5-day Weekend #s: DM3 99M, BD 29.97M, WW 24.07M, TF5 24.05M, Cars 3 14.2M, House 11.9M

[grim22]

@MikeQ should make a thread for his lists in the "Classic Box Office" forum. Will be a great reference for legs, classic runs etc.

[misafeco]

WW 400M DOM yes or no?

[cannastop]

2 minutes ago, misafeco said:

WW 400M DOM yes or no?

It depends on how it fends off Spider-Man.

[cannastop]

The Mummy went up from estimates.

[Mr Impossible]

5 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

I don't think so. Lot of it's OS markets are post DM3. If it get a China release then can do 450.

 

It's been underperforming everywhere from Cars 2. In big markets like Australia, Mexico and Russia it's dropped 30-50% from it. 

[grim22]

8 minutes ago, misafeco said:

WW 400M DOM yes or no?

 

Worst case scenario - it follows MoS dailies post Independence Day weekend for MoS. It ends with 382M. Would basically mean a 4.8M weekend and a 70% fall from last weekend. Next worst case is following SS dailies from this weekend forward, would get it to 387M, which would mean a 5.7M weekend and a 65% fall from last weekend. 390 looks highly possible unless it collapses 70% this weekend. 

 

If it gets to 395M, it will get dragged over the 400M mark by WB come what may since the target will be too close to not do it. Anything below 395M may not be worth it.

[a2k]

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
2017/06/30	1	$29,005,340		4,529	$6,404	$29,005,340	1
2017/07/01	1	$24,330,080	-16%	4,529	$5,372	$53,335,420	2
2017/07/02	1	$19,098,605	-22%	4,529	$4,217	$72,434,025	3
2017/07/03	1	$13,857,900	-27%	4,529	$3,060	$86,291,925	4
2017/07/04	1	$12,728,355	-8%	4,529	$2,810	$99,020,280	5

 

72.434/99.020 for DM3

[a2k]

Gonna be tough for DM3 to fall less than 55% in 2nd weekend

 

6.3 (-50%)

5.9 (-6%)

9.44 (+60%)

13.2 (+40%)

9.9 (-25%) [ 32.54 weekend / -55.0% ]

[Filmovie]

http://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons/Wonder-Woman-(2017)/Guardians-of-the-Galaxy-Vol-2

 

 

Oh yeah!

 

 

[grim22]

	Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Despicable Me 3	Universal	$12,728,355	-8%	4,529	$2,810	$99,020,280	5
2	(2)	Baby Driver	Sony Pictures	$4,414,387	-12%	3,226	$1,368	$39,003,927	7
3	(3)	Wonder Woman	Warner Bros.	$4,064,569	-6%	3,404	$1,194	$354,602,300	33
4	(4)	Transformers: The Last Knight	Paramount Pictures	$3,486,697	-5%	4,132	$844	$109,158,195	14
5	(5)	Cars 3	Walt Disney	$2,076,966	-13%	3,576	$581	$125,350,795	19
6	(6)	The House	Warner Bros.	$1,512,056	-9%	3,134	$482	$11,905,080	5
7	(7)	47 Meters Down	Entertainment Studi…	$879,158	-16%	2,250	$391	$34,350,297	19
8	(8)	The Mummy	Universal	$691,240	-4%	1,760	$393	$76,143,865	26
9	(9)	Pirates of the Caribbean: D…	Walt Disney	$669,598	+3%	1,674	$400	$166,899,822	40
10	(10)	The Beguiled	Focus Features	$600,539	-4%	674	$891	$4,707,995	12
-	(-)	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2	Walt Disney	$425,878	-6%	966	$441	$384,262,086	61
-	(-)	The Big Sick	Lionsgate	$360,373	-11%	71	$5,076	$2,973,888	12
-	(-)	All Eyez on Me	Lionsgate	$308,562	-17%	1,258	$245	$43,358,982	19
-	(-)	Beatriz at Dinner	Roadside Attractions	$263,964	+9%	683	$386	$5,217,900	26
-	(-)	Captain Underpants: The Fir…	20th Century Fox	$254,858	-10%	1,452	$176	$69,798,274	33
-	(-)	The Hero	The Orchard	$237,856	+27%	401	$593	$1,945,894	26
-	(-)	Rough Night	Sony Pictures	$230,191	-27%	1,657	$139	$20,887,146	19
-	(-)	The Book of Henry	Focus Features	$89,805	+32%	363	$247	$4,027,872	19
-	(-)	The Boss Baby	20th Century Fox	$43,410	-16%	215	$202	$173,626,315	96
-	(-)	Baywatch	Paramount Pictures	$38,620	-24%	196	$197	$57,360,207	41
-	(-)	The Fate of the Furious	Universal	$32,925	-24%	144	$229	$225,526,700	82
-	(-)	King Arthur: Legend of the …	Warner Bros.	$27,507	-8%	172	$160	$38,909,033	54
-	(-)	Alien: Covenant	20th Century Fox	$27,090	-26%	213	$127	$73,716,958	47
-	(-)	It Comes at Night	A24	$26,498	-35%	174	$152	$13,603,575	26
-	(-)	The Exception	A24	$25,872	+32%	48	$539	$426,406	33
-	(-)	Beauty and the Beast	Walt Disney	$17,580	-5%	156	$113	$503,896,038	110
-	(-)	My Cousin Rachel	Fox Searchlight	$14,316	+8%	61	$235	$2,612,612	26
-	(-)	Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The L…	20th Century Fox	$13,523	-13%	135	$100	$20,507,718	47
-	(-)	Snatched	20th Century Fox	$12,423	-5%	143	$87	$45,744,932	54
-	(-)	Going in Style	Warner Bros.	$11,732	+26%	77	$152	$44,965,388	89

