Weekend Thread | Estimates: T:R 57.08M, DH2 29.65M, MOTOE 28.68M, ABMC 11.47M, 32.4K PTA for Lady Bird (Deadline, p.46) | The box office is good again!

[a2k]

Both DH2 and MOTOE could do 30m. DH2 could have better trending over the weekend.

 

11.0 + 11.5 (+4.5%) + 7.5 (-39%) = 30 ... MOTOE

10.8 + 11.8 (+9.5%) + 7.4 (-37%) = 30 ... DH2

 

[druv10]

32 minutes ago, Webslinger said:

$55 million would allow for Ragnarok to post a very slightly stronger hold than The Dark World. It's obviously going to get hit hard with Justice League's arrival next week, but it should rebound over Thanksgiving thanks to the unusual lack of depth among the holiday weekend's wide releases - not unlike Dark World four years ago.

With 19M, weekend should be around 58M. 300M is a done deal at this point, real question is can it reach SS, BvS, GOTG and SMH.

[Maxmoser3]

Not bad numbers now. But I saw Bad Moms Christmas,  a pretty good funny movie. Grade:B. I hope the solid holds are true. 

 

Anyway that trailer for Blockers or Cock Blockers, looks like possibly the best comedy of next year hands down! It looks hilarious. 

[a2k]

Thinking 54-55 for Thor3

 

19 (+171%) + 21.85 (+15%) + 13.65 (-37.5%) = 54.5

[WrathOfHan]

That's insane for all three movies  

[a2k]

WOM vs sequelitis. Thor2 dropped 57.3% in the 2nd weekend. With previews getting bigger and bigger over 4 years, the 2nd weekend of Thor3 managing a lower drop than that is creditable (even a similar drop of 57-58% would have been creditable for a sequel that opened much bigger with bigger ratio of previews compared to ow).

[Lordmandeep]

To put in perspective of the massive success for Thor 3....

 

Thor 3 will have outgrossed Thor 2 domestic final total in ten days +5-8 million more.

[YM!]

15 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Both DH2 and MOTOE could do 30m. DH2 could have better trending over the weekend.

 

11.0 + 11.5 (+4.5%) + 7.5 (-39%) = 30 ... MOTOE

10.8 + 11.8 (+9.5%) + 7.4 (-37%) = 30 ... DH2

 

@OdinSon2k14‘s prediction of $30M+ for DH2 maybe right.

[YM!]

DH2 is a much needed win for Paramount. And with a possible $30M OW, my Star over DH2 club is toast. My question is how much of a failure will it be?

[a2k]

Just now, YourMother said:

@OdinSon2k14‘s prediction of $30M+ for DH2 maybe right.

30m ow would leave DH2 on track for 90-100m. DH1 opened during Christmas so it's 3.9-4x multi is not easy to manage for a sequel but 3x+ should happen nevertheless.

If DH2's OS is close to DH1's 92m then 170-190m ww on a 70m prod budget makes the movie a big success.

[a2k]

With a 30 ow don't think an adult skewing film like MOTOE should fall below 85m dom. Hopefully it's on track (pun intended) for 100m.

[kswiston]

33 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Thinking 54-55 for Thor3

 

19 (+171%) + 21.85 (+15%) + 13.65 (-37.5%) = 54.5

 

15% bump on Saturday seems too low for me. Especially since Doc Strange increased 18% and had stronger weekdays (and therefore a smaller Friday bump) proportionally. 

 

It probably won't get the >50% bump that the Dark World got on Saturday, but I'm thinking a 25-30% bump tomorrow, leading to something in the high 50s for the weekend. If Rth is undershooting by $500k or more, $60M could still be in play with a 30% Saturday bump. 

Edited November 11, 2017 by kswiston

[YM!]

9 minutes ago, kswiston said:

 

15% bump on Saturday seems too low for me. Especially since Doc Strange increased 18% and had stronger weekdays (and therefore a smaller Friday bump) proportionally. 

 

It probably won't get the >50% bump that the Dark World got on Saturday, but I'm thinking a 25-30% bump tomorrow, leading to something in the high 50s for the weekend. If Rth is undershooting by $500k or more, $60M could still be in play with a 30% Saturday bump. 

15% Seems about right. Remember Trolls only jumped 15% and Strange jumped 18% but it had a smaller Friday Jump and Veterans Day is celebrated today.

Edited November 11, 2017 by YourMother

[Fancyarcher]

Impressive for Daddy's Home 2, though it kinda fucks up my summer game too. Great for Orient Express, I'll be seeing that in a few days too. 

 

1 hour ago, aabattery said:

With that, T:R has now passed Die Another Day to be the highest grossing film by a Maori director in the USA.

 

Should also pass Casino Royale by the end of the weekend to become the highest grossing film by a New Zealand director not named Peter Jackson.

 

I'm running out of benchmarks here.

Maybe you can discover some other Bond related benchmark or something? Hmm!

[kswiston]

13 minutes ago, YourMother said:

15% Seems about right. Remember Trolls only jumped 15% and Strange jumped 18% but it had a smaller Friday Jump and Veterans Day is celebrated today.

I forgot about Veterans Day (we have a similar day in Canada on the 11th, but it's being celebrated on Monday in my province). 

 

I still don't see it dropping below Doc Strange, but 30% is likely too high. 

Edited November 11, 2017 by kswiston

[dxmatrixdt]

New Releases

DADDY'S HOME 2 (2017)
MURDER ON THE ORIENT EXPRESS (2017)

[La Binoche]

Wait DH2 is debuting with 10.8M on Friday? That's much higher than expected, right? 

[MrPink]

4 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

New Releases

DADDY'S HOME 2 (2017)
MURDER ON THE ORIENT EXPRESS (2017)

 

Did not expect that Cinemascore for MOTOE. But I imagine some people can easily be turned off by the resolution to any given mystery

[That One Girl]

Where does Daddy's Home 2 rank among sequels released by Paramount starring Mark Wahlberg with an RT score in the mid-teens released in 2017?

[Fancyarcher]

19 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

Did not expect that Cinemascore for MOTOE. But I imagine some people can easily be turned off by the resolution to any given mystery

In the case of an old-fashioned murder mystery, literally some people I know would probably complain that the culprit(s) was far too "likable", or they didn't care for the twist, as is often the case. 

Edited November 11, 2017 by Fancyarcher