What a WONDERful Weekend | WW down only 16% on Sunday. 103M weekend. pg 226

[Finnick]

SLYGHTLY BETTER FOR THE LEFTOVERS (HOLDOVERS...SORRY)!!!

 

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	-	Wonder Woman	WB	$38,850,000	-	-	4,165	$9,328	$38,850,000	1
2	-	Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie	Fox	$8,000,000	-	-	3,434	$2,330	$8,000,000	1
3	1	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales	BV	$6,267,000	+82%	-73%	4,276	$1,466	$99,275,771	8
4	2	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	BV	$2,667,000	+90%	-50%	3,507	$760	$348,408,332	29
5	3	Baywatch	Par.	$2,625,000	+97%	-54%	3,647	$720	$35,849,438	9
6	4	Alien: Covenant	Fox	$1,115,000	+51%	-63%	2,660	$419	$64,334,484	15
7	5	Everything, Everything	WB	$1,060,000	+100%	-49%	2,375	$446	$26,041,587	15
8	8	Snatched	Fox	$390,000	+41%	-64%	1,625	$240	$42,918,414	22
9	7	Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul	Fox	$360,000	+2%	-72%	2,088	$172	$16,964,604	15
10	9	King Arthur: Legend of the Sword	WB	$325,000	+47%	-63%	1,222	$266	$36,327,957	22
11	-	3 Idiotas	PNT	$175,000	-	-	349	$501	$175,000	1
12	11	Beauty and the Beast (2017)	BV	$172,000	+37%	-52%	527	$326	$501,650,471	78
-	10	The Boss Baby	Fox	$168,000	+2%	-60%	684	$246	$170,468,564	64
-	12	The Fate of the Furious	Uni.	$135,000	+63%	-64%	593	$228	$223,452,935	50
-	-	How to be a Latin Lover	PNT	$66,000	+53%	-71%	277	$238	$31,489,504	36
-	-	Gifted	FoxS	$47,000	+49%	-53%	225	$209	$23,936,345	57
-	-	Born in China	BV	$38,000	+72%	-23%	115	$330	$13,629,323	43
-	-	Love, Kennedy	Purd.	$25,900	-	-	19	$1,363	$25,900	1
-	-	Dean	CBS	$18,572	-	-	15	$1,238	$18,572	1
-	-	Champion	AAE	$915	-0%	-72%	5	$183	$148,816	15

[Brainiac5]

19 minutes ago, YourMother said:

I can see the underestimating SMHC, and overestimating T:R, however Black Panther has the perfect spot. It's in February (Black History Month), opens Presidents Day weekend, weak competition in February (PR (probably $85M-$115M) and Early Man will hurt each other, MR and PRU won't do much, 50SF will do ~$110M at the most), has a lot of goodwill and will likely have a lot of buzz. Not to mention HF and GO both did $160M+. Thinking the range for Panther domestic $235M-$350M.

I really believe the film potential isn't to be a 100 mil opener but more of A 65-75mil

[That One Girl]

Wonder Woman's legs:

 

 

Guardians of the Galaxy 2's legs:

 

 

Kong's legs:

 

 

Beauty and the Beast's legs:

 

 

Alien: Covenant's legs:

 

 

Baywatch's legs:

 

 

Pirates of the Caribbean 5's legs:

 

[grim22]

3 minutes ago, MikeQ said:

 

<<Prev Day <Wk <Mo <Yr	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017	>Yr >Mo >Wk >>Next Day
TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 - Wonder Woman WB $38,850,000 - - 4,165 $9,328 $38,850,000 1 2 - Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie Fox $8,000,000 - - 3,434 $2,330 $8,000,000 1 3 1 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV $6,267,000 +82% -73% 4,276 $1,466 $99,275,771 8 4 2 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV $2,667,000 +90% -50% 3,507 $760 $348,408,332 29 5 3 Baywatch Par. $2,625,000 +97% -54% 3,647 $720 $35,849,438 9 6 4 Alien: Covenant Fox $1,115,000 +51% -63% 2,660 $419 $64,334,484 15 7 5 Everything, Everything WB $1,060,000 +100% -49% 2,375 $446 $26,041,587 15 8 8 Snatched Fox $390,000 +41% -64% 1,625 $240 $42,918,414 22 9 7 Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul Fox $360,000 +2% -72% 2,088 $172 $16,964,604 15 10 9 King Arthur: Legend of the Sword WB $325,000 +47% -63% 1,222 $266 $36,327,957 22 11 - 3 Idiotas PNT $175,000 - - 349 $501 $175,000 1 12 11 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $172,000 +37% -52% 527 $326 $501,650,471 78

 

Dem drops.

