Hobbs & Shaw Weekend Thread: 60.8M OW (6th-best August debut), 180.8M WW | TLK 38.2, OUATIH 20, FFH 7.7, TS4 7.1, Farewell 2.4

[LawrenceBrolivier]

6 minutes ago, Minnale101 said:

Hobbs and Shaw projected to open 180.7 million WW OW

 

Mission impossible fallout did 153 million WW OW 

 

it did 791 million 

 

would be surpised if hobbs and shaw doesn’t hit 700 million atleast 

I think the very positive word of mouth and the ease by which new viewers can jump in will help its legs this mostly-dead August. There are probably going to be a lot of people who buy tickets to this because it's more like a cuddly, bro-ey Kingsman movie than a Fast & Furious entry, and they'll recommend it like that...

Edited August 3, 2019 by LawrenceBrolivier

[Litio]

Hobbs & Shaw is opening to No. 1 in 53 out of 63 territories with $90M abroad so far to date. 

 

$65m on friday?! 😲

So $180m+ OS OW?

 

Edit: TalismanRing thinks they are couting Asian's saturday too.

Edited August 3, 2019 by Litio

[a2k]

H&S

 

5.8

17.92

21.50 (+20%)

17.20 (-20%)

= 62.42

 

I think it can do 63-64

[LawrenceBrolivier]

5 minutes ago, a2k said:

62.5% Fri bump for OUTAH. Similar to EQ2's 66.1%

 

5.65 (+62.5%)

8.33 (+47.5%) // +45% for EQ2

6.46 (-22.5%) // -25% for EQ2

= 20.44

So shortly after its third weekend it'll probably cross $100mil DOM? 

How much more do you think it'll have left in the tank after that? 

[cannastop]

36 minutes ago, tawasal said:

What is Alpha? 

Seeking Alpha is a financial news site.

[TalismanRing]

54 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

The digital release sliced off it's legs.  No matter, it's passed $857m and I'm petty so Mendelson being wrong again is what really matters.

 

But a $857 million finish is out of the question - Scott Mendelson

 

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, Litio said:

Hobbs & Shaw is opening to No. 1 in 53 out of 63 territories with $90M abroad so far to date. 

 

$65m on friday?! 😲

So $180m+ OS OW?

I think it counts Asia's Saturday

[Minnale101]

6 minutes ago, LawrenceBrolivier said:

I think the very positive word of mouth and the ease by which new viewers can jump in will help its legs this mostly-dead August. There are probably going to be a lot of people who buy tickets to this because it's more like a cuddly, bro-ey Kingsman movie than a Fast & Furious entry, and they'll recommend it like that...

Yeah and still biggest market of movie China not yet released 

[LawrenceBrolivier]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

The digital release sliced off it's legs.  No matter, it's passed $857m and I'm petty so Mendelson being wrong again is what really matters.

 

But a $857 million finish is out of the question - Scott Mendelson

 

Not only is he making stupid predictions you can mock him for, but he's using adjusted numbers as if that means anything... it really is like so far as these publications are concerned ANYONE could do that job... 

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, LawrenceBrolivier said:

So shortly after its third weekend it'll probably cross $100mil DOM? 

How much more do you think it'll have left in the tank after that? 

It should be around $80m after this w/e and even just 3x off this w/e would mean $120m.  4x which is quite possible - $140m.

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, LawrenceBrolivier said:

So shortly after its third weekend it'll probably cross $100mil DOM? 

How much more do you think it'll have left in the tank after that? 

If it adds 2.5-3.0x this weekend to it's cume then it gets to 130-140 dom.

140 dom could be tough but going by the good weekdays and this very good 2nd weekend hold 130+ is looking good IMO.

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, LawrenceBrolivier said:

Not only is he making stupid predictions you can mock him for, but he's using adjusted numbers as if that means anything... it really is like so far as these publications are concerned ANYONE could do that job... 

That and he devotes several paragraphs to how bad AEG's legs are compared to other Marvel movies as if that means anything when it opened enormously with monstrous previews and made $500m+ after o/w.

 

[CJohn]

17 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Actually I think Vin should be worried about this

 

I'm still baffled at the NOS Cinemas breakdown, btw. I hope Castello Lopes is still a thing for some people

Entire cities won't have access to the movie as Cineplace, Castello Lopes, Cinema City and UCI won't cover the entire country. Some of those are playing the movie in 3 screens because of the demand. 

[lorddemaxus]

Shazam shouldn't have taken Alita's date tbh. Instead it should have taken The Lego Movie 2's date and The Lego Movie 2 should have moved to Shazam's date. TLM 2 would have no competition in March and would even act as good counter programing when Endgame releases.

