charlie Jatinder Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 (edited) Holy shit. 90M is locked. Not only this film got XMAS & New Year, but it also got almost solo release. Endgame in NWH place would have breezed past $3.2B with 2018 ER. Edited January 7, 2022 by charlie Jatinder 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 23 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Holy shit. 90M is locked. Not only this film got XMAS & New Year, but it also got almost solo release. Endgame in NWH place would have breezed past $3.2B with 2018 ER. It wouldn't because no China. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 36 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Holy shit. 90M is locked. Not only this film got XMAS & New Year, but it also got almost solo release. Endgame in NWH place would have breezed past $3.2B with 2018 ER. I think you wanted to say 80M is locked yes but 90M I don't think so, the goal remains 85M like said @Heretic 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, LPLC said: I think you wanted to say 80M is locked yes but 90M I don't think so, the goal remains 85M like said @Heretic It may be around 80M by end of weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 26 minutes ago, Agafin said: It wouldn't because no China. Then 2.5B wihout China 😱 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 All this is proof of the UK's lack of taste 👀 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MG10 Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 50 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Holy shit. 90M is locked. Not only this film got XMAS & New Year, but it also got almost solo release. Endgame in NWH place would have breezed past $3.2B with 2018 ER. I never understood why Marvel never took advantage of the Christmas window in the 13 years prior to No Way Home... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted January 7, 2022 Author Share Posted January 7, 2022 (edited) 1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said: It may be around 80M by end of weekend. Remember I just estimated £74-75m going into the weekend based on no data at all, but on the assumption that after Monday (which was a bank holiday), it should have been around the £72m mark. Taking the middle ground of £74.5m, and a 50% drop from last weekend, it would be at £77.5m by Sunday. I think £90m is a bit of stretch at this point until we see how it holds up. EDIT: Didn’t see the £74.8m actual on the previous page, so I guess my estimate was spot on. But yeah, £85m looks almost certain at this point. £90m, we’ll see. Edited January 7, 2022 by Heretic 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnokesLegs Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 2 hours ago, Omicron Driven Legion said: Aside from direct restrictions which had some impact, hard for me to imagine that nobody stayed away or declined some repeat viewings they otherwise might have done out of virus fears. I mean, like 2.5% of the population will be more than 2 sigma cautious, which is pretty cautious! By end of the run the effect should be like £2M+ imo though obviously it’s quite difficult to measure. Definitely agree on that, I know personally that I’d definitely have seen it multiple times by now if it weren’t for Covid, but as things are, I masked up and nervously saw it once on opening weekend and that’s it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted January 7, 2022 Share Posted January 7, 2022 1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said: It may be around 80M by end of weekend. 5,2M weekend ? This would be a phenomenal -20% drop, I hope you are right Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shanks Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 (edited) I tried to compare NWH with multiple films but there are no movies whose January is this empty. TFA Endgame TROS NTTD No Way Home OW £33.90 £43.40 £20.86 £25.90 £31.90 1st Week £55.70 £55.00 £30.12 £37.40 £46.4 2nd W-end £65.86 £69.30 £39.44 £52.60 £51.01 2nd Week £87.03 £76.03 £46.94 £60.20 £63.70 3rd W-end £97.34 £80.44 £51.33 £68.50 £69.80 3rd Week £102.38 £81.76 £53.07 £73.30 £74.80 4th W-end £108.38 £83.99 £54.89 £77.97 4th Week £110.77 £84.89 £55.58 £82.40 5th W-end £113.91 £85.79 £56.48 £85.91 5th Week £115.25 £86.49 £56.83 £87.83 5th W-end £117.25 £86.98 £57.38 £89.80 Final £123.20 £88.70 £58.30 £96.60 1. If it follow's TROS's drop, it will make 10% more leading it to £82.25m. 2. The only MCU movie which it could be compared now is Endgame but Endgame dropped too hard similar to IW after it's 3rd Weekend because of Pikachu then fell to 3rd position next Week because of John Wick 3. Even then, it made around 8m so, Let's take those numbers only because NWH can do