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Heretic

UK Box Office Thread

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1 hour ago, Olive said:

With that number for the second WE, can Moana even open to #1 next week? I can't see more than a 45% drop next week. And that would be even bigger than this week. With that, FB would make 4.9m. A 5m third weekend should happen imo. Does Moana have any chance of reaching that?

 

Also, I think £ 50m should also happen at this point, no? 

Edited by James
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1 minute ago, James said:

With that number for the second WE, can Moana even open to #1 next week? I can't see more than a 45% drop next week. And that would be even bigger than this week. With that, FB would make 4.9m. A 5m third weekend should happen imo. Does Moana have any chance of reaching that?

 

Also, I think £ 50m should also happen at this point, no? 

Moana will make more than 5m easily.

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5 minutes ago, James said:

With that number for the second WE, can Moana even open to #1 next week? I can't see more than a 45% drop next week. And that would be even bigger than this week. With that, FB would make 4.9m. A 5m third weekend should happen imo. Does Moana have any chance of reaching that?

 

Also, I think £ 50m should also happen at this point, no? 

I think it'll be a tight race for number 1. 50% drop would give FB around £4.5m, which is around what Moana will likely open to. 

 

And as it stands, it's on track for between £45-50m, depending on holds over Christmas. A fantastic result either way, and similar number to the lower grossing Potter films. 

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2 minutes ago, Heretic said:

I think it'll be a tight race for number 1. 50% drop would give FB around £4.5m, which is around what Moana will likely open to. 

 

And as it stands, it's on track for between £45-50m, depending on holds over Christmas. 

Seeing how FB had the best drop for any HP movie opening in Nov except for GoF, I am hoping (dreaming) of a superb 30-35% drop for about a £ 6m third weekend. It would be so awesome if FB could win the year in the UK.  

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1 minute ago, James said:

Seeing how FB had the best drop for any HP movie opening in Nov except for GoF, I am hoping (dreaming) of a superb 30-35% drop for about a £ 6m third weekend. It would be so awesome if FB could win the year in the UK.  

That would be amazing, but I'm not expecting a drop that soft with Moana competing with FB for the family audience. 

 

Rogue One is likely to win the year, doubt it misses £60m.

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Just now, Heretic said:

True. But it won't allow for a 30% drop for FB. 

There's also the other way around where Moana actually disappoints and opens lower than £ 4.5m. I think most of the audiences, in UK especially, will choose FB over Moana as family entertainment. If Moana retains the same percent of Frozen's OW as in the US, it will have a debut around £ 3.8m. And that seems high considering FB is a way bigger deal in the UK than in the US. So maybe a £ 3.5m.

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Your Name posts second-highest site average of weekend with £66k from 20 sites for £204k to date -

 15 minutes ago

A United Kingdom lands with non-final £609k from 422 sites, marking Amma Asante's best-ever UK bow - same links

17 minutes ago

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them posts one of the biggest second weekends ever with £8.84m for £29.99m -

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FB should make another £3m or so Mon-Thu, and around £4.5m this upcoming weekend for about £37.5m by Sunday. GoF was at £37m at the same point, so the two are performing very similarly to each other. GoF ended up with £49m, so there's every chance still that FB could hit the £50m mark, which would be the first time a film has done so this year. Bridget Jones came close with £48m. Either way £45m is certainly a done deal.

 

 

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Allied lands with non-final UK bow of £1.33m from 502 sites -

Bad Santa 2 posts non-final five-day UK debut of £799k from 425 sites -

Arrival will soon become Denis Villeneuve's best-ever UK performer

UK top five: Fantastic Beasts (£8.84m); Allied (£1.33m); Trolls (£831k); Bad Santa 2 (£799k); Arrival (£779k) -

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  Weekend Nov.25-27        
# Title Opening Date Weekend Total Distributor
1

Fantastic Beasts And Where To 

Find Them

2016/11/18 £ 8,892,489 £ 30,136,276 Warner Bros Int'l
2 Allied 2016/11/25 £ 1,331,919 £ 1,331,919 Paramount Int'l
3 Trolls 2016/10/21 £ 834,362 £ 21,798,376 Fox Int'l
4 Bad Santa 2 2016/11/25 £ 799,156 £ 799,156 eOne Films
5 Arrival 2016/11/11 £ 778,449 £ 7,334,028 eOne Films
6 United Kingdom, A 2016/11/25 £ 618,652 £ 618,652 Fox Int'l
7 Doctor Strange 2016/10/28 £ 454,088 £ 22,281,264 Walt Disney Int'l
8 Andre Rieu's Christmas Concert (16) 2016/11/18 £ 303,519 £ 1,532,269 CinemaLive
9 Dear Zindagi 2016/11/25 £ 171,496 £ 171,496 Reliance Big
10 Paterson 2016/11/25 £ 169,911 £ 169,911 Soda Pictures
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