

One screen is unbooked - I'd expect another foreign film or another Spidey screen.

 

So, it's a very good clear out, but not an absolutely immense one.

[filmlover]

The King's Man starts Rotten on RT.

[ZackM]

On 12/13/2021 at 12:50 PM, ZackM said:

NWH - Saturday

Theaters - 433

Showings - 6,647

Sold - 412,240

Total - 1,221,258

ATP - $14.56

NWH - Saturday

Theaters - 433

Showings - 7,654

Sold - 443,961

Total - 1,345,352

ATP - $14.47

[keysersoze123]

2 minutes ago, ZackM said:

NWH - Saturday

Theaters - 433

Showings - 7,654

Sold - 443,961

Total - 1,345,352

ATP - $14.47

WOW. YUGE increase in showtimes and tickets sold. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Yeah something wrong with Friday @ZackM mate. SAT is par what I was expecting.

[Menor the Destroyer]

7 minutes ago, ZackM said:

NWH - Saturday

Theaters - 433

Showings - 7,654

Sold - 443,961

Total - 1,345,352

ATP - $14.47

So it's moving at a normal pace here. I agree with Charlie that I think something is off for Friday. Both Thursday and Saturday followed normal trends, why would Friday be the only one way below. 

[ZackM]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Yeah something wrong with Friday @ZackM mate. SAT is par what I was expecting.

Perhaps.  It will reveal itself tomorrow.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 12/13/2021 at 11:07 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Theaters tracking

 

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sales	Total Sold	True Capacity	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-3	Spider-Man	PLF	39	159	7,438	8,518	87.32%	$14.37	$106,852.43
		Standard	103	274	9,685	13,683	70.78%	$10.99	$106,426.80
	Spider-Man Total		142	433	17,123	22,201	77.13%	$12.46	$213,279.23
T-4	Spidey (Fri)	PLF	56	245	8,004	12,379	64.66%	$14.13	$113,128.23
		Standard	88	242	6,249	13,626	45.86%	$10.46	$65,338.18
	Spidey (Fri) Total		144	487	14,253	26,005	54.81%	$12.52	$178,466.41

 

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New Sales	Total Sold	True Capacity	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-3	Spider-Man	N	106	320	13,061	16,282	80.22%	$13.22	$172,700.45
		Y	36	113	4,062	5,919	68.63%	$9.99	$40,578.78
	Spider-Man Total		142	433	17,123	22,201	77.13%	$12.46	$213,279.23
T-4	Spidey (Fri)	N	73	249	9,438	13,709	68.85%	$13.61	$128,475.71
		Y	71	238	4,815	12,296	39.16%	$10.38	$49,990.70
	Spidey (Fri) Total		144	487	14,253	26,005	54.81%	$12.52	$178,466.41

 

 

I keep thinking this can't get much higher for previews but tickets keep selling.  Now at 77.13% sold for previews!

Santikos Theaters tracking

 

I picked up Sat & Sun today for the first (and most likely only) time so disregard the new sales for those days.  Friday actually sold more yesterday than previews.  Shows were added to both days, more so for Friday though (+21).   Total sales for Santikos over the weekend is $678,572 (using adult prices.)

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sales	Total Sold	True Capacity	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-2	Spider-Man	PLF	41	277	7,715	9,220	83.68%	$14.36	$110,809.77
		Standard	109	505	10,190	14,581	69.89%	$10.97	$111,810.35
	Thu Total		150	782	17,905	23,801	75.23%	$12.43	$222,620.12
T-3	Spidey (Fri)	PLF	56	277	8,281	12,523	66.13%	$14.10	$116,773.27
		Standard	109	777	7,026	16,406	42.83%	$10.38	$72,925.00
	Fri Total		165	1,054	15,307	28,929	52.91%	$12.39	$189,698.27
T-4	Spidey (Sat)	PLF	57	7,817	7,817	12,602	62.03%	$13.89	$108,611.66
		Standard	101	5,514	5,514	15,524	35.52%	$9.75	$53,737.52
	Sat Total		158	13,331	13,331	28,126	47.40%	$12.18	$162,349.18
T-5	Spidey (Sun)	PLF	56	5,352	5,352	12,455	42.97%	$13.89	$74,327.29
		Standard	105	3,201	3,201	16,025	19.98%	$9.24	$29,577.80
	Sun Total		161	8,553	8,553	28,480	30.03%	$12.15	$103,905.09

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New Sales	Total Sold	True Capacity	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-2	Spider-Man	N	113	543	13,604	17,742	76.68%	$13.22	$179,777.83
		Y	37	239	4,301	6,059	70.99%	$9.96	$42,842.29
	Thu Total		150	782	17,905	23,801	75.23%	$12.43	$222,620.12
T-3	Spidey (Fri)	N	83	596	10,034	15,098	66.46%	$13.50	$135,439.33
		Y	82	458	5,273	13,831	38.12%	$10.29	$54,258.94
	Fri Total		165	1,054	15,307	28,929	52.91%	$12.39	$189,698.27
T-4	Spidey (Sat)	N	82	7,275	7,275	15,082	48.24%	$13.80	$100,376.47
		Y	76	6,056	6,056	13,044	46.43%	$10.23	$61,972.71
	Sat Total		158	13,331	13,331	28,126	47.40%	$12.18	$162,349.18
T-5	Spidey (Sun)	N	82	4,213	4,213	15,084	27.93%	$14.09	$59,381.23
		Y	79	4,340	4,340	13,396	32.40%	$10.26	$44,523.86
	Sun Total		161	8,553	8,553	28,480	30.03%	$12.15	$103,905.09

Edited December 14, 2021 by katnisscinnaplex
Cleanup

[el sid]

Tomorrow again NWH. But today for some variety:
Nightmare Alley, counted today at 11am EST for Friday, Dec 17:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 6 (4 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 8 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 2 (4 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 0 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 23 (4 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 73 (9 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 112.

