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THE MEG | 384.8 M overseas ● 530.2 M worldwide

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Total Lifetime Grosses
Domestic:  $83,759,062    26.7%
Foreign:  $230,400,000    73.3%

Worldwide:  $314,159,062  

 

China should bring 30-40 usd (currently 117) and Dom should bring 45-55 (currently 84). That itself takes it to 390-410.

OS-China should take it to 500 imo.

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10 hours ago, MaxAggressor said:

30.5m of the 67m Int'l weekend comes from the middle kingdom. The rest of the world contributed (67-30.5) = 36.5m.

 

Rest of the World - (Australia+South Korea) = [36.5 - (3.2+2.5)] = 30.8m.

 

Let's assume the combined OW from Argentina, Peru, Sweden & Norway will amount to 4m. So the sophomore weekend from the existing countries would be (30.8-4) = 26.8m.

 

That would be down 47.1% from the OW. K:SI dropped 53.6% in it's 2nd OS weekend. The Meg will have a better 2nd weekend drop than K:SI unless the latter opens to 7.3m combined OW from the other 4 OS territories.

 

We need to keep in mind that K:SI was battling against BATB in it's sophomore frame so it was bound to drop harsher w.r.t The Meg. But this is still a fantastic hold for The Meg and it'll get even better when we get the actuals tomorrow.

weekday of Meg is much stronger than KSI.

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The Meg opened in several new markets (13) this past weekend. Colombia & Norway brought in 1.2m & 0.3m respectively during the weekend. The OW in Argentina is close to 0.8m (depends on latest ER). The Meg beat Rampage by 4.31% in admissions in Argentina.

 

At any rate, the combined OW of the new territories should be around (3.2+2.6+1.2+0.8+0.3+3) = 11.1m. The revised sophomore weekend actuals are 68.9m.

 

(OS -CBO) 2nd weekend = (68.9 - 30.7) = 38.2m & holdover contribution = (38.2-11.1) = 27.1m

 

(OS - CBO) OW was 50.7m.  So the 2nd weekend drop from the holdover markets is 46.5%. That's an excellent retention rate for a monster movie.

 

For comp, Ramapge dropped 48.7% and it didn't hafta face any significant new competition. Kong: Skull Island dropped 53.6% against tough competition from BATB.

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Yes, that seems pretty good. The first week estimate from cine-directors.net is now 650k admissions. It will become the new #1 followed by BlacKkKlansman with 320k, Les vieux fourneaux with 300k, M: I6 with 265k (-40%) and The Equalizer2 with 230k (-35%).

And The Meg will have a very good hold in Germany this weekend with 80k (-12%) admissions (should be clearly over 400k admissions on Monday). Prediction was 500k total admissions if it's lucky. But now it will cross this mark with ease.

Edited by el sid
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From DHD:

 

The Meg continues to show its teeth outside China, too, crossing both the $300M overseas and $400M worldwide milestones this session. The weekend was worth $32.7M in 65 markets including No. 1 openings in 9 out of 10 new hubs and maintaining No. 1 in 17 holdover markets.

 

The sci-fi shark has also taken over from Rampage’s sci-fi ape to become the top WB title of 2018 across Latin America.

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17 minutes ago, Godzilla said:

So it’s gonna cross $500M? 

Locked I would say, specially considering Japan has yet to open.

 

But even with just the current legs:

Recent weeks it did:

 

Week ending august 19: 314.16m with a 88.15m weekend

Week ending august 26: 408.6m with a 45.73m weekend,

Week ending september 2: 463m with a 28m weekend

 

The trend look like this:

94.44m week, 2 weeks ago

55m week last week a 41% drop

 

If it drop worst than 50% from now on weekly it will do about

27m

13m

6m

2m

0

 

Ending at 511m + Japan

 

If it continue to drop 41% for a while

32.45m (with Japan openning next weekend it could almost pass over 500m right there)

19.15m

11.3m

6.66m

3.93m

1m

0m

537.5m + Japan

 

500m + Japan do feel like a worst case scenario, 525/530m + Japan a best case one.

Edited by Barnack
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38 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Locked I would say, specially considering Japan has yet to open.

 

But even with just the current legs:

Recent weeks it did:

 

Week ending august 19: 314.16m with a 88.15m weekend

Week ending august 26: 408.6m with a 45.73m weekend,

Week ending september 2: 463m with a 28m weekend

 

The trend look like this:

94.44m week, 2 weeks ago

55m week last week a 41% drop

 

If it drop worst than 50% from now on weekly it will do about

27m

13m

6m

2m

0

 

Ending at 511m + Japan

 

If it continue to drop 41% for a while

32.45m (with Japan openning next weekend it could almost pass over 500m right there)

19.15m

11.3m

6.66m

3.93m

1m

0m

537.5m + Japan

 

500m + Japan do feel like a worst case scenario, 525/530m + Japan a best case one.

agreed. 530m is very possible, maybe even higher.

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