[grim22]

Is Going In Style the leggiest movie of the year? I mean, not that it is surprising, I predicted 12M/40M+ before it released and it will basically do 12/45-46M before ending its run. It has also made almost 85M WW. Will be a pretty good profit maker for WB and play on Sunday afternoon cable TV endlessly forever. Everything, Everything also turning into a decent moneymaker, 50M WW on a 10M budget.

[grim22]

5-Day Grosses for June 30 - July 4:#DespicableMe3 - $99.02M#BabyDriver - $29.97M#WonderWoman - $24.07M#Transformers5 - $24.05M

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) July 5, 2017

5-Day Grosses for June 30 - July 4:#Cars3 - $14.16M#TheHouse - $11.91M#47MetersDown - $6.44M#TheMummy - $4.43M#TheBeguiled - $4.39M

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) July 5, 2017

[a2k]

I don't think we made enough noise when Wondy crossed 350.

 

WEEKENDS:

 

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
2017/06/02	1	$103,251,471		4,165	$24,790	$103,251,471	3
2017/06/09	1	$58,520,672	-43%	4,165	$14,051	$206,343,175	10
2017/06/16	2	$41,268,850	-29%	4,018	$10,271	$275,095,580	17
2017/06/23	2	$24,906,310	-40%	3,933	$6,333	$318,111,468	24
2017/06/30	4	$15,706,011	-37%	3,404	$4,614	$346,235,486	31

 

JULY 4TH 5-DAY WEEKEND:

 

2017/06/30	4	$4,382,471	+63%	3,404	$1,287	$334,911,946	29
2017/07/01	4	$6,066,112	+38%	3,404	$1,782	$340,978,058	30
2017/07/02	4	$5,257,428	-13%	3,404	$1,544	$346,235,486	31
2017/07/03	3	$4,302,245	-18%	3,404	$1,264	$350,537,731	32
2017/07/04	3	$4,064,569	-6%	3,404	$1,194	$354,602,300	33

 

[setna]

6 hours ago, baumer said:

 

I love Titanic.  And the run it went on is incredible.  But to be fair, it's a completely different era.  It was the last big run before DVD really came into its own.  So I'm taking nothing away from what it did, but that was 20 years ago.  A lot has changed since then.

 

Hey Baumer, i know you´re a big lover of Titanic movie and it´s run, but please don´t take merits out. In the 90´s there wasn´t DVD but there was VHS and it was very popular.

I remember movies even in the first 90´s which run was hurted for VHS sessions at home, and in Europe we also had a lot of tv channels and other things like multiplexes where all the people wanted to see new things all the time.

I think the run of Titanic would be the same or almost the same right now, cause it was a cultural phenomenom that really seldom happens.

Edited July 5, 2017 by setna
mistakes

[setna]

5 hours ago, Barnack said:

 

Titanic run look a lot like ET runs, not sure about unique there is at least 3 other movie in that category.

 

Gone With the Wind, first Star Wars, ET, and maybe a couple of others, with very similar run (in term of market share of their respective era)

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/bestranked.htm?page=WKNDSAT10&p=.htm

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/bestranked.htm?page=WKNDSCAT10&p=.htm

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/bestranked.htm?page=WKNDSAT5&p=.htm

 

After any kind of home entertainment apart TV, Titanic is unique.

E.T., Star Wars, and for sure GWTW were pre- VHS, DV, Internet age

[PhantomX1313]

Yuh Wondy 24M 5day #s soon BD will be overtaken by it

[Barnack]

4 hours ago, setna said:

 

After any kind of home entertainment apart TV, Titanic is unique.

E.T., Star Wars, and for sure GWTW were pre- VHS, DV, Internet age

 

After VHS became popular I think you are right, only Force Awaken came close (is it close enough to not make Titanic unique ? it would still have a very different performance pattern anyway in term of legs versus first weekend).

