The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Noiret Jak]

17 minutes ago, Villain Legion said:

Looks more like 7x imo

35M

[DAJK]

Yea Morbius wasn't great, but it wasn't terrible either. My (relatively) small audience for a 4:30 PM show seemed to enjoy it well enough. No walk-outs. I'll try to get comps in the next hour or so. 

[BruiseCruise]

Thats how it is for every verified audience score that comes in opening night

[filmlover]

I think we're gonna have to wait until Doctor Strange comes out for the next taste of "explosive" numbers. Luckily that will also be kicking off the summer movie season which will guarantee sizeable numbers on a consistent basis for a few months.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

32 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Yea Morbius wasn't great, but it wasn't terrible either. My (relatively) small audience for a 4:30 PM show seemed to enjoy it well enough. No walk-outs. I'll try to get comps in the next hour or so. 

I personally thought it was terrible and would only have, like, Eternals, Ghost Rider 2, Jonah Hex ranked below it in terms of awful 2010s+ comic book movies. Not even Fantastic 4. Thought it was Green Lantern/Justice League level. 

[Eric Furiosa]

22 hours ago, Eric the Living Vampire said:

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	59	726	10791	6.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 55

 

Comp

0.515x of Shang-Chi T-8 (4.53M)

0.755x of Venom 2 T-8 (8.75M)

1.075x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-8 (4.84M)

2.174x of Uncharted T-8 (8.04M)

 

Adjusted Comp

2.927x of Sonic the Hedgehog T-8 (8.78M)

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	60	802	10939	7.33%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 76

 

Comp

0.521x of Shang-Chi T-7 (4.58M)

0.773x of Venom 2 T-7 (8.96M)

1.118x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-7 (5.03M)

2.083x of Uncharted T-7 (7.71M)

 

Adjusted Comp

2.914x of Sonic the Hedgehog T-7 (8.74M)

[charlie Jatinder]

Morbius Harkins California and Phoenix 4 at 19:45

 

4,176/20,651 on 82 shows

 

Final can be 4500+

 

Final numbers of some films in these 8 locs:

Eternals - 7791

Shang Chi - 6352

Uncharted - 2522

 

This gives a range of $5.5-6.5M. Guess South-west is overindexing like Venom 2. I think $5.5M+ is likely.

[Eric Furiosa]

22 hours ago, Eric the Living Vampire said:

Fantastic Beasts 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	75	358	15949	2.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 93

 

Comp

0.432x of Shang-Chi T-15 (3.8M)

0.673x of No Time to Die T-15 (4.24M)

0.621x of Dune T-15 (3.17M)

0.248x of Eternals T-15 (2.36M)

0.913x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-14 (4.11M)

Fantastic Beasts 3 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	75	440	15949	2.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 82

 

Comp

0.496x of Shang-Chi T-14 (4.36M)

0.779x of No Time to Die T-14 (4.91M)

0.690x of Dune T-14 (3.52M)

0.295x of Eternals T-14 (2.81M)

1.048x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-14 (4.71M)

[akshay5]

23 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Morbius Harkins California and Phoenix 4 at 19:45

 

4,176/20,651 on 82 shows

 

Final can be 4500+

 

Final numbers of some films in these 8 locs:

Eternals - 7791

Shang Chi - 6352

Uncharted - 2522

 

This gives a range of $5.5-6.5M. Guess South-west is overindexing like Venom 2. I think $5.5M+ is likely.

6M is actually a pretty good number for this. But I think the weekend multiplier will be affected because of the terrible reception, and what seems like average audience WOM.

[filmlover]

Sales for tomorrow are looking really anemic near me. Most of the afternoon shows have barely sold anything at all.

[DAJK]

12 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Sales for tomorrow are looking really anemic near me. Most of the afternoon shows have barely sold anything at all.

Just looking at how tonight has played in my area, this is much more of a walk-up movie than most CBMs.

