The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Eric S'ennui]

On 6/22/2022 at 12:44 AM, Eric Presley said:

The Black Phone Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	49	489	6890	7.10%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 117

 

Comp

5.315x of The Forever Purge T-2 (7.07M)

3.372x of Escape Room 2 T-2 (4.05M)

2.574x of Old T-2 (3.86M)

0.363x of Halloween Kills T-2 (1.76M)

0.459x of Scream T-2 (1.6M)

The Black Phone Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	49	735	6890	7.10%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 246

 

Comp

4.933x of The Forever Purge T-1 (6.56M)

2.871x of Escape Room 2 T-1 (3.44M)

2.795x of Old T-1 (4.19M)

0.418x of Halloween Kills T-1 (2.03M)

0.526x of Scream T-1 (1.84M)

[Eric S'ennui]

On 6/22/2022 at 12:50 AM, Eric Presley said:

Elvis Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	51	643	8470	7.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 102

 

Comp

3.805x of Dear Evan Hansen T-2 (3.04M)

0.344x of No Time to Die T-2 (2.17M)

3.314x of West Side Story T-2 (2.65M)

3.592x of Death on the Nile T-2 (3.95M)

3.121x of Dog T-2 (3.93M)

0.951x of The Lost City T-2 (3.09M)

0.434x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-2 (2.61M)

0.179x of Top Gun 2 T-2 (3.44M)

0.122x of Jurassic World 3 T-2 (2.21M)

Elvis Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	737	9263	7.96%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 94

 

Comp

3.509x of Dear Evan Hansen T-1 (2.81M)

0.320x of No Time to Die T-1 (2.01M)

2.014x of House of Gucci T-1 (2.62M)

2.792x of West Side Story T-1 (2.23M)

2.813x of Death on the Nile T-1 (3.09M)

3.275x of Dog T-1 (4.13M)

0.952x of The Lost City T-1 (3.09M)

0.429x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-1 (2.57M)

0.178x of Top Gun 2 T-1 (3.43M)

0.131x of Jurassic World 3 T-1 (2.36M)

[Eric S'ennui]

On 6/22/2022 at 12:53 AM, Eric Presley said:

Minions: The Rise of Gru Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	125	229	27571	0.87%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 10

 

Comp

3.368x of Jungle Cruise T-9 (9.09M)

0.341x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-9 (2.13M)

1.244x of Lightyear T-9 (6.47M)

Minions: The Rise of Gru Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	125	253	27571	0.96%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 24

 

Comp

3.286x of Jungle Cruise T-8 (8.87M)

0.348x of Sonic the Hedgehog 2 T-8 (2.18M)

0.969x of Lightyear T-8 (5.04M)

[Eric S'ennui]

On 6/22/2022 at 1:00 AM, Eric Presley said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	185	5068	34527	14.78%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 171

 

Comp

0.401x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-16 (20.08M)

1.087x of The Batman T-16 (23.49M)

0.542x of Doctor Strange 2 T-16 (19.5M)

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	185	5184	34527	15.12%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 116

 

Comp

0.388x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-15 (19.42M)

1.088x of The Batman T-15 (23.49M)

0.546x of Doctor Strange 2 T-15 (19.65M)

[Eric S'ennui]

On 6/22/2022 at 1:01 AM, Eric Presley said:

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-30 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	60	158	12440	1.27%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 25

Nope Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-29 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	60	163	12440	1.31%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 5

[EmpireCity]

I think Nope is going to be our first true bomb of the summer.  You could argue that Lightyear is, but I could see Nope not catching on at all unless Universal figures out a way in the next 2 weeks to actually market the film.  

 

They are relying on name recognition of Jordan Peele at this point.  Unfortunately for them, not enough people really know who he is and Get Out was 5 years ago and Us just wasn't well received.  

 

I get that they want to take the high level approach to the marketing, but quite frankly the movie looks very uninteresting visually and the premise is about as clear as mud.  

 

The daily ticket sales updates seem to indicate that there is little interest at this point.  It could surprise, but Universal has to get moving.  

[charlie Jatinder]

13 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

The daily ticket sales updates seem to indicate that there is little interest at this point.  It could surprise, but Universal has to get moving.  

Won't read much into sales yet. Too far out. I think US had similar trend.

 

US had 2300 whatever Fandango pulse meant till T-29 days in 50 days of sales. 
T-28 to T-11 added 3600.
T-10 to T-4 added 11000.

