HAN SOLO MEMORIAL (day weekend) THREAD | Solo Flops Domestically with 83M/101M weekend. Spectacularly Bombs Overseas with 65M weekend.

[MovieMan89]

5 minutes ago, Alli said:

This would cause a meltdown on the forum

I feel like deep down most people here know that FK is headed for a massive drop off. Just a matter of how many are willing to fully accept it yet? 

[Cooper Legion]

34 minutes ago, Alli said:

So how's the summer Top 5 gonna look like?  IW excluded

 

1. Incredibles 2

2. JW 2

3 Deadpool2

4 AntMan2

5 ?

Incredibles 2   

JW2  

Ant-Man and the Wasp  

Deadpool 2   

MI:Fallout???         

 

Man, this is truly a summer of sequels.

[water]

2 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

A big drop doesn't mean 850mil worldwide. I still think a billion is locked and loaded. 

i don't think it'll drop that much either. maybe like 340/740

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, MovieMan89 said:

I feel like deep down most people here know that FK is headed for a massive drop off. Just a matter of how many are willing to fully accept it yet? 

 

All fanboying aside, on the DOM front a big drop is much more likely than OS and Worldwide. China alone will balance out the drops in many markets though.

[Arlborn]

10 minutes ago, water said:

jw was huge because it was an EVENT. it was the first time humans could go to a zoo and see live dinosaurs. in movie form obviously, but that was literally the effect. the park is open. (basically the same effect as avatar: being transported to a new experience).

 

jw2 doesn't have that so i expect it to drop big, people have seen dinosaurs/creatures in this monsters attacking role a million times before. the novelty was the park.

Avengers to Age of Ultron domestic drop seems fair but not much more.  I feel like a similar feeling was there from Avengers to Ultron of the first one being an event and the second one being just more of the same.

 

That would give it what, around 470M? It seems fair. I am still hoping for over 500M domestically though.

 

Edited May 27, 2018 by Arlborn

[Chewy]

There's nothing wrong with a big drop for FK, they'll be fine after they cast Josh Brolin in the third one

[ZeeSoh]

11 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Film	Distributor	Release Date	Opening Weekend	Total Gross	TG/OW Ratio
Black Panther	Disney	02/16/2018	$202.004 M	$698.688 M	3.459
Avengers: Infinity War	Disney	04/27/2018	$257.698 M	$625.295 M	2.426
Marvel's The Avengers	Disney	05/04/2012	$207.439 M	$623.358 M	3.005
Avengers: Age of Ultron	Disney	05/01/2015	$191.271 M	$459.006 M	2.400
Iron Man 3	Disney	05/03/2013	$174.145 M	$409.014 M	2.349
Captain America: Civil War	Disney	05/06/2016	$179.139 M	$408.084 M	2.278
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	Disney	05/05/2017	$146.510 M	$389.813 M	2.661
Spider-Man: Homecoming	Sony / Columbia	07/07/2017	$117.028 M	$334.201 M	2.856
Guardians of the Galaxy	Disney	08/01/2014	$94.321 M	$333.177 M	3.532
Iron Man	Paramount	05/02/2008	$102.119 M	$318.412 M	3.118
Thor: Ragnarok	Disney	11/03/2017	$122.745 M	$315.058 M	2.567
Iron Man 2	Paramount	05/07/2010	$128.122 M	$312.433 M	2.439
Captain America: The Winter Solider	Disney	04/04/2014	$95.024 M	$259.767 M	2.734
Doctor Strange	Disney	11/04/2016	$85.058 M	$232.642 M	2.735
Thor: The Dark World	Disney	11/08/2013	$85.738 M	$206.362 M	2.407
Thor	Paramount	05/06/2011	$65.723 M	$181.031 M	2.754
Ant-Man	Disney	07/17/2015	$57.226 M	$180.202 M	3.149
Captain America: The First Avenger	Paramount	07/22/2011	$65.059 M	$176.655 M	2.715
The Incredible Hulk	Universal	06/13/2008	$55.414 M	$134.807 M	2.433

 

So GOTG has the highest OW to TG ratio out of all the MCU films, with BP right behind. How much more will BP have to make to top Guardians' ratio?!

BP will need to get to 713.5m to overtake Guardians which obviously it wont. 

[Alli]

The spy who dumped me Over Ocean's 8? Anyone feels this is a possibility? Mila Kunis has great success in comedies

[CoolioD1]

Just now, Chewy said:

There's nothing wrong with a big drop for FK, they'll be fine after they cast Josh Brolin in the third one

which dinosaur will he play?

[Sam]

I think Fallen Kingdom will open a good 20M below Ultron, but can make up for it with summer weekdays to match Ultron’s Dom total. Somewhere over/under 450M would be an okay drop off. Below 400M would be plain bad. 

[Brainbug]

Just now, Arlborn said:

Avengers to Age of Ultron domestic drop seems fair but not much more.  I feel like a similar feeling was there from Avengers to Ultron of the first one being an event and the second one being just more of the same.

 

That would give it what, around 470M? It seems fair. I am still hoping more over 500M domestically though.

 

Thats mainly where my hope lays in, because Age of Ultron really was kinda a rehash of the first Avengers. Fallen Kingdom otoh looks very different from JW. That could be positive or negative though - we'll see.

 

[Chewy]

Just now, CoolioD1 said:

which dinosaur will he play?

 

The human/raptor hybrid that they teased us with in the first JW

[Cooper Legion]

2 minutes ago, Chewy said:

There's nothing wrong with a big drop for FK, they'll be fine after they cast Josh Brolin in the third one

Lesson of the summer so far: Brolin in 3rd movie good, Brolin in 2nd movie bad.       

 

Things looking grim for Soldado’s legs 

[Box Office Freak]

42 minutes ago, Alli said:

So how's the summer Top 5 gonna look like?  IW excluded

 

1. Incredibles 2

2. JW 2

3 Deadpool2

4 AntMan2

5 ?

Christopher Robin.... that movie is going to break out!

[Rebeccas]

2 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

which dinosaur will he play?

The one who wants to balance the dinosaur universe by wiping out half of them. 

[CoolioD1]

1 minute ago, Chewy said:

 

The human/raptor hybrid that they teased us with in the first JW

 

hell yeah.

[Sam]

1 minute ago, Chewy said:

There's nothing wrong with a big drop for FK, they'll be fine after they cast Josh Brolin in the third one

IW failed spectacularly to give me the Brolin/Goldblum interactions we all deserve. So if Jurassic franchise can pull that off, it’ll get a lifetime pass from me.

[CoolioD1]

Brolin was actually almost cast in the Pratt role in jw. 

https://variety.com/2013/film/news/josh-brolin-in-talks-to-star-in-jurassic-world-1200738454/ 

Edited May 27, 2018 by CoolioD1

[water]

JUMANJI MADE 400M DOM???????

[Brainbug]

Just now, water said:

JUMANJI MADE 400M DOM???????

 

404M.