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ZeeSoh

Wednesday (7/12) #s - JL - $1.12m

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JL right in line with what you would expect. It has certainly been consistent since its opening weekend.

Should pull just under 1.1 tomorrow, around 9.5 this weekend, another 2.5 Mon-Wed and be between 214-215 when TLJ hits.

Probably 240 +-2M when all is said and done. 

 

Whoever suggested a Coco vs JL DOM club, that is a fantastic idea as they are likely going to be really close.

If Coco followed Moana the rest of the way it would be looking at about 239, but it has been outpacing it most of the last week. So 240+ is starting to look more likely. If I was forced to make a bet i'd probably choose Coco - it just looks like it is having stronger legs and unlike Moana last yr it doesn't have to deal with Sing, just Ferdinand.

 

Will be interesting to follow Coco this weekend and see if losing Olaf helps. The fall should be small anyways - 30-33%. But getting rid of Olaf potentially allows cinemas 1 extra showing per day which could give it a little extra boost for the weekend. Also, based on the last 2 weekends i'm going to assume the estimate for Coco on Sunday is at least 1/2M low due to the Sunday holds it has had so far. Disney has been giving pretty standard Sunday drops in its estimates for Coco but the actuals have been much better.

 

 

 

 

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57 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

JL might be able to get one solid hold in before everything dies next week

Nothing really “died” when Force Awakens opened, apart from that Chris Hemsworth sea movie. The other holdovers in the top 10 dropped 48-51% apart from the Pixar film (-58%). 

 

 

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Justice League seems to be having solid WOM and solid drops across the board. Unfortunately, it just had a very bad opening weekend that wasn't in line with expectations. So, the silver lining WB can take is that people seem to have enjoyed JL more than BvS and SS, and even though they lost a lot of viewers due to those movies, they may still have a solid foundation to build from moving forward if they can continue to course correct. 

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28 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Nothing really “died” when Force Awakens opened, apart from that Chris Hemsworth sea movie. The other holdovers in the top 10 dropped 48-51% apart from the Pixar film (-58%). 

But a lot of those 48-51% drops were coming off of good holds.  So while it might not have "killed" anything specifically, it effected everything.

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DH2 with 31.7% drop from yesterday and 8.4% drop from last Wednesday 

 

 

Disaster Artist flat from yesterday

 

 

Lady Bird down 12%

 

 

Edited by ZeeSoh
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1 hour ago, CenterMeOnSam said:

Justice League seems to be having solid WOM and solid drops across the board. Unfortunately, it just had a very bad opening weekend that wasn't in line with expectations. So, the silver lining WB can take is that people seem to have enjoyed JL more than BvS and SS, and even though they lost a lot of viewers due to those movies, they may still have a solid foundation to build from moving forward if they can continue to course correct. 

JL's legs won't be far behind Thor3.

320 gives Thor3 2.6x and 240 gives JL 2.55x. 

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2 minutes ago, a2knet said:

JL's legs won't be far behind Thor3.

320 gives Thor3 2.6x and 240 gives JL 2.55x. 

This issue there is that starting at a point 30M less gives you an exponential difference in final result. A 30M difference with a 2.6 multiplier is over 75M in final result.

 

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1 hour ago, CenterMeOnSam said:

Justice League seems to be having solid WOM and solid drops across the board. Unfortunately, it just had a very bad opening weekend that wasn't in line with expectations. So, the silver lining WB can take is that people seem to have enjoyed JL more than BvS and SS, and even though they lost a lot of viewers due to those movies, they may still have a solid foundation to build from moving forward if they can continue to course correct. 

I wonder what cause the OW to crumble. Other than the reception to BVS.

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1 hour ago, CenterMeOnSam said:

Justice League seems to be having solid WOM and solid drops across the board. Unfortunately, it just had a very bad opening weekend that wasn't in line with expectations. So, the silver lining WB can take is that people seem to have enjoyed JL more than BvS and SS, and even though they lost a lot of viewers due to those movies, they may still have a solid foundation to build from moving forward if they can continue to course correct. 

Dailies are about $20,000 or so behind BVS and about $400,000 Behind SS.

If JL does 9.5mil this weekend then it’s 4th weekend will be more than BVS 4th weekend and Two million behind SS.

I think W.O.M is extremely better than BVS and SS.

JL Really needed that Big opening weekend.

 

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2 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:

This issue there is that starting at a point 30M less gives you an exponential difference in final result. A 30M difference with a 2.6 multiplier is over 75M in final result.

 

You have to use that Analogy to every film ever made.

We y’all about Multipliers because they tell us how films are received and there’s no special cases.

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1 hour ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

I wonder what cause the OW to crumble. Other than the reception to BVS.

Don’t know but WB need to take the decent to good reception and go from there.

 

Edited by Brainiac5
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