[Eric Prime]

10 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

The digital release sliced off it's legs.  No matter, it's passed $857m and I'm petty so Mendelson being wrong again is what really matters.

 

But a $857 million finish is out of the question - Scott Mendelson

 

I do like the guy more than most here, but his whole "TS4 could barely miss $1B" he's been doing the last couple days is like...c'mon.

[LawrenceBrolivier]

6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

That and he devotes several paragraphs to how bad AEG's legs are compared to other Marvel movies as if that means anything when it opened enormously with monstrous previews and made $500m+ after o/w.

 

Avengers beating Avatar really did reveal how many of these writers.... despite their protestations on social media.... go into their articles with a set agenda. Mendelson pretends to write an analysis column but what he's really doing is trying to justify what he wants to happen with the numbers... 

Most of his articles are "here's what I want to happen and here's the bad argument designed to make you believe that's how it is...." He never wanted the record to drop and when it became more and more likely he responded by finding more and more stuff to nitpick... for a professional box-office writer he seems to have a problem letting go of the idea that certain movies "deserve" success more than others...

Edited August 3, 2019 by LawrenceBrolivier

[Talkie]

15 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

The digital release sliced off it's legs.  No matter, it's passed $857m and I'm petty so Mendelson being wrong again is what really matters.

 

But a $857 million finish is out of the question - Scott Mendelson

 

 

Mendelson doesn't seem to know much about making box office predictions. His predictions are almost always off the mark. One would think that in his years of blogging about box office numbers he would have learned a thing or two, but sadly that's not the case.

 

14 minutes ago, LawrenceBrolivier said:

Not only is he making stupid predictions you can mock him for, but he's using adjusted numbers as if that means anything... it really is like so far as these publications are concerned ANYONE could do that job... 

 

Anyone here could do Mendelson's job, and far better than he does. (Except for me. I'm just dabbling. )

[Mr Terrific]

I’m ok with FFH’s Friday jump, about the same as last week. 

Worried about theater drop next week. 

[sfran43]

WIDE (1000+)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw	$64,000,000	—	4,253	—	$15,048	$64,000,000	1	Universal Pictures
2	The Lion King	$38,300,000	-50%	4,802	77	$7,976	$430,943,078	3	Walt Disney Pictures
3	Once Upon a Time In Hollywood	$20,200,000	-51%	3,659	0	$5,521	$79,017,475	2	Sony Pictures
4	Spider-Man: Far from Home	$7,700,000	-38%	3,446	-405	$2,234	$360,273,925	5	Sony / Columbia
5	Toy Story 4	$7,300,000	-30%	3,225	-385	$2,264	$410,200,743	7	Disney
6	Yesterday	$2,400,000	-22%	1,837	-713	$1,306	$67,862,655	6	Universal Pictures
7	Crawl	$2,200,000	-46%	2,085	-635	$1,055	$36,140,773	4	Paramount Pictures
8	Aladdin	$2,000,000	-34%	1,370	-428	$1,460	$350,351,592	11	Disney
9	Stuber	$560,000	-68%	1,080	-1070	$519	$21,806,533	4	20th Century Fox

LIMITED (100 — 999)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	The Farewell	$2,300,000	51%	409	274	$5,623	$6,713,207	4	A24
2	Annabelle Comes Home	$880,000	-43%	919	-368	$958	$71,580,112	6	Warner Bros.
3	The Secret Life of Pets 2	$820,000	-11%	779	-222	$1,053	$155,499,025	9	Universal
4	Midsommar	$410,000	-44%	381	-245	$1,076	$25,214,341	5	A24
5	Avengers: Endgame	$305,000	-68%	420	-160	$726	$857,401,335	15	Disney
6	Rocketman	$290,000	-38%	354	-164	$819	$95,551,549	10	Paramount Pictures
7	Dark Phoenix	$110,000	-9%	125	-20	$880	$65,765,489	9	Fox

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	The Fighting Preacher	$55,465	-8%	37	9	$1,499	$265,286	2	Purdie Distribution
2	Dumbo	$11,000	-20%	30	-15	$367	$114,761,181	19	Walt Disney Pictures
3	Bethany Hamilton: Unstoppable	$7,700	-74%	24	-39	$321	$570,683	4	Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures

[TalismanRing]

8 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

I do like the guy more than most here, but his whole "TS4 could barely miss $1B" he's been doing the last couple days is like...c'mon.

Nothing will ever pass the absurdity of his  SMH could make $30m (total) in China and not pass $800m WW and most importantly for him not pass Wonder Woman.

 

@LawrenceBrolivier sums up his approach perfectly as "here's what I want to happen and here's the bad argument designed to make you believe that's how it is...."