 

Force Awaken

Awaken Box office: 936m (966.47m after inflation)

2015 Yearly box office: $11,129.4

Awaken vs the year total BO ratio: 936 / 11,129 = 0.084

 

Box office movie average for the movie ranked #2-11: 326.32m

Awaken ratio versus the next 10 biggest movie of the year bo average: 2.86 (it would be of 3.22 without Jurassic World massive bo)

 

Titanic

Titanic Box office: 600.788 (916.09m after inflation)

1997 yearly box office: $6,365.9

Titanic vs the year total BO ratio: 600.788 / 6,365.9= 0.094

 

Box office movie average for the movie ranked #2-11: 162.42m

Titanic ratio versus the next 10 biggest movie of the year bo average: 3.7

 

Titanic performance is very comparable to the performance of E.T. in 1982 (and I think people have made the same type of exercise with Gone with the wind, Star wars and Sound of music to find very similar number between all those gigantic run in term of market share, with Gone with the wind being the best by a little bit):

 

E.T.

ET Bo: 359.2m (910.96m after inflation)

1982 yearly box office: 3,453.0

ET ratio vs the year total BO : 359.2 / 3,453.0 =  0.104

 

Box office movie average for the movie #2-11: 95.176m

ET ratio versus the next 10 biggest movie of the year bo average: 3.77

Edited July 6, 2017 by Barnack

[Humbgul]

2 hours ago, grim22 said:

 

Worst case scenario - it follows MoS dailies post Independence Day weekend for MoS. It ends with 382M. Would basically mean a 4.8M weekend and a 70% fall from last weekend. Next worst case is following SS dailies from this weekend forward, would get it to 387M, which would mean a 5.7M weekend and a 65% fall from last weekend. 390 looks highly possible unless it collapses 70% this weekend. 

 

If it gets to 395M, it will get dragged over the 400M mark by WB come what may since the target will be too close to not do it. Anything below 395M may not be worth it.

So it's more likely than not that WW is going to beat Guardians 2?

[grim22]

33 minutes ago, Humbgul said:

So it's more likely than not that WW is going to beat Guardians 2?

 

Depends completely on the hold this weekend.

[grim22]

Official 5-day

 

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	Despicable Me 3	Uni.	$99,020,280	-	4,259	-	$23,250	$99,020,280	$80	1
2	N	Baby Driver	Sony	$29,974,822	-	3,226	-	$9,292	$39,003,927	$34	1
3	-	Wonder Woman	WB	$24,072,825	-	3,403	-	$7,074	$354,602,300	$149	5
4	-	Transformers: The Last Knight	Par.	$24,054,844	-	4,132	-	$5,822	$109,158,195	$217	2
5	-	Cars 3	BV	$14,160,696	-	3,576	-	$3,960	$125,350,795	-	3
6	N	The House	WB (NL)	$11,905,080	-	3,134	-	$3,799	$11,905,080	-	1
7	-	47 Meters Down	ENTMP	$5,396,301	-	2,250	-	$2,398	$34,350,297	-	3
8	-	The Mummy (2017)	Uni.	$4,427,025	-	1,760	-	$2,515	$76,143,865	$125	4
9	-	The Beguiled (2017)	Focus	$4,388,547	-	674	-	$6,511	$4,707,995	-	2
10	-	Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales	BV	$3,844,235	-	1,674	-	$2,296	$166,899,822	$230	6
11	-	All Eyez on Me	LG/S	$2,506,519	-	1,258	-	$1,992	$43,358,982	-	3
12	-	Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	BV	$2,418,111	-	966	-	$2,503	$384,262,086	$200	9
13	-	The Big Sick	LGF	$2,417,398	-	71	-	$34,048	$2,973,388	-	2
14	-	Rough Night	Sony	$1,821,499	-	1,657	-	$1,099	$20,887,146	$20	3
15	-	Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie	Fox	$1,652,481	-	1,452	-	$1,138	$69,798,274	-	5
16	-	Beatriz At Dinner	RAtt.	$1,563,416	-	683	-	$2,289	$5,217,900	-	4
17	-	The Hero	Orch.	$1,264,547	-	401	-	$3,153	$1,945,894	-	4
18	-	Megan Leavey	BST	$773,267	-	433	-	$1,786	$12,096,394	-	4
19	-	The Book of Henry	Focus	$427,965	-	363	-	$1,179	$4,027,872	-	3
20	-	Paris Can Wait	SPC	$390,358	-	214	-	$1,824	$4,831,152	-	8
21	-	Baywatch	Par.	$337,460	-	196	-	$1,722	$57,360,207	$69	6
22	-	The Boss Baby	Fox	$315,510	-	215	-	$1,467	$173,626,315	-	14
23	-	The Fate of the Furious	Uni.	$235,830	-	144	-	$1,638	$225,526,700	$250	12
24	-	Alien: Covenant	Fox	$235,650	-	213	-	$1,106	$73,716,958	$97	7
25	-	It Comes At Night	A24	$218,045	-	174	-	$1,253	$13,603,576	-	4
26	-	King Arthur: Legend of the Sword	WB	$177,700	-	172	-	$1,033	$38,909,033	$175	8