The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Krissykins]

2 hours ago, datpepper said:

 

Workin' on it. I'm asking around, although it might still be a week or two before I get word about what it is.

 

As mentioned, I would advise not leaning too much on the listed runtime. Regal's social media already seemed to imply in a post that it's a placeholder.

Yeh, here in the UK the Cineworld secret screenings are always listed as a 15 rating and 90 minutes. 
 

So that no one can guess what they are. 

[AJG]

5 hours ago, Krissykins said:

Yeh, here in the UK the Cineworld secret screenings are always listed as a 15 rating and 90 minutes. 
 

So that no one can guess what they are. 

 

I know someone that found a workaround was to check what films are yet to be released, and then check what's been recently rated on the BBFC. I don't know if that still works though.

[M37]

10 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Edit: it might be Spirited lol

Given the chance, I would bet on it. Identical Monday Mystery showing before the limited engagement theatrical release that Friday as with Beer Run. PG13 rating instead of R also matches. Plus a bigger marketing push, which only makes sense if you can deliver something with more interest/star power

 

I might just go get tickets for this one ...

 

Spoiler

If the content code name is something like GHOSTLY, then we have a winner.  Beer Run was listed as INWOOD

 

[Eric Prime]

On 10/15/2022 at 12:33 AM, Eric Strode said:

Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	89	1122	18518	6.06%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 90

 

Comp

0.983x of F9 T-6 (6.98M)

0.391x of Black Widow T-6 (5.17M)

2.434x of The Suicide Squad T-6 (9.98M)

0.671x of Shang-Chi T-6 (5.9M)

1.004x of Venom 2 T-6 (11.65M)

0.985x of No Time to Die T-6 (6.21M)

0.514x of Eternals T-6 (4.88M)

1.172x of Morbius T-6 (6.68M)

1.160x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-6 (6.96M)

0.478x of Jurassic World 3 T-6 (8.61M)

Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	89	1244	18518	6.72%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 122

 

Comp

0.961x of F9 T-5 (6.83M)

0.406x of Black Widow T-5 (5.36M)

2.434x of The Suicide Squad T-5 (9.98M)

0.696x of Shang-Chi T-5 (6.13M)

0.979x of Venom 2 T-5 (11.36M)

1.023x of No Time to Die T-5 (6.44M)

0.534x of Eternals T-5 (5.08M)

1.228x of Morbius T-5 (7M)

1.197x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-5 (7.18M)

0.498x of Jurassic World 3 T-5 (8.96M)

[Eric Prime]

On 10/15/2022 at 12:37 AM, Eric Strode said:

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	5225	42932	12.17%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 114

 

Comp

0.716x of Doctor Strange 2 T-27 (25.77M)

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-26 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	5306	42932	12.36%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 81

 

Comp

0.701x of Doctor Strange 2 T-26 (25.25M)

[ZackM]

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-25 days
10/16/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	439	7,270	151,962	1,138,094	13.35%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	13	61	216	385
ATP
$17.33
Black Panther Double Feature Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-25 days
10/16/22	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	92	93	5,491	22,048	24.90%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	1	5	8	15
ATP
$17.59

[Eric Prime]

14 hours ago, Eric Strode said:

Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	89	1244	18518	6.72%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 122

 

Comp

0.961x of F9 T-5 (6.83M)

0.406x of Black Widow T-5 (5.36M)

2.434x of The Suicide Squad T-5 (9.98M)

0.696x of Shang-Chi T-5 (6.13M)

0.979x of Venom 2 T-5 (11.36M)

1.023x of No Time to Die T-5 (6.44M)

0.534x of Eternals T-5 (5.08M)

1.228x of Morbius T-5 (7M)

1.197x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-5 (7.18M)

0.498x of Jurassic World 3 T-5 (8.96M)

Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	89	1392	18518	7.52%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 148

 

Comp

0.993x of F9 T-4 (7.05M)

0.414x of Black Widow T-4 (5.47M)

2.297x of The Suicide Squad T-4 (9.42M)

0.702x of Shang-Chi T-4 (6.17M)

0.975x of Venom 2 T-4 (11.31M)

1.054x of No Time to Die T-4 (6.64M)

0.558x of Eternals T-4 (5.3M)

1.255x of Morbius T-4 (7.15M)

1.188x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-4 (7.13M)

0.512x of Jurassic World 3 T-4 (9.22M)

[Eric Prime]

14 hours ago, Eric Strode said:

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-26 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	5306	42932	12.36%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 81

 

Comp

0.701x of Doctor Strange 2 T-26 (25.25M)

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-25 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	246	5468	42932	12.74%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 162

