Monday Numbers (04/23/2019).

[LouisianaArkansasGeorgia]

Is Endgame really going to kill the two other superhero films in theatres this weekend? Maybe the spillover biz will entice people who can't get into EG to choose CM or SH! as alternatives to satiate their CBM cravings.

Edited April 23, 2019 by LouisianaArkansasGeorgia

[Arlo245]

3 hours ago, Sam said:

Percentage drops from Sunday

 

CoLL -60%

Shazam -49.5%

BT -55%

CM -40.5%

Dumbo -28.5%

 

Who would have thought the movie getting them Endgame effect is Dumbo. 

So many people seem to forget about Easter Monday lol but it's an actual holiday here in Canada will school and work off. This explains Dumbos light drop. So less of Endgame, more of Easter Monday. Expect muted increases tomorrow haha 😄

[cdsacken]

7 minutes ago, LouisianaArkansasGeorgia said:

Is Endgame really going to kill the two other superhero films in theatres this weekend? Maybe the spillover biz will entice people who can't get into EG to choose CM or SH! as alternatives to satiate their CBM cravings.

I don't see CM getting killed at all but it's not gonna dominate since End Game will be sucking up all the space.

[a2k]

Top 10 last Mon-Thu following Easter

Rank*	Title	Monday 4/2	Tuesday 4/3	Wednesday 4/4	Thursday 4/5
1	READY PLAYER ONE Warner Bros. 4,234	$5,241,464 -53% / $1,238 $58,951,789 / 5	$5,392,511 +2.9% / $1,274 $64,344,300 / 6	$4,002,387 -25.8% / $945 $68,346,687 / 7	$3,513,838 -12.2% / $830 $71,860,525 / 8
2	TYLER PERRY'S ACRIMONY Lionsgate 2,006	$1,703,903 -54.7% / $849 $18,874,610 / 4	$1,909,964 +12.1% / $952 $20,784,574 / 5	$1,304,112 -31.7% / $650 $22,088,686 / 6	$1,195,894 -8.3% / $596 $23,284,580 / 7
3	BLACK PANTHER Buena Vista 2,988	$1,635,447 -47.2% / $547 $652,558,996 / 46	$1,667,090 +1.9% / $558 $654,226,086 / 47	$1,397,293 -16.2% / $468 $655,623,379 / 48	$1,302,361 -6.8% / $436 $656,925,740 / 49
4	SHERLOCK GNOMES Paramount 3,662	$1,610,044 -1% / $440 $24,432,260 / 11	$1,524,535 -5.3% / $416 $25,956,795 / 12	$1,265,845 -17% / $346 $27,222,640 / 13	$1,075,421 -15% / $294 $28,298,061 / 14
5	I CAN ONLY IMAGINE Roadside Attractions 2,648	$1,395,207 -53% / $527 $56,687,389 / 18	$1,612,573 +15.6% / $609 $58,299,962 / 19	$1,298,598 -19.5% / $490 $59,598,560 / 20	$1,128,642 -13.1% / $426 $60,727,202 / 21
6	PACIFIC RIM UPRISING Universal 3,708	$1,165,755 -53.7% / $314 $47,001,980 / 11	$1,276,750 +9.5% / $344 $48,278,730 / 12	$936,160 -26.7% / $252 $49,214,890 / 13	$795,170 -15.1% / $214 $50,010,060 / 14
7	A WRINKLE IN TIME Buena Vista 2,367	$971,908 -21.8% / $411 $84,370,946 / 25	$1,031,795 +6.2% / $436 $85,402,741 / 26	$845,155 -18.1% / $357 $86,247,896 / 27	$724,860 -14.2% / $306 $86,972,756 / 28
8	LOVE, SIMON Fox 2,024	$776,014 -27.9% / $383 $32,884,334 / 18	$747,414 -3.7% / $369 $33,631,748 / 19	$646,866 -13.5% / $320 $34,278,614 / 20	$498,650 -22.9% / $246 $34,777,264 / 21
9	TOMB RAIDER Warner Bros. 2,788	$667,301 -51.2% / $239 $51,382,574 / 18	$767,453 +15% / $275 $52,150,027 / 19	$581,277 -24.3% / $208 $52,731,304 / 20	$412,786 -29% / $148 $53,144,090 / 21
10	PETER RABBIT Sony / Columbia 1,667	$501,123 -8.4% / $301 $111,268,832 / 53	$384,404 -23.3% / $231 $111,653,236 / 54	$347,247 -9.7% / $208 $112,000,483 / 55	$309,511 -10.9% / $186 $112,309,994 / 56

[JohnnyGossamer]

21 minutes ago, LouisianaArkansasGeorgia said:

Is Endgame really going to kill the two other superhero films in theatres this weekend? Maybe the spillover biz will entice people who can't get into EG to choose CM or SH! as alternatives to satiate their CBM cravings.

Endgame will actually help inflate CM numbers again. Will hurt Shazam though. Not too much though. This is overblown. These movies didn't release last week...

