Weekend Thread | Estimates: AQP 50M, RP1 25M, CKBLK 21.4M, BP 8.4M,

[KeepItU25071906]

17 minutes ago, Celedhring said:

It's a solid hold. 

after soft 41 mln opening where Friday even is not opening day? Nope.

Edited April 7, 2018 by KeepItU25071906

[YLF]

55 minutes ago, Sliver Legion said:

8.2 would basically preserve the 690-700 range we’ve had for a while, really hope we can wring a few hundred thousand more out of the actuals.

BP has increased from its estimates each weekend domestically and internationally. Its more likely than not that it will go up.

Edited April 7, 2018 by YLF

[Krissykins]

9 minutes ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

after soft 41 mln opening where Friday even is not opening day? Nope.

What is it with you?

 

Don’t let your hate of a film get in the way of box office facts. 

 

A <50% drop after an inflated holiday opening in the face of a $40-50m opener also targeting teens? 

 

That’s good. Fact. 

[IronJimbo]

2 minutes ago, YLF said:

BP has gone up in estimates each weekend domestically and internationally. Its more likely than not that it will go up.

Maybe it can actually do it? Then again probably not

[YLF]

3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Maybe it can actually do it? Then again probably not

why probably not? 

[Celedhring]

32 minutes ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

after soft 41 mln opening where Friday even is not opening day? Nope.

That Friday was nearly the equivalent of a Saturday. So yeah, it's a good drop.

 

The film's headed towards a sub 50% second weekend after a 4-day opening and great midweek numbers - all of which burnt extra demand. It might even go sub 45%. 150m looks pretty realistic at this point and that's always good for a 50m opener outside of a holiday season.

Edited April 7, 2018 by Celedhring

[Dandeak2000]

A Quiet Place

 

Following Split

 

$19.1 Friday ($4.3 Thur)

$21.6 Saturday

$11.6 Sunday

$52.3 Weekend

 

Following Get Out

$19.1 Friday ($4.3 Thur)

$22.3 Saturday

$17.4 Sunday

$58.8 Weekend

 

Following The Conjuring

 

$19.1 Friday ($4.3 Thur)

$15.7 Saturday

$12.3 Sunday

$47.1 Weekend

 

Following Happy Death Day

 

$19.1 Friday ($4.3 Thur)

$15.3 Saturday

$8.2 Sunday

$42.6 Weekend

 

For Fun!

 

Following IT

 

$19.1 Friday ($4.3 Thur)

$17 Saturday

$10.6 Sunday

$46.7 Weekend

 

[Dandeak2000]

Blockers

 

Following Game Night

 

$7.4 Friday ($1.5 Thur)

$9.2 Saturday

$6 Sunday

$22.6 Weekend

 

Following Snatched

 

$7.4 Friday ($1.5 Thur)

$9.6 Saturday

$11.9 Sunday

$28.9 Weekend

 

Following Girls Trip

 

$7.4 Friday ($1.5 Thur)

$7.1 Saturday

$5.3 Sunday

$19.8 Weekend

[MCKillswitch123]

1 hour ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

after soft 41 mln opening where Friday even is not opening day? Nope.

It's a sub-50% drop from the 3-day. And, the movie is actually doing really strongly OS (a 550 WW finish is likely, w/200+ possibly coming from China). Don't see why you're so convinced this movie is in dire straits.

[picores]

Its an OK hold for RPO, just not the WOM sensation some of us could have thought. 150m DOM likely, with more than 400m OS.

[ThiagoMaia]

7 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

It's a sub-50% drop from the 3-day. And, the movie is actually doing really strongly OS (a 550 WW finish is likely, w/200+ possibly coming from China). Don't see why you're so convinced this movie is in dire straits.

Hey, I know that band!

[Krissykins]

16 minutes ago, Mike Hunt said:

Blockers

 

Following Game Night

 

$7.4 Friday ($1.5 Thur)

$9.2 Saturday

$6 Sunday

$22.6 Weekend

 

Following Snatched

 

$7.4 Friday ($1.5 Thur)

$9.6 Saturday

$11.9 Sunday

$28.9 Weekend

 

Following Girls Trip

 

$7.4 Friday ($1.5 Thur)

$7.1 Saturday

$5.3 Sunday

$19.8 Weekend

Definitely won’t follow Snatched which increased on Mother’s Day Sunday. 

[KeepItU25071906]

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

 

 

A <50% drop after an inflated holiday 

 

inflated holiday without Saturday's boost? Oooook.

 

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

Don’t let your hate of a film

I like RP1

Edited April 7, 2018 by KeepItU25071906

[a2k]

With a 19 ow Blocker's needs only 2.65x to cross 50 dom. On a prod budget of 21 that's a big win. Dom theatrical revenue will itself get close to 30.

Edited April 7, 2018 by a2knet

[a2k]

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

What is it with you?

 

Don’t let your hate of a film get in the way of box office facts. 

 

A <50% drop after an inflated holiday opening in the face of a $40-50m opener also targeting teens? 

 

That’s good. Fact. 

Come on, it burnt off 12 on Thursday. I think 22-24 is a very good hold for RPO but without a Friday release it's not as great ("only 45% drop in this day and age for a video gamish movie with 40+ ow!") as it seems. Even GIJ2 despite being a sequel dropped only 48% in a similar calendar cause of a Thu release.

 

Tough to speculate but with a normal Friday release I think the drop would have been 51-52% which itself is good in today's time for this genre.

[aabattery]

14 minutes ago, a2knet said:

With a 19 ow Blocker's needs only 2.65x to cross 50 dom. On a prod budget of 21 that's a big win. Dom theatrical revenue will itself get close to 30.

 

A petty part of me wants it to end up a little under Game Night

 

(Haven't seen Blockers but I really like Game Night and I know Blockers is meant to be good but man did the trailers put me off)

[a2k]

1 minute ago, aabattery said:

 

A petty part of me wants it to end up a little under Game Night

 

(Haven't seen Blockers but I really like Game Night and I know Blockers is meant to be good but man did the trailers put me off)

Even if it wins the ow battle Blocker's gonna find it tough to win the dom battle. Game Night is looking at low-mid 70s dom.

[aabattery]

3 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Even if it wins the ow battle Blocker's gonna find it tough to win the dom battle. Game Night is looking at low-mid 70s dom.

 

Game Night's legs have been delightful. Always nice when something paces it out like that.

[WrathOfHan]

A Quiet Place is still going to hit 50M IMO. I don't see it decreasing today.

Isle of Dogs is slowing down a lot. I don't know if it can manage a 2,500 PTA next week

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

10 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

A Quiet Place is still going to hit 50M IMO. I don't see it decreasing today.

Isle of Dogs is slowing down a lot. I don't know if it can manage a 2,500 PTA next week

Needs a 29.3% increase from true Friday if estimates hold. It might inch it’s way across, but not a given. It’s gonna be really close