charlie Jatinder Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 (edited) 4.8 Edited October 17, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder 14 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xftg123 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Comparisons (Wednesdays): -Venom: 2.23 (October 17th) -Bohemian Rhapsody: 2.24 (November 14th) -Logan: 3.16 (March 15th) -Gravity: 3.48 (October 16th) -Deadpool 2: 3.86 (May 30th) -Justice League: 1.90 (November 29th) -Deadpool: 3.85 (February 24th) Note that Deadpool is the only one to have an increase, since it was a huge hit during that month. Anyway, I've seen some box office predictions for the 30s in terms of Joker, so it'll do quite well depending on how the drop goes and if there's any plans to expand/decline theaters for the film. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xftg123 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Drop Comparisons (Third Weekend): -Venom: -48.5 -Bohemian Rhapsody: -48.6 -Logan: -53.3 -Deadpool 2: -46.7 -Deadpool: -44.9 -Endgame: -57.1 -BvS: -54.5 -Suicide Squad: -52.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said: 4.6 -33% Wednesday drop, seems normal. Venoms Wednesday after Columbus Day was -42.5% but it was its first week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 (edited) great number for J. 31% drop. it has good room to hit 4 on Thu now (-17%), something that more or less assures 9 Fri and 30 FSS. Edited October 17, 2019 by a2k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porthos Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 (edited) Out of all of them in this thread, the one quoted at the bottom really is the best: Edited October 17, 2019 by Porthos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted October 17, 2019 Author Share Posted October 17, 2019 (edited) Parasite expanded to 7 theatres $61,126, though 75% collection still from the original 3. Film Society of Lincoln Center NYC did well with 13.5k Edited October 17, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddevil19 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 4.8 is even better. Solid number. 10% drop on Thu? Then: 9.7 13.1 8.1 30.9 weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex SciChannel Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 26 minutes ago, reddevil19 said: 4.8 is even better. Solid number. 10% drop on Thu? Then: 9.7 13.1 8.1 30.9 weekend Yo, the Friday increase is gonna be gonna be more like 135% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddevil19 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 23 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said: Yo, the Friday increase is gonna be gonna be more like 135% I'm going with 125%, from a 10% Thu drop (ofc, assuming 4.8 stays in place for Wed, so there's a lot that can still move either way). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex SciChannel Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 (edited) 9 minutes ago, reddevil19 said: I'm going with 125%, from a 10% Thu drop (ofc, assuming 4.8 stays in place for Wed, so there's a lot that can still move either way). Except your prediction has a 102% Friday increase. Not 125% like you said. 9.7-4.8 = 4.9 4.9/4.8 = 102.1% Edit: oh wait I was using the Wednesday number. I'm stoopid. Edited October 17, 2019 by Alex SciChannel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 1 hour ago, reddevil19 said: 4.8 is even better. Solid number. 10% drop on Thu? Then: 9.7 13.1 8.1 30.9 weekend Sat bump of 35% too conservative imo. Shouldn't dip below 40% even if it doesn't go (and most likely won't) as high as IT1, IT2, Venom on 3rd Sats - +47%, +59%, +55% respectively. say Maleficent previews have some effect on Thu and J looses some more premium screens - 9.0 + 12.6 (+40%) + 8.5 (-32.5%) = 30.1 9.7 would give 32.4 with that Sat and Sun %. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJ 95 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Hopefully it can still reach 10m come Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, RJ 95 said: Hopefully it can still reach 10m come Friday. Feasible. Something like 4.25 Thu (-13%) and 135% Fri bump gives 10.0 Fri. Edited October 17, 2019 by a2k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyK Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Was expecting 5-6 for wednesday. I'm obviously not very good at this game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddevil19 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 1 hour ago, a2k said: Sat bump of 35% too conservative imo. Shouldn't dip below 40% even if it doesn't go (and most likely won't) as high as IT1, IT2, Venom on 3rd Sats - +47%, +59%, +55% respectively. say Maleficent previews have some effect on Thu and J looses some more premium screens - 9.0 + 12.6 (+40%) + 8.5 (-32.5%) = 30.1 9.7 would give 32.4 with that Sat and Sun %. I'm just wary after last weekend - could have been anomalous, or it could just be playing less impressively on Saturdays. Hope it's closer to 50%, but I do want to be conservative. Course, this could still go either way (say Wed ends up on 5, the Thu drop is less than 10%, then Fri barely increases 100%). I'm still not sure what movie it's playing closest to atm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Solid Wednesday! Thanks for sharing Charlie. As everyone else says, its interesting to see where it goes. Still liking how it tracks with American Sniper. Obviously superbowl sunday is not an issue here lol, but the curiosity of when it hits an audience ceiling is what makes tracking fun. Barring something odd and bizarre 30m is a given for the weekend which is also crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 10 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 (edited) Movie Gross % Change Theaters Total Gross Days 1 (1) Joker $4,900,000 -30% 4,374 $213,809,478 13 - (8) It: Chapter Two $225,000 -25% 2,303 $207,980,876 41 Joker goes over Venom Edited October 17, 2019 by a2k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted October 17, 2019 Share Posted October 17, 2019 Should cross 250 on Monday with plenty of room to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...