Eternals International Box Office Thread.

[Liiviig 1998]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I will look into it tonight.

 

Edit: Didn't took long 😛

Seems like $75-85M opening weekend internationally. Full run may be $225-250M. 

It has do more than that if it's to breakeven. At least BW had 125m+ PA to look forward to with disney getting a bigger percentage of that money.

This doesn't have that. Dom ain't fully reliable just yet .

[Liiviig 1998]

29 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

MCU is beyond individual films breaking even or not.

 

That said, it will break even with ease.

That will depend on the domestic market  at least based on your OS prediction.

 

If a film loses money it has lost money  really don't know what you mean by mcu films are beyond breaking even or not.

 

That being  said personally still think  it will barely breakeven.

225-230m dom

275m+ OS 

 

Edited November 2, 2021 by Liiviig 1998

[champsi]

38 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

MCU is beyond individual films breaking even or not.

 

That said, it will break even with ease.

Eternals costs 200M. If we go by 2.5x, it needs 500M to break even. Ans there's no way to reach that with 250M OS

[Danhjpn]

12 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

That will depend on the domestic market  at least based on your OS prediction.

 

If a film loses money it has lost money  really don't know what you mean by mcu films are beyond breaking even or not.

 

That being  said personally still think  it will barely breakeven.

225-230m dom

275m+ OS 

 

is there any article saying that movie has to gross x2.5 its cost to break even or this is an assumption? 

[champsi]

Sure it will make its money back with streaming, PVOD and other markets. 

But not with box office

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, Danhjpn said:

is there any article saying that movie has to gross x2.5 its cost to break even or this is an assumption? 

this is just a general rule but it differs for every film.

 

Since Eternals isn't releasing in China, even $400M will have them recover the budget. besides box office isn't only revenue source to recover the budget to make it the criteria for success.

 

What a film need to do is, first recover its release cost by box office revenue and then make contribution to recover the budget.

 

There is TV/SVOD and Home Media revenue, that alone can recover budget sometimes.

[Danhjpn]

9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

this is just a general rule but it differs for every film.

 

Since Eternals isn't releasing in China, even $400M will have them recover the budget. besides box office isn't only revenue source to recover the budget to make it the criteria for success.

 

What a film need to do is, first recover its release cost by box office revenue and then make contribution to recover the budget.

 

There is TV/SVOD and Home Media revenue, that alone can recover budget sometimes.

So it seems that movie will cost more if it wants to be released in China? That is the reason the assumption "movie need to make 2.5x its cost to break even? 

[Issac Newton]

Interesting to see advance booking for Venom but no online booking window for Eternals at my local.

[Darth Lehnsherr]

21 hours ago, Danhjpn said:

So it seems that movie will cost more if it wants to be released in China? That is the reason the assumption "movie need to make 2.5x its cost to break even? 

No it's because the % studios get from China's BO is much less than in other territories.

[ScareLol]

Eternals Paris 14h: 3.293 tickets sold

 

3rd best of the year after DUNE (4.465 tickets) and NTTD (3.932 tickets). Shang-Chi sold 2.882 tickets and Black Widow did 2.800

[efialtes76]

56 minutes ago, ScareLol said:

Eternals Paris 14h: 3.293 tickets sold

 

3rd best of the year after DUNE (4.465 tickets) and NTTD (3.932 tickets). Shang-Chi sold 2.882 tickets and Black Widow did 2.800

3.9/5 at Allocine.

Good+ WoM

[Barnack]

2 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

3.9/5 at Allocine.

Good+ WoM

Very few vote in (122), but that higher than Widow first day after 320 votes in:

https://web.archive.org/web/20210708005226/https://www.allocine.fr/film/fichefilm_gen_cfilm=230783.html

 

Well received Chi was around 4.2 after 500 something vote:

https://web.archive.org/web/20210903175510/https://www.allocine.fr/film/fichefilm_gen_cfilm=270144.html

https://web.archive.org/web/20210901202634/https://www.allocine.fr/film/fichefilm_gen_cfilm=270144.html

[Liiviig 1998]

43 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

3.9/5 at Allocine.

Good+ WoM

Isn't that lower than shangchi which didn't exactly set the box office there on fire.

How does it compare to other mcu . 

But there a few reviews so may be it will rise. 

[ScareLol]

1 hour ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

Isn't that lower than shangchi which didn't exactly set the box office there on fire.

How does it compare to other mcu . 

But there a few reviews so may be it will rise. 

It started at 3.7 and now it's at 3.9 so it's rising, it's good WOM. For example, Venom 2 has 2.2 and Dune which had great WoM is at 4.3

Edited November 3, 2021 by ScareLol

[keysersoze123]

On 11/2/2021 at 12:54 AM, charlie Jatinder said:

I will look into it tonight.

 

Edit: Didn't took long 😛

Seems like $75-85M opening weekend internationally. Full run may be $225-250M. 

Isn't it opening almost everywhere. Is there any big market left(lets ignore China where its not going to release). 3x legs seems high for MCU movie. 

[john2000]

14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Isn't it opening almost everywhere. Is there any big market left(lets ignore China where its not going to release). 3x legs seems high for MCU movie. 

Russia left as for legs if memory serves 2,5-3 legs is normal for mcu in os markets

Edited November 3, 2021 by john2000

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Isn't it opening almost everywhere. Is there any big market left(lets ignore China where its not going to release). 3x legs seems high for MCU movie. 

May be around $10-15M worth market get release later, but Europe is leggier than US, and that's the one contributing higher these days.

[efialtes76]

€544k OD in Italy.

[Issac Newton]

18 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

€544k OD in Italy.

Passed Venom 2 OD (€527K)

[Danhjpn]

40 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Passed Venom 2 OD (€527K)

feeling Venom 2 had frontload factor due to being a sequel.