Weekend Thread (1/25-1/27): Weekend Estimates: Glass 19M l Upside 12.2M l Aquaman 7.3M l Kid WWB King 7.2M l Spider-Verse: 5.5M l Green Book 5.2M l Serenity 4.8M

[MovieMan89]

Yeah, I don’t think Gaga’s chances are looking too good at this point, whereas Malek’s have only kept increasing. 

[Jake Gittes]

The Wife falls apart around the halfway mark but Close is pretty superb all through it. I'd much rather see her win than Gaga although I expect I'll like Colman better than both.

 

Haven't seen either BR or Vice but Malek as Redmayne 2.0 isn't a surprising development. 

[titanic2187]

6 minutes ago, Curtis1986 said:

Am I'm crazy for thinking that movies like Bohemian Rhapsody and vice made a great case for why there needs to be a best popular film category at the Academy Awards. I mean black panther had me a superhero film but it actually got rave reviews on the level of most Oscar contenders but there's really no justification for Bohemian Rhapsody in Vice being in the lineup especially in a year where we had a many strong films. Now if Straight Outta Compton would have made it into the best picture a few years ago then I can understand Bohemian Rhapsody a little more but not much.

I am not sure how popular of Vice is to justify the film will get into best popular film category if there were any.

 

Why BR and Vice get in? Because both films have a very passionate base, the academy nomination process favour the film with enough of number 1 spot in their ballot. It is not about consensus, it is the number of voters who passionately love you that matter.  5% of number 1 spot will let you enter the lineup but 100% of number 3 or 4 vote will kick you out from race (I suspect CRA got snubbed for that reason, not enough of passionate vote that think the film is the singlely best film of the year).

 

The same reason is why both film will surely lose out for best picture winner because for picking winner , the votes that work against you matter. The film will lose out the race when so many voters place the film at #7 or #8 despite the film was passionately loved by some group (likely the cause of LLL epic failure) 

[DAJK]

Honestly Vice could be the exact same movie, and if it had a 90+ RT 80+ MC score I don't think people would be complaining about its BP nomination. Unlike BR (whose flaws as a film are obvious regardless of how much I liked it), Vice is definitely more in the line of Big Short, which definitely didn't have as much controversy surrounding its nomination. 

[TMP]

5 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

Haven't seen either BR or Vice but Malek as Redmayne 2.0 isn't a surprising development. 

So Malek is gonna lead a Fantastic Ewoks & Where to Find Them series for Lucasfilm next?

[MrGamer]

7 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

The Wife falls apart around the halfway mark but Close is pretty superb all through it. I'd much rather see her win than Gaga although I expect I'll like Colman better than both.

 

Haven't seen either BR or Vice but Malek as Redmayne 2.0 isn't a surprising development. 

[TMP]

Also, Malek was kind of weaksauce in BR tbh. Bale and Cooper were both a lot stronger in terms of performances.

[Avatree]

there is 0 chance of lady gaga winning best actress.

 

also Rami Malek is straight up bad in BR. He's doing a poor impression of Tommy Wiseau.

[grim22]

WB's all time top 10, Aquaman should finish 6th when its run is done

 

Rank	Movie Title (click to view)	Studio	Total Gross / Theaters		Opening / Theaters		Open
1	The Dark Knight	WB	$533,345,358	4,366	$158,411,483	4,366	7/18/08
2	The Dark Knight Rises	WB	$448,139,099	4,404	$160,887,295	4,404	7/20/12
3	Wonder Woman	WB	$412,563,408	4,165	$103,251,471	4,165	6/2/17
4	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2	WB	$381,011,219	4,375	$169,189,427	4,375	7/15/11
5	American Sniper	WB	$350,126,372	3,885	$633,456	4	12/25/14
6	Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	WB	$330,360,194	4,256	$166,007,347	4,242	3/25/16
7	It	WB (NL)	$327,481,748	4,148	$123,403,419	4,103	9/8/17
8	Suicide Squad	WB	$325,100,054	4,255	$133,682,248	4,255	8/5/16
9	Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone	WB	$317,575,550	3,672	$90,294,621	3,672	11/16/01
10	Aquaman	WB	$310,904,074	4,184	$67,873,522	4,125	12/21/18

 

 

In the past 2 years, BvS, Suicide Squad, Wonder Woman and now Aquaman have pushed 3 Harry Potter movies out of the top 10. Used to be a good balance between Potter, Middle Earth and Batman, now its 60% DC movies.

