WrathOfHan Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 A24 will easily make 40-45M on Hereditary thanks to the minuscule marketing budget. This is going to give them lots of funding for festival acquisitions and in-house originals, not to mention their increased clout with theaters. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted June 26, 2018 Author Share Posted June 26, 2018 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 dig Hereditary being a weekday monster. It won't overtake Lady Bird for A24's biggest movie but it'll come closer than I ever would have thought. wish First Reformed were performing as well in limited release but alas. i don't think they should have gone for 300+ theaters as quickly as they did, this would have done better with a slow-and-steady Florida Project type run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moviefanatic Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 (edited) Go Deadpool! Wonder how long before I2 dallies are over FK's? Edited June 26, 2018 by Moviefanatic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 (edited) 13 minutes ago, Rebeccas said: lol wow DP2 is really just hanging in there Them baby legs showing up strong. Edited June 26, 2018 by Nova 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 @a2k where do you have DP2 ending up? Is $315M+ possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 4 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said: dig Hereditary being a weekday monster. It won't overtake Lady Bird for A24's biggest movie but it'll come closer than I ever would have thought. wish First Reformed were performing as well in limited release but alas. i don't think they should have gone for 300+ theaters as quickly as they did, this would have done better with a slow-and-steady Florida Project type run. I'm curious to see what happens with Eighth Grade next month. They basically have to wait a month before it can even it 600-800 theaters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrylos 7 Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Really good run for Deadpool 2 , less than 10% drop WW , when all is said and done. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: I'm curious to see what happens with Eighth Grade next month. They basically have to wait a month before it can even it 600-800 theaters why? that actually seems like a movie that'd be better off expanding quickly. or even opening immediately wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 I wish more studios did what Roadside used to do when it would open something small but accessible in 350-400 theaters to a nice healthy PTA and then add a few hundred theaters each week. Mud and A Most Wanted Man made 17-22 million that way, give both those movies to A24 and they likely top out at 6-8m like all their platform releases outside of awards season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rebeccas Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 21 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said: dig Hereditary being a weekday monster. It won't overtake Lady Bird for A24's biggest movie but it'll come closer than I ever would have thought. wish First Reformed were performing as well in limited release but alas. i don't think they should have gone for 300+ theaters as quickly as they did, this would have done better with a slow-and-steady Florida Project type run. First Reformed is way too weird to do that well anyways.. I mean, it goes really bonkers at a certain point and I think even my sophisticated urban audience was like WTF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 (edited) 13 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said: I wish more studios did what Roadside used to do when it would open something small but accessible in 350-400 theaters to a nice healthy PTA and then add a few hundred theaters each week. Mud and A Most Wanted Man made 17-22 million that way, give both those movies to A24 and they likely top out at 6-8m like all their platform releases outside of awards season. To be fair, Mud had ample starpower behind it (Matthew McConaughey, Reese Witherspoon) and A Most Wanted Man was Hoffman's final lead role, so there was an extra incentive to push them. They've only had 10 $10M+ grossers in their entire history. 1 I Can Only Imagine RAtt. $83,410,922 2,894 $17,108,914 1,629 3/16/18 2 Manchester by the Sea RAtt. $47,695,371 1,213 $256,498 4 11/18/16 3 Mud RAtt. $21,590,086 960 $2,215,891 363 4/26/13 4 Mr. Holmes RAtt. $17,737,646 898 $2,434,908 361 7/17/15 5 A Most Wanted Man RAtt. $17,237,855 801 $2,687,227 361 7/25/14 6 Forever My Girl RAtt. $16,376,066 1,427 $4,245,630 1,114 1/19/18 7 Hello, My Name is Doris RAtt. $14,444,999 979 $84,986 4 3/11/16 8 Love & Friendship RAtt. $14,016,568 826 $133,513 4 5/13/16 9 Love & Mercy RAtt. $12,551,031 791 $2,122,177 481 6/5/15 10 The Conspirator RAtt. $11,538,204 849 $3,506,602 707 4/15/11 Edited June 26, 2018 by filmlover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 19 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said: why? that actually seems like a movie that'd be better off expanding quickly. or even opening immediately wide. They might be able to do the 600-800 expansion at the end of July, but the first week of August has way too many new releases out. If they wait a month, they run the risk of buzz fizzling out, but they could get it a little wider because the second half of August has barely anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Eighth Grade seems like one of those indies that gets a ton of acclaim but no one actually goes to see in theaters before having a nice shelf life at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulder Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 2 hours ago, Bishop54 said: Sure you're a looked to hate but you're thread crapping in every thread JW:FK is mentioned. You're a nuisance. @Ethan Hunt was more mature at 15 than you are now. Get a life. This is the epitome of hypocrisy seeing how you act every time a MonsterVerse movie comes along. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 9 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said: Mud and A Most Wanted Man made 17-22 million that way, Jeff Nichols hated it if I remember correctly, that was a movie made to play strong in the country and it got a very limited release. 32 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: A24 will easily make 40-45M on Hereditary thanks to the minuscule marketing budget. This is going to give them lots of funding for festival acquisitions and in-house originals, not to mention their increased clout with theaters. How much do they get from theater in retention rate ? They only have USA right (Elevation Pictures has Canada). For some comparison from sony classic release: 2 Midnight in Paris SPC $56,817,045 1,038 $599,003 6 5/20/11 3 Blue Jasmine SPC $33,405,481 1,283 $612,064 6 7/26/13 Sony only had domestic for them. Midnight in paris: domestic theatrical: 22.619m domestc home ent: 22.721m home ppv: 4.887m domestic Pay Tv: 11m Free tv: 4.6m Airlines: 1.045m other: 0.382m Total Revenues: 67m Marketing cost: 17m Residual: 1.63m Blue Jasmine: domestic theatrical:13.24m domestc home ent: 15.825m home ppv: 5.361m domestic Pay Tv: 6.735m Free tv: 0.3 Airlines: 0.297m other: 0.58m Total Revenues: 42.339m Marketing cost: 17m Residual: 1.63m For an horror movie reference (getting studio retention rate too) Deliver Us from evils (30.5m dbo): DOMESTIC THEATRICAL REVENUE 16,000 DOMESTIC HOME ENT REVENUE 15,330 DOMESTIC HOME ENT PPV REVENUE 3,99 DOMESTIC PAY TV REVENUE 5,390 DOMESTIC FREE TV REVENUE 3,090 AIRLINES AND MUSIC 90 NON-THEATRICAL & OTHER 67 Domestic revenues: 44m Domestic marketing cost: 32m Revenues / domestic ratio Midnight in paris: 1.2 Blue Jasmine: 1.26 Deliver us from evils: 1.44 If Hereditary finish at 41-42m in the US, I could see it make 50m in revenues. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 (edited) 59 minutes ago, Nova said: @a2k where do you have DP2 ending up? Is $315M+ possible? after a 5.3 weekend for 304.2 so can't really see it ending much below IM1's 318.4. Needed 14.2 (2.7x the 6th weekend) more after Sunday to beat it. Edited June 26, 2018 by a2k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveJaros Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 $10m Monday for I2 after already banking $350m+? That's wicked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 Is that good for Incredibles 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted June 26, 2018 Share Posted June 26, 2018 JW2 crossed $210 in china on 2nd Tuesday. $240+ locked imo, $250+ possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...