Lancelot Gold Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 I'm thinking that the legs are going to be better than my 3.69x that I was thinking. Mainly due to the way the holidays are lining up. Probably 3.8-4.0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonathanLB Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 A lot of sky is falling stuff from a movie that'll enjoy the same number of days of holidays as the last two. It doesn't matter if the money comes now or later haha in most cases the second week of week days in this case is ABOVE the first week. And LOL at Christmas day being $30M or something, let's talk in a week. That will be a monster day, way above $30M. Don't kid yourself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rthmessiah Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Mon only 32% k-12, college is out compared to R1 48%, TFA 77% 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 minute ago, Rth Ragnarok said: Mon only 32% k-12, college is out compared to R1 48%, TFA 77% someone translate this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 14 minutes ago, JonathanLB said: A lot of sky is falling stuff from a movie that'll enjoy the same number of days of holidays as the last two. It doesn't matter if the money comes now or later haha in most cases the second week of week days in this case is ABOVE the first week. And LOL at Christmas day being $30M or something, let's talk in a week. That will be a monster day, way above $30M. Don't kid yourself. Should reach 35+ on Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said: someone translate this It's exactly what he said? Lol youths are out at only 32% while colleges are out comparable to R1 at 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Just now, narniadis said: It's exactly what he said? Lol youths are out at only 32% while colleges are out comparable to R1 at 48. ok.. so k-12 = youths? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 I am going to be laughing when Jedi rounds 600m and still has lots of gas. The fact that No one can go look at the past calendar for this release period and see that this is as normal as a 200m OW blockbuster can behave with this calendar configuration means you are only trying to drive a particular picture of information. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 minute ago, IronJimbo said: ok.. so k-12 = youths? Yes, kindergarten through 12th grade 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 1 minute ago, narniadis said: Yes, kindergarten through 12th grade what was k-12 % for R1 on it's first monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aabattery Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Just now, IronJimbo said: what was k-12 % for R1 on it's first monday It says right there, man 48% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmpireCity Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 I think the range is $22m-$24m 13 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 I will say that trying to use 2006 for comparisons is difficult due to market changes. One pattern I ran based on a modified 2006 had TLJ topping 800m on Jan 2nd which it obviously won't do. 😂😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, EmpireCity said: I think the range is $22m-$24m Thanks man, makes me pretty confident that Jedi might make 3 weekends over 100m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlashMaster659 Posted December 19, 2017 Author Share Posted December 19, 2017 3 minutes ago, EmpireCity said: I think the range is $22m-$24m Seems pretty impressive considering the percentages @Rth Ragnarok just gave us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 17 minutes ago, narniadis said: I am going to be laughing when Jedi rounds 600m and still has lots of gas. The fact that No one can go look at the past calendar for this release period and see that this is as normal as a 200m OW blockbuster can behave with this calendar configuration means you are only trying to drive a particular picture of information. We would not be discussing multipliers well over 3 if not for the holiday calendar. Who is the “no one” you’re referring to? Most of us here expect it to go well over $700m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny Tran Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 I don't understand why people would even be surprised if this drops very significantly compared to TFA. It's hard to repeat what TFA had going for it. Nearly impossible. It's amazing that it got up to $220M, second best weekend ever. Honestly I thought $200M was the range. So as of right now it's actually overperforming what I expected. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 5 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said: We would not be discussing multipliers well over 3 if not for the holiday calendar. Who is the “no one” you’re referring to? Most of us here expect it to go well over $700m. Having read the last several pages of the weekend thread and the first few of this one in which several times the comment is made about it not getting far over 600m is made (or the weekend thread itself where some feel that under 600 is a possibility) or the ridiculous comments about Beauty my comment is justified. Sarcasm tends to be a wide net that doesn't leave many out. While skewing conservative you aren't crazy lol. The doom and gloom come this weekend with the deflation of Christmas eve will also be fun (or not depending on who you are.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Also @redfirebird2008 I agree with the 3x comment. If it wasn't the holidays though I think it would have opened higher while still giving us a total comfortably over 600m. The one thing we can never actually do, transplant winter release numbers to another time on the calendar lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny Tran Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 This is going to decrease by about $200M. People will panic and say "what's wrong with Star Wars?" and then we sit back and watch as no other movie comes close to the "mediocre" numbers of TLJ. I think this is divisive but once nostalgia wore off I feel TFA is also divisive on rewatch. Doesn't matter. TFA was the perfect storm of release date and timing and a sequel to the most popular trilogy of all time. TLJ had no chance of coming close to repeating that kind of hype and business. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
