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WrathOfHan

Weekend Actuals (Page 32): THB 10.3M | Annabelle 7.7M | Leap 4.7M | Wind River 4.6M | Logan Lucky 4.2M | Dragon 2.7M | Where are the clowns, cults, and Cruise when you need them?

By WrathOfHan, in Numbers and Data

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

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Eh fuck it. This thread is dead and numbers won't be out for a little bit, so here's my forecasts for all the September wide releases:


 

Spoiler

 

It:

Sep 8: 75M (21M weekdays, 96M Total)

Sep 15: 30M (10M weekdays, 136M Total)

Sep 22: 15M (5M weekdays, 156M Total)

Sep 29: 8.3M (2.7M weekdays, 167M Total)

Oct 6: 4.2M (1.4M weekdays, 172.6M Total)

Oct 13: 2.1M (700k weekdays, 175.4M Total)

Oct 20: 1M (300k weekdays, 176.7M Total)

Final Total: 180M (2.4x)

 

Home Again:

Sep 8: 8M (3M weekdays, 11M Total)

Sep 15: 4.8M (1.8M weekdays, 17.6M Total)

Sep 22: 2.8M (1M weekdays, 21.4M Total)

Sep 28: 1.4M (500k weekdays, 23.3M Total)

Oct 6: 600k (200k weekdays, 24.1M Total)

Final Total: 25M (3.13x)

 

9/11:

Sep 8: 4M (1.7M weekdays, 5.7M Total)

Sep 15: 1.8M (600k weekdays, 8.1M Total)

Sep 22: 600k (200k weekdays, 8.9M Total)

Final Total: 10M (2.5x)

 

mother!:

Sep 15: 30M (11M weekdays, 41M Total)

Sep 22: 20M (7.1M weekdays, 68.1M Total)

Sep 29: 12.5M (4.6M weekdays, 85.2M Total)

Oct 6: 7.5M (2.8M weekdays, 95.5M Total)

Oct 13: 4.1M (1.5M weekdays, 101.1M Total)

Oct 20: 2.1M (900k weekdays, 104.1M Total)

Oct 27: 1.4M (600k weekdays, 106.1M Total)

Nov 3: 600k (200k weekdays, 106.9M Total)

Final Total: 110M (3.67x)

 

American Assassin:

Sep 15: 13M (4.5M weekdays, 17.5M Total)

Sep 22: 7.1M (2.5M weekdays, 27.1M Total)

Sep 29: 3.5M (1.2M weekdays, 31.8M Total)
Oct 6: 1.8M (600k weekdays, 34.2M Total)

Oct 13: 900k (300k weekdays, 35.4M Total)

Final Total: 38M (2.92x)

 

Kingsman:

Sep 22: 45M (15M weekdays, 60M Total)

Sep 29: 20M (6.7M weekdays, 86.7M Total)

Oct 6: 10M (3.3M weekdays, 100M Total)

Oct 13: 5.5M (1.8M weekdays, 107.3M Total)

Oct 20: 2.7M (900k weekdays, 110.9M Total)

Oct 27: 1.5M (500k weekdays, 112.9M Total)

Nov 3: 600k (200k weekdays, 113.7M Total)

Final Total: 116M (2.58x)

 

Ninjago:

Sep 22: 25M (5.5M weekdays, 30.5M Total)

Sep 29: 15M (3.3M weekdays, 48.8M Total)

Oct 6: 9.7M (2.1M weekdays, 60.6M Total)

Oct 13: 6.3M (1.4M weekdays, 68.3M Total)

Oct 20: 3.5M (800k weekdays, 72.6M Total)

Oct 27: 2.3M (500k weekdays, 75.4M Total)

Nov 3: 1.3M (300k weekdays, 77M Total)

Final Total: 82M (3.28x)

 

Friend Request:

Sep 22: 7M (3M weekdays, 10M Total)

Sep 29: 2.8M (1.2M weekdays, 14M Total)

Oct 6: 1.1M (500k weekdays, 15.6M Total)

Final Total: 17M (2.43x)

 

American Made:

Sep 29: 25M (9.5M weekdays, 34.5M Total)

Oct 6: 15M (6M weekdays, 55.5M Total)

Oct 13: 9.3M (3.8M weekdays, 68.6M Total)

Oct 20: 5.6M (2.3M weekdays, 76.5M Total)

Oct 27: 3.6M (1.5M weekdays, 81.6M Total)

Nov 3: 2M (800k weekdays, 84.4M Total)

Nov 10: 1.2M (500k weekdays, 86.1M Total)

Final Total: 90M (3.6x)

 

Flatliners:

 

Sep 29: 10M (4M weekdays, 14M Total)

Oct 6: 4M (1.6M weekdays, 19.6M Total)

Oct 13: 1.6M (600k weekdays, 21.8M Total)

Oct 20: 600k (200k weekdays, 22.6M Total)

Final Total: 24M (2.4x)

 

1. It: 75/180

2. Kingsman: 45/116

3. mother!: 30/110

4. American Made: 25/90

5. Ninjago: 25/82

6. American Assassin: 13/38

7. Home Again: 8/25

8. Flatliners: 10/24

9. Friend Request: 7/17

10. 9/11: 4/10

Not getting released: All I See Is You

 

Next month will be feast or famine to the max.

