The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[charlie Jatinder]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Elvis Early Shows Final

MTC1 - 10383/15206 234287.58 81 shows

MTC2 -  5569/8236 87206.50 41 shows

 

Not much of a growth today but its already sold well enough. Thinking ~ 0.5-0.6m early shows. 

Only 100 shows outside 2 MTCs, so not really wide. Probably $200-225K in those.

[keysersoze123]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Only 100 shows outside 2 MTCs, so not really wide. Probably $200-225K in those.

So just 0.5m. I guess its about the weekend then. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

On 6/20/2022 at 10:20 PM, Menor Reborn said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Marcus Theaters (T-17)

 

Showings: 870

Seats Sold: 18867/130638

 

Ignore my previous Marcus post as many showtimes were erroneously returning 0 sold. I have checked this number pretty thoroughly, so it should be accurate. 

Showings: 873 (+3)

Seats Sold: 19480/130986 (+613)

 

Was planning to report Friday tonight, but am going to bed early, so will just run it a bit earlier tomorrow to get both Thurs and Fri in one update. 

 

Unfortunately was not able to get final EA numbers for Elvis as the show links seem to close after the showing is done. 

[filmlover]

In future release date news, Creed 3 just got quietly pushed to March of next year.

 

Creed III | Official Website | March 01 2023 (unitedartistsreleasing.com)

 

This is what November looks like now:

 

4: Amsterdam

11: Black Panther

18: The Menu, She Said

23: Bones and All, The Fabelmans, Strange World

 

Seems manageable by November standards tbh. Imagine Strange World will have IMAX/PLF screens on lock for Thanksgiving weekend.

[EmpireCity]

I tried to tell everyone Elvis was going to do really well like a year ago and got laughed at by more than a few people.  

 

I'll be the one laughing this weekend.  

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

5 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

I tried to tell everyone Elvis was going to do really well like a year ago and got laughed at by more than a few people.  

 

I'll be the one laughing this weekend.  

What are you predicting this weekend? 

[motionpic05]

The Black Phone and Elvis both looking good in Ontario. 

I'm going with about $20 million OW for Black Phone & $60 million for Elvis

[motionpic05]

45 minutes ago, filmlover said:

In future release date news, Creed 3 just got quietly pushed to March of next year.

 

Creed III | Official Website | March 01 2023 (unitedartistsreleasing.com)

 

This is what November looks like now:

 

4: Amsterdam

11: Black Panther

18: The Menu, She Said

23: Bones and All, The Fabelmans, Strange World

 

Seems manageable by November standards tbh. Imagine Strange World will have IMAX/PLF screens on lock for Thanksgiving weekend.

That's interesting... I'm surprised they're moving it.

The first and second Creed both did really well in that November slot.

 

I wonder if it just needs more time in production... 

 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

1 minute ago, motionpic05 said:

That's interesting... I'm surprised they're moving it.

The first and second Creed both did really well in that November slot.

 

I wonder if it just needs more time in production... 

 

I think it's still filming. Wouldn't be shocked if it will need reshoots/long post since its MBJ's directing debut

 

Once MGM announced Bones and All for same date, something felt fishy. They're being weird in general. The Ron Howard movie going to August from Nov and Amazon a week or so following is bizarre

[filmlover]

On the other hand, March does look really packed now. Creed, The Haunted Mansion, Aquaman, John Wick, Scream. The overall lightness of the 2022 movie theater schedule that's looking to extend throughout the entire year certainly reinforces the notion that this is still very much a "rebuild" year for the industry.

[Eric Furiosa]

14 hours ago, Eric Presley said:

The Black Phone Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	36	372	5646	6.59%

 

Comp

5.636x of The Forever Purge T-3 (7.5M)

3.957x of Escape Room 2 T-3 (4.75M)

2.755x of Old T-3 (4.13M)

0.349x of Halloween Kills T-3 (1.69M)

0.465x of Scream T-3 (1.63M)

The Black Phone Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	49	489	6890	7.10%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 117

 

Comp

5.315x of The Forever Purge T-2 (7.07M)

3.372x of Escape Room 2 T-2 (4.05M)

2.574x of Old T-2 (3.86M)

0.363x of Halloween Kills T-2 (1.76M)

0.459x of Scream T-2 (1.6M)

[Alex SciChannel]

I sincerely hope The Black Phone makes over 20M this weekend. It really deserves success and one of the most quality films I've seen in a long time. Perfect balance between tension, horror, heart, and mystery.

[Eric Furiosa]

14 hours ago, Eric Presley said:

Elvis Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	37	541	6237	8.67%

 

Comp

3.655x of Dear Evan Hansen T-3 (2.92M)

0.347x of No Time to Die T-3 (2.19M)

3.810x of West Side Story T-3 (3.05M)

3.655x of Death on the Nile T-3 (4.02M)

2.774x of Dog T-3 (3.49M)

1.044x of The Lost City T-3 (3.39M)

0.414x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-3 (2.48M)

0.178x of Top Gun 2 T-3 (3.4M)

0.112x of Jurassic World 3 T-3 (2.01M)

Elvis Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	51	643	8470	7.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 102

 

Comp

3.805x of Dear Evan Hansen T-2 (3.04M)

0.344x of No Time to Die T-2 (2.17M)

3.314x of West Side Story T-2 (2.65M)

3.592x of Death on the Nile T-2 (3.95M)

3.121x of Dog T-2 (3.93M)

0.951x of The Lost City T-2 (3.09M)

0.434x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-2 (2.61M)