 

Pirates plundered, Baywatch all at sea, Alien deported.

[franfar]

2 minutes ago, That Covfefe Guy said:

Wonder Woman's legs:

 

 

Guardians of the Galaxy 2's legs:

 

 

Kong's legs:

 

 

Beauty and the Beast's legs:

 

 

Alien: Covenant's legs:

 

 

Baywatch's legs:

 

 

Pirates of the Caribbean 5's legs:

 

But you're not @MCKillswitch123

[That One Girl]

Just now, franfar said:

But you're not @MCKillswitch123

 

too fuckin bad.

[franfar]

Just now, That Covfefe Guy said:

 

too fuckin bad.

3/10

 

[YM!]

4 minutes ago, Nova said:

The Hulk and Strange aren't enough to drive a film $15M+ from the previous film on OW especially after the film before it wasn't well received.

 

And I'm not trying to sound like an ass but why would Black History Month affect Black Panther's OW? I definitely think it'll help its run and it'll give it a great multiplier but OW is all about the rush factor and like I said if Wonder Woman with glowing reviews can barely make it over $100M, why would Black Panther a lesser known character fly by it? 

 

Having said this I'm not writing off Black Panther completely from getting to $100M (remember I have it at $90M) without seeing it's trailer and marketing first so maybe in a couple months I'll change my tune BUT my overall point remains. Folks underestimate how hard it is to get to $100M OW because they see it often now, but it's not easy. 

 

Thor is a completely different scenario and I think folks are just using their own personal hype to create these absurd expectations for it. 

Remember Wonder Woman was tracking mainly at Males over 25 and had a family friendly opener to deal with. I think Panther is not only going to be great (Coogler I trust) but get a lot of media attention too.

[MOVIEGUY]

1 minute ago, Nova said:

The Hulk and Strange aren't enough to drive a film $15M+ from the previous film on OW especially after the film before it wasn't well received.

 

And I'm not trying to sound like an ass but why would Black History Month affect Black Panther's OW? I definitely think it'll help its run and it'll give it a great multiplier but OW is all about the rush factor and like I said if Wonder Woman with glowing reviews can barely make it over $100M, why would Black Panther a lesser known character fly by it? 

 

Having said this I'm not writing off Black Panther completely from getting to $100M (remember I have it at $90M) without seeing it's trailer and marketing first so maybe in a couple months I'll change my tune BUT my overall point remains. Folks underestimate how hard it is to get to $100M OW because they see it often now, but it's not easy. 

 

Thor is a completely different scenario and I think folks are just using their own personal hype to create these absurd expectations for it. 

 

Dude you have a Deadpool avatar, that pretty much answers your question. Character recognition is important, but not as important as making a unique movie that connects with audiences and feels like something they haven't seen before, and I think Black Panthher's gonna deliver.

[James]

Did I miss something? Why are people predicting 100m for Black Panther. Isn't the character an F-class superhero? 

[The Panda]

I wouldn't jump the gun on WW's legs.  I think it will have good comic book movie legs, but who knows?  Stranger things have happened.

[MCKillswitch123]

5 minutes ago, That Covfefe Guy said:

 

too fuckin bad.

 

[That One Girl]

Just now, MCKillswitch123 said:

 

 

You can still make your own .

[ZeeSoh]

Deadline revised their estimates to 38.7m OD and 97.1m OW.

And yay gotg2 went up!!!!!