 

Comps: Last Night in Soho (4.2M OW) had on Tuesday for Friday 157 sold tickets,

Stillwater (5.2M OW) had on Wednesday for Friday 41 sold tickets

and The Last Duel (4.8M OW) had also on Wednesday for Friday 96 sold tickets.
Not too bad but also not really good so far. Probably it's not helping that the theaters will be so crowded this weekend.
 

Matrix 4, counted today at 11am EST for Wednesday, Dec 22 (8 days to go):
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 190 (7 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 191 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 52 (5 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 34 (2 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 46 (5 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 755 (6 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 607 (5 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.875.

Up since my last count 7 days ago: 33%. I expected a little bit more to be honest.
Comps: TSS had 7 days before 714 sold tickets for Friday
and Dune had 13 days before 1.781 sold tickets for Friday.
Overall the Matrix 4 presales are still very solid in my theaters and they also added some showtimes. But the lack of IMAX shows is - as mentioned in other reports - definitely a problem. Of its 1.875 sold tickets 1.451 are for an IMAX show.

[filmlover]

Nightmare Alley is in one of the smallest auditoriums at every theater around me over the weekend. It's likely headed for a very small opening between the long running time and limited theater space.

[TwoMisfits]

2nd Cinemark also set and matched the exact showings of the 1st - 23.  Although this one has XD, so it's 9 PLF, 14 normal.

 

So, it's again 5 screens - above all supers this year, but below Endgame (I think this one may have set that at 35 showings b/c it was the one that went all in...and then kept going).  It is not starting Friday showings til 10:50am, which is still the earliest start since summer, but it does go to 11:20pm (latest showings since summer)...

 

As for everything else, Nightmare Alley does open here with 1 screen, and Encanto, WSS, Ghostbusters and a foreign film keep a screen with Eternals and Don't Look Up sharing one.

 

Yes, again there's one screen not booked, so it's gonna either head to another foreign film or Spidey.

 

Again, a very good clear out, but not an epic one...

 

 

Edited December 14, 2021 by TwoMisfits

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

2nd Cinemark also set and matched the exact showings of the 1st - 23.  Although this one has XD, so it's 9 PLF, 14 normal.

 

So, it's again 5 screens - above all supers this year, but below Endgame (I think this one may have set that at 35 showings b/c it was the one that went all in...and then kept going).  It is not starting Friday showings til 10:50am, which is still the earliest start since summer, but it does go to 11:20pm (latest showings since summer)...

 

As for everything else, Nightmare Alley does open here with 1 screen, and Encanto, WSS, Ghostbusters and a foreign film keep a screen with Eternals and Don't Look Up sharing one.

 

Yes, again there's one screen not booked, so it's gonna either head to another foreign film or Spidey.

 

Again, a very good clear out, but not an epic one...

 

 

Next week is looking to be when everything sees their theater counts slashed. Theaters around me are starting their schedules for Christmas Day and American Underdog/A Journal for Jordan/Licorice Pizza are all being placed in smaller auditoriums (all the big to medium-sized auditoriums are going to Spider-Man/Matrix/Sing/King's Man/West Side Story, unsurprising since those are are almost certain to be the daily top 5 throughout the holidays).

[XXR vs XXR]

Any idea when we can expect an official theater count for opening weekend?

[Ronin46]

Variety

 

Tom Holland’s newest web-slinging adventure “Spider-Man: No Way Home” hits theaters on Friday and is poised to generate $150 million in its box office debut — a heroic feat even by pre-COVID standards. The film’s distributor Sony Pictures modestly predicts a three-day tally closer to $130 million, which would still rank as a huge win. But given pent-up demand and record pre-sales, some box office prognosticators are more bullish. They believe an opening weekend near $175 million could be within reach.

 

ok.................................

[XXR vs XXR]

7 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

Variety

 

Tom Holland’s newest web-slinging adventure “Spider-Man: No Way Home” hits theaters on Friday and is poised to generate $150 million in its box office debut — a heroic feat even by pre-COVID standards. The film’s distributor Sony Pictures modestly predicts a three-day tally closer to $130 million, which would still rank as a huge win. But given pent-up demand and record pre-sales, some box office prognosticators are more bullish. They believe an opening weekend near $175 million could be within reach.

 

ok.................................

All of these numbers will likely be closer to the OD than the OW, even $175M…

[Menor the Destroyer]

On 12/16/2019 at 8:13 PM, Multiverse of XXR said:

These scrapers are to us counters what the automobile was to horse drawn carriages....

Hmm...

[Ronin46]

3 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

All of these numbers will likely be closer to the OD than the OW, even $175M…

 

Well its a bit higher than Deadline. Maybe they actually believe there bullshit. Will be funny when its over 100m on opening day. 

[ZackM]

6 hours ago, ZackM said:

I'm about to start a Saturday run.  Should have just enough time to squeeze in a Sunday run before I need to start my Thursday run.

NWH Sunday

Theaters - 433

Showings - 7,296

Sold - 279,795

Total - 1,000,558

ATP - $14.51