Weekend Thread: | Estimates (per BOM) ~ M:I-F 35M, DCR 25.003M, TSWDM 12.35M, MM!HWGA 9.09M, TE2 8.83M, HT3:SV 8.2M, AMatW 6.188M, TDM 5.8M

[Mr Impossible]

3 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

I think it'll cross $100M DOM. 

[Krissykins]

12 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

This is really trailing the first film, currently by about $300m internationally. It needs to pick up the pace very soon. Remaining markets, first film made about $70m from.

[MCKillswitch123]

Despite being ~200M less than JW1's OS total, that OS number is still behemoth-like for JW2. Coupled with the steady DOM run which in on its way for 410-413 type thing, an absolutely impressive performance for a sequel that didn't seem like it had any hype whatsoever. Never, ever doubt the Jurassic movies again at the box office, even if JW3 could drop again (it's still hitting 1B+ WW). Say what you will about Universal, but no one can deny that the OS appeal of their main franchises (Jurassic, Fast & Furious and Despicable Me - and Illumination in general, really) is their trump card without a doubt. Hell, Mamma Mia 2 and Skyscraper are pulling okay OS numbers in their own too. Comparatively, while a Disney seems extremely potent domestically, a lot of their movies don't have as much appeal OS (Solo, AWIT and now Christopher Robin as it seems are all OS letdowns/flops, while Incredibles 2 is still trailing Dory's disappointing OS total by 100M with only two major markets left to open and a big chance that it finishes on par with that number while coming nowhere near Coco's total either).

Edited August 5, 2018 by MCKillswitch123

[Curtis1986]

1 minute ago, Mr Impossible said:

I think it'll cross $100M DOM. 

 I think so too. That is really a great hold. And what makes it even greater is the fact that I lost over 600 theaters and still drop 37%.

[MagnarTheGreat]

9 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

this is exactly how franchise films get A's and A+ with mediocre films. Cinemascore is a sham.

 

Speak for yourself, we're all eagerly awaiting the highly anticipated follow up to Monster Trucks.

 

[sfran43]

 

[That One Girl]

4 minutes ago, MagnarTheGreat said:

 

Speak for yourself, we're all eagerly awaiting the highly anticipated follow up to Monster Trucks.

 

agreed

[sfran43]

Sad!!

 

 

Edited August 5, 2018 by sfran43

[AJG]

2 minutes ago, MagnarTheGreat said:

 

Speak for yourself, we're all eagerly awaiting the highly anticipated follow up to Monster Trucks.

 

 

I know someone that hate watched that film and ended really liking it. I like hearing stories like that.

[sfran43]

 

Edited August 5, 2018 by sfran43

[gadd]

5 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Despite being ~200M less than JW1's OS total, that OS number is still behemoth-like for JW2. Coupled with the steady DOM run which in on its way for 410-413 type thing, an absolutely impressive performance for a sequel that didn't seem like it had any hype whatsoever. Never, ever doubt the Jurassic movies again at the box office, even if JW3 could drop again (it's still hitting 1B+ WW). Say what you will about Universal, but no one can deny that the OS appeal of their main franchises (Jurassic, Fast & Furious and Despicable Me - and Illumination in general, really) is their trump card without a doubt. Hell, Mamma Mia 2 and Skyscraper are pulling okay OS numbers in their own too. Comparatively, while a Disney seems extremely potent domestically, a lot of their movies don't have as much appeal OS (Solo, AWIT and now Christopher Robin as it seems are all OS letdowns/flops, while Incredibles 2 is still trailing Dory's disappointing OS total by 100M with only two major markets left to open and a big chance that it finishes on par with that number while coming nowhere near Coco's total either).

Releasing JW2 earlier in international markets just before the World Cup was a great move. For almost a month it was the only blockbuster on the market with four-quadrant appeal in certain territories. It also helps that it has a unique hook and doesn't risk the possibility of fatigue.

[MCKillswitch123]

I think Equalizer 2 is more likely than not getting to 100M. It has to deal with both The Meg and Mile 22 going after the action audiences, which is already served by MI6 as well, but I think that it can survive just long enough in the doldrums of August. It's basically exactly on par with the 1st movie at the same point in time, so all it needs to do is to have as good or better holds from here on out and it'll get there, especially with late Summer weekdays and the Labor Day weekend boost.