Edited April 23, 2019 by JohnnyGossamer

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[a2k]

Shazam

 

1.9, 122.3

1.9, (+0%), 124.2

1.3 (-31.5%), 125.5

1.0 (-23%), 126.5

 

2.0 (+100%) // Rampage did +120% when AIW opened

3.4 (+70%) // Rampage did +75%

2.25 (-34%)

= 7.65 (-53.5%), 134.15

Edited April 23, 2019 by a2k

[sfran43]

 

[Krissykins]

1 hour ago, LouisianaArkansasGeorgia said:

Is Endgame really going to kill the two other superhero films in theatres this weekend? Maybe the spillover biz will entice people who can't get into EG to choose CM or SH! as alternatives to satiate their CBM cravings.

Absolutely not, Captain Marvel will probably increase again, if not decline less than 5%. 

 

Last year when IW opened, the other Disney films, Black Panther fell 4% and Wrinkle in Time jumped 35% despite losing half its locations. 

Edited April 23, 2019 by Krissykins

[John Marston]

54 minutes ago, a2k said:

Shazam

 

1.9, 122.3

1.9, (+0%), 124.2

1.3 (-31.5%), 125.5

1.0 (-23%), 126.5

 

2.0 (+100%) // Rampage did +120% when AIW opened

3.4 (+70%) // Rampage did +75%

2.25 (-34%)

= 7.65 (-53.5%), 134.15

 

 

Too generous drop for Shazam. I expect a near 70% drop

[LouisianaArkansasGeorgia]

I totally forgot that BP actually dropped incredibly well when IW opened. 

So what is the expected final domestic tally for CM? 415m? 420? Does it have enough fuel in the tank for 450? I mean, at this point, despite my initial misgivings, I am not going to underestimate CM anymore. For all we know, the next few weeks of EG domination could all fuel super-minimal drops or even actual increases for CM...

[stripe]

I would say 430M/435M DOM for CM is likely. If EG push lasts for more than next weekend, 440M is on the table.

 

Add 3M util EG. Then, 7-8M during EG opening. And another 18-22M for the rest of its run.

[JohnnyGossamer]

6 minutes ago, LouisianaArkansasGeorgia said:

I totally forgot that BP actually dropped incredibly well when IW opened. 

So what is the expected final domestic tally for CM? 415m? 420? Does it have enough fuel in the tank for 450? I mean, at this point, despite my initial misgivings, I am not going to underestimate CM anymore. For all we know, the next few weeks of EG domination could all fuel super-minimal drops or even actual increases for CM...

420+ highly likely. Anything much higher than that highly unlikely.

[LouisianaArkansasGeorgia]

Despite my reservations and problems about some elements of its content, the MCU has certainly built an incredibly successful, incredibly well-liked business empire and laid a blueprint for how to create cinematic narratives that audiences trust, love, and support. As an old-school DC fan, I am not gonna lie: it still stings that my favorite comic book characters have not gotten (yet) a well constructed interconnected narrative, but I am hopeful that the future brings something akin to what Marvel has done so well. 

[boyamama]

1 hour ago, LouisianaArkansasGeorgia said:

Is Endgame really going to kill the two other superhero films in theatres this weekend? Maybe the spillover biz will entice people who can't get into EG to choose CM or SH! as alternatives to satiate their CBM cravings.

the only movie lost a lot theater will be hellboy ,pet cemetery, missing link and breakthrough.....

Edited April 23, 2019 by boyamama

[LouisianaArkansasGeorgia]

5 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

420+ highly likely. Anything much higher than that highly unlikely.

I actually would like if CM reached 450m. Seems like a nice round number, but it is still awesome, that at this point the origin films from two superheroines have outgrossed all the origin films from all male superheroes except Black Panther.

[cdsacken]

13 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

420+ highly likely. Anything much higher than that highly unlikely.

I agree but again people a couple weeks were laughing at even the thought of 420 saying 405 max. The trajectory of this went crazy but at some point it's going to level off hard. What I don't know how it will do after it levels off. Still thinking 425-430 max assuming it levels off after this week and drops 40% weekly after. 

 

 

Say 414 by 4/28 then 50% dropoffs.

 

50% drop next followed by 3 more 50% drops

421

424.5

426.25

427.375

 

 

 

Edited April 23, 2019 by cdsacken

[LouisianaArkansasGeorgia]

Just now, cdsacken said:

I agree but again people a couple weeks were laughing at even the thought of 420 saying 405 max. The trajectory of this went crazy but at some point it's going to level off hard. What I don't know how it will do after it levels off. Still thinking 425 max.

I am one of the people who did not even think it could reach 400, but I admit that it was partly to my silly wish of CM not outgrossing Wonder Woman domestically (since worldwide CM had already beaten Diana, I wanted my dear amazon to keep the domestic crown at least). But it is just stupid. At the end of the day, they are both triumphant movies and both have certainly dispelled all those idiotic narratives of "audiences don't care about female superheroes" that Hollywood loved to perpetuate. 

[cdsacken]

8 minutes ago, LouisianaArkansasGeorgia said:

I am one of the people who did not even think it could reach 400, but I admit that it was partly to my silly wish of CM not outgrossing Wonder Woman domestically (since worldwide CM had already beaten Diana, I wanted my dear amazon to keep the domestic crown at least). But it is just stupid. At the end of the day, they are both triumphant movies and both have certainly dispelled all those idiotic narratives of "audiences don't care about female superheroes" that Hollywood loved to perpetuate. 

Thats fair and I want WW 1984 to do more than . Keep pushing for the best