1Robert1 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 1 hour ago, a2k said: JUM3 Wed-Sun guess Can I ask why you think that it will decline 15% in Thursday? Based on what happened in previous years it has chance to do better number than in wed, so i'm curious why do you predict so harsh drop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said: Can I ask why you think that it will decline 15% in Thursday? Based on what happened in previous years it has chance to do better number than in wed, so i'm curious why do you predict so harsh drop? It's going to lose screen to SW previews - as will every film -though Jumanji will also be losing its premium screens. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 (edited) 7 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said: Can I ask why you think that it will decline 15% in Thursday? Based on what happened in previous years it has chance to do better number than in wed, so i'm curious why do you predict so harsh drop? TROS's 40+ previews is the only reason why I went harsh. On a normal Thu would have gone for 20% drop but season will help temper the drop to 15%. -10% would be terrific but will take -15%. edit: Also don't know how many premium screens it will loose and it's effect. Edited December 18, 2019 by a2k 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 1 hour ago, 1Robert1 said: Can I ask why you think that it will decline 15% in Thursday? Based on what happened in previous years it has chance to do better number than in wed, so i'm curious why do you predict so harsh drop? Also remember that Christmas seasons pre2015 and the entry of Star Wars behaved differently at this point. 2013 is not a good comp at all for the coming 4-5 days as the big screen and money eat up of ROTS will initially cause issues. It will balance out by Christmas Day thankfully. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boxofficerules Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Out of curiosity, how does Rotten Tomatoes verify a rating? I rated something recently and wasn’t asked for any kind of proof of buying a ticket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnale101 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 If this new Star Wars is actually a shit movie. than jumanji domestic number is hard to predict families will flock to this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boxofficerules Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, Minnale101 said: If this new Star Wars is actually a shit movie. than jumanji domestic number is hard to predict families will flock to this I think they’ll flock to Black Christmas instead since they forgot to see it opening weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 (edited) 12 minutes ago, Minnale101 said: If this new Star Wars is actually a shit movie. than jumanji domestic number is hard to predict families will flock to this It's hard to say to be honest. Jumanji is definitely charging next to nothing for theaters to hold the screens. Disney puts way too much of a premium of their screens. Especially for movies without great reception. Edited December 18, 2019 by cdsacken 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 (edited) Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D 1 (1) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $6,301,757 +76% 4,227 $1,491 $69,139,128 5 2 (2) Frozen II Walt Disney $2,667,413 +78% -26% 4,078 $654 $370,600,437 26 3 (3) Knives Out Lionsgate $1,582,664 +58% -27% 3,413 $464 $81,398,831 21 4 (4) Richard Jewell Warner Bros. $824,902 +54% 2,502 $330 $6,041,128 5 5 (5) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Century… $679,520 +55% -31% 2,895 $235 $99,304,852 33 6 (6) A Beautiful Day in the Ne… Sony Pictures $655,302 +54% -35% 2,855 $230 $50,333,684 26 7 (7) Queen & Slim Universal $585,350 +50% -36% 1,560 $375 $34,134,175 21 8 (8) Black Christmas Universal $437,715 +57% 2,625 $167 $4,957,270 5 9 (9) Dark Waters Focus Features $358,740 +68% -43% 2,110 $170 $9,359,359 26 10 (10) 21 Bridges STX Entertai… $234,117 +71% -52% 1,533 $153 $26,725,972 26 11 (11) Midway Lionsgate $170,575 +43% -47% 1,419 $120 $55,501,411 40 12 (-) Harriet Focus Features $118,775 +89% -17% 648 $183 $41,929,590 47 - (-) Last Christmas Universal $106,700 +69% -41% 616 $173 $34,569,020 40 - (12) Joker Warner Bros. $93,251 +36% -37% 553 $169 $333,204,580 75 - (-) Jojo Rabbit Fox Searchlight $70,944 +35% -26% 400 $177 $20,102,757 61 - (-) Uncut Gems A24 $62,579 -3% 5 $12,516 $664,558 5 - (-) The Good Liar Warner Bros. $42,681 +54% -62% 304 $140 $16,708,566 33 - (-) Waves A24 $30,286 +49% -62% 281 $108 $1,450,477 33 - (-) Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Walt Disney $28,869 +52% -53% 345 $84 $112,770,227 61 - (-) Bombshell Lionsgate $26,821 +11% 4 $6,705 $370,246 5 - (-) PLAYMOBIL STX Entertai… $24,321 +140% -65% 1,458 $17 $1,000,930 12 - (-) No Safe Spaces Atlas Distri… $22,275 +10% -51% 165 $135 $1,074,430 54 - (-) Doctor Sleep Warner Bros. $16,128 +28% -65% 188 $86 $31,443,181 40 - (-) Abominable Universal $12,095 +47% +67% 159 $76 $60,430,110 82 - (-) En Brazos de un Asesino Lionsgate $12,020 +60% -64% 160 $75 $392,506 12 - (-) The Lighthouse A24 $11,808 +16% -2% 50 $236 $10,649,213 61 - (-) Arctic Dogs Entertainmen… $10,468 -6% +160% 82 $128 $5,756,099 47 btw JOKER crossed GOTG1 (333.176) Edited December 18, 2019 by a2k 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 (edited) Jumanji seem to be down 7% from Monday while F2 is up 5.8% from Monday!!!! Just MTC1. Edited December 19, 2019 by keysersoze123 1 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madhuvan Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 12 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Jumanji seem to be down 7% from Monday while F2 is up 5.8% from Monday!!!! Just MTC1. Have a feeling this time Frozen will benefit a lot from Star Wars debacle rather than Jumanji. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 (edited) 7 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: Jumanji seem to be down 7% from Monday while F2 is up 5.8% from Monday!!!! Just MTC1. Wow. I will even take a 20% drop for Jum on Wed. That would be strong enough for a 25 weekend even if it falls 20% on Thu. With -20% Wed and -15% Thu 26+ would be feasible. edit: -44% Edited December 19, 2019 by a2k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 (edited) 18 hours ago, cdsacken said: It's hard to say to be honest. Jumanji is definitely charging next to nothing for theaters to hold the screens. Disney puts way too much of a premium of their screens. Especially for movies without great reception. Universal is getting at least 55% for Jumanjli - the minimum the major studios get for a wide release Probably 60% since the last did about $400m. This isn't the 7th week of it's run where they're giving discounts or a movie that opened with a 1k PTA. All major studios do this, and Disney was the last to raise from the 55% rate back (that came in the mid 2000s) with IM3. The high end take for Lucas Film / SW goes all the way back to Fox and that was when the % ceiling wasn't 65% but 90% - and contractually keeping SW films on screens was for months not 4 weeks. Edited December 19, 2019 by TalismanRing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 19, 2019 Author Share Posted December 19, 2019 (edited) On 12/18/2019 at 10:01 AM, Jedi Jat said: J2 6.4 F2 2.7 J2 3.5 F2 1.75 Edited December 19, 2019 by Jedi Jat 3 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 19, 2019 Share Posted December 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said: J2 3.5 F2 1.7 J2 -44% F2 -36% Hope J2 makes it past 3.0 on Thu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 19, 2019 Author Share Posted December 19, 2019 I think there's still hope for $500mn for Frozen 2. Brace for Xmas Legs. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 19, 2019 Author Share Posted December 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, a2k said: J2 -44% F2 -36% Hope J2 makes it past 3.0 on Thu @keysersoze123 how many shows Jumanji and F2 losing today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
