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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

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Posted by Shawn Robbins,

PSA:   As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.   Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box o
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Posted by XXRDJisDoctorDoom,

Yea we're gonna drop all this non tracking stuff. That expressly means you, @excel1. Next post from you that isn't tracking related is a thread ban.    Anyone else continues, it's points. 

We're all tired of the non-tracking related thread derailments. This is your fair warning.

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Old Spice Sleeper Hit

Old Spice

Posted
Posted (edited)
45 minutes ago, John2015 said:

notfabio in HSX:

Did another scan of DON'T WORRY DARLING, I'm no Jatinder, but the regular Thursday pre-opens look way better than a teens opening.

 

https://www.hsx.com/forum/forum.php?id=3&pid=551473

Based on what I'm seeing in the Salt Lake Valley, I'd say that mid 20's is the floor, with the caveat that there appears to be a split developing, with significantly more demand in the SL urban area than the suburbs. If I was just looking at Salt Lake proper, I'd be on the $30M train, easy.

Edited by A Star is Delayed
typo
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Eric Prime Global Phenomenon

Eric Prime

Posted
Posted
14 hours ago, The Eric King said:

Pearl Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 24 85 2701 2.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 31

 

Comp

0.447x of Old T-2 (671K)

2.125x of The Night Hosue T-2 (552K)

1.197x of Antlers T-2 (443K)

0.347x of Last Night in Soho T-2 (243K)

0.914x of X T-2 (402K)

1.465x of Firestarter T-2 (550K)

0.858x of Men T-2 (363K)

1.250x of The Invitation T-2 (969K)

0.644x of Barbarian T-2 (547K)

Pearl Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 24 98 2701 4.07%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 44

 

Comp

0.373x of Old T-1 (559K)

1.485x of The Night House T-1 (386K)

1.139x of Antlers T-1 (422K)

0.317x of Last Night in Soho T-1 (222K)

0.810x of X T-1 (356K)

1.307x of Firestarter T-1 (490K)

0.715x of Men T-1 (303K)

0.942x of The Invitation T-1 (730K)

0.371x of Barbarian T-1 (315K)

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Eric Prime Global Phenomenon

Eric Prime

Posted
Posted
14 hours ago, The Eric King said:

The Woman King Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 59 418 12903 3.24%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 114

 

Comp

3.870x of Respect T-2 (2.51M)

1.088x of Candyman T-2 (2.07M)

0.333x of Nope T-2 (2.13M)

2.903x of Beast T-2 (2.68M)

The Woman King Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 61 615 13065 4.71%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 197

 

Comp

3.379x of Respect T-1 (2.2M)

1.023x of Candyman T-1 (1.94M)

0.353x of Nope T-1 (2.26M)

3.060x of Beast T-1 (2.83M)

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Eric Prime Global Phenomenon

Eric Prime

Posted
Posted

Don't Worry Darling Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 36 816 6980 11.69%

 

Comp

4.364x of The Lost City T-8 (14.18M)

 

So I wanted to start this yesterday, but today was really bad for me personally, so I'm off a day. But we're still here. And to clarify, a good majority of these tickets come from the Monday IMAX Live showings. But even if you take that out, we're still at 279 tickets sold, which is still nearly 1.5 times Lost City at the same point in time. This right here is the real deal mah bois.

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, The Eric King said:

Don't Worry Darling Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 36 816 6980 11.69%

 

Comp

4.364x of The Lost City T-8 (14.18M)

 

So I wanted to start this yesterday, but today was really bad for me personally, so I'm off a day. But we're still here. And to clarify, a good majority of these tickets come from the Monday IMAX Live showings. But even if you take that out, we're still at 279 tickets sold, which is still nearly 1.5 times Lost City at the same point in time. This right here is the real deal mah bois.

Did you track Elvis? Try that.

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M37 Box Office Gold

M37

Posted
Posted

Just want to note that from spot checking some other markets, it looks like Philly may be an outlier/overindex with comps pointing to $2M+ in previews. Also, sales are (perhaps unsurprisingly) atypically distributed within those markets, in terms of how locations rank vs usual pecking order

With that said, Thursday sales are solid enough that $20M is on the table, as even say $1.6M/13x or $1.7M/12x would get there (I honestly don't have a good read on IM, other than expecting at something in double digits).

 

And it sure does look like DWD's negative publicity tour has helped raise awareness and interest

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CJohn Cinematic Universe

CJohn

Posted
Posted
Just now, M37 said:

Just want to note that from spot checking some other markets, it looks like Philly may be an outlier/overindex with comps pointing to $2M+ in previews. Also, sales are (perhaps unsurprisingly) atypically distributed within those markets, in terms of how locations rank vs usual pecking order

With that said, Thursday sales are solid enough that $20M is on the table, as even say $1.6M/13x or $1.7M/12x would get there (I honestly don't have a good read on IM, other than expecting at something in double digits).

 

And it sure does look like DWD's negative publicity tour has helped raise awareness and interest

Previews start at 3 PM so I am not expecting a 13x previews to weekend ratio, and more like 11-11.5x. 

 

Also, BO on their weekend article mention that The Women King is overindexing and that if you look at more markets the presales are more muted.

 

However, I am more hopefull for a 17-19M OW now which would be fine. 20M would be perfect but I am thinking a lot of States simply won't show up for this.

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted (edited)

Woman King Harkins T-1 Day

 

THU - 358/29570 (109 showings) - $4106


0.16x Bullet Train - $750K
0.12x Nope - $770K
0.25x Crawdads - $600k


2.93x Beast - $2.7M
3.44x Invitation - $2.6M
2.12x Barbarian - $1.9M

 

Sales are too high for recent titles while not that high as compared to summer mid-range opener titles. Likely will open around $1.5-2M previews, but may be it surprises in a big way and go for mid 2s.

 

FRI sales are also good.

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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Pinacolada Box Office Gold

Pinacolada

Posted
Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, filmlover said:

Don't think this was posted:

 

 

 

That See How They Run projection is so depressing. Was hoping for at least like $4m?? There's 0 reason this pretty well reviewed, fun looking murder mystery shouldn't be able to manage that

Edited by Pinacolada
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GOGODanca Box Office Gold

GOGODanca

Posted
Posted

Don't Worry Darling check at my local AMC's  (started checking around 10:30 AM today) for Thursday:

 

AMC Gulf Pointe 30:  21 tickets sold across 5 showtimes

 

AMC Houston 8: 10 tickets sold across 2 showtimes

 

AMC Fountains 18: 9 tickets sold across 7 showtimes

 

AMC First Colony 24: 14 tickets sold across 7 showtimes

 

AMC Deerbrook 24: 3 tickets sold across 2 showtimes

 

AMC Spring 10: 29 tickets sold across 3 showtimes

 

AMC Katy Mills 20: 30 tickets sold across 4 showtimes

 

AMC Brazos Mall 14: 3 tickets sold across 2 showtimes

AMC Metropark Square 10: 30 tickets sold across 2 showtimes

 

Total: 149 tickets sold across 34 showtimes

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