sfran43 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 BR will reach the $200M milestone on Friday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mulder Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, sfran43 said: BR will reach the $200M milestone on Friday @WrathOfHan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I kinda feel like Mary Poppins Returns is one of those films that will be forgotten in half a years time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, sfran43 said: 3400 empty theaters next weekend then 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 hours ago, TombRaider said: do you consider mary queen of scots (will finish around 17m) dom for a 25m budget and ben is back, (~5dom) for a 13m budget flops??? also how much money would a studio make from bumblebee (420m? finish WW) for a 135m budget?? You cannot really judge a movie by looking at just one market..... Queen of Scots is basically being released today. Has for how much money the studio make on a movie like that, it is hard to answer for the studio point of view, depends a lot of what the Hasbro deal look like and who get the money, i.e. you really need to know how much first dollar gross or profit participation, how much of the merchandising is split to have an actual even very rough idea. Some bad comparable (no merchandising involved like a transformer) Will Smith After Earth With a 150M net budget and 62.5m bonus (212.5m production and bonus cost), at 400m WW (160dbo/240intl) the studio thought they would make a 33m profit Elysium 125.6m net budget and 52.53m in bonus (178m production and bonus cost), at 420m WW(175/245), the studio evaluated they would make a 95M in profits. If they kept it under 175m what the movie actually costed them it is different than if Hasbro and others get 25% of the first dollar gross, look at that list of production players: Production Companies Allspark Pictures Bay Films Di Bonaventura Pictures Hasbro Laika Entertainment (uncredited) Paramount Pictures Tencent Pictures Tom DeSanto/Don Murphy Production How much Paramount made amount them is really a shot in the dark, how much Bay made, Di Bonaventura, Hasbro and so on. At the same time maybe Paramount paid only for 70m of that production and that it is a very low risk, low ROI needed type of investment for them. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 (edited) Congrats on Spider-Verse crossing the $150M mark!👏🏾 Edited January 17, 2019 by sfran43 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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Zakiyyah6 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 (edited) 34 minutes ago, Brainbug said: I kinda feel like Mary Poppins Returns is one of those films that will be forgotten in half a years time. It will be forgotten soon. The media's obnoxious over hype will never cease to make me giggle after seeing it get killed this past Holiday season. Edited January 17, 2019 by Zakiyyah6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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TombRaider Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 53 minutes ago, Barnack said: Spoiler You cannot really judge a movie by looking at just one market..... Queen of Scots is basically being released today. Has for how much money the studio make on a movie like that, it is hard to answer for the studio point of view, depends a lot of what the Hasbro deal look like and who get the money, i.e. you really need to know how much first dollar gross or profit participation, how much of the merchandising is split to have an actual even very rough idea. Some bad comparable (no merchandising involved like a transformer) Will Smith After Earth With a 150M net budget and 62.5m bonus (212.5m production and bonus cost), at 400m WW (160dbo/240intl) the studio thought they would make a 33m profit Elysium 125.6m net budget and 52.53m in bonus (178m production and bonus cost), at 420m WW(175/245), the studio evaluated they would make a 95M in profits. If they kept it under 175m what the movie actually costed them it is different than if Hasbro and others get 25% of the first dollar gross, look at that list of production players: Production Companies Allspark Pictures Bay Films Di Bonaventura Pictures Hasbro Laika Entertainment (uncredited) Paramount Pictures Tencent Pictures Tom DeSanto/Don Murphy Production How much Paramount made amount them is really a shot in the dark, how much Bay made, Di Bonaventura, Hasbro and so on. At the same time maybe Paramount paid only for 70m of that production and that it is a very low risk, low ROI needed type of investment for them. So a movie like A simple favor, seen as a success, grossing 97m on a 20m budget actually gives the studio less money than a bomb like after earth?