[Dragoncaine]

7 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Just looking at how tonight has played in my area, this is much more of a walk-up movie than most CBMs.

I'm so perplexed how this is even possible. The movie looks just horrendous. I'm seeing it with a small group of friends tomorrow to hate-watch, but I imagine we're the exception, not the norm.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

4 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said:

I'm so perplexed how this is even possible. The movie looks just horrendous. I'm seeing it with a small group of friends tomorrow to hate-watch, but I imagine we're the exception, not the norm.

Walk-ups seem strong for most movies this year. I think audiences have re-conditioned casual moviegoing habits to some extent. It also appeals to horror fans, a genre that isn’t consistent with presales and still do well. It’s also a “big” release.

 

Looking/being horrendous doesn’t necessarily matter for opening weekend as much as it does legs. 

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Secrets of Dumbledore Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	148	21567	22057	490	2.22%

 

Total Showings Added Today	2
Total Seats Added Today	0*
Total Seats Sold Today	172

* NOTE: The only showings added today were at the local drive-in theater which is non-reserved seating.

 

Day 2 Comps

USE WITH CAUTION - PROBABLY VERY UNRELIABLE AT THIS POINT

	%		Sold Day 2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	67.49		172	726		0/99	15764/16490	4.40%		5847	8.38%		5.94m
NTTD	138.42		77	354		0/133	20265/20619	1.72%		7712	6.35%		8.58m
Dune	99.80		97	491		0/74	11158/11649	4.21%		2915	16.81%		5.09m
GB:A	197.58		49	248		0/108	16447/16695	1.49%		3034	16.15%		8.89m
Morbius	101.03		118	485		0/127	18290/18775	2.58%		—-			—-

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Secrets of Dumbledore's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***

FB3 = 0.51489x FB2 at the same sources of tracking at Day 2 [4.2m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018 to 2022.

   

Regal:     89/5540  [1.61% sold]
Matinee:    18/2688  [0.67% | 3.67% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

MUCH better day than yesterday.  Even managed to exactly pace against Shang-Chi's Day 2 (as well as FB2's second day on a theater-by-theater basis).  Have to think the social media reactions are indeed helping.

 

How sustainable will this be?  Find out soon enough.  But since I "ooof"'ed at yesterday's numbers (rightly, IMO), have to say I liked today's. 

 

Secrets of Dumbledore Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	154	22662	23260	598	2.57%

 

Total Showings Added Today	6
Total Seats Added Today	1203
Total Seats Sold Today	108

 

Day 3 Comps

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	70.69		120	846		0/101	16156/17002	4.98%		5847	10.23%		6.22m
NTTD	121.79		56	491		0/135	20500/20991	2.34%		7712	7.75%		7.55m
Dune	110.13		52	543		0/74	11106/11649	4.66%		2915	20.51%		5.62m
GB:A	217.45		27	275		0/108	16420/16695	1.65%		3034	19.71%		9.79m
Morbius	109.32		62	547		0/127	18228/18775	2.91%		—-			—-

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Secrets of Dumbledore's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***

FB3 = 0.57593x FB2 at the same sources of tracking at Day 3 [4.7m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018 to 2022.

   

Regal:     102/5540  [1.84% sold]
Matinee:    21/3307  [0.64% | 3.51% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

T-x comps starting tomorrow...

[Porthos]

On 3/30/2022 at 11:46 PM, Porthos said:

 

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	92	12122	12937	815	6.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

102

 

T-8 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	174.89		54	466		0/86	14550/15016	3.10%		2352	34.65%		7.17m
SC	49.66		149	1641		0/108	15846/17487	9.38%		5847	13.94%		4.37m
LTBC	55.59		107	1466		0/168	26584/28050	5.23%		7712	10.57%		6.45m
GB:A	120.03		99	679		0/116	16677/17356	3.91%		5847	13.94%		5.40m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Sonic 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-8 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	58.20		100	1323		0/84	11791/13114	10.09%		4407	17.47%		4.33m
Sonic (adj)	---		95	770		0/80	10148/10918	7.05%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  Sonic (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters that had unreliable data polluting their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***
Sonic 2 = 0.85928x Detective Pikachu at the same sources of tracking at T-8 [4.2m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 15% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2019 to 2022.