Final 4 days 91000.

Edited June 23, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[Porthos]

On 6/21/2022 at 11:09 PM, Porthos said:

 

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	228	25396	31600	6204	19.63%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

170

 

T-16 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-16	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH	42.38		1361	14640		0/273	19521/34161	42.86%		28183	22.01%		21.19m
Batman	162.75		138	3812		0/280	30966/34778	10.96%		11757	52.77%		35.15m
MoM	61.87		166	10027		0/351	32409/42436	23.63%		21117	29.38%		22.27m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Love and Thunder's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-16 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-16	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	248.17		84	2273		0/117	16861/19134	11.88%		9196	67.46%		34.30m
L&T (adj)			156	5641		0/188	20662/26303	21.45%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  L&T (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:         591/4831  [12.23% sold]
Matinee:    282/2566  [10.99% | 4.55% of all tickets sold]

 

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-15 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	228	25246	31600	6354	20.11%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

150

 

T-15 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-15	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH	41.62		628	15268		0/298	21158/36426	41.92%		28183	22.55%		20.81m
Batman	161.97		111	3923		0/280	30855/34778	11.28%		11757	54.04%		34.99m
MoM	62.24		182	10209		0/351	32227/42436	24.06%		21117	30.09%		22.41m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Love and Thunder's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-15 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-15	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
BW	242.71		108	2381		0/117	16753/19134	12.44%		9196	69.10%		33.55m
L&T (adj)			138	5779		0/188	20524/26303	21.97%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  L&T (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:          611/4831  [12.65% sold]
Matinee:    288/2566  [11.22% | 4.53% of all tickets sold]

[Porthos]

On 6/21/2022 at 11:10 PM, Porthos said:

 

Minions 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	168	24719	25316	597	2.36%

 

Total Net Showings Added Today	1
Total Net Seats Added Today	298
Total Seats Sold Today	35

 

T-9 Comp

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
GB:A	102.93		50	580		0/116	16776/17356	3.34%		9196	6.49%		4.63m
Sonic 2	83.73		65	713		0/92	12224/12937	5.51%		5847	10.21%		5.23m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Minions 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

  
Regal:        49/5238  [0.94% sold]
Matinee:    25/2536  [0.99% | 4.19% of all tickets sold]

 

Minions 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	168	24614	25316	702	2.77%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

105

 

T-8 Comp

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
GB:A	103.39		99	679		0/116	16677/17356	3.91%		9196	7.63%		4.65m
Sonic 2	86.13		102	815		0/92	12122/12937	6.30%		5847	12.01%		5.38m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Minions 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

  
Regal:       54/5238  [1.03% sold]
Matinee:    27/2536  [1.06% | 3.85% of all tickets sold]

[Hilpkioy]

1 hour ago, EmpireCity said:

I think Nope is going to be our first true bomb of the summer.  You could argue that Lightyear is, but I could see Nope not catching on at all unless Universal figures out a way in the next 2 weeks to actually market the film.  

 

They are relying on name recognition of Jordan Peele at this point.  Unfortunately for them, not enough people really know who he is and Get Out was 5 years ago and Us just wasn't well received.  

 

I get that they want to take the high level approach to the marketing, but quite frankly the movie looks very uninteresting visually and the premise is about as clear as mud.  

 

The daily ticket sales updates seem to indicate that there is little interest at this point.  It could surprise, but Universal has to get moving.  

Hmm could turn people off as well and ruin the cinemascore if they don't start telling us whether it's aliens, ghosts or poltergeists and what to expect going into it.

[charlie Jatinder]

On 6/22/2022 at 12:12 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

The Black Phone Harkins T-2 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
94	17,126	711	4.15%	$8,139	$11.45

 

This looks good for $1.5-1.75M previews in here. The pace is good. Added 200+ sales today. Can hit 3K final.

The Black Phone Harkins T-1 Day

 

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
107	20,557	1,227	5.97%	$13,917	$11.34

 

Solid day. Added 516 new seats. Final shall be 3.5K range for $38K gross. That will be good for $1.6-1.9M previews nationwide.