it with no competition ahead taking cume to £83m. 3. Comparing to TFA, if somehow it follows those drops from now on, we get astounding 20% more gross, taking NWH's total to roughly £89-£90m. 4. Comparing to NTTD wasn't a wise choice but somehow NWH has been keeping up with it. Maybe maybe, by sheer luck and lack of competition will let NWH gross what NTTD grossed after 3rd Week.... that will take us to £96m and Even if NWH can only gross HALF of it, It's total cume would reach £86m. Edited January 8, 2022 by Shanks 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, Shanks said: I tried to compare NWH with multiple films but there are no movies whose January is this empty. TFA Endgame TROS NTTD No Way Home OW £33.90 £43.40 £20.86 £25.90 £31.90 1st Week £55.70 £55.00 £30.12 £37.40 £46.4 2nd W-end £65.86 £69.30 £39.44 £52.60 £51.01 2nd Week £87.03 £76.03 £46.94 £60.20 £63.70 3rd W-end £97.34 £80.44 £51.33 £68.50 £69.80 3rd Week £102.38 £81.76 £53.07 £73.30 £74.80 4th W-end £108.38 £83.99 £54.89 £77.97 4th Week £110.77 £84.89 £55.58 £82.40 5th W-end £113.91 £85.79 £56.48 £85.91 5th Week £115.25 £86.49 £56.83 £87.83 5th W-end £117.25 £86.98 £57.38 £89.80 Final £123.20 £88.70 £96.60 £58.30 1. If it follow's TROS's drop, it will make 10% more leading it to £82.25m. 2. The only MCU movie which it could be compared now is Endgame but Endgame dropped too hard similar to IW after it's 3rd Weekend because of Pikachu then fell to 3rd position next Week because of John Wick 3. Even then, it made around 8m so, Let's take those numbers only because NWH can do it with no competition ahead taking cume to £83m. 3. Comparing to TFA, if it somehow it follows it from now on, we get astounding 20% more gross, taking NWH's total to roughly £90m. 4. Comparing to NTTD wasn't a wise choice but somehow NWH has been keeping up with it. Maybe maybe, by sheer luck and lack of competition will let NWH gross what NTTD grossed after 3rd Week.... that will take us to £96m and Even if NWH can only gross HALF of it, It's total cume would reach £86m. Nice job ! on the other hand you have reversed the total of NTTD and TROS With that, 82M seems like locked with a great possibility of 85M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophia Jane Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 (edited) 16 hours ago, LPLC said: 5,2M weekend ? This would be a phenomenal -20% drop, I hope you are right 5.2M Weekend is one of the biggest 4th weekend gross in UK,nearly impossible,it's even bigger than Avatar's 4th weekend Biggest 4th weekend box office in UK 1.Star Wars:The Froce Awaken:6,001,948 2.Skyfall:5,566,537 3.Avatar:4,770,980 4.No Time to Die:4,673,560 5.The Lord of the ring:the fellowship of the ring:4,371,354 Edited January 8, 2022 by Bruce 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 17 hours ago, SchumacherFTW said: All this is proof of the UK's lack of taste 👀 especially the top movie of year 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 16 hours ago, LPLC said: 5,2M weekend ? This would be a phenomenal -20% drop, I hope you are right around 80 doesn't mean 80. Mya be 4M 4th weekend. TFA legged 2.47x after its 4th weekend. Same for NWH will be 88.68. Yeah I went optimistic with saying 90 is locked. 90 is probably likely with lack of competition for two months. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 53 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: especially the top movie of year I see that you have chosen violence today my dear. En garde! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Is Spider-Man No Way Home the highest grossing film not to be the biggest of its year? Still a long way to go before we hit pre-pandemic levels again, but it’s a nice boost over 2020 at least. Universal and Sony, unsurprisingly, the two highest grossing studios of the year: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 Wish we had admission data. Germany ATP of Spider-Man is lower than NTTD. Wonder if UK is too because just in case it get close in gross, we may have different topper in admissions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 32 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Wish we had admission data. Germany ATP of Spider-Man is lower than NTTD. Wonder if UK is too because just in case it get close in gross, we may have different topper in admissions. 8.731.241 admissions for NWH by Sunday 2 Jan according to insidekino 12.069.393 admits for NTTD 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted January 8, 2022 Share Posted January 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, LPLC said: 8.731.241 admissions for NWH by Sunday 2 Jan according to insidekino 12.069.393 admits for NTTD Those aren't actuals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