 

Comp

0.703x of Doctor Strange 2 T-25 (25.33M)

[Porthos]

On 10/16/2022 at 1:30 AM, Porthos said:

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-26 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	1	294	31521	37019	5498	14.85%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

102

 

T-26 Comp

%

Sold T-26

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

MoM

67.82

285

8107

0/329

32809/40916

19.81%

21117

26.04%

24.41m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Panther 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1283/11833  [10.84% sold]
Matinee:    252/4102  [6.14% | 4.49% of all tickets sold]

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-25 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	1	294	31400	37019	5619	15.18%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

121

 

T-25 Comp

%

Sold T-25

Total Sold

Sellouts Shows

Seats Left Total Seats

Perct Sold

Final Sold

% of Final

Comp

MoM

67.45

224

8331

0/329

32585/40916

20.36%

21117

26.61%

24.28m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Panther 2's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1323/11833  [11.18% sold]
Matinee:     267/4102  [6.51% | 4.75% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

There was an error in yesterday's totals that has now been corrected.  I suspected there was one, but I couldn't find it easily as I had, when I count DBOX showings, over 300 different showtimes to check. 

 

Turns out, it was one of the DBOX showings where I accidentally counted it as a full showing, thanks to Fandango's new HTML code (with an assist to my local Cinemarks not playing nice with it).  Thanks bunches, Fandango.   Anywho, all sorted now.

Edited November 22, 2022 by Porthos

[Porthos]

On 10/16/2022 at 1:31 AM, Porthos said:

 

Black Adam Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-5 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	169	22641	24311	1670	6.87%

 

Total Showings Added Today	6
Total Seats Added Today	336
Total Seats Sold Today	149

 

T-5 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-5	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	273.77		56	610		0/87	14514/15124	4.03%		2352	71.00%		11.22m
SC	77.86		183	2145		0/113	15466/17611	12.18%		5847	28.56%		6.85m
LTBC	83.17		183	2008		0/173	26190/28198	7.12%		7712	21.65%		9.65m
ET	58.62		99	2849		0/101	13119/15968	17.84%		6409	26.06%		5.57m
Bats	29.54		251	5653		0/297	31137/36790	15.37%		11757	14.20%		6.38m
Morb	136.33		95	1225		0/151	20222/21447	5.71%		3477	48.03%		7.77m
JW3	36.16		449	4619		0/224	23313/27932	16.54%		10966	15.23%		6.51m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Adam's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-5 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-5	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	98.07		113	1606		0/89	11878/13484	11.91%		4407	35.74%		7.29m
BA (adj)			130	1575		0/144	19097/20672	7.62%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  BA (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:      357/7583  [4.71% sold]
Matinee:    60/2475  [2.42% | 3.59% of all tickets sold]

 

Black Adam Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	169	22425	24311	1886	7.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

216

 

T-4 Unadjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	251.13		141	751		0/87	14373/15124	4.97%		2352	80.19%		10.30m
SC	78.39		261	2406		0/113	15205/17611	13.66%		5847	32.26%		6.90m
LTBC	76.64		453	2461		0/183	26301/28762	8.56%		7712	24.46%		8.89m
ET	62.04		191	3040		0/101	12928/15968	19.04%		6409	29.43%		5.89m
Bats	31.32		368	6021		0/297	30769/36790	16.37%		11757	16.04%		6.77m
Morb	139.50		127	1352		0/151	20089/21441	6.31%		3477	54.24%		7.95m
JW3	40.83		449	4619		0/224	23313/27932	16.54%		10966	17.20%		7.35m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Adam's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-4 Adjusted Comps

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	98.95		200	1806		0/89	11678/13484	13.39%		4407	40.55%		7.36m
BA (adj)			212	1787		0/144	18885/20672	8.64%

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  BA (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in F9's track.

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during F9's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955)

 

Regal:     403/7583  [5.31% sold]
Matinee:    67/2475  [2.71% | 3.55% of all tickets sold]

[Eric Prime]

Quorum Updates

Till T-11: 24.35% Awareness, 5.49 Interest

Bones and All T-37: 13.84%, 4.84

M3gan: T-88: 25.76%, 5.46

Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves T-137: 31.3%, 4.97

Transformers: Rise of the Beasts T-235: 35.23%, 5.79

Oppenheimer T-277: 16.49%, 5.1

 

Black Adam T-3: 60.58% Awareness, 6.32 Interest

Comps (All Final): Shang-Chi w/ 43.04% Awareness & 5.56 Interest, Venom 2 w/ 54.39% & 5.78, Eternals w/ 41.7% & 5.89

