The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Nova]

7 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

I haven't seen any but Atom declared it better selling than A:IW -- it has a $4 ticket T-Mobile promotion.

 

Now will that promo bump previews and front load the w/e in a similar though lesser way than Suicide Squad

 

 

I have that promo but it can be used for the whole weekend (expires the 21st) If I remember correctly the one for SS was just for Friday which is why it had that massive Friday number and then dropped pretty hard Saturday. *But I'm not sure if folks are using it for Thursday only. Just pointing out that it can be used all weekend* 

Edited May 18, 2018 by Nova

[Porthos]

For historical purposes:

 

MT.com at close of tracking:

 

2018-05-18 01:01:28.920820 UTC
1	63.7%	Deadpool 2
2	10.2%	Avengers: Infinity War
3	8.2%	Book Club
4	3.8%	Solo: A Star Wars Story
5	2.2%	Life of the Party

[Porthos]

Solo: A Star Wars Story GREATER SACRAMENTO SELLOUT UPDATE: T-7 Days and counting  

 

Sellouts: 

1/92 (nc) [R1: 6/106]

 

2D:  0/66 (nc) [R1: 4/70]

3D:  0/26 (nc) [R1: 2/36]

 

<<Reserved Theater Info: 71 showings [R1: 46]>>

 

Almost Sold Out (95%+ sold out)

2 (nc) [R1: 4]

 

Nearly Sold Out (90% to 94% sold out)

0 (nc) [R1: 2]

 

Front Two Rows Only (or equivalent)

12 (+2) [R1: 20]

 

Heavily Sold (75% to 89% sold out)

1 (+1) [R1: 0]

 

Weekend Showings

Fr:   0/195

St:   0/197

Su:  0/194

Mo: 0/185

 

---

 

Reserved Seating Breakdown (71/92 showings):

100%:      1 (nc)

90-99%:   2 (nc)

80-89%:   5 (nc)

70-79%:   8 (-1)

60-69%:   6 (+1)

50-59%:   5 (nc)

40-49%:   6 (+1)

30-39%:   5 (-1)

20-29%:   5 (+1)

10-19%:   8 (+2)

0-9%:     20 (-3)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	92	6399	10146	36.93%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:        112

----

.4285x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 7 days before release. (IW had 21 more days of pre-sales)
1.032x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 7 days before release. (BP had 18 more days of pre-sales)
1.124x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2* 7 days before release. (DP2 had two [or so] more days of pre-sales)

 

* NOTE:  DP2 is also playing in 4 more theaters locally and had 19 more screens tracked at the same point in time.  

Edited May 18, 2018 by Porthos

[Nova]

Something to note. Solo has been steadily in the top 5 on Fandango and MT the last couple days. I know it might not have the presales of a typical Star Wars film but I'm thinking it could surprise. 

[TwoMisfits]

On 5/15/2018 at 11:39 PM, TwoMisfits said:

So, still way busy, but it's another tentpole weekend, so here's my 2nd local (Regal) - surprisingly the Cinemark is very slow this weekend to set, but here's how Regal sees it...

 

NEW

Deadpool 2 (3 - 15 showings) (this is less than every opening super set for the past 6-8 months - this is a supers selling, 12-45 aged male theater, so I'm surprised it didn't get the norm 4 screen set that each supers movie since at least Thor 3 has gotten)

Book Club (1 - 5 showings)

Show Dogs (1 - 5 showings)

 

Returning

Breaking In (1)

Life of the Party (1)

Overboard (1)

Avengers IW (2)

A Quiet Place (1 - this movie's continued popularity probably kept Deadpool from the 4th screen)

I Feel Pretty/Rampage (1 - each get 2 showings)

 

Gone

Everything else (I'd check, but you know:)...

So, Regal is no dummie...this morning, DP2 switched to 4 full screens or 20 showings for today (gotta check if they swapped Sat/Sun, too)...to accommodate the change, IFP/Rampage dropped to 1 showing each...AQP loses 2 showings...and a late night showing got added...

 

EDIT to ADD: Sat is at 17 showings, only taking the dropped IFP/Rampage showings so far...

Edited May 18, 2018 by TwoMisfits

[eXtacy]

Oh damn Solo been downgraded to 120m-3 day and 330m total by Box Office 

 

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-hotel-transylvania-3-summer-vacation-skyscraper/

[Rebeccas]

Just now, eXtacy said:

Oh damn Solo been downgraded to 120m-3 day and 330m total by Box Office 

 

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-hotel-transylvania-3-summer-vacation-skyscraper/

Makes sense.

[Lordmandeep]

Would a family type theatre underperform for a movie like deadpool...

 

My local theater is not very busy at all  

[TalismanRing]

1 hour ago, Lordmandeep said:

Would a family type theatre underperform for a movie like deadpool...

