PanaMovie Posted June 6, 2019 Posted June 6, 2019 (edited) Exactly one year!! Predict Wonder Woman (2017) Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $412,563,408 50.2% + Foreign: $409,283,604 49.8% = Worldwide: $821,847,012 Edited December 7, 2019 by PanaMovie 1 Quote
KP1025 Posted June 6, 2019 Posted June 6, 2019 Guessing $500 million OS for now. Will adjust once I see trailer. 1 Quote
Sam Posted June 6, 2019 Posted June 6, 2019 Gonna depend a lot on China. Wonder Woman made around $90M, so there’s plenty of room for sequel to increase. OS-China I could see a good increase base off good will of the original, but the period nature could potentially limit the appeal. 500-550M OS is my guess (could go higher if summer 2020 continues to look barren as it does now) 1 Quote
Sunny Max Posted June 7, 2019 Posted June 7, 2019 On 6/6/2019 at 8:12 AM, Sam said: Gonna depend a lot on China. Wonder Woman made around $90M, so there’s plenty of room for sequel to increase. OS-China I could see a good increase base off good will of the original, but the period nature could potentially limit the appeal. 500-550M OS is my guess (could go higher if summer 2020 continues to look barren as it does now) So WW $1.1 B + possible 1 Quote
keysersoze123 Posted December 7, 2019 Posted December 7, 2019 500m OS. Many other factors come into play but it has potential to grow in OS markets. Quote
charlie Jatinder Posted December 8, 2019 Posted December 8, 2019 OS-C of some breakout origin in range of Wonder Woman Deadpool: $419mn (Asia/Russia $124mn - Oceania $38mn - MEA $20mn - Latin America $57mn - Europe $180mn) GoTG: $340mn (Asia/Russia $105mn - Oceania $28mn - MEA $12mn - Latin America $65mn - Europe $130mn) Wonder Woman: $319mn (Asia/Russia $103mn - Oceania $28mn - MEA $11mn - Latin America $77mn - Europe $100mn) Spider-man: Homecoming: $427mn (Asia/Russia $170mn - Oceania $24mn - MEA $20mn - Latin America $93mn - Europe $120mn) OS-C of their sequels Deadpool 2: $416mn (Asia/Russia $145mn (16%) - Oceania $32mn (15%)- MEA $15mn (25%) - Latin America $65mn (14%) - Europe $159mn (13%)) GoTG 2: $373mn (Asia/Russia $115mn (09%) - Oceania $28mn ()- MEA $10mn (17%) - Latin America $59mn (9%) - Europe $161mn (1%)) Spider-man: Far From Home: $541mn (Asia/Russia $213mn (25%) - Oceania $30mn (1%)- MEA $25mn (25%) - Latin America $92mn (1%) - Europe $173mn (40%)) Truth be told, when I was compiling above, I was expecting a nice co-relation, which clearly isn't the case. Taking DP 2 ratios of gain/loss we get, $326mn Taking GoTG 2 ratios of gain/loss we get, $320mn Taking FFH ratios of gain/loss we get, $386mn Those FFH numbers are result of Avengers bump as well, so I guess $350mn is good sum to expect from OS-C. China, I am not sure, if will have huge increase, for now just taking 40% increase for $125mn Approx. Expecting $475mn overseas. 2 1 Quote
Darth Lehnsherr Posted December 8, 2019 Posted December 8, 2019 GOTG Vol 2 isn't a bad comparison actually. Hopefully the OS jump is higher for WW84. Quote
charlie Jatinder Posted December 8, 2019 Posted December 8, 2019 Why did WW underperformed in Europe? Even more did Homecoming. Quote
peludo Posted December 8, 2019 Posted December 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said: Why did WW underperformed in Europe? Even more did Homecoming. IMHO, it overperformed DOM. I do not find nothing special in the film beyond being the first female CBM. I do not get the Homecoming comparison. Spidey is WAAAAY more well known by GA than Wonder Woman. 1 Quote
charlie Jatinder Posted December 8, 2019 Posted December 8, 2019 24 minutes ago, peludo said: I do not get the Homecoming comparison. I meant Homecoming underperformer even more. FFH rebounded though. 1 Quote
