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Nova

5-day Weekend #s: DM3 99M, BD 29.97M, WW 24.07M, TF5 24.05M, Cars 3 14.2M, House 11.9M

By Nova, in Numbers and Data

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Daxtreme Box Office Gold

Daxtreme

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, MikeQ said:

 

Yep! Once Wonder Woman hits ~$365 million it will be the leggiest live action comic book film of the 21st century, beating out Guardians of the Galaxy's 3.53 multiplier from 2014, which itself beat Spider-Man's 3.52 multiplier from 12 years earlier in 2002. Once Wonder Woman hits ~$369 million, it will be the leggiest $40+ million opening comic book film since Batman in 1989. (This is among Friday openers only, obviously -- those few dratted weekday openers aren't comparable, unfortunately.)

 

If Wonder Woman can hit $391 million (or higher) for its total domestic gross, it will have the 6th best multiplier of ANY film that opened to $70+ million (Friday openers only):

 

Best Multipliers Ever for $70+ Million Opening Films:

  1. Avatar (2009) — 77.0 million (9.73) 
  2. Finding Nemo (2003) — 70.3 million (4.84)
  3. Zootopia (2016) — 75.1 million (4.55)
  4. Inside Out (2015) — 90.4 million (3.94)
  5. American Sniper (2015) — 89.3 million (3.92)
  6. Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (3.79+) — IF IT CAN HIT $391M
  7. Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) — 248.0 million (3.78)
  8. Toy Story 3 (2010) — 110.3 million (3.76)
  9. The Incredibles (2004) — 70.5 million (3.71)
  10. Finding Dory (2016) — 135.1 million (3.60)

Wonder Woman will have achieved this off a $100+ million opening weekend in the summer. Phenomenal stuff. Even if it falls short, it will still be in the top 10.

 

As can be seen, the list is dominated by animated films. Of the films with better multipliers than Wonder Woman (presuming it can hit $391M), three are animated films, one is Avatar (at #1 with its incredible juggernaut of a performance), and the other is American Sniper with its patriotic dominance. 

 

Peace,

Mike

 

In fact, if it hits $391M, it will be the leggiest $100M+ OW movie of all-time (Friday openers only), edging out The Force Awakens

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Agafin Sleeper Hit

Agafin

Posted
Posted

I've just noticed that the Top three movies DOM this year could be:

 

1-The Last Jedi

2- Beauty and The Beast

3- Wonder Woman.

 

Three female led movies. That's a first I think. And it's pretty cool :)

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RamblinRed Box Office Gold

RamblinRed

Posted
Posted

Another movie with an incredible run going back to the really old days was Home Alone.

12 straight weeks at #1 and half a year in the top 10. Even managed to sneak back into the Top 10 for a couple of weeks went it went to the 2nd run theaters.

 

Very different era, but still, very impressive.

 

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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, cannastop said:

How long can Wonder Woman stay in the top 10? 

 

Can it stick around after July 21st? I think that's the real test.

I don't think that is any test at all. It has passed all tests.

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:

Another movie with an incredible run going back to the really old days was Home Alone.

12 straight weeks at #1 and half a year in the top 10. Even managed to sneak back into the Top 10 for a couple of weeks went it went to the 2nd run theaters.

 

Very different era, but still, very impressive.

 

 

Not completely sure about this and haven't looked this up on BOM but I read that Home Alone is the only movie to be Number 1 over both Thanksgiving and Christmas weekend. Sounds true enough, but I'm guessing there might be other examples as well.

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MikeQ Box Office Gold

MikeQ

Posted
Posted
22 minutes ago, cannastop said:

I am. :bravo:

 

The full list (in spoilers):

 

Spoiler

 

Top Opening Weekends of All-Time & Multipliers

 