[charlie Jatinder]

On 6/22/2022 at 12:17 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Elvis Harkins T-2 Days

Day	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Early Access	7	2,283	1,579	69.16%	$24,403	$15.45
Thursday	100	23,907	1,338	5.60%	$15,029	$11.23
Total	107	26,190	2,917	11.14%	$39,432	$13.52

 

Comps

0.55x Eternals - $5.2M ($2.4M THU only)

 

Very strong in here. FRI and SAT sales are uber strong, so I suppose there can be over-indexing here. Looks like THU alone will be $3M+ eventually in here but EA are very strong as well, like $1M+ worth, which we know ain't the case. 

Elvis Harkins T-1 Day

Day	Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
Early Access	7	2,283	1,579	69.16%	$24,403	$15.45
Thursday	113	27,549	2,082	7.56%	$23,614	$11.34
Total	120	29,832	3,661	12.27%	$48,017	$13.12

 

Big growth for Elvis, adding over 700 seats in THU. Should hit 5.25-5.5K for THU I believe i.e. $60K, which will normally means $3M approx nationwide, with EA should come around $4M. 

 

Comps

0.53x of Eternals - $5M (THU only $2.85M)

[charlie Jatinder]

On 6/21/2022 at 6:12 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Harkins T-17 Days

 

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
421	105,617	9,260	8.77%	$122,710	$13.25

 

Excellent pace in the chain in last four days. Comfortably went past 9K target, outpacing DSitMoM pace. Now next target is 11.8K by T-10 Days. 

Thor: Love and Thunder Harkins T-15 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
421	105,617	9,779	9.26%	$129,048	$13.20

[charlie Jatinder]

On 6/21/2022 at 6:18 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Minions: The Rise of Gru Harkins T-10 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
292	75,699	688	0.91%	$8,301	$12.07

 

Comps

0.255x Eternals T-10 days - $2.42M

 

Going well. Lightyear was 747 T-8 days, which was its first day of sales and 2059 by T-4 days. Minions will cross T-8 number comfortably, should be around there for T-4 days as well.

Minions: The Rise of Gru Harkins T-8 Days

Shows	Capacity	Sold	% Sold	Gross	ATP
302	76,185	836	1.10%	$10,035	$12.00

 

Comps

1.11x of Lightyear T-8 days - $6.3M (adj for ATP probably $5-5.25M)

 

[Juby]

@charlie Jatinder

What's your current prediction (OW) for Thor based on advance ticket sale?

[grey ghost]

3 hours ago, Hilpkioy said:

Hmm could turn people off as well and ruin the cinemascore if they don't start telling us whether it's aliens, ghosts or poltergeists and what to expect going into it.

 

 

Nobody likes a good surprise anymore.

 

Movie like The Sixth Sense would flop today.

Edited June 23, 2022 by grey ghost

[CJohn]

5 hours ago, EmpireCity said:

I think Nope is going to be our first true bomb of the summer.  You could argue that Lightyear is, but I could see Nope not catching on at all unless Universal figures out a way in the next 2 weeks to actually market the film.  

 

They are relying on name recognition of Jordan Peele at this point.  Unfortunately for them, not enough people really know who he is and Get Out was 5 years ago and Us just wasn't well received.  

 

I get that they want to take the high level approach to the marketing, but quite frankly the movie looks very uninteresting visually and the premise is about as clear as mud.  

 

The daily ticket sales updates seem to indicate that there is little interest at this point.  It could surprise, but Universal has to get moving.  

Right now I believe the premise is some dudes trying to get the first picture ever of aliens. I am in on Jordan Peele's name, but the new trailer was terrible.

[Brainbug]

Gotta be honest, that last trailer killed my interest in seeing Nope and i really like Get Out and liked Us as well (for the most part).

Edited June 23, 2022 by Brainbug the Dinosaur

[Menor the Destroyer]

On 6/21/2022 at 10:23 PM, Menor Reborn said:

Showings: 873 (+3)

Seats Sold: 19480/130986 (+613)

 

Was planning to report Friday tonight, but am going to bed early, so will just run it a bit earlier tomorrow to get both Thurs and Fri in one update. 

 

Unfortunately was not able to get final EA numbers for Elvis as the show links seem to close after the showing is done. 

Thor L&T Marcus Theaters

 

Theaters: 85

 

Thursday

Showings: 873

Seats Sold: 19934/130986 (+454)

 

Friday

Showings: 1375

Seats Sold: 11835/206188

 

Slightly less than 24 hour pace (23-23.5ish)

[charlie Jatinder]

Last trailer was whatever. First trailer had my attention.