*Note that Black Adam's Final Awareness and Interest is subject to change*

 

Final General Awareness: 100% chance of over 50M, 90% chance of 70M, 70% chance of 100M

General Interest: 100% chance of 30M, 86% chance of 40M, 64% chance over 50M, 57% chance over 70M

DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 100M

DC/MCU Interest: 100% chance of 100M

 

Ticket to Paradise T-3: 39.56% Awareness, 5.5 Interest

Comps (All Final): Respect w/ 40.28% Awareness & 5.53 Interest, The Lost City w/ 58.17% & 6.13, Elvis w/ 49.07% & 5.9, Amsterdam w/ 32.14% & 5.62

*Note that Ticket to Paradise's Final Awareness and Interest is subject to change*

 

Final General Awareness: 26% chance of double-digit opening, 2% chance of 20M

General Interest: 86% chance of double-digit opening, 74% chance of 20M

Original - High Awareness: 14% chance over double-digits

Original - High Interest: 57% chance over double-digits and over 20M

[Tinalera]

Black Adam

Oct 13/14 (T-3 Thurs, T-4 Fri)

SW/Toronto Ontario

 

	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	20	116	1449	26223	27672	0.0523
Fri	20	102	1404	24433	25837	0.0543

 

Comps

Thurs

Dr Strange 2 (missed)

x.1644 Thor 4 (1.01 Million Cdn)

 

Friday

x.1701 Dr Strange 2(1.05 million Cdn)

x.2228 Thor 4 (1.38 Million Cdn)

 

basically at this point whereas Thor and DS had seat counts between 6-8 thousand, Adam is around 1400 seats sold at this time, so a bit of a contrast there.

[YM!]

So what sort of OW to expect from Black Adam?

[Eric Prime]

7 minutes ago, YM! said:

So what sort of OW to expect from Black Adam?

Been thinking somewhere in the 60s IMO. Which fun fact, would make it the first 60s opening since Bad Boys 3 nearly three years ago. Weird.

[GOGODanca]

On 10/15/2022 at 9:44 AM, GOGODanca said:

T-5 Black Adam:

999 tickets sold across 66 showtimes at 10 local AMC's (22.4% growth in 2 days)

T-3 Black Adam:

 

1,222 tickets sold across 66 showtimes at 10 local AMC's (22.3% jump in 2 days)

 

[Maggie]

7 minutes ago, Eric Strode said:

Been thinking somewhere in the 60s IMO. Which fun fact, would make it the first 60s opening since Bad Boys 3 nearly three years ago. Weird.

I want moar. I think it will surprise this weekend with at least 70M. The Rock audience is walk up heavy

[GOGODanca]

For those who have tracking for Venom LTBC, how is the growth rate of BA compare to late growth rate of that movie?

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

@Porthos For your comps, what was L&T at VS MoM after L&T’s first day of sales? I’m trying to extrapolate something. 

[Porthos]

9 minutes ago, Imperius ReXXR said:

@Porthos For your comps, what was L&T at VS MoM after L&T’s first day of sales? I’m trying to extrapolate something. 

 

On 6/14/2022 at 12:07 AM, Porthos said:

Thor: Love and Thunder Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-24 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	228	27442	31603	4161	13.17%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

4161

 

Day 1 Comps      

	%		Sold Day 1	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH	31.34		13279	13279		0/225	14920/28199	47.09%		28183	14.76%		15.67m
Batman	144.43		2406	2881		0/248	29316/32197	8.95%		11757	35.39%		31.20m
MoM	61.65		6749	6749		0/329	34167/40916	16.49%		21117	19.70%		22.20m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Love and Thunder's current tickets sold versus that final number.

PRE-SALE NOTE: The Batman had two days of early access only sales totaling  475 tickets, which are counted as part of the total tickets sold but not as “Day 1” sales.

 

Regal:        379/5458  [6.94% sold]
Matinee:    154/2566  [6.00% | 3.70% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Not too bad all things considered, IMO.  Did in fact pick up the pace a bit from this morning.  Comps are all over the place, but that's to be expected with differences in pre-sale length and hype. 

 

I did comp Black Widow on my home sheet, but I'm not including it quite yet here.  Ftr, it's comping at 48.76m after adjusting for lack of Ontario + differences in tracking in Sacramento at the time.  Which probably explains why I'm not putting it here. (hush about the NWH inclusion )  Might bring it back in when I switch to T-x comps in a few days.

 

[TwoMisfits]

Black Adam should see a great day of sales tomorrow with the TMobile deal...if it doesn't, then panic:)...