 

 

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

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Posted
1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Eh fuck it. This thread is dead and numbers won't be out for a little bit, so here's my forecasts for all the September wide releases:


 

  Reveal hidden contents

1. It: 75/180

2. Kingsman: 45/116

3. mother!: 30/110

4. American Made: 25/90

5. Ninjago: 25/82

6. American Assassin: 13/38

7. Home Again: 8/25

8. Flatliners: 10/24

9. Friend Request: 7/17

10. 9/11: 4/10

Not getting released: All I See Is You

 

Next month will be feast or famine to the max.

 

 

What is Friend Request? Never even heard of it.

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

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3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

What is Friend Request? Never even heard of it.

A horror film that came out in Early 2016 overseas with that chick from Fear the Walking Dead :rofl: Entertainment Studios is releasing it, and after how much we all underestimated 47 Meters Down, I'll give them some benefit of the doubt. I can easily see it doing sub-10M though, especially with the number of horror films surrounding it

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Alli Blockbuster

Alli

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Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Eh fuck it. This thread is dead and numbers won't be out for a little bit, so here's my forecasts for all the September wide releases:


 

  Reveal hidden contents

1. It: 75/180

2. Kingsman: 45/116

3. mother!: 30/110

4. American Made: 25/90

5. Ninjago: 25/82

6. American Assassin: 13/38

7. Home Again: 8/25

8. Flatliners: 10/24

9. Friend Request: 7/17

10. 9/11: 4/10

Not getting released: All I See Is You

 

Next month will be feast or famine to the max.

 

 

I don't wanna hear hysterics when mother fails to reach 60M. you're overpredicting it

Edited by Alli
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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

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Just now, Alli said:

I don't wanna hear hysterics when mother fails to reach 60M. you're overpredicting it

60M would be a big win IMO. I just really feel the film will catch on with audiences and be something truly special. We'll find out in a few weeks!

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Alli Blockbuster

Alli

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1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

I think Friend Request is rated R too, so that blocks out teens looking for a cheap jumpscare fest. Hell, NONE of September's horror films are PG-13 :jeb!: 

most of september releases are R.   It's gonna be crazy.

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CJohn Cinematic Universe

CJohn

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3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I think Friend Request is rated R too, so that blocks out teens looking for a cheap jumpscare fest. Hell, NONE of September's horror films are PG-13 :jeb!: 

Flatliners isn't PG-13?

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

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2 minutes ago, Alli said:

most of september releases are R.   It's gonna be crazy.

Damn, you're right. The only releases that aren't R are Home Again and Ninjago. Even the Charlie Sheen 9/11 film is R! Maybe Battle of the Sexes will go wide? That's PG-13.

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

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1 minute ago, Alli said:

i also think AM is over estimated. it will already be onlline  when it's released in the us.

That didn't stop X-Men Origins, The Revenant, American Sniper, Hateful Eight, etc. Hell, THB is online in HD now thanks to Netflix Japan, yet I don't think its box office will be affected in any way.

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

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3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Damn, you're right. The only releases that aren't R are Home Again and Ninjago. Even the Charlie Sheen 9/11 film is R! Maybe Battle of the Sexes will go wide? That's PG-13.

Battle of the Sexes will likely go wide in its second or third weekend (would be surprising if it didn't given the combo of Stone and Carell) but I doubt it makes more than like $20M at best (since I think the movie's gonna get only good but not great reviews).

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

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Just now, filmlover said:

Battle of the Sexes will likely go wide in its second or third weekend (would be surprising if it didn't given the combo of Stone and Carell) but I doubt it makes more than like $20M at best (since I think the movie's gonna get only good but not great reviews).

Yeah, I expect similar numbers and a release plan to Gifted.

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Alli Blockbuster

Alli

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Just now, WrathOfHan said:

My Split prediction was 5M more on both counts, and we know how that turned out :redcapes: I'm really feeling this one.

But split was sooo good. it remains my fav this year.   i can't see mother reaching the general audience. it's too weird looking

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

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1 minute ago, CJohn said:

Studios have no clue how to schedule movies. Absolutely no clue. The last big PG-13 blockbuster with teen/young adult appeal was SMH!!!

This is probably why Happy Death Day will do 20M+ on OW. Hell, the dearth of PG-13 blockbusters will help Ragnarok out a lot.

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