[Jake Gittes]

When Frances McDormand goes onstage to award Best Actor she should just say Ethan Hawke and dare anyone to correct her.

[AndyK]

I don't think Gaga or Malek were particularly standout in their respective movies.

[MovieMan89]

2 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

When Frances McDormand goes onstage to award Best Actor she should just say Ethan Hawke and dare anyone to correct her.

Gary Oldman should do the same for Toni Colette while we’re at it. 

[Dementeleus]

I don’t think Gaga gave a great performance (apart from her singing, where she’s stellar, obviously).

[Jake Gittes]

Julianne Nicholson in Who We Are Now is the performance of the year for me. Would that more than six people saw it. 

[CoolioD1]

1 hour ago, Jake Gittes said:

The Wife falls apart around the halfway mark but Close is pretty superb all through it. I'd much rather see her win than Gaga although I expect I'll like Colman better than both.

 

Haven't seen either BR or Vice but Malek as Redmayne 2.0 isn't a surprising development. 

i think the wife falls apart at about the 1 minute mark and just keeps breaking. close is good in it but a good performance in a vacuum (there's literally nothing else that works. the script is an eye roller, love the flashbacks that i think are there to pad the movie out to over 90 minutes, and every other actor is embarrassing themselves. especially pryce and the guy playing the son, the latter is legit the worst performance of last year) does nothing for me.

 

i've seen every actress nominee and honestly i think McCarthy should win, so obv. she has the least chance.

[Spidey Freak]

1 hour ago, grim22 said:

WB's all time top 10, Aquaman should finish 6th when its run is done

 

Rank	Movie Title (click to view)	Studio	Total Gross / Theaters		Opening / Theaters		Open
1	The Dark Knight	WB	$533,345,358	4,366	$158,411,483	4,366	7/18/08
2	The Dark Knight Rises	WB	$448,139,099	4,404	$160,887,295	4,404	7/20/12
3	Wonder Woman	WB	$412,563,408	4,165	$103,251,471	4,165	6/2/17
4	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2	WB	$381,011,219	4,375	$169,189,427	4,375	7/15/11
5	American Sniper	WB	$350,126,372	3,885	$633,456	4	12/25/14
6	Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	WB	$330,360,194	4,256	$166,007,347	4,242	3/25/16
7	It	WB (NL)	$327,481,748	4,148	$123,403,419	4,103	9/8/17
8	Suicide Squad	WB	$325,100,054	4,255	$133,682,248	4,255	8/5/16
9	Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone	WB	$317,575,550	3,672	$90,294,621	3,672	11/16/01
10	Aquaman	WB	$310,904,074	4,184	$67,873,522	4,125	12/21/18

 

 

In the past 2 years, BvS, Suicide Squad, Wonder Woman and now Aquaman have pushed 3 Harry Potter movies out of the top 10. Used to be a good balance between Potter, Middle Earth and Batman, now its 60% DC movies.

In 8 months time there will be more It Chapters in the WB DOM Top 10 than Potter and Middle Earth movies combined.

[Jake Gittes]

9 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

i think the wife falls apart at about the 1 minute mark and just keeps breaking. close is good in it but a good performance in a vacuum (there's literally nothing else that works. the script is an eye roller, love the flashbacks that i think are there to pad the movie out to over 90 minutes, and every other actor is embarrassing themselves. especially pryce and the guy playing the son, the latter is legit the worst performance of last year) does nothing for me.

 

i've seen every actress nominee and honestly i think McCarthy should win, so obv. she has the least chance.

It was working unexpectedly well for me so long as it pretended to stick with the original premise. When it let everything out in the open it pretty much blew itself up. No argument about the son though, if I were Jeremy Irons I'd be pretty embarrassed

[Spidey Freak]

13 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

It was working unexpectedly well for me so long as it pretended to stick with the original premise. When it let everything out in the open it pretty much blew itself up. No argument about the son though, if I were Jeremy Irons I'd be pretty embarrassed

Uh, Irons openly spoke about wanting to fuck his son when the latter was just a teen. If he weren't embarrassed about that... 

[aabattery]

1 hour ago, MovieMan89 said:

Gary Oldman should do the same for Toni Colette while we’re at it. 

 

And then he should retroactively give his Oscar back to literally any of the other nominees last year.

[DAJK]

1 hour ago, AndyK said:

I don't think Gaga or Malek were particularly standout in their respective movies.

ok come on dude. Even those who don't like BR even admit Malek was fantastic