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charlie Jatinder

Weekdays (12/16-12/19) Thread.

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3 minutes ago, a2k said:

feel like over-reacted with the jum3 drop 😜

have calmed down now.

 

Weekday Date Gross % Hold Cume    
Fri 13 Dec 19 19.7   19.7    
Sat 14 Dec 19 23.6 19.8 43.3    
Sun 15 Dec 19 15.9 -32.6 59.2 59.2 weekend1
Mon 16 Dec 19 3.66 -77.0 62.9    
Tue 17 Dec 19 6 63.9 68.9    
Wed 18 Dec 19 3.7 -38.3 72.6    
Thu 19 Dec 19 3.4 -8.1 76.0 16.76 mon-thu
Fri 20 Dec 19 6 76.5 82.0    
Sat 21 Dec 19 9.4 56.7 91.4    
Sun 22 Dec 19 8.1 -13.8 99.5 23.5 weekend2

 

23.5 is -60%

99.5 + 23.5*6 = 240.5 // ITSV added 7.6x the 2nd weekend

I see around 260m happening. 

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Just now, Madhuvan said:

It will increase 80%+ on friday. Star wars is not that big of threat. Sunday drop is right on line. 

I hope it can limit Thu drop to under 10%. Top-5 drop during TFA Thu previews :

- P Star Wars Ep. VII: The Fo… Walt Disney $57,000,000         $57,000,000  
1 (1) The Hunger Games: Mocking… Lionsgate $875,470 -15% -32% 3,651 $240 $248,788,774 28
2 (2) In the Heart of the Sea Warner Bros. $728,883 -22%   3,103 $235 $15,135,095 7
3 (3) Creed Warner Bros. $715,341 -16% -33% 3,502 $204 $82,815,073 23
4 (4) The Good Dinosaur Walt Disney $688,871 +4% -12% 3,606 $191 $92,314,068 23
5 (5) Krampus Universal $481,665 -20% -41% 2,919 $165 $31,030,655 14
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5 minutes ago, a2k said:

I hope it can limit Thu drop to under 10%. Top-5 drop during TFA Thu previews :

- P Star Wars Ep. VII: The Fo… Walt Disney $57,000,000         $57,000,000  
1 (1) The Hunger Games: Mocking… Lionsgate $875,470 -15% -32% 3,651 $240 $248,788,774 28
2 (2) In the Heart of the Sea Warner Bros. $728,883 -22%   3,103 $235 $15,135,095 7
3 (3) Creed Warner Bros. $715,341 -16% -33% 3,502 $204 $82,815,073 23
4 (4) The Good Dinosaur Walt Disney $688,871 +4% -12% 3,606 $191 $92,314,068 23
5 (5) Krampus Universal $481,665 -20% -41% 2,919 $165 $31,030,655 14

Considering TROS is looking at 45m+ Thursday previews 10%+ drop is pretty much guaranteed. No one in rush to see a family movie they can watch later. 

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2 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:
Jumanji: The Next Level                 3.66
Frozen 2                 1.51
Knives Out                 1.01
Richard Jewell                 0.53
Ford v. Ferrari                 0.44
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood                 0.42

 

Special: Gorillaz: Reject False Icons $410k.

I thought you are going to take a break. Why are you still giving us numbers? 😁😛

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Yep this 300 crowd after the 59 seemed almost impossible. Demand was shockingly elevated due to the coupon. Of course Tuesday will skyrocket and Wednesday will plummet (kids still in school on 18th)

 

Conversely I'm not sold on it going under 200 yet as it did have a great OW with good wom. I think that could happen. We'll have to see what happens versus Sw9 and the holiday weeks.

 

The concern is warranted I had originally thought like 40/160 was very possible. 59/160 seems so harsh for legs. 

Edited by cdsacken
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3 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:
Jumanji: The Next Level                 3.66
Frozen 2                 1.51
Knives Out                 1.01
Richard Jewell                 0.53
Ford v. Ferrari                 0.44
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood                 0.42

 

Special: Gorillaz: Reject False Icons $410k.

What about BC?

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There is no way in hell that this will do less than $180m, let alone the $170m some are throwing around here because of Monday's number. Once the holidays officially begin and kids are out of school, just watch how strong its run will be. Jumanji is the very definition of a film that people will watch consistently throughout the holidays as opposed to fans rushing out to see it.

 

This gloom and doom talk will stop once it increases 200%+ on Friday (yes, even with TROS' opening).

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How much will losing IMAX and Premium seats hurt Jumanji this weekend? I'm assuming TROS takes all of those starting Thursday.

 

This summer it felt like movies took a pretty hard hit anytime they lost those.

 

I can't imagine J3 missing 200 though with a 59 start.

 

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Yeah we got carried away by lower Mon and am guilty of that. Even a 63% drop this weekend for 22.0 gets it to 220 total if it adds 5.5x the depressed 2nd weekend to it's cume compared to ITSV's 7.65x the 2nd weekend. 220-225 has to be the least it will do while 255-260 being more positive with a 24+ 2nd weekend.

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4 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:
   
Frozen 2                 1.51
Knives Out                 1.01
   

Lol Knives Out really closed the gap on Frozen 2 quickly

55 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

What about BC?

Cinemas stopped showing it 

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31 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Lol Knives Out really closed the gap on Frozen 2 quickly

Cinemas stopped showing it 

Come on now.... dont paint a picture thats not legitimate??? Its a kids movie with kid drops on weekdays 🤦‍♂️

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49 minutes ago, a2k said:

Yeah we got carried away by lower Mon and am guilty of that. Even a 63% drop this weekend for 22.0 gets it to 220 total if it adds 5.5x the depressed 2nd weekend to it's cume compared to ITSV's 7.65x the 2nd weekend. 220-225 has to be the least it will do while 255-260 being more positive with a 24+ 2nd weekend.

I do find it funny that 250m is still where we talk after all the flack some of us got for thinking that was an upper end. 

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