0.179x of Top Gun 2 T-2 (3.44M)

0.122x of Jurassic World 3 T-2 (2.21M)

[Eric Furiosa]

14 hours ago, Eric Presley said:

Minions: The Rise of Gru Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	125	219	27571	0.83%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 31

 

Comp

3.712x of Jungle Cruise T-10 (10.02M)

0.345x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-10 (2.15M)

Minions: The Rise of Gru Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	125	229	27571	0.87%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 10

 

Comp

3.368x of Jungle Cruise T-9 (9.09M)

0.341x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-9 (2.13M)

1.244x of Lightyear T-9 (6.47M)

[Eric Furiosa]

14 hours ago, Eric Presley said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	185	4897	34527	14.28%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 96

 

Comp

0.435x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-17 (21.74M)

1.078x of The Batman T-17 (23.28M)

0.532x of Doctor Strange 2 T-17 (19.17M)

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	185	5068	34527	14.78%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 171

 

Comp

0.401x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-16 (20.08M)

1.087x of The Batman T-16 (23.49M)

0.542x of Doctor Strange 2 T-16 (19.5M)

[Eric Furiosa]

14 hours ago, Eric Presley said:

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-31 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	133	11741	1.20%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 7

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-30 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	60	158	12440	1.27%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 25

[Porthos]

22 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	228	25566	31600	6034	19.09%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

158

 

T-17 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-17	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH	45.44		13279	13279		0/225	14920/28199	47.09%		28183	21.41%		22.72m
Batman	164.24		156	3674		0/248	28624/32298	11.38%		11757	51.32%		35.47m
MoM	61.19		226	9861		0/329	31047/40908	24.11%		21117	28.57%		22.03m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Love and Thunder's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-17 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-17	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	250.57		94	2189		0/117	16941/19130	11.44%		9196	65.62%		34.63m
L&T (adj)			131	5485		0/188	20818/26303	20.85%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  L&T (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:       569/4831  [11.78% sold]
Matinee:    271/2566  [10.56% | 4.49% of all tickets sold]

 

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	228	25396	31600	6204	19.63%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

170

 

T-16 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-16	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH	42.38		1361	14640		0/273	19521/34161	42.86%		28183	22.01%		21.19m
Batman	162.75		138	3812		0/280	30966/34778	10.96%		11757	52.77%		35.15m
MoM	61.87		166	10027		0/351	32409/42436	23.63%		21117	29.38%		22.27m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Love and Thunder's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-16 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-16	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	248.17		84	2273		0/117	16861/19134	11.88%		9196	67.46%		34.30m
L&T (adj)			156	5641		0/188	20662/26303	21.45%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  L&T (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:         591/4831  [12.23% sold]
Matinee:    282/2566  [10.99% | 4.55% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

22 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Minions 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-10 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	167	24456	25018	562	2.25%

 

Total Net Seats Removed Today	179
Total Net Seats Sold Today	24

 

 

T-10 Comp

	%		Sold T-10	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
GB:A	106.04		99	530		0/108	16263/16793	3.16%		9196	6.11%		4.77m
Sonic 2	86.73		36	648		0/89	11792/12440	5.21%		5847	9.61%		5.42m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Minions 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:         44/5311  [0.83% sold]
Matinee:    22/2383  [0.92% | 3.91% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Bit of a weird day today.  One of the local dine-in theaters added a showing (39 seats) but one of the MTCs removed a late night showing (218 seats), resulting in a net loss of 179 seats in the region.

 

The bigger deal is that same MTC changed a bunch of 3D showings (which I believe were listed as 3D in error) to 2D, resulting in 28 tickets sold wiped from the books.   But I had a devil of a time verifying those lost ticket sales on the corp site in question (could pull up the showtimes on Fandango, but not the corp site) so they may pop back up tomorrow.  Or, probably more likely, they just wiped all the sales when they shifted those showings from 3D to 2D, and are just gonna see if those folks re-buy their tickets or not.  If those sales hadn't been wiped from the books, it would have been 52 tickets sold in the region.

 

Minions 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	168	24719	25316	597	2.36%

 

Total Net Showings Added Today	1
Total Net Seats Added Today	298
Total Seats Sold Today	35

 

T-9 Comp

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
GB:A	102.93		50	580		0/116	16776/17356	3.34%		9196	6.49%		4.63m
Sonic 2	83.73		65	713		0/92	12224/12937	5.51%		5847	10.21%		5.23m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Minions 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

  
Regal:        49/5238  [0.94% sold]
Matinee:    25/2536  [0.99% | 4.19% of all tickets sold]

[charlie Jatinder]

The Black Phone Harkins T-2 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
94	17,126	711	4.15%	$8,139	$11.45

 

This looks good for $1.5-1.75M previews in here. The pace is good. Added 200+ sales today. Can hit 3K final.

[charlie Jatinder]

3 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

 

Elvis Harkins Early Access Final

 

Day	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Early Access	7	2,283	1,579	69.16%	$24,403	$15.45

Elvis Harkins T-2 Days

Day	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Early Access	7	2,283	1,579	69.16%	$24,403	$15.45
Thursday	100	23,907	1,338	5.60%	$15,029	$11.23
Total	107	26,190	2,917	11.14%	$39,432	$13.52

 

Comps

0.55x Eternals - $5.2M ($2.4M THU only)

 

Very strong in here. FRI and SAT sales are uber strong, so I suppose there can be over-indexing here. Looks like THU alone will be $3M+ eventually in here but EA are very strong as well, like $1M+ worth, which we know ain't the case.