Rank / Title / Opening Weekend Gross / Multiplier

  1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) — 248.0 million (3.78)
  2. Jurassic World (2015) — 208.8 million (3.12)
  3. Marvel’s The Avengers (2012) — 207.4 million (3.00)
  4. Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 191.3 million (2.40)
  5. Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 179.1 million (2.28)
  6. Beauty and the Beast (2017) — 174.8 million (2.88)
  7. Iron Man 3 (2013) — 174.1 million (2.35)
  8. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 (2011) — 169.2 million (2.25)
  9. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 166.0 million (1.99)
  10. The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 160.9 million (2.79)
  11. The Dark Knight (2008) — 158.4 million (3.38)
  12. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (2013) — 158.1 million (2.69)
  13. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016) — 155.1 million (3.43)
  14. The Hunger Games (2012) — 152.5 million (2.67)
  15. Spider-Man 3 (2007) — 151.1 million (2.23)
  16. Furious 7 (2015)— 147.2 million (2.40)
  17. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 — 146.5 million (2.62)^ - SHOULD FINISH WITH 2.65+
  18. The Twilight Saga: New Moon (2009) — 142.8 million (2.08)
  19. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 (2012) — 141.1 million (2.07)
  20. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 (2011) — 138.1 million (2.04)
  21. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest (2006) — 135.6 million (3.12)
  22. Finding Dory (2016) — 135.1 million (3.60)
  23. Suicide Squad (2016) — 133.7 million (2.43)
  24. Deadpool (2016) — 132.4 million (2.74)
  25. Iron Man 2 (2010) — 128.1 million (2.44)
  26. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 (2010) — 125.0 million (2.37)
  27. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 (2014) — 121.9 million (2.77)
  28. Shrek the Third (2007) — 121.6 million (2.65)
  29. Man of Steel (2013) — 116.6 million (2.50)
  30. Alice in Wonderland (2010) — 116.1 million (2.88)
  31. Minions (2015) — 115.7 million (2.90)
  32. Spider-Man (2002) — 114.8 million (3.52)
  33. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End (2007) — 114.7 million (2.70)
  34. Toy Story 3 (2010) — 110.3 million (3.76)
  35. Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen (2009) — 109.0 million*
  36. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith — 108.4 million (3.51) [with $50M Thur Previews included in opening weekend: 158.5 million (2.40)]
  37. Shrek 2 (2004) — 108.0 million*
  38. The Secret Life of Pets (2016) — 104.4 million (3.53)
  39. The Jungle Book (2016) — 103.3 million (3.53)
  40. Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (3.43)^ - IF IT CAN HIT $391M, WILL FINISH WITH 3.79+
  41. X-Men: The Last Stand (2006) — 102.8 million (2.28)
  42. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005) — 102.7 million (2.82)
  43. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2 (2015) — 102.7 million (2.74)
  44. Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull (2008) — 100.1 million**
  45. Transformers: Age of Extinction (2014) — 100.0 million (2.45)
  46. The Fate of the Furious (2017) — 98.8 million (2.28)
  47. Iron Man (2008) — 98.6 million (3.23)
  48. Transformers: Dark of the Moon (2011) — 97.9 million*
  49. Fast & Furious 6 (2013) — 97.4 million (2.45)
  50. Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 95.0 million (2.73)
  51. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 94.3 million (3.53)
  52. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004) — 93.7 million (2.66)
  53. Godzilla (2014) — 93.2 million (2.15)
  54. The Matrix Reloaded (2003) — 91.8 million**
  55. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014) — 91.6 million (2.21)
  56. X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014) — 90.8 million (2.58)
  57. Inside Out (2015) — 90.4 million (3.94)
  58. Harry Potter and the Sorceror’s Stone (2001) — 90.3 million (3.52)
  59. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011) — 90.2 million (2.67)
  60. American Sniper (2015) — 89.3 million (3.92)
  61. Logan (2017) — 88.4 million (2.56)
  62. Skyfall (2012) — 88.4 million (3.44)
  63. Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002) — 88.4 million (2.97)
  64. Spider-Man 2 (2004) — 88.2 million* 
  65. Fast Five (2011) — 86.2 million (2.43)
  66. The Hangover Part II (2011) — 85.9 million (2.96)
  67. Thor: The Dark World (2013) — 85.7 million (2.41)
  68. X2: X-Men United (2003) — 85.6 million (2.51)
  69. Fifty Shades of Grey (2015) — 85.2 million (1.95)
  70. Doctor Strange (2016) — 85.1 million (2.74)
  71. X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009) — 85.1 million (2.11)
  72. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (2012) — 84.6 million (3.58)
  73. The Passion of the Christ (2004) — 83.8 million*
  74. Despicable Me 2 (2013) — 83.5 million*
  75. Monsters University (2013) — 82.4 million (3.26)
  76. Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones — 80.0 million**
  77. Oz The Great and Powerful (2013) — 79.1 million (2.97)
  78. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (2009) — 77.8 million*
  79. I Am Legend (2007) — 77.2 million (3.32)
  80. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (2007) — 77.1 million*
  81. The Da Vinci Code (2006) — 77.1 million (2.82)
  82. Avatar (2009) — 77.0 million (9.73) 
  83. Star Trek (2009) — 75.2 million (3.43)
  84. Zootopia (2016) — 75.1 million (4.55)
  85. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (2016) — 74.4 million (3.15)
  86. The Simpsons (2007) — 74.0 million (2.47)
  87. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (2013) — 73.6 million (3.51)
  88. Austin Powers in Goldmember (2002) — 73.1 million (2.92)
  89. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2003) — 72.6 million*
  90. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (2014) — 72.6 million (2.87)
  91. Despicable Me 3 (2017) — 72.4 million (TBD)^
  92. The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1997) — 72.1 million (3.18)
  93. Fast and Furious (2009) — 71.0 million (2.19)
  94. 300 (2007) — 70.9 million (2.97)
  95. Shrek Forever After (2010) — 70.8 million (3.37)
  96. Transformers (2007) — 70.5 million***
  97. The Incredibles (2004) — 70.5 million (3.71)
  98. Spectre (2015) — 70.4 million (2.84)
  99. Finding Nemo (2003) — 70.3 million (4.84)
  100. Dr. Seuss’ The Lorax (2012) — 70.2 million (3.05)
  101. Star Trek Into Darkness (2013) — 70.2 million (3.26)

