The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[MaxAggressor]

1. The Post - 13.5%
2. Jumanji - 8.5%
3. The Greatest Showman - 7.7%
4. The Last Jedi - 6.7%
5. Paddington 2 - 6.6%

[filmlover]

41 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Pulse:

 

1. The Post

2. Thieves

3. 12 Strong

4. Black Panther

5. Jumanji

[el sid]

MT update:

#1 The Post 13.9%
#2 Jumanji  8%
#3 Greatest Showman 7.5%
#4 12 Strong 6.8%
#5 SW 8 6.5%

[TwoMisfits]

MT.com - 1st presence of a weekend opener...

13.9% Post, The

8% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

7.5% Greatest Showman, The

6.8% 12 Strong

6.5% Star Wars: The Last Jedi

 

EDIT: Beat me by 1 second:)...great minds think alike!

Edited January 18, 2018 by TwoMisfits

[filmlover]

12 Strong will have a run very similar to 13 Hours. Book it.

[WrathOfHan]

Tonight at my theater:

 

12 Strong: 11/113

Thieves: 5/78

My Girl: 2/60

[BenedictL11]

51 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Tonight at my theater:

 

12 Strong: 11/113

Thieves: 5/78

My Girl: 2/60

Any comparisons for 12 strong vs. 13 hours, Thieves vs. Sleepless?

[Taylor]

Updated TC's, Tonya is going wide. They also removed CMBYN's count... dunno why.

 

Rank	LW	Title	Distributor	Theater Count	Change	% Change	Week #
> NEW RELEASES
1	-	12 Strong	Warner Bros.	3,002	-	-	1
2	-	Den of Thieves	STX Entertainment	2,300+	-	-	1
3	-	Forever My Girl	Roadside Attractions	1,000	-	-	1
10	-	Kangaroo	Abramorama	2	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
4	19	I, Tonya	Neon	796	+279	+54.0%	7
5	18	Lady Bird	A24	675	+23	+3.5%	12
6	32	Phantom Thread	Focus Features	500	+438	+706.5%	4
8	34	Hostiles	Entertainment Studios	49	+7	+16.7%	5
> NO CHANGE
11	28	Call Me by Your Name	Sony Classics		-	-	9
> DECLINING
7	22	The Disaster Artist	A24	147	-224	-60.4%	8
9	36	The Florida Project	A24	37	-3	-7.5%	16

[Taylor]

50 Shades is tracking at 37-40m per Deadline

Peter Rabbit mid-20's

15:17 to Paris 10m-20m (lol)

 

http://deadline.com/2018/01/fifty-shades-freed-peter-rabbit-clint-eastwood-1517-to-paris-1202245710/

Edited January 18, 2018 by Taylor

[Eric the Ape]

12 Strong	31	1427	2.17%
Den of Thieves	155	923	16.79%

 

 

For whatever reason, Den of Thieves is catching on a tad at my theater. 12 Strong doesn't look very good, but the movie's going to be more walkup-driven, so it's not like it needs incredible presales. I'll see if I can take a look at Maze Runner, Shades, and Panther, but I've got a busy day today, so don't count on it.

[filmlover]

21 minutes ago, Taylor said:

Updated TC's, Tonya is going wide. They also removed CMBYN's count... dunno why.

 

Rank	LW	Title	Distributor	Theater Count	Change	% Change	Week #
> NEW RELEASES
1	-	12 Strong	Warner Bros.	3,002	-	-	1
2	-	Den of Thieves	STX Entertainment	2,300+	-	-	1
3	-	Forever My Girl	Roadside Attractions	1,000	-	-	1
10	-	Kangaroo	Abramorama	2	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
4	19	I, Tonya	Neon	796	+279	+54.0%	7
5	18	Lady Bird	A24	675	+23	+3.5%	12
6	32	Phantom Thread	Focus Features	500	+438	+706.5%	4
8	34	Hostiles	Entertainment Studios	49	+7	+16.7%	5
> NO CHANGE
11	28	Call Me by Your Name	Sony Classics		-	-	9
> DECLINING
7	22	The Disaster Artist	A24	147	-224	-60.4%	8
9	36	The Florida Project	A24	37	-3	-7.5%	16

I, Tonya will likely be going into 1K+ theaters next weekend.

[WrathOfHan]

2 hours ago, BenedictL11 said:

Any comparisons for 12 strong vs. 13 hours, Thieves vs. Sleepless?

Nope. Reserved seating only started back in September 2016, and I've only been tracking this since May-ish

1 hour ago, Taylor said:

50 Shades is tracking at 37-40m per Deadline

Peter Rabbit mid-20's

15:17 to Paris 10m-20m (lol)

 

http://deadline.com/2018/01/fifty-shades-freed-peter-rabbit-clint-eastwood-1517-to-paris-1202245710/

Expected for Fifty Shades

Strong for Peter Rabbit

Honestly, The 15:17 might go even lower. Marketing is SUPER unclear as to what the movie actually is.

[the beast]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

Nope. Reserved seating only started back in September 2016, and I've only been tracking this since May-ish

Expected for Fifty Shades

Strong for Peter Rabbit

Honestly, The 15:17 might go even lower. Marketing is SUPER unclear as to what the movie actually is.

I think Peter Rabbit could actually end up breaking out big enough. like $30m/$125m+

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, the beast said:

I think Peter Rabbit could actually end up breaking out big enough. like $30m/$125m+

I'm somewhat getting that feeling too, especially if A Wrinkle in Time underperforms as much as I think it does

[the beast]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

I'm somewhat getting that feeling too, especially if A Wrinkle in Time underperforms as much as I think it does

James Corden and his insanely popular Carpool Karaokes could end up bringing that audience along with all the family audience

[TwoMisfits]

My locals tonight...

 

1st local (Cinemark)

12 Strong - 17/370

D of T - 9/120

 

2nd local (Regal)

12 Strong - 12/100

D of T - 29/180

 

Nothing amazing yet...and it seems both theaters knew which movie would sell better at each:)...  

[DAJK]

40 minutes ago, the beast said:

James Corden and his insanely popular Carpool Karaokes could end up bringing that audience along with all the family audience

Plus, DAJK humiliating himself dressing up as a rabbit will bring in millions  

[el sid]

I can only try a comparison to „Only the Brave“ which opened to 6M (sometimes I record the data for later comparisons but I hope I did‘t miss something which could be since I don‘t get Pulse and can only look what is reported here.)
Only the Brave appeared on MT several hours later than 12 Strong with 5.4% and the best figure I have (edit: sorry, before the first Friday estimates appeared, I always think in European time) was 9.5% on Friday ca. 11am-2pm American time (8pm in Germany).
And on Pulse OTB didn‘t appear till Tuesday after its OW.
So I also think the result of 13 Hours is a good benchmark.

MT update:

#1 The Post 13.5%
#2 12 Strong 8%
#3 The Greatest Showman 7.6%
#4 Jumanji 7.6%
#5 Den of Thieves 6.3%

Edited January 18, 2018 by el sid

[KeepItU25071906]

Butler and Hemsworth precales is going nose to nose. 

 

Is it means 10-12 mln for both or 5-6 mln for both?

[MovieMan89]

3 hours ago, Taylor said:

50 Shades is tracking at 37-40m per Deadline

Peter Rabbit mid-20's

15:17 to Paris 10m-20m (lol)

 

http://deadline.com/2018/01/fifty-shades-freed-peter-rabbit-clint-eastwood-1517-to-paris-1202245710/

These are fantastic for my club if they hold. Both would likely finish 85-95 and miss 100 opening to that. 

Edited January 18, 2018 by MovieMan89