The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Barnack]

4 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

People here tend to under-estimate live action family fare, especially these Disney ones. Happens all the time. Actually, kids/family stuff in general is underestimated here unless it's Pixar or WDAS. 

I imagine they tend to be harder to track in easy to access data like youtube views or any other online buzz type of metrics.

 

Those movies to not even require the audience that buy ticket to know the actual title of the movie.

[DAJK]

Similar to Eric's posts from the last page, a lot of theatres I'm looking at show Den of Thieves selling... shockingly well tomorrow. Nothing insane like a 20M opening, but that 9-10M might not surprise me as much.

 

Now just watch preview numbers come in at like 280k or something... Also predicting around 475-525k for 12 Strong

 

 

edit

12 Strong audience score on RT is at 66 as of now, although I wouldn't be surprised if politics could be affecting this if only just a little. I wouldn't be surprised if it happened with The Post, and same goes for here.

 

And woah, Den of Thieves audience score is at 84. It's gotta be hat Geostorm power...

Edited January 19, 2018 by DAJK

[La Binoche]

The Greatest Showman ahead of Jumanji on movietickets.com 

 

[WrathOfHan]

Pulse:

 

1. Thieves

2. The Post

3. 12 Strong

4. Paddington

5. Showman

 

 

[TwoMisfits]

MT.com - the new movies have made it to the top (just barely)...

11.5% Den of Thieves

11.4% 12 Strong

11.4% Post, The

7.5% Greatest Showman, The

7.4% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

[KeepItU25071906]

22 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Pulse:

 

1. Thieves

2. The Post

3. 12 Strong

4. Paddington

5. Showman

 

 

Jumanji will be back soon

 

Thieves expectedly Strong)))

Edited January 19, 2018 by KeepItU25071906

[Eric is Quiet]

Gerry B and Fiddy C. Their POWAH

[WrathOfHan]

Theater update:

 

Spoiler

 

12 Strong:

 

10:00: 32/124

1:00: 14/124

4:00: 9/124

7:00: 18/124

10:00: 2/124

 

The Post:

 

11:00: 16/113

1:45: 7/113

4:30: 10/113

7:15: 8/78

10:10: 0/78

 

Showman:

 

11:30: 4/78

2:00: 2/78

4:45: 0/78

7:20: 30/78

9:55: 0/78

 

Thieves:

 

10:15: 10/78

1:25: 3/78

4:35: 0/78

7:45: 6/78 

9:30: 4/78

 

Darkest Hour:

 

10:10: 1/78

1:10: 15/78

4:35: 0/63

7:40: 2/63

10:30: 0/63

 

My Girl:

 

11:10: 6/78

1:40: 0/78

4:10: 0/78

6:40: 10/78

9:10: 0/78

 

Jumanji:

 

10:30: 6/78

1:25 3D: 0/78

4:15: 2/78

7:35 3D: 4/113

10:35: 0/113

 

The Commuter:

 

11:45: 4/78

2:30: 4/78

5:15: 3/78

7:50: 0/78

10:30: 0/78

 

Star Wars: 

 

10:15: 4/69

1:55 3D: 5/60

4:05: 0/69

7:30 3D: 4/60

9:40: 0/69

 

Paddington:

 

10:05: 2/67

12:45: 3/67

3:15: 0/67

5:45: 0/67

8:15: 3/67

10:45: 0/67

 

Proud Mary:

 

11:40: 0/60

1:40: 2/69

5:15: 0/60

7:25: 4/69

10:50: 0/60

 

 

12 Strong: 75/620 (Up 32)

The Post: 41/495 (Up 8) (-60% from last week)

Showman: 36/390 (Up 10) (+80% from last week)

Thieves: 23/390 (Up 10)

Darkest Hour: 18/345 (Up 13) (-50% from last week)

My Girl: 16/390 (Up 4)

Jumanji: 12/460 (Up 10) (+10% from last week)

The Commuter: 11/390 (Up 4) (-75% from last week)

Star Wars: 9/327 (Up 1) (-50% from last week)

Paddington: 8/402 (Up 6) (-33% from last week)

Proud Mary: 6/318 (Up 2) (-85% from last week)

Insidious has sold nothing.