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Reading the New Years Eve thread and Han was way too optimistic on Poppins and somewhat optimistic on Bumblebee. The other 2 look to be in the correct range On 12/30/2018 at 1:47 PM, WrathOfHan said: Some forecasts: Aquaman: Remainder of this week: 47.7M (236.5M Total) Jan 4: 32.5M (9.6M weekdays, 278.5M Total) Jan 11: 18M (6.2M weekdays, 302.7M Total) Jan 18: 9.2M (3.5M weekdays, 315.4M Total) Jan 25: 4.7M (1.8M weekdays, 321.9M Total) Feb 1: 3.2M (1.1M weekdays, 326.2M Total) Feb 8: 1.8M (800k weekdays, 328.8M Total) Feb 15: 1M (400k weekdays, 330.2M Total) Feb 22: 400k (200k weekdays, 330.8M Total) Final Total: 333M (4.58x with Prime) This will more than likely surpass SS, but BVS depends on how much Glass hits it. Mary Poppins: Remainder of this week: 32M (130.9M Total) Jan 4: 28.4M (7.6M weekdays, 166.9M Total) Jan 11: 21.3M (5.2M weekdays, 193.4M Total) Jan 18: 13.6M (7.8M weekdays, 214.8M Total) Jan 25: 11.7M (3.1M weekdays, 229.6M Total) Feb 1: 7.4M (2.2M weekdays, 239.2M Total) Feb 8: 5.1M (1.9M weekdays, 246.2M Total) Feb 15: 3.7M (2M weekdays, 253.9M Total) Feb 22: 2.9M (800k weekdays, 257.6M Total) Mar 1: 2M (600k weekdays, 260.2M Total) Mar 8: 1.3M (400k weekdays, 261.9M Total) Mar 15: 800k (300k weekdays, 263M Total) Final Total: 267M (8.27x from 5 day/11.36x from 3 day) So who's still calling this Mary Floppins? This is going to be in store for a sub-5% drop or an increase next weekend if it follows Parental Guidance. Even if something goes wrong with that comp, it still isn't dropping more than 15-20%. Very strong legs are in store as family competition is light until February, and by then, WOM will be strong as steel. Bumblebee: Remainder of this week: 16.9M (83.7M Total) Jan 4: 14.2M (4.1M weekdays, 102M Total) Jan 11: 9.8M (3.2M weekdays, 115M Total) Jan 18: 7.3M (3.5M weekdays, 125.8M Total) Jan 25: 5.5M (2M weekdays, 133.3M Total) Feb 1: 3.8M (1.2M weekdays, 138.3M Total) Feb 8: 2.6M (1.2M weekdays, 142.1M Total) Feb 15: 1.4M (500k weekdays, 144M Total) Feb 22: 600k (200k weekdays, 144.8M Total) Final Total: 148M (6.82x) IDK if this can hit 150M, but over The Last Knight should be assured. Spider-Verse: Remainder of this week: 15.8M (119.4M Total) Jan 4: 12.4M (3.1M weekdays, 134.9M Total) Jan 11: 8.9M (2.2M weekdays, 146M Total) Jan 18: 5.2M (2.8M weekdays, 154M Total) Jan 25: 4.4M (1.3M weekdays, 159.7M Total) Feb 1: 2.8M (700k weekdays, 163.2M Total) Feb 8: 1.6M (600k weekdays, 165.4M Total) Feb 15: 800k (200k weekdays, 166.5M Total) Final Total: 170M (4.8x) This and Aquaman will be neck and neck with each other every weekend starting later in January. This will be the first of the big 4 Christmas releases to be dropped from theaters, but it will still end up in third (domestically) with a great total. I'll do a few other movies in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 hour ago, sfran43 said: BR will reach the $200M milestone on Friday @WrathOfHan might be the fakest trashiest Hailee fanboy in the planet but his box office predictions are legit. He reminds me of me when I was young and wasn't dead all the time because of real life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, TombRaider said: So a movie like A simple favor, seen as a success, grossing 97m on a 20m budget actually gives the studio less money than a bomb like after earth?? After Earth didn't reach 400M far from it, it made only 243m. It would not have been a bomb if it would have reached 400m obviously. Those are from studio accountant estimate made before the release of a movie, how much they expect the movie to make in is lifetime if it hit X level at the BO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