 

1.). Wonder Woman  (WB), 4,165 theaters / $38.7M Fri. (includes $11M previews)/3-day cume: $97.1M/Total: Wk 2

2.). Captain Underpants  (DWA/20TH), 3,434 theaters / $8M Fri. (includes $650K previews) /3-day cume: $25.7M/Total: Wk 1

3.). Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales  (DIS), 4,276 theaters / $6.3M Fri. (-73%)/3-day cume: $21.3M (-66%)/Total:$114.3M/ Wk 2

4.). The Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 2 (DIS), 3,507 theaters (-364) / $2.6M Fri.(-51%) /3-day cume: $9.7M (-54%) /  Total: $355.4M / Wk 5

5.). Baywatch (FOX), 3,647 theaters / $2.6M Fri.(-54%)/ 3-day cume: $8.5M (-54%)/Total:$41.3M/ Wk 2

6.). Alien: Covenant (FOX), 2,660 theaters (-1,112) / $1.1M Fri. (-61%)  /$3-day cume: $3.9M (-63%)/Total: $67.1M Wk 3

7.). Everything, Everything (WB/MGM), 2,375 theaters (-426) / $1M Fri. (-50%)//3-day cume: $3.1M (-48%) /Total:$28.1M/  Wk 3

8/9.). Snatched (FOX), 1,625 theaters (-1,033) / $385K Fri. (-65%)  /3-day cume: $1.3M (-68%) / Total:$43.8 M / Wk 4

Diary Of A Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul (FOX), 2,088 theaters (-1,086) / $368K Fri. (-71%) / 3-day cume: $1.3M (-70%)/ Total: $17.9M/Wk 3

10.). King Arthur: Legend Of The Sword (WB/VR), 1,222 theaters (-1,281)/ $322K  Fri. (-64%) /3-day cume: $1.1M (-67%) /Total:$37.1M / Wk 4

Notables:

3 Idiotas  (LG), 349 theaters / $175K Fri. /3-day cume: $597K/Total: Wk 1

[YM!]

3 minutes ago, James said:

Did I miss something? Why are people predicting 100m for Black Panther. Isn't the character an F-class superhero? 

1.) First African American Superhero movie since Blade Trinity. Also in the golden age of CBMs.

2.) Civil War goodwill.

3.) Opens in Black History Month and has a four day OW.

4.) Weak competition in February. Also a normal devoid January.

5.) Hidden Figures and Get Out broke out massively.

6.) MCU brand and great talent (Coogler and Cole (directing and writing))

Edited June 3, 2017 by YourMother

[MrPink]

2 minutes ago, James said:

Did I miss something? Why are people predicting 100m for Black Panther. Isn't the character an F-class superhero? 

 

I'm assuming he's no more F class than somebody like Dr. Strange and he's appealing to a very under-served demographic, in terms of a black superhero (Blade is the only one in that space really). Also, people expect it to be really good because Ryan Coogler

[excel1]

This should have a tremendous multiple. I don't think $300m is a question but BVS and beyond is the question.

[James]

Just now, YourMother said:

1.) First African American Superhero movie since Blade Trinity. Also in the golden age of CBMs.

2.) Civil War goodwill.

3.) Opens in Black History Month and has a four day OW.

4.) Weak competition in February.

5.) Hidden Figures and Get Out broke out massively.

6.) MCU brand and great talent (Coogler and Cole (directing and writing))

Yeah, that guarantees an opening around 60m. Which for an unknown SH is very good.

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, MOVIEGUY said:

 

Dude you have a Deadpool avatar, that pretty much answers your question. Character recognition is important, but not as important as making a unique movie that connects with audiences and feels like something they haven't seen before, and I think Black Panthher's gonna deliver.

Deadpool had one of the best if not the best marketing campaigns for a film in the last 15 years. 

 

I feel like this tidbit is something thats completely forgotten on these forums. 

 

Yes Deadpool had insane WOM throughout the weekend that it opened but it also had a marketing campaign that was out of this world. Almost everything that was released by the marketing team went viral. Even billboards for the film went viral....remember the emoji billboard? 

 

People keep trying to use Deadpool as a reason for why x film will do great numbers OW without realizing that a film like Deadpool is the exception and not the rule. 

 

I said id wait for Black Panther's trailer and marketing before writing it off from reaching $100M because I do believe it'll hit $90M but right now I think a lot of you are creating expectations for the film based on your own personal hype. It's done for every single one of these movies. 

 

 

[MOVIEGUY]

3 minutes ago, James said:

Did I miss something? Why are people predicting 100m for Black Panther. Isn't the character an F-class superhero? 

 

I'd say about as recognizable as Deadpool. Has a cast and director that people are really excited about, plus the bonus of being in the MCU, doesn't seem crazy at all to me.