 

My local theater is not very busy at all  

Quote

At mobile movie ticket retailer Atom Tickets, Deadpool 2 now holds the record for the highest pre-sale volume of all time, displacing Avengers: Infinity War. Deadpool 2 Atom ticket buyers are 61% male, 39% female, which is more male than their average R-rated advance ticket buyers who are 57% under the age of 34; 80% who don’t have kids.

http://deadline.com/2018/05/ryan-reynolds-deadpool-2-weekend-box-office-opening-1202393815/

 

 

Edited May 18, 2018 by TalismanRing

[Sam]

Theaters in my area has Friday matinees look quite slow but night shows around 6-9pm looking great.

 

It’s definitely going up big time from 52M.

 

Saturday still hasn’t picked up much  since 2 days ago though.

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, Sam said:

Theaters in my area has Friday matinees look quite slow but night shows around 6-9pm looking great.

 

It’s definitely going up big time from 52M.

 

Saturday still hasn’t picked up much  since 2 days ago though.

72% of colleges let out today according to Deadline and that's a huge section of DP's audience.  So they should (I say should) know that when calculating night shows.  If it's that driven by the college age crowd then Sat not doing family business jumps makes sense. Last time DP had Valentine's Day and they were pushing it's romantic angle which probably helped Sat a bit as well as Sunday.  Also, it's a sequel so a  bit more front loading is to be expected.

 

[Porthos]

Solo: A Star Wars Story GREATER SACRAMENTO SELLOUT UPDATE: T-6 Days and counting  

 

Sellouts: 

1/92 (nc) [R1: 7/107]

 

2D:  0/66 (nc) [R1: 5/71]

3D:  0/26 (nc) [R1: 2/36]

 

<<Reserved Theater Info: 71 showings [R1: 46]>>

 

Almost Sold Out (95%+ sold out)

2 (nc) [R1: 3]

 

Nearly Sold Out (90% to 94% sold out)

0 (nc) [R1: 5]

 

Front Two Rows Only (or equivalent)

14 (+2) [R1: 19]

 

Heavily Sold (75% to 89% sold out)

1 (+1) [R1: 0]

 

Weekend Showings

Fr:   0/195

St:   0/197

Su:  0/194

Mo: 0/185

 

---

 

Reserved Seating Breakdown (71/92 showings):

100%:      1 (nc)

90-99%:   2 (nc)

80-89%:   5 (nc)

70-79%:   9 (+1)

60-69%:   5 (-1)

50-59%:   7 (+2)

40-49%:   5 (-1)

30-39%:   5 (nc)

20-29%:   4 (-1)

10-19%:   9 (+1)

0-9%:     19 (-1)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	92	6317	10146	37.74%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:         82

----

.4250x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 6 days before release. (IW had 21 more days of pre-sales)
1.003x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 7 days before release. (BP had 18 more days of pre-sales)
1.074x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2* 7 days before release. (DP2 had two [or so] more days of pre-sales)

 

* NOTE:  DP2 is also playing in 4 more theaters locally and had 19 more screens tracked at the same point in time.  

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

(May 19, 2018) 12:30PM ET - MT Update 

 

60.4% Deadpool 2

14.8% Avengers: Infinity War 

8.1% Book Club

2.9% Show Dogs

2.8% Life of the Party

[TwoMisfits]

2 hours ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

(May 19, 2018) 12:30PM ET - MT Update 

 

60.4% Deadpool 2

14.8% Avengers: Infinity War 

8.1% Book Club

2.9% Show Dogs

2.8% Life of the Party

Hmmm, not seeing Solo surprises me, even if it is Saturday...Show Dogs is only looking at mid single digits, so you'd think a Star Wars movie could be matching the presales of that a week out.

[MrGlass2]

Just now, TwoMisfits said:

Hmmm, not seeing Solo surprises me, even if it is Saturday...Show Dogs is only looking at mid single digits, so you'd think a Star Wars movie could be matching the presales of that a week out.

Updated by @akvalley: 2018-05-19 12:58:44 Central (Lock time Fridays 11:00:00)
BUY TIME	TICKETS	MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2018-05-19 12:00:00	2031	Deadpool 2
2018-05-19 12:00:00	657	Avengers Infinity War
2018-05-19 12:00:00	301	Book Club
2018-05-19 12:00:00	213	Deadpool 2 The IMAX 2D Experience
2018-05-19 12:00:00	125	Life of the Party
2018-05-19 12:00:00	121	Show Dogs
2018-05-19 12:00:00	88	Breaking In (2018)
2018-05-19 12:00:00	71	Avengers Infinity War 3D
2018-05-19 12:00:00	70	Overboard (2018)
2018-05-19 12:00:00	64	A Quiet Place
2018-05-19 12:00:00	52	Solo A Star Wars Story
2018-05-19 12:00:00	28	Rampage (2018)
2018-05-19 12:00:00	21	RBG
2018-05-19 12:00:00	15	I Feel Pretty
2018-05-19 12:00:00	13	Tully (2018)
2018-05-19 12:00:00	11	Solo A Star Wars Story 3D
2018-05-19 12:00:00	11	Mahanati
2018-05-19 12:00:00	10	Raazi
2018-05-19 12:00:00	9	Incredibles 2
2018-05-19 12:00:00	9	Disobedience (2018)
2018-05-19 12:00:00	8	Ready Player One
2018-05-19 12:00:00	8	Solo A Star Wars Story The IMAX 2D Experience

[grim22]

5 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Hmmm, not seeing Solo surprises me, even if it is Saturday...Show Dogs is only looking at mid single digits, so you'd think a Star Wars movie could be matching the presales of that a week out.