[Curtis1986]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

Ouch.  talk about overhyped.

[filmlover]

16 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

Too bad none of them are going to be hits (and in the case of three of them, no one has ever heard of).

[sfran43]

 

Edited August 5, 2018 by sfran43

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, Curtis1986 said:

Ouch.  talk about overhyped.

By who? A few random members predicting big numbers does not equal "overhyped."

[grim22]

Rank* Title Friday 8/3 (Estimates) Saturday 8/4 (Estimates) Sunday 8/5 (Estimates) Monday 8/6 1 MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - FALLOUT Paramount 4,395 $9,850,000 +74.9% / $2,241 $99,337,371 / 8 $14,700,000 +49.2% / $3,345 $114,037,371 / 9 $10,450,000 -28.9% / $2,378 $124,487,371 / 10 N/A 2 DISNEY'S CHRISTOPHER ROBIN Buena Vista 3,602 $9,465,000 -- / $2,628 $9,465,000 / 1 $8,612,000 -9% / $2,391 $18,077,000 / 2 $6,926,000 -19.6% / $1,923 $25,003,000 / 3 N/A 3 THE SPY WHO DUMPED ME Lionsgate 3,111 $5,000,000 -- / $1,607 $5,000,000 / 1 $4,100,000 -18% / $1,318 $9,100,000 / 2 $3,250,000 -20.7% / $1,045 $12,350,000 / 3 N/A 4 MAMMA MIA! HERE WE GO AGAIN Universal 3,359 $2,829,000 +18.5% / $842 $85,073,550 / 15 $3,479,000 +23% / $1,036 $88,552,550 / 16 $2,783,000 -20% / $829 $91,335,550 / 17 N/A 5 THE EQUALIZER 2 Sony / Columbia 2,725 $2,435,000 +76.1% / $894 $73,491,265 / 15 $3,675,000 +50.9% / $1,349 $77,166,265 / 16 $2,720,000 -26% / $998 $79,886,265 / 17 N/A 6 HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 3: SUMMER VACATION Sony / Columbia 3,162 $2,430,000 +29.4% / $769 $130,685,881 / 22 $3,275,000 +34.8% / $1,036 $133,960,881 / 23 $2,495,000 -23.8% / $789 $136,455,881 / 24 N/A 7 THE DARKEST MINDS Fox 3,127 $2,315,000 -- / $740 $2,315,000 / 1 $2,015,000 -13% / $644 $4,330,000 / 2 $1,470,000 -27% / $470 $5,800,000 / 3 N/A 8 ANT-MAN AND THE WASP Buena Vista 2,233 $1,804,000 +46.9% / $808 $191,085,435 / 29 $2,575,000 +42.7% / $1,153 $193,660,435 / 30 $1,809,000 -29.7% / $810 $195,469,435 / 31 N/A 9 INCREDIBLES 2 Buena Vista 1,802 $1,445,000 +30.1% / $802 $579,577,290 / 50 $2,061,000 +42.6% / $1,144 $581,638,290 / 51 $1,503,000 -27.1% / $834 $583,141,290 / 52 N/A 10 TEEN TITANS GO! TO THE MOVIES Warner Bros. 3,188 $1,425,000 +37.7% / $447 $17,349,557 / 8 $1,960,000 +37.5% / $615 $19,309,557 / 9 $1,475,000 -24.7% / $463 $20,784,557 / 10 N/A 11 JURASSIC WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM Universal 1,914 $1,117,000 +36.4% / $584 $402,725,075 / 43 $1,633,000 +46.2% / $853 $404,358,075 / 44 $1,258,000 -23% / $657 $405,616,075 / 45 N/A 12 EIGHTH GRADE A24 1,084 $1,005,000 +464.4% / $927 $4,716,474 / 22 $1,060,000 +5.5% / $978 $5,776,474 / 23 $805,000 -24.1% / $743 $6,581,474 / 24 N/A - DEATH OF A NATION Quality Flix 1,005 $950,000 -- / $945 $950,000 / 1 $750,000 -21.1% / $746 $1,700,000 / 2 $625,000 -16.7% / $622 $2,325,000 / 3 N/A - SKYSCRAPER Universal 1,523 $644,000 +18.1% / $423 $62,874,165 / 22 $924,000 +43.5% / $607 $63,798,165 / 23 $647,000 -30% / $425 $64,445,165 / 24 N/A - THE FIRST PURGE Universal 708 $287,000 +44.9% / $405 $67,115,080 / 31 $374,000 +30.3% / $528 $67,489,080 / 32 $281,000 -24.9% / $397 $67,770,080 / 33 N/A - THREE IDENTICAL STRANGERS Neon 405 $255,000 +61% / $630 $7,680,929 / 36 $451,350 +77% / $1,114 $8,132,279 / 37 $347,540 -23% / $858 $8,479,819 / 38 N/A - SORRY TO BOTHER YOU Annapurna Pictures 404 $234,000 +32.2% / $579 $14,340,602 / 29 $329,000 +40.6% / $814 $14,669,602 / 30 $247,000 -24.9% / $611 $14,916,602 / 31 N/A - BLINDSPOTTING Lionsgate/Summit 523 $196,000 +33.4% / $375 $2,708,486 / 15 $264,000 +34.7% / $505 $2,972,486 / 16 $200,000 -24.2% / $382 $3,172,486 / 17 N/A - WON'T YOU BE MY NEIGHBOR? Focus Features 284 $127,000 +9.7% / $447 $20,663,607 / 57 $206,000 +62.2% / $725 $20,869,607 / 58 $165,000 -19.9% / $581 $21,034,607 / 59 N/A - SICARIO: DAY OF THE SOLDADO Sony / Columbia 216 $100,000 +42.7% / $463 $49,172,390 / 36 N/A N/A N/A - AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR Buena Vista 205 $72,000 +25.3% / $351 $677,888,833 / 99 $102,000 +41.7% / $498 $677,990,833 / 100 $66,000 -35.3% / $322 $678,056,833 / 101 N/A - UNFRIENDED: DARK WEB BH Tilt 208 $65,000 -46.2% / $313 $8,476,965 / 15 $81,000 +24.6% / $389 $8,557,965 / 16 $65,000 -19.8% / $313 $8,622,965 / 17 N/A - UNCLE DREW Lionsgate/Summit 202 $57,000 +12% / $282 $41,743,816 / 36 $87,000 +52.6% / $431 $41,830,816 / 37 $61,000 -29.9% / $302 $41,891,816 / 38 N/A - SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY Buena Vista 200 $56,000 +121.4% / $280 $212,892,501 / 71 $82,000 +46.4% / $410 $212,974,501 / 72 $57,000 -30.5% / $285 $213,031,501 / 73 N/A - DEADPOOL 2 Fox 196 $51,000 +52.4% / $260 $317,890,529 / 78 $73,000 +43.1% / $372 $317,963,529 / 79 $53,000 -27.4% / $270 $318,016,529 / 80 N/A - DON'T WORRY HE WON'T GET FAR ON FOOT Amazon Studios 177 $40,710 -13.5% / $230 $1,101,717 / 22 $65,667 +61.3% / $371 $1,167,384 / 23 $41,595 -36.7% / $235 $1,208,979 / 24 N/A - HEREDITARY A24 71 $21,300 +23.2% / $300 $43,854,578 / 57 $48,000 +125.4% / $676 $43,902,578 / 58 $38,400 -20% / $541 $43,940,978 / 59 N/A - BLACK PANTHER Buena Vista 25 $16,000 +27% / $640 $699,985,026 / 169 $12,000 -25% / $480 $699,997,026 / 170 $7,000 -41.7% / $280 $700,004,026 / 171 N/A - NEVER GOIN' BACK A24 2 $4,280 -- / $2,140 $4,280 / 1 $3,164 -26.1% / $1,582 $7,444 / 2 $2,600 -17.8% / $1,300 $10,044 / 3 N/A - AMERICAN ANIMALS The Orchard 8 $1,538 +18.4% / $192 $2,816,706 / 64 $2,054 +33.6% / $257 $2,818,760 / 65 $1,473 -28.3% / $184 $2,820,233 / 66 N/A
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[CoolioD1]

ant man 2 came out here this weekend and i totally forgot until right now. i think it's actually the first MCU movie i didn't watch on opening weekend here.

[sfran43]

 

[MagnarTheGreat]

3 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

That estimate's 155.86% higher than Finding Dory's 8th weekend. A good start to its week.