Weekend Thread | Weekend Estimates - Coco 26.11M, JL 16.58M, Wonder 12.5M, T:R 9.65M, MOTOE 6.7M, LB 4.54M, 3BOEM 4.53M, TDA 1.22M

[AndyK]

15 minutes ago, Barnack said:

And the share didn't raise when IT or Wonder Woman were making crazy business, a movie do not make giant conglomerate with over 30b in annual revenues stock price move on release usually, not even Star Wars Force Awaken.

WB stock price is more to do with the AT&T merger talk.

[seduh]

sorry but a 59% for JL is not solid, it's better than FB and MJ (both have better thanksgiven holds). But compare to other films this week, bad drop (again)

[Barnack]

20 minutes ago, AndyK said:

WB stock price is more to do with the AT&T merger talk.

This and Disney stock price usually move with what happen with ESPN, there are much larger revenue flow factor in play than a particular movie one time for those giant company.

 

Europacorp or Liongates stock prices, those move a lot on a movie over performing or under performing expectation.

[Krissykins]

25 minutes ago, seduh said:

sorry but a 59% for JL is not solid, it's better than FB and MJ (both have better thanksgiven holds). But compare to other films this week, bad drop (again)

But it’s the only film in its 3rd week so we can’t compare.

 

Compared to similar releases the previous years: it’s officially a solid drop. 

[mredman]

32 minutes ago, seduh said:

sorry but a 59% for JL is not solid, it's better than FB and MJ (both have better thanksgiven holds). But compare to other films this week, bad drop (again)

[That One Girl]

Just now, mredman said:

 

Irony.

[mredman]

6 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

But it’s the only film in its 3rd week so we can’t compare.

 

Compared to similar releases the previous years: it’s officially a solid drop. 

exactly but its easy to see he has biased hate on the movie for some reason.

[YM!]

1 minute ago, mredman said:

It has the lowest multiplier of the three at the same time.

[YM!]

CBMs have people here going:

 

[Krissykins]

Justice League just got shortlisted for VFX by The Academy 

 

The moustache-gate plot thickens!! Haha

 

 

Source: Variety

https://t.co/V3S2OqGo6C

 

[That One Girl]

Just now, Krissykins said:

Justice League just got shortlisted for VFX by The Academy 

 

The moustache-gate plot thickens!! Haha

 

 

Source: Variety

https://t.co/V3S2OqGo6C

 

 

Valerian.

[dudalb]

55 minutes ago, Barnack said:

And the share didn't raise when IT or Wonder Woman were making crazy business, a movie do not make giant conglomerate with over 30b in annual revenues stock price move on release usually, not even Star Wars Force Awaken.

I suspect the stalled AT and T/Time Warner deal has more to do with any drop in stock value then the JL failure.

 

It's fanboy myopia. Getting back the X Men is no doubt something  Disney would like to do, but it's not the driving force behing the Disney'Fox talks;it's mainly about the Fox FIlm library which would be of enormous value for Dsiney in starting their streaming service...

[WrathOfHan]

If you round up JL's drop, it's 60%  

[mredman]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

If you round up JL's drop, it's 60%  

FB dropped 59.8%

MJ1 61.3%

MJ2 63.7%

JL 59%

[That One Girl]

3 minutes ago, mredman said:

JL 59%

 

 

*59.5%

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, mredman said:

FB dropped 59.8%

MJ1 61.3%

MJ2 63.7%

JL 59%

.5 or greater rounds up the nearest whole number.

 

[mredman]

3 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

*59.5%

true

[RamblinRed]

4 hours ago, Brainiac5 said:

So JL should end with about a 2.6x(243dom)

 

Edit:If JL can manage better holds than MJ2 from here on out If May have a chance at 250dom.

Highly unlikely. FB made 51M from this day forward and JL is making less on a daily basis.

It would have to outpace FB (which is it running behind in dailies) from this point forward against a stronger slate of movies (TLJ vs R1, Jumangi vs Passengers) over Christmas.

The more likely scenario is that it falls farther off of FB's pace after the 15th, which is why 235-240 seems likely to me. 

Best case scenario is likely holding the 92% week against week of FB which would give it about another 47M for a 244M total.

 

[Brainiac5]

1 minute ago, RamblinRed said:

Highly unlikely. FB made 51M from this day forward and JL is making less on a daily basis.

It would have to outpace FB (which is it running behind in dailies) from this point forward against a stronger slate of movies (TLJ vs R1, Jumangi vs Passengers) over Christmas.

The more likely scenario is that it falls farther off of FB's pace after the 15th, which is why 235-240 seems likely to me. 

Best case scenario is likely holding the 92% week against week of FB which would give it about another 47M for a 244M total.

 

Im thinking JL have bigger Tuesday increases and will give it that other 6mil.

Not saying it’s a Guaranteed by its a possibility.

[RamblinRed]

Amazing people are arguing about a 59.5% to 59.8% drop. Those are basically the same. If it had been 60.0 instead of 59.5 that would have no material effect on the story of the data.

JL's drop is right in line with FB. Good news is it isn't crashing. Bad news is it isn't showing any signs of really strong legs.

Just a solid number.  I'd still peg 235-240 as the likely finishing point.

 

At this point the biggest issue for JL is simply time. It has 10 days to really try to make money before TLJ comes out. 

It is a disappointing run for JL. There is simply no way to say otherwise.

Grace Randolph was saying on her weekly numbers show last week that insiders told her JL could end up being a $50M loss for WB after streaming. Clearly not what were hoping for. WB's stock isn't going to move on a movie number though - too big of company for that.

The bigger issue is they have to rebuild trust with the GA. i grew up on Saturday morning Hall of Justice cartoons so to see JL perform this way is disappointing.