*Wednesday Opener

**Thursday Opener

***Tuesday Opener

^ Run Not Yet Complete

 

 

Peace,

Mike

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

How long can Wonder Woman stay in the top 10? 

 

Can it stick around after July 21st? I think that's the real test.

 

I didn't expect it to still be in the Movietickets top 5 or on Fandango Pulse 5 weeks after release. July 21st might give it a double feature boost - the WB World War movies double feature with Dunkirk. We might have 5 movies over 20M that weekend.

 

The hold this weekend will tell us whether 400M is alive or dead.

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NYer4Life Cult Classic

NYer4Life

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, DMan7 said:

We gotta also look at the 3D factor and theater counts which Titantic didn't have compared to TFA as well which could widen that gap alot further.

Let's also not forget Titanic's running time.

 

The longer running time also meant theaters had less showings per day.

 

The re-release in 2012 also really showed me how you really had to plan your day around and making it a priority to see the movie.

 

Its a testament to how HUGE Titanic's release was. Nothing like it since has even come close.

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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

Posted
Posted
    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
- (-) Transformers: The Last Knight Paramount Pictures $3,486,697 -5% 4,132 $844   $109,158,195    14
- (-) Cars 3 Walt Disney $2,076,966 -13% 3,576 $581   $125,350,795 19
- (-) 47 Meters Down Entertainment Studi… $879,158 -16% 2,250 $391   $34,350,297 19
- (-) Pirates of the Caribbean: D… Walt Disney $669,598 +3% 1,674 $400   $166,899,822 40
- (-) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Walt Disney $425,878 -6% 966 $441   $384,262,086 61
- (-) The Big Sick Lionsgate $360,373 -11% 71 $5,076   $2,973,888 12
- (-) All Eyez on Me Lionsgate $308,562 -17% 1,258 $245   $43,358,982 19
- (-) Beatriz at Dinner Roadside Attractions $263,964 +9% 683 $386   $5,217,900 26
- (-) Captain Underpants: The Fir… 20th Century Fox $254,858 -10% 1,452 $176   $69,798,274 33
- (-) The Hero The Orchard $237,856 +27% 401 $593   $1,945,894 26
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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

Posted
Posted

POTC5 should add ~0.7m on Wed and Thu combined for 167.6m cume.

55% drop (due to theater count loss / spidey) over the weekend will give 1.1m weekend for 168.7m.

~2x the weekend more to it's run will give it 171m final dom.

 

And if it sticks around on the lower side, then 172m dom.

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, a2knet said:
    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
- (-) Transformers: The Last Knight Paramount Pictures $3,486,697 -5% 4,132 $844   $109,158,195    14
- (-) Cars 3 Walt Disney $2,076,966 -13% 3,576 $581   $125,350,795 19
- (-) 47 Meters Down Entertainment Studi… $879,158 -16% 2,250 $391   $34,350,297 19
- (-) Pirates of the Caribbean: D… Walt Disney $669,598 +3% 1,674 $400   $166,899,822 40
- (-) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Walt Disney $425,878 -6% 966 $441   $384,262,086 61
- (-) The Big Sick Lionsgate $360,373 -11% 71 $5,076   $2,973,888 12
- (-) All Eyez on Me Lionsgate $308,562 -17% 1,258 $245   $43,358,982 19
- (-) Beatriz at Dinner Roadside Attractions $263,964 +9% 683 $386   $5,217,900 26
- (-) Captain Underpants: The Fir… 20th Century Fox $254,858 -10% 1,452 $176   $69,798,274 33
- (-) The Hero The Orchard $237,856 +27% 401 $593   $1,945,894 26

 

With Cars 3 potentially going under 1M Wednesday/Thursday (I am expecting 40-50% falls for all movies), I am wondering if it will even be in theaters when the Pixar Labor Day expansion comes along. Most of their movies are still doing decent enough business prior to the expansion, won't be the case this time around.

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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

Posted
Posted
Just now, Mr Impossible said:

So Cars 3 missing $400M?

 

I don't think so. Lot of it's OS markets are post DM3. If it get a China release then can do 450.

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