 

Wednesday sales:    247/1700   [14.53% sold]   +39 tickets]
Thursday sales:      568/11237   [5.05% sold]   +63 tickets]
---    
Regal:      133/3088  [4.31% sold]
Matinee:    45/2387  [1.89% | 5.52% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

There was a smattering of group sales which inflated the overall totals, but even so a fairly nice review bump all things considered.  Now we'll see how it goes the rest of the way.

 

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-7 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	92	12023	12937	914	7.07%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

99

 

T-7 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	176.45		52	518		0/87	14606/15124	3.43%		2352	38.86%		7.23m
SC	51.52		133	1774		0/111	15837/17611	10.07%		5847	15.63%		4.53m
LTBC	55.56		179	1645		0/173	26553/28198	5.83%		7712	11.85%		6.45m
GB:A	124.18		57	736		0/116	16620/17356	4.24%		5847	15.63%		5.59m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Sonic 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-7 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	60.82		91	1414		0/86	11869/13283	10.65%		4407	19.51%		4.52m
Sonic (adj)	---		90	860		0/80	10058/10918	7.88%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  Sonic (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters that had unreliable data polluting their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMP***
Sonic 2 = 0.89066x Detective Pikachu at the same sources of tracking at T-7 [4.3m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 15% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2019 to 2022.

 

Wednesday sales:    261/1700   [15.35% sold]   +14 tickets]
Thursday sales:      653/11237   [5.81% sold]   +85 tickets]
---    
Regal:     149/3088  [4.83% sold]
Matinee:    51/2387  [2.14% | 5.58% of all tickets sold]

Edited April 5, 2022 by Porthos

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Morbius Harkins California and Phoenix 4 at 19:45

 

4,176/20,651 on 82 shows

 

Final can be 4500+

 

Final numbers of some films in these 8 locs:

Eternals - 7791

Shang Chi - 6352

Uncharted - 2522

 

This gives a range of $5.5-6.5M. Guess South-west is overindexing like Venom 2. I think $5.5M+ is likely.

Morbius Harkins

 

California - 2,445/11,573 on 41 shows

Phoenix 4 - 2,380/9,078 on 41 shows

 

Total - 4,825 on 82 shows

 

Solid performance in Harkins

 

Comps

 

62% of Eternals - $5.9M

76% of Shang Chi - $6.6M

191% of Uncharted - $7.1M

112% of Halloween Kills - $5.45M

160% of Scream - $5.6M

 

The films which over indexed in Harkins comps are suggesting $5.5M and Eternals will be around $5.6-5.7M after ATP adjustments. So yeah, let's go $5.5-5.75M.

[lorddemaxus]

Noticed a lot of cinemas around me dropped RRR from the upcoming weekend's schedule. Closest cinema showing it to me this weekend is the big AMC in SF. Is the movie having big theater count drop this weekend.

Edited April 1, 2022 by lorddemaxus

[Legion Again]

25 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Noticed a lot of cinemas around me dropped RRR from the upcoming weekend's schedule. Closest cinema showing it to me this weekend is the big AMC in SF. Is the movie having big theater count drop this weekend.

1200 -200 to 1000

 

[Noctis]

8 hours ago, Noiret Jak said:

Do you think that the announced fall of Morbius will be beneficial to Secrets Of Dumbledore? After all he is an opponent less
powerful than expected (especially in his legs).

 

Morbius was never going to pose a risk to Secrets of Dumbledore.

 

What will help SoD, though, is the positive reactions/reviews it's getting. 

[YM!]

https://www.deadline.com/2022/03/morbius-box-office-8m-Thursday-previews-1234990463

 

Damn! $8m previews for Morbius?!