 

12 Strong comps:

 

70% of The Post (13.6M)

115% of American Assassin (17M)

155% of American Made (26M)

190% of The Commuter (26M)

340% of Downsizing (17M)

 

Thieves:

 

50% of American Made (8.4M)

60% of The Commuter (8.2M)

75% of The Foreigner (9.8M)

105% of Downsizing (5.3M)

135% of Geostorm (18.5M)

190% of Only the Brave (11.4M)

 

My Girl:

 

20% of Boo 2! (4.2M)

33% of MBU (3.5M)

80% of Same Kind of Different (2M)

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

41 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Theater update:

 

  Reveal hidden contents

 

12 Strong:

 

10:00: 32/124

1:00: 14/124

4:00: 9/124

7:00: 18/124

10:00: 2/124

 

The Post:

 

11:00: 16/113

1:45: 7/113

4:30: 10/113

7:15: 8/78

10:10: 0/78

 

Showman:

 

11:30: 4/78

2:00: 2/78

4:45: 0/78

7:20: 30/78

9:55: 0/78

 

Thieves:

 

10:15: 10/78

1:25: 3/78

4:35: 0/78

7:45: 6/78 

9:30: 4/78

 

Darkest Hour:

 

10:10: 1/78

1:10: 15/78

4:35: 0/63

7:40: 2/63

10:30: 0/63

 

My Girl:

 

11:10: 6/78

1:40: 0/78

4:10: 0/78

6:40: 10/78

9:10: 0/78

 

Jumanji:

 

10:30: 6/78

1:25 3D: 0/78

4:15: 2/78

7:35 3D: 4/113

10:35: 0/113

 

The Commuter:

 

11:45: 4/78

2:30: 4/78

5:15: 3/78

7:50: 0/78

10:30: 0/78

 

Star Wars: 

 

10:15: 4/69

1:55 3D: 5/60

4:05: 0/69

7:30 3D: 4/60

9:40: 0/69

 

Paddington:

 

10:05: 2/67

12:45: 3/67

3:15: 0/67

5:45: 0/67

8:15: 3/67

10:45: 0/67

 

Proud Mary:

 

11:40: 0/60

1:40: 2/69

5:15: 0/60

7:25: 4/69

10:50: 0/60

 

 

12 Strong: 75/620 (Up 32)

The Post: 41/495 (Up 8) (-60% from last week)

Showman: 36/390 (Up 10) (+80% from last week)

Thieves: 23/390 (Up 10)

Darkest Hour: 18/345 (Up 13) (-50% from last week)

My Girl: 16/390 (Up 4)

Jumanji: 12/460 (Up 10) (+10% from last week)

The Commuter: 11/390 (Up 4) (-75% from last week)

Star Wars: 9/327 (Up 1) (-50% from last week)

Paddington: 8/402 (Up 6) (-33% from last week)

Proud Mary: 6/318 (Up 2) (-85% from last week)

Insidious has sold nothing.

 

12 Strong comps:

 

70% of The Post (13.6M)

115% of American Assassin (17M)

155% of American Made (26M)

190% of The Commuter (26M)

340% of Downsizing (17M)

 

Thieves:

 

50% of American Made (8.4M)

60% of The Commuter (8.2M)

75% of The Foreigner (9.8M)

105% of Downsizing (5.3M)

135% of Geostorm (18.5M)

190% of Only the Brave (11.4M)

 

My Girl:

 

20% of Boo 2! (4.2M)

33% of MBU (3.5M)

80% of Same Kind of Different (2M)

What did you put for DoT in the Derby? I think we’re gonna be low

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

What did you put for DoT in the Derby? I think we’re gonna be low

High-11s is what I'm going with for now. Being #1 on Pulse and MT surely can't be a fluke even if I think 12 Strong eeks out a higher gross because of large formats.

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

High-11s is what I'm going with for now. Being #1 on Pulse and MT surely can't be a fluke even if I think 12 Strong eeks out a higher gross because of large formats.

Well sh*t I thought I was high with like 9.7 😅

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

Well sh*t I thought I was high with like 9.7 😅

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Listen my town has a disproportionate amount of twenty somethings that eat this up. I thought I was an outlier. Looks like your theater is on track with that 950k preview

[WrathOfHan]

5 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

Listen my town has a disproportionate amount of twenty somethings that eat this up. I thought I was an outlier. Looks like your theater is on track with that 950k preview

College students AND seniors go nuts for Gerry  

[TwoMisfits]

Mt.com - some flipping among the movies...

12.2% 12 Strong

11.9% Den of Thieves

11.5% Post, The

7.6% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

7.4% Greatest Showman, The

[TwoMisfits]

Mt.com...no real change...

13.3% 12 Strong

12.4% Den of Thieves

11.2% Post, The

7.9% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

7.1% Greatest Showman, The

[TwoMisfits]

Midday MT.com...

12.6% 12 Strong

11.7% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

11.5% Post, The

10.3% Den of Thieves

8% Greatest Showman, The

[XO21]

I haven't seen it posted so:

 

December-early January:

Spoiler

 

 

Edited January 21, 2018 by XO21

[KeepItU25071906]

50 minutes ago, XO21 said:

I haven't seen it posted so:

It was

[DAJK]

If my theatre gets Hostiles, I can guarantee I will be the first person in town to see it.

 

... even if I don't go till sunday 

Edited January 22, 2018 by DAJK