From the archives, this is Rogue One same time before release

 

R1: 18.6

OCP: 16.3

Moana: 11.2

MbtS: 7.3

FB: 6.7

[Barnack]

That does not look like you usual Star Wars pre-sales non sense, right ?

 

The R1 comp above, seem to confirm that.

Edited May 19, 2018 by Barnack

[Porthos]

Solo: A Star Wars Story GREATER SACRAMENTO SELLOUT UPDATE: T-5 Days and counting  

 

Sellouts: 

1/92 (nc) [R1: 8/107]

 

2D:  0/66 (nc) [R1: 6/71]

3D:  0/26 (nc) [R1: 2/36]

 

<<Reserved Theater Info: 71 showings [R1: 46]>>

 

Almost Sold Out (95%+ sold out)

2 (nc) [R1: 4]

 

Nearly Sold Out (90% to 94% sold out)

0 (nc) [R1: 5]

 

Front Two Rows Only (or equivalent)

14 (nc) [R1: 20]

 

Heavily Sold (75% to 89% sold out)

1 (nc) [R1: 1]

 

Weekend Showings

Fr:   0/195

St:   0/197

Su:  0/194

Mo: 0/185

 

---

 

Reserved Seating Breakdown (71/92 showings):

100%:      1 (nc)

90-99%:   2 (nc)

80-89%:   6 (+1)

70-79%:   9 (nc)

60-69%:   4 (-1)

50-59%:   7 (nc)

40-49%:   6 (+1)

30-39%:   4 (-1)

20-29%:   7 (+3)

10-19%:   9 (nc)

0-9%:     16 (-3)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	92	6228	10146	38.62%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:         89

----

.4235x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 5 days before release. (IW had 21 more days of pre-sales)
.9790x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 5 days before release. (BP had 18 more days of pre-sales)
1.050x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2* 5 days before release. (DP2 had two [or so] more days of pre-sales)

 

* NOTE:  DP2 is also playing in 4 more theaters locally and had 19 more screens tracked at the same point in time.  

[Nova]

Just did a check for Solo for Thursday night at my theater. It has 3 2D showtimes and 2 3D showtimes 

 

2D 
7:00 PM 85/116 
9:15 PM 88/142 
10:45 PM 36/142 

 

3D 
7:00 PM 84/142 
10:15 PM 30/116 

 

Two things I noticed. My theater is not being bullish on this at all especially compared to other Star Wars films. Secondly it also has one less showtime than DP2 at this point in time which I'm actually surprised about but DP2 did get an additional three on Wednesday so I will check to see if my theater does the same for Solo. 
*Also to note the Regal and United Artists that I did last minute tracking for DP2 isn't being bullish on this either with showtimes compared to other Star Wars films. I haven't done a seat count for it but I think I will as the date gets closer. 

 

I think before I had it at $140M for the 3-day and like $170M for the 4-day but I think I'm going to lower those. I ignored the warning signs with DP2 leading up to release so I don't know if I want to make that same mistake again. I'm gonna go with $120M for the 3-day and $140M for the 4-day. If I see an uptick in sales I'll obviously change it. 

[TwoMisfits]

6 hours ago, Nova said:

Just did a check for Solo for Thursday night at my theater. It has 3 2D showtimes and 2 3D showtimes 

 

2D 
7:00 PM 85/116 
9:15 PM 88/142 
10:45 PM 36/142 

 

3D 
7:00 PM 84/142 
10:15 PM 30/116 

 

Two things I noticed. My theater is not being bullish on this at all especially compared to other Star Wars films. Secondly it also has one less showtime than DP2 at this point in time which I'm actually surprised about but DP2 did get an additional three on Wednesday so I will check to see if my theater does the same for Solo. 
*Also to note the Regal and United Artists that I did last minute tracking for DP2 isn't being bullish on this either with showtimes compared to other Star Wars films. I haven't done a seat count for it but I think I will as the date gets closer. 

 

I think before I had it at $140M for the 3-day and like $170M for the 4-day but I think I'm going to lower those. I ignored the warning signs with DP2 leading up to release so I don't know if I want to make that same mistake again. I'm gonna go with $120M for the 3-day and $140M for the 4-day. If I see an uptick in sales I'll obviously change it. 

Something I'm noticing with Solo...we may have a TLJ pt 2 situation where this movie just really struggles at the 10pm or later showings as it goes...maybe it's the age and period of life of the fan base, but I would not be surprised again if anything past the 10pm hour (except maybe on preview night and Friday) just sells like a mediocre opener...

 

Presales at my theaters mirror the ones above - very sold at the 7s/8s (through the weekend)...very unsold once 10pm happens...