Tuesday Numbers (Dec 26): TLJ 27.7, Jumanji: 17.1, PP3 7.4, TGS 5.1 (actuals/estimates)

[Lordmandeep]

I am more than welcome Rian Johnson as a writer but feel others should direct. 

[NoLegMan]

1 minute ago, estebanJ said:

 

It cracks me up when "math" is invoked around here, as if there's some kind of abstract necessity that because a film earned X dollars this past week it must earn Y dollars this week.

 

Fact is, no matter how many times various patterns have held in the past, there's no logical or mathematical necessity that even one person sees a given this week even if it grossed $220m last week. 

To be fair, based on current performance, it's sure to pass 600, the math changes as the performance changes, I am not sure anyone is working in absolutes with this.

[Fancyarcher]

$500k down from RTH's estimates. Welp, time to pack it up. TLJ is clearly a flop.

[Lancelot Gold]

6 minutes ago, NoLegMan said:

I do find it odd that the only number that was pointed at was the 630, /when I said most predictions had it at 630-720. meaning 630 as a worse case scenario, anything past 730 would be overperforming in my views.

It's extremely rare for a December movie to have below a 3.0x multiple. 660 is what the worst case scenario should be. Less isn't horrible, just disappointing and a aberration. 

[IronJimbo]

Can we go below 600m?

[NoLegMan]

Just now, lancelot123 said:

It's extremely rare for a December movie to have below a 3.0x multiple. 660 is what the worst case scenario should be. Less isn't horrible, just disappointing and a aberration. 

660 would not be a disappointment, that's just being silly.

[Blaze Heatnix]

2 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

I am more than welcome Rian Johnson as a writer but feel others should direct. 

 

I would like to see Rian directing, but someone else writing. The Last Jedi doesn't have directing problems, but writing was really weak imo.

[Blaze Heatnix]

Just now, NoLegMan said:

660 would not be a disappointment, that's just being silly.

 

The number itself isn't disappointing, but this is Star Wars we're talking about.

 

A movie that opened with 220 million and that will have holidays and the beginning of the next year, should not get anything under a 3x multiplier imo. 

[NoLegMan]

Just now, Blaze Heatnix said:

 

The number itself isn't disappointing, but this is Star Wars we're talking about.

 

A movie that opened with 220 million and that will have holidays and the beginning of the next year, should not get anything under a 3x multiplier imo. 

Let's see how it's multiplier plays out this week.

[RandomCat]

8 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

I am more than welcome Rian Johnson as a writer but feel others should direct. 

Like, every problem you've stated with TLJ was because of the writing...

[Noodlebug]

Could SW just be stabilizing comfortably into a 500M-700M range from here on out? If you treat TFA as a once in a decade event, it doesn't look so bad, and is still above most other franchises.

[IronJimbo]

1 hour ago, Brainbug said:

What will @IronJimbo do, when TLJ ends at $659,363,945 ?

Nothing! USA & Canada is only fun because you guys care about it. I'm more interested about the world wide total which includes domestic if you didn't know.

 

The number I'm interested in is $1.39b world wide, which is HALF of Avatar.

 

[cannastop]

2 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Nothing! USA & Canada is only fun because you guys care about it. I'm more interested about the world wide total which includes domestic if you didn't know.

 

The number I'm interested in is $1.39b world wide, which is HALF of Avatar.

 

BTW, I think I found your twitter account:

 

 

[EmmaPeel]

11 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

I am more than welcome Rian Johnson as a writer but feel others should direct. 

I'd say the opposite. His direction was fine. Not great but fine. The script was the real weakness.

[redfirebird2008]

14 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

I am more than welcome Rian Johnson as a writer but feel others should direct. 

 

The writing seems to be drawing a lot more complaints than his direction. 

[Lancelot Gold]

11 minutes ago, NoLegMan said:

660 would not be a disappointment, that's just being silly.

I said it wasn't bad, just disappointing. Disappointing doesn't mean bad.

[NoLegMan]

I usually don't take folks that don't write screenplays complaints about a script seriously.

[cannastop]

4 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

The writing seems to be drawing a lot more complaints than his direction. 

Directing is hard to critique. Everyone thinks they can write.

[hw64]

Has anyone made an Avatar 1 and 2 over Episode VII, VIII and IX club yet?

[IronJimbo]

3 minutes ago, NoLegMan said:

I usually don't take folks that don't write screenplays complaints about a script seriously.

You don't need to be a professional football(soccer) player to know when someones tripped over the ball