Damien Posted December 8, 2019 Posted December 8, 2019 I think Warner had very little faith in Wonder woman so they didn't promote it enough.I had no clue a wonder woman movie was coming. Even in US a lot of it's performance was driven by WOM. I also don't see it dropping much domestically unless it is not received well. Quote
Marcos12 Posted December 8, 2019 Posted December 8, 2019 (edited) people comparing Wonder Woman with MCU Spider man, Spider man is an old character in theaters, already known to the public is not new as Wonder Woman, had no room to grow as Wonder Woman has (unless Spider is boosted by another movie connection as happened after Endgame). Guardians of the Galaxy is not a good comparison either because it's Space Opera, and Space Opera movies don't usually do well OS (compared to Domestic), Deadpool is the best comparison, and yet it's not really similar because Deadpool is R Rated and has a mostly different audience, WW84 will make $500m + OS easily, unless it have horrible reviews and WOM. Edited December 8, 2019 by Marcos12 Quote
charlie Jatinder Posted November 28, 2020 Posted November 28, 2020 Ok let's start Asia: $190-215mn China could perhaps be looking at $125mn or so. Japan should go on to enjoy holidays, $15-20mn I guess. Saudi Arabia could clear $10mn, UAE/GCC can easily outscore Mulan which did like $2.4mn in UAE, so overall Middle East perhaps $15mn. Taiwan can go upto $10-15mn easily. Korea November releases grossed $30mn, WW84 perhaps $10-15mn depending on piracy. India piracy will kill it, $5mn best case scenario IMO. Rest perhaps another $10-20mn. Oceania ANZ should have been a big market but with HBO release donno how piracy will impact. Europe Europe did really well for TENET grossing $140mn Approx but after COVID 2nd wave and direct HBO release, not sure what to expect really. May be another $50-90mn with strong Nordic Europe. Latin America DC is huge there but cinema reopening is very slow. Original WW did $77mn here, which would be around $50mn adjusted for exchange rates. May be $10mn or so can be done. All this gives about $265-340mn Approx. Quote
charlie Jatinder Posted December 9, 2020 Posted December 9, 2020 China pre-sales started. 6 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Wonder Woman 1984 T-8 Days Midnight - ¥0.24mn on 2543 shows Friday - ¥0.78mn (+¥0.59mn) on 33k shows Saturday - ¥0.24mn (+¥0.19mn) on 15k shows Sunday - ¥0.06mn (+0.03mn) on 12.5k shows Total - ¥1.32mn (+¥0.81mn) Comps They don't mean much this far out. May start making some sense by T-4 days perhaps. 15% of Spider-man: Far From Home T-8 Days (3 days of Sale) - ¥33.5mn Opening Day 17.5% of Venom T-8 Days (5 days of Sale) - ¥39mn OD 47% of Aquaman T-7 Days (1 day of Sale) - ¥74mn OD 78% of TENET T-7 Days (1 day of Sale) - ¥44mn OD The sales aren't showing any rush for now as such. Of course these early numbers don't mean as much as the Wednesday and Thursday before release do, but still a big opener CBM will show some rush. Let's see how it pick up in coming days. If I have to guess, less than ¥100mn OD may be for sure. Projections Take with huge grain of salt. Reveal hidden contents Time Wonder Woman 1984 Aquaman Gross Change Gross Change T-9 Days ¥0.19 T-8 Days ¥0.78 ¥0.59 T-7 Days ¥1.38 ¥0.60 ¥1.66 T-6 Days ¥2.02 ¥0.64 ¥5.13 ¥3.47 T-5 Days ¥2.60 ¥0.59 ¥6.56 ¥1.43 T-4 Days ¥3.39 ¥0.78 ¥8.17 ¥1.61 T-3 Days ¥4.69 ¥1.31 ¥9.99 ¥1.82 T-2 Days ¥6.81 ¥2.12 ¥13.16 ¥3.17 T-1 Days ¥10.87 ¥4.05 ¥19.46 ¥6.30 T-0 Days ¥18.70 ¥7.84 ¥33.79 ¥14.33 OD ¥60.79 ¥156.82 PSm 3.25 4.64 1 Quote
CoolK Posted December 10, 2020 Posted December 10, 2020 Releasing on 17-Dec in Singapore with previews